Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -18.3 363
Results Rating -15.0 353
Pace 70.5 126
Improvement +4.0 48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 362 F+ D+ F C D
Defense D- 332 F+ F+ C F+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 217 D- 50% 346 -3.8 313
2 Pt. Jumpers 59% 20 D- 31% 345 +0.9 128
Three Pointers 36% 290 D 30% 316 -4.6 324
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 300 F+ -6.8 355
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.87 358
Second Chance C- 28.0% 247 D+ 0.97 276 D+ 0.27 267
Turnovers F 22.8% 364
Freethrows C+ 0.33 121 D 68% 308 C 0.22 170
Total Offense F -12.1 362

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 161 F+ 15.5% 352
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 92 C- 6.2% 261
Three Pointers D 79% 295 D 1.6% 323
Total C- 54% 225 F 8.0% 352

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 213 D- 65% 335 +1.8 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 344 C- 40% 244 -2.2 27
Three Pointers 48% 21 F+ 39% 354 +7.1 361
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 300 F+ +5.9 356
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.16 357
Second Chance D- 35.5% 339 D 1.13 312 F+ 0.40 348
Turnovers C 16.5% 200
Freethrows D- 0.36 329 D- 76% 332 F+ 0.28 346
Total Defense D- -6.2 332

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 355 D+ 8.4% 276
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 95 C+ 5.6% 124
Three Pointers F+ 93% 361 C- 0.6% 223
Total F 68% 357 D+ 4.3% 291

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 274 15.8 6
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 236 0.27 364
Improvement -1.0 #238 +5.0 #15

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 364 363 360
Results Rating Rank 356 354 347
Conference Record 5 - 9 5 - 9 7 - 7
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 8% 28% 1%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 46 - 117 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 104 Maryland L 61 - 83 3% -13  1% 0 - 1 F+ -18 F -11 C B- F D- -7 D C- C
 Wed, Nov 5 200 @La Salle L 59 - 87 5% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -27 F -16 F D F F+ -9 F B+ C+
 Sun, Nov 9 201 @James Madison L 70 - 84 5% -13  0% 0 - 3 D- -13 D- -6 D A F D- -7 F A C
 Wed, Nov 12 58 @South Florida L 50 - 100 1% -28  0% 0 - 4 F -38 F -19 F B- F F -20 F F D
 Fri, Nov 14 270 Central Michigan L 59 - 82 13% -13  1% 0 - 5 F -29 F -20 F C+ D+ F+ -9 D+ F D
 Sat, Nov 15 182 South Alabama L 62 - 72 7% -5  12% 0 - 6 D- -11 F -10 F A D C- -2 C- C- C
 Sat, Nov 22 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 58 - 101 1% -23  0% 0 - 7 F -29 F -15 D F+ F F -11 F A F
 Tue, Nov 25 356 @Rider W 68 - 65 27% -5  8% 1 - 7 D -9 F -14 F C+ F B +5 B A B
 Sun, Nov 30 315 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 95 14% -7  0% 1 - 8 F+ -17 B- +4 B F+ F F -21 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 3 55 @West Virginia L 49 - 91 1% -14  17% 1 - 9 F -29 F -16 F D+ D- F -13 D C- F
 Sat, Dec 6 107 @Liberty L 50 - 92 2% -34  0% 1 - 10 F -35 F -24 F F F F -12 F F B
 Tue, Dec 9 133 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 87 3% -14  9% 1 - 11 F+ -17 C- -2 B- F C- F -16 F D+ D-
 Sun, Dec 14 233 @Radford L 77 - 107 6% -12  0% 1 - 12 F -31 D- -8 C+ D+ F F -20 F F C
 Fri, Dec 19 154 @Navy L 55 - 88 3% -12  0% 1 - 13 F -30 F -14 F+ F F+ F -17 F+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 71 @Georgetown L 67 - 97 1% -22  0% 1 - 14 F -19 D -6 C- B- D F -13 F B- F+
 Mon, Dec 29 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59 - 93 15% -18  0% 1 - 15 F -41 F -21 F F+ F F -19 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 361 @Delaware St. W 53 - 51 34% -1  28% 2 - 15 1 - 0 D- -12 F -21 F B F A +9 B- D B+
 Sat, Jan 10 352 NC Central L 77 - 88 44% +3  64% 2 - 16 1 - 1 F -28 C- -2 A- F D F -27 F F F+
 Mon, Jan 12 357 South Carolina St. L 72 - 74 51% -4  3% 2 - 17 1 - 2 F -20 D -6 F C+ F F -15 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 70 23% +0  42% 2 - 18 1 - 3 D- -13 C- -1 D+ B F F -13 C+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 24 302 @Norfolk St. L 76 - 103 12% -15  3% 2 - 19 1 - 4 F -32 F -11 D+ C- F F -18 F C+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 350 Morgan St. L 80 - 89 43% -12  0% 2 - 20 1 - 5 F -26 F -10 D+ F D- F -15 D- F C
 Mon, Feb 2 202 Howard L 53 - 72 12% -8  1% 2 - 21 1 - 6 F -24 F -15 F C- D+ F -12 D F B
 Sat, Feb 7 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 47 57% +4  51% 3 - 21 2 - 6 C- -2 F -12 F+ B F A +11 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 352 @NC Central W 58 - 56 24% -2  30% 4 - 21 3 - 6 D -9 F -16 F F B+ A- +8 A D- F+
 Mon, Feb 16 357 @South Carolina St. W 59 - 57 29% -1  37% 5 - 21 4 - 6 D -10 F -19 D+ F F A- +8 C+ A F
 Sat, Feb 21 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 71 - 65 OT 43% +7  83% 6 - 21 5 - 6 D -10 F -13 F+ C+ F B- +3 C+ D A
 Sat, Feb 28 302 Norfolk St. L 68 - 75 25%
 Mon, Mar 2 202 @Howard L 61 - 80 4%
 Thu, Mar 5 350 @Morgan St. L 72 - 80 23%
Totals 7 - 23 6 - 8 -18 F -12 F F+ D D- -6 D D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F D- D- D F+ 37% 59% 36% D F+ C- D+ D+ F C+ D C D- D- C- F+ F+ 37% 15% 48% D F+ D- D F+ C D- D- F+
0.91 50% 31% 30% -7 -1 0.87 28% 1.0 .27 23% .33 68% .22 1.17 65% 40% 39% +6 +1 1.16 35% 1.1 .40 17% .36 76% .25
Nov
3		 Maryland F F C A C- 44% 18% 38% B- C C- A B- F B+ B+ B+ D- F A+ B D+ 40% 6% 54% F D C+ D- C- C F F F
0.89 45% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 29% .33 75% .25 1.22 74% 0% 31% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.2 .41 18% .44 92% .41
Nov
5		 La Salle F C+ F+ F F 32% 19% 49% C- F F A+ D F B+ A+ A+ F+ F A+ F F 40% 27% 33% C+ F C A B+ C+ F F+ F
0.80 59% 30% 15% -15 0 0.72 18% 1.4 .25 22% .31 83% .26 1.18 67% 25% 53% +10 -1 1.20 34% 0.7 .25 19% .59 77% .45
Nov
9		 James Madison D- F F A+ D 40% 24% 36% C- D B A+ A F A+ C A+ D- F F D F 31% 8% 62% D+ F C- A+ A C D- F F
1.00 35% 10% 53% -6 0 0.90 34% 1.3 .46 26% .69 72% .50 1.19 69% 50% 38% +7 +1 1.19 30% 0.6 .18 17% .34 80% .27
Nov
12		 South Florida F F F F F 50% 27% 23% B- F C+ B B- F A+ B A+ F F F B+ F 30% 7% 63% B+ F F D F D F+ A D+
0.73 36% 17% 20% -21 0 0.59 31% 1.1 .33 26% .43 73% .32 1.46 81% 100% 29% +7 +1 1.19 56% 1.3 .69 13% .45 67% .30
Nov
14		 Central Michigan F F F F F 42% 23% 35% D+ F D- A+ C+ D+ D B- D+ F+ C- F A D+ 38% 26% 36% C D+ F D- F D B- D C+
0.83 41% 17% 17% -21 0 0.60 30% 1.5 .43 18% .31 72% .22 1.16 60% 57% 26% +2 -1 1.04 40% 1.2 .49 16% .25 73% .18
Nov
15		 South Alabama F D+ F F F 38% 2% 60% A F D- A+ A D A B- A C- C A+ D C- 43% 15% 42% C- C- F A+ C- C B+ F C+
0.93 58% 0% 17% -16 +2 0.74 26% 1.9 .49 20% .32 76% .24 1.08 57% 25% 36% -1 +1 1.02 36% 0.8 .28 14% .26 73% .19
Nov
22		 Virginia Commonwealth F D- C- D- D 40% 27% 33% D D D F F+ F F F F F F F D+ F 54% 6% 41% F F B A A F F D F
0.78 48% 36% 29% -7 -1 0.87 25% 0.7 .18 23% .17 60% .10 1.36 72% 67% 36% +11 +3 1.30 31% 0.9 .28 11% .48 78% .38
Nov
25		 Rider F F+ F D+ F 58% 25% 17% D+ F A- F+ C+ F B F D B A+ B+ D- A 51% 20% 29% F B F A+ A B F F+ F
0.96 50% 31% 33% -7 +1 0.90 43% 0.8 .36 23% .33 50% .16 0.92 32% 30% 36% -14 +1 0.76 40% 0.4 .18 20% .56 75% .42
Nov
30		 Loyola Maryland B- B- A+ B- B+ 42% 29% 29% D B D+ F F+ F A+ C- A+ F F F F 43% 0% 57% F F F F F A- F F F
1.19 65% 57% 36% +9 -1 1.19 28% 1.0 .28 18% .54 74% .40 1.35 75% 44% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.3 .56 21% .43 88% .38
Dec
3		 West Virginia F F B- F F 44% 31% 24% D+ F C- D+ D+ D- B+ D+ B F F B+ B+ D 41% 6% 53% F+ D D B- C- F F A F
0.70 25% 36% 27% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.9 .21 21% .31 71% .22 1.30 76% 33% 30% +4 +2 1.14 36% 1.1 .38 10% .52 61% .32
Dec
6		 Liberty F F+ F F F 31% 31% 39% F+ F D F F F A+ F B+ F F B F F 40% 6% 55% B- F F D- F B A+ A+ A+
0.74 47% 20% 26% -13 -2 0.71 28% 0.5 .13 22% .34 67% .23 1.35 76% 33% 52% +21 +2 1.49 31% 1.1 .34 16% .12 57% .07
Dec
9		 Saint Joseph's C- A+ A F A- 27% 43% 29% F B- F F F C- C+ A+ B F F F D- F 23% 6% 70% C F A F D+ D- F F F
0.96 71% 45% 27% +4 -4 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 16% .23 85% .19 1.28 73% 67% 36% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 15% .42 88% .36
Dec
14		 Radford D- D F A+ B- 34% 18% 48% D+ C+ D C D+ F C+ A B F F F F F 33% 9% 58% D F D- F F C B- C+ B-
0.99 53% 11% 50% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.1 .30 29% .35 79% .27 1.37 83% 60% 47% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.2 .41 18% .33 71% .23
Dec
19		 Navy F C C F D 21% 44% 35% F F+ D F F F+ B- C- B- F D+ F D- F 33% 22% 46% C F+ F F+ F C- F F F
0.82 60% 38% 24% -5 -4 0.83 26% 0.6 .16 21% .28 73% .21 1.31 60% 50% 38% +6 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .57 18% .53 83% .44
Dec
22		 Georgetown D D F A- C 31% 33% 35% D C- C- A B- D C+ F F+ F F F F F 42% 11% 47% F F A- F+ B- F+ F B D-
0.93 50% 29% 39% -3 -2 0.92 28% 1.2 .33 19% .31 50% .15 1.34 70% 50% 42% +12 +2 1.29 28% 1.3 .34 10% .43 71% .31
Dec
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F C+ F D F 38% 19% 42% C- F F B+ F+ F B- D C+ F A D+ F D- 43% 10% 47% F F+ F F F D+ F A+ C
0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17 1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21
Jan
3		 Delaware St. F F+ F D- F 28% 30% 43% F F D A+ B F C- F F A A- A- B- B 50% 29% 21% F B- F B- D B+ B- A+ A+
0.81 55% 25% 29% -8 -2 0.83 28% 1.6 .44 29% .32 40% .13 0.78 42% 29% 30% -12 0 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 23% .26 38% .10
Jan
10		 NC Central C- F+ B A+ A+ 27% 38% 35% F A- F+ F F D F+ B- D- F A- B F F 27% 32% 41% A+ F C- F F F+ F D F
1.18 54% 44% 65% +18 -3 1.31 29% 0.8 .21 20% .23 75% .17 1.35 45% 31% 53% +6 -2 1.10 30% 1.9 .56 14% .64 78% .50
Jan
12		 South Carolina St. D F C+ B- F 26% 16% 58% F F B- C- C+ F A+ B- A+ F F F+ F F 17% 44% 39% A+ F C+ F D- D+ F B F
1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51 1.13 71% 44% 50% +14 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40
Jan
17		 Maryland Eastern Shore C- C B- D+ C- 26% 26% 49% F D+ A+ F B F A+ A+ A+ F B C+ C+ C 34% 27% 39% B- C+ F F F D- F F F
1.10 60% 40% 32% -1 -2 0.97 57% 0.8 .43 33% .51 95% .49 1.15 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 38% 1.5 .58 20% .39 95% .37
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Norfolk St. F A+ F F+ C- 37% 17% 46% D D+ D+ C+ C- F A+ F B- F F A+ F F 39% 7% 54% F F D- A C+ A F F F
0.95 76% 25% 29% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 24% .62 47% .29 1.28 72% 0% 56% +21 +2 1.48 35% 0.8 .27 24% .70 77% .54
Jan
31		 Morgan St. F C- F A D+ 48% 23% 29% D D+ C+ F F D- A+ F C+ F F A- C+ F+ 34% 28% 38% C- D- D- F F C F B- F
1.05 60% 25% 40% +1 0 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 18% .57 57% .32 1.17 71% 29% 32% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.6 .54 18% .61 71% .44
Feb
2		 Howard F D C- F F 41% 26% 33% D- F A+ F C- D+ B F C- F C- D+ C D 38% 12% 50% C- D F D+ F B F C- F
0.86 53% 33% 13% -14 0 0.74 44% 0.8 .33 21% .37 61% .23 1.17 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 47% 1.1 .53 23% .44 76% .33
Feb
7		 Delaware St. F F A- D F+ 44% 26% 30% D F+ A- D+ B F A+ F B- A A+ B A+ A+ 31% 45% 24% A A+ D+ D+ D+ A+ F F F
0.98 53% 45% 31% -2 0 0.98 40% 1.1 .43 26% .47 57% .26 0.71 38% 32% 10% -18 -4 0.60 26% 0.8 .21 27% .43 81% .35
Feb
14		 NC Central F D+ A F F 47% 8% 45% A- F F F F B+ F F F A- A+ A B+ A+ 37% 22% 41% C A F C- D- F+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 58% 50% 22% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.7 .19 14% .22 50% .11 0.90 37% 27% 29% -14 0 0.75 35% 1.0 .35 14% .17 44% .07
Feb
16		 South Carolina St. F C- F B- D 56% 17% 27% C D+ F A+ F F F+ F F A- B- F A+ A- 53% 14% 33% F C+ A- A+ A F A D B+
0.88 61% 29% 36% +1 +2 1.07 13% 2.0 .26 28% .33 63% .21 0.85 50% 57% 19% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.7 .16 16% .23 69% .16
Feb
21		 Maryland Eastern Shore F D C F F+ 33% 21% 46% D+ F+ B- C- C+ F A+ D A+ B- B A+ C+ B 48% 7% 45% F C+ A F D A F D- F
0.96 54% 38% 28% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.1 .39 26% .73 70% .51 0.88 50% 0% 32% -8 +2 0.90 21% 1.5 .31 29% .57 77% .44



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 1.1 0.1 1.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.8 11.8 2.5 15.1 5th
6th 19.6 21.0 0.2 40.8 6th
7th 35.3 3.5 38.8 7th
8th 8th
Total 55.7 36.6 7.4 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.3% 0.3
7-7 7.4% 7.4
6-8 36.6% 36.6
5-9 55.7% 55.7
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3%
Lose Out 55.7%