Colorado St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.8 #94
Expected Predictive Rating +6.5 #82
Pace 59.7 #364
Improvement -3.5 #336

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #51 A+ B+ D+ B- B-
Defense #201 C C D+ A- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #236 1.27 #71 +0.9 #139
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #304 0.76 #167 -2.2 #284
Three Pointers 49% #39 1.28 #2 +10.7 #3
1st FG Attempt 1.20 #10 +9.5 #10
Freethrows 18.6 #119 76% #90 14.0 #99
Second Chance 33.0% #115 1.19 #39 0.39 #59
Turnovers 17.9% #259
Total Offense +6.6 #51

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #307 1.22 #262 +1.8 #110
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #150 0.78 #219 -0.6 #226
Three Pointers 45% #65 0.99 #151 -1.6 #248
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #186 -0.3 #186
Freethrows 14.8 #54 64% #4 9.5 #342
Second Chance 27.2% #71 1.21 #334 0.33 #196
Turnovers 15.2% #270
Total Defense -0.8 #201

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #101 -0.9% #94
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 17.1% #7 1.5% #211
Possession Length 19.3 #343 18.2 #311
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #193 0.12 #30
Improvement -4.9 #363 +1.4 #87

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 94.6% 98.1% 89.2%
.500 or above in Conference 67.6% 78.4% 51.1%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
First Round4.4% 5.1% 3.3%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 60.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 24 - 55 - 9
Quad 36 - 211 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 165 Incarnate Word W 98 - 64 81%  +18  1 - 0 +30 +28 A+ A+ B- +5 B+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 257 Nebraska Omaha W 97 - 74 90%  +8  2 - 0 +14 +25 A+ A+ F -9 D+ C+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 253 Cal Poly W 93 - 79 90%  +9  3 - 0 +6 +10 A+ C- C+ -5 D- A F
 Sun, Nov 16 251 @Loyola Chicago W 80 - 67 77%  +12  4 - 0 +11 +18 A A+ D- -5 F B+ A
 Fri, Nov 21 264 Denver L 81 - 83 91%  -2  4 - 1 -11 +11 B A+ F -23 F C+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 68 Virginia Tech L 64 - 66 39%  -3  4 - 2 +7 +3 D+ A C+ +3 C- A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 27 104 Wichita St. W 76 - 70 54%  +10  5 - 2 +11 +19 A+ F C- -8 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 28 89 South Florida W 83 - 68 47%  +8  6 - 2 +22 +14 A+ C D +8 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 77 Colorado W 91 - 86 54%  +4  7 - 2 +10 +22 A+ D- C -12 F B- F
 Tue, Dec 9 230 Dartmouth W 76 - 55 88%  +9  8 - 2 +14 +8 A+ F F +8 A- B A-
 Sat, Dec 20 35 @Utah St. L 58 - 100 15%  -24  8 - 3 0 - 1 -25 -2 D C D -28 F F C-
 Tue, Dec 30 90 Nevada L 62 - 75 59%  -4  8 - 4 0 - 2 -10 -4 D- B B- -7 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 83 @Grand Canyon W 70 - 60 34%  +10  9 - 4 1 - 2 +20 +13 A- C D- +8 A+ C C-
 Tue, Jan 6 56 New Mexico L 70 - 80 47%  -7  9 - 5 1 - 3 -3 +6 A- A+ D+ -11 F F C
 Fri, Jan 9 142 UNLV W 70 - 62 77%  +0  10 - 5 2 - 3 +6 +3 C A+ F +4 A- D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 13 157 @Fresno St. W 73 - 70 60% 
 Fri, Jan 16 63 @Boise St. L 66 - 72 28% 
 Tue, Jan 20 334 Air Force W 76 - 56 97% 
 Fri, Jan 23 35 Utah St. L 71 - 76 32% 
 Wed, Jan 28 52 @San Diego St. L 68 - 76 24% 
 Sat, Jan 31 95 @Wyoming L 71 - 74 38% 
 Sat, Feb 7 221 San Jose St. W 77 - 65 87% 
 Tue, Feb 10 334 @Air Force W 73 - 59 90% 
 Sat, Feb 14 95 Wyoming W 74 - 71 61% 
 Wed, Feb 18 142 @UNLV W 75 - 73 57% 
 Sat, Feb 21 52 San Diego St. L 71 - 73 44% 
 Tue, Feb 24 157 Fresno St. W 76 - 67 79% 
 Sat, Feb 28 221 @San Jose St. W 74 - 68 71% 
 Wed, Mar 4 56 @New Mexico L 69 - 76 27% 
 Sat, Mar 7 63 Boise St. L 68 - 69 50% 
Totals 18 - 12 10 - 10 +6 +7 A+ B+ D+ -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.4 3.9 0.6 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 6.5 5.9 1.0 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 6.3 7.3 1.8 0.0 16.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 5.7 8.2 2.9 0.1 18.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.7 6.6 2.7 0.2 15.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.2 1.3 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 5.2 9.6 14.9 18.7 18.4 14.5 9.3 4.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 54.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 29.5% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.4% 50.7% 27.4% 23.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 32.1%
15-5 1.8% 25.4% 12.6% 12.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.4 14.7%
14-6 4.5% 14.1% 11.4% 2.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.9 3.0%
13-7 9.3% 9.4% 8.5% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 8.4 1.0%
12-8 14.5% 6.1% 6.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 13.6 0.1%
11-9 18.4% 3.9% 3.9% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 17.7
10-10 18.7% 2.3% 2.3% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 18.3
9-11 14.9% 1.7% 1.7% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.7
8-12 9.6% 1.3% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.5
7-13 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
6-14 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 2.0
5-15 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.6% 4.1% 0.6% 11.2 95.4 0.6%