Butler
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#68
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#86
Pace68.2#204
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#57
First Shot+3.3#81
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#77
Layup/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#94
Freethrows+4.5#8
Improvement+0.1#167

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#102
First Shot+1.8#117
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#92
Layups/Dunks-0.6#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#57
Freethrows+1.9#59
Improvement-0.2#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.0% 19.0% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.3% 16.9% 7.3%
Average Seed 9.7 9.5 10.0
.500 or above 44.0% 55.8% 31.0%
.500 or above in Conference 28.1% 38.3% 17.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 10.4% 5.9% 15.2%
First Four4.3% 5.5% 3.0%
First Round11.7% 16.0% 6.9%
Second Round4.8% 6.7% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 25 - 49 - 14
Quad 33 - 212 - 16
Quad 44 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 171   Missouri St. W 72-65 86%     1 - 0 +3.4 +1.1 +2.6
  Nov 08, 2024 283   Austin Peay L 66-68 94%     1 - 1 -11.6 -4.2 -7.5
  Nov 11, 2024 293   Western Michigan W 85-65 94%     2 - 1 +9.9 +6.0 +3.8
  Nov 15, 2024 41   SMU W 81-70 48%     3 - 1 +19.5 +11.1 +8.5
  Nov 22, 2024 195   Merrimack W 78-39 88%     4 - 1 +34.3 +16.7 +23.3
  Nov 28, 2024 55   Northwestern W 71-69 43%     5 - 1 +11.8 +8.9 +3.1
  Nov 29, 2024 24   Mississippi St. W 87-77 27%     6 - 1 +24.4 +17.4 +6.6
  Dec 03, 2024 326   Eastern Illinois W 73-58 96%     7 - 1 +2.6 -1.9 +5.1
  Dec 07, 2024 5   @ Houston L 51-79 9%     7 - 2 -5.3 -2.0 -7.4
  Dec 10, 2024 114   North Dakota St. L 68-71 78%     7 - 3 -3.1 +1.7 -5.3
  Dec 14, 2024 34   Wisconsin L 74-83 33%     7 - 4 +3.3 +7.1 -4.1
  Dec 18, 2024 17   @ Marquette L 70-80 17%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +8.3 +12.9 -5.7
  Dec 21, 2024 10   Connecticut L 74-78 29%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +9.7 +5.1 +4.5
  Jan 01, 2025 52   Villanova W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 04, 2025 15   @ St. John's L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 08, 2025 75   @ Providence L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 46   Creighton W 75-74 50%    
  Jan 15, 2025 115   Seton Hall W 68-60 77%    
  Jan 21, 2025 10   @ Connecticut L 68-80 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 102   DePaul W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 28, 2025 17   Marquette L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 31, 2025 67   @ Georgetown L 71-74 39%    
  Feb 05, 2025 115   @ Seton Hall W 65-63 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 75   Providence W 70-67 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 67   Georgetown W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 18, 2025 49   @ Xavier L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 102   @ DePaul W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 26, 2025 15   St. John's L 73-78 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 52   @ Villanova L 71-76 31%    
  Mar 05, 2025 49   Xavier W 76-75 51%    
  Mar 08, 2025 46   @ Creighton L 72-78 29%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.3 3.3 0.8 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.4 4.5 0.9 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.0 5.2 1.2 0.1 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.3 5.7 1.6 0.1 16.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.2 5.2 1.3 0.1 16.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.0 8.2 11.7 14.2 15.0 14.0 11.2 7.8 4.8 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 66.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 24.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 15.7% 84.3% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.5% 97.8% 15.2% 82.7% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
14-6 1.1% 94.2% 12.8% 81.4% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.3%
13-7 2.6% 85.7% 7.4% 78.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 84.6%
12-8 4.8% 68.4% 6.2% 62.2% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.5 66.3%
11-9 7.8% 44.1% 4.7% 39.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.5 0.0 4.4 41.3%
10-10 11.2% 21.5% 2.8% 18.8% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.1 8.8 19.3%
9-11 14.0% 4.6% 1.5% 3.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.4 3.1%
8-12 15.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.8 0.1%
7-13 14.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.1 0.0%
6-14 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
5-15 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 8.2
4-16 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.0
3-17 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-18 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.0% 2.0% 12.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.7 3.8 4.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 86.0 12.3%