Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -20.0 #364
Expected Predictive Rating -13.7 #339
Pace 71.9 #100
Improvement -1.0 #238

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #364 F D+ F D+ D
Defense #355 F D D+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #215 1.01 #326 -3.4 #295
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #64 0.58 #346 +0.1 #176
Three Pointers 36% #286 0.86 #325 -5.3 #329
1st FG Attempt 0.84 #359 -8.6 #359
Freethrows 17.2 #202 66% #338 11.3 #258
Second Chance 26.0% #306 1.05 #175 0.27 #275
Turnovers 21.5% #362
Total Offense -12.4 #364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #223 1.35 #351 -2.8 #274
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #346 0.91 #350 +1.6 #79
Three Pointers 49% #25 1.20 #353 -8.5 #361
1st FG Attempt 1.21 #364 -9.8 #364
Freethrows 18.6 #251 76% #305 14.1 #78
Second Chance 36.0% #337 1.04 #192 0.38 #300
Turnovers 15.3% #265
Total Defense -7.6 #355

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #293 1.5% #303
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -15.4% #359 17.8% #365
Possession Length 18.1 #260 15.4 #7
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #177 0.29 #363
Improvement -1.1 #262 +0.1 #179

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.2% 18.6% 4.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 51.5% 35.8% 59.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 45 - 145 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 107 Maryland L 61 - 83 2%  -13  0 - 1 -18 -7 D+ A F -11 F D C
 Wed, Nov 5 217 @La Salle L 59 - 87 4%  -22  0 - 2 -28 -16 F F F -10 F A+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 204 @James Madison L 70 - 84 4%  -13  0 - 3 -13 -5 D- A+ F -8 F A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 89 @South Florida L 50 - 100 1%  -28  0 - 4 -40 -18 F B- F -23 F F D-
 Fri, Nov 14 323 Central Michigan L 59 - 82 17%  -13  0 - 5 -33 -19 F C D- -13 F F D
 Sat, Nov 15 200 South Alabama L 62 - 72 6%  -5  0 - 6 -12 -8 F A- D- -5 D C C-
 Sat, Nov 22 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 58 - 101 1%  -23  0 - 7 -29 -12 D- F F -15 F A F
 Tue, Nov 25 348 @Rider W 68 - 65 16%  -5  1 - 7 -6 -8 F C F +2 C+ A+ B
 Sun, Nov 30 336 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 95 14%  -7  1 - 8 -19 +4 B F F -23 F F B
 Wed, Dec 3 67 @West Virginia L 49 - 91 1%  -14  1 - 9 -30 -17 F D F -14 D+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 99 @Liberty L 50 - 92 1%  -34  1 - 10 -34 -19 F F F -16 F F A-
 Tue, Dec 9 185 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 87 4%  -14  1 - 11 -21 -4 C F C- -18 F C- D
 Sun, Dec 14 234 @Radford L 77 - 107 5%  -12  1 - 12 -31 -6 B- F F -22 F F C+
 Fri, Dec 19 193 @Navy L 55 - 88 4%  -12  1 - 13 -32 -14 F F F -20 F F C
 Mon, Dec 22 103 @Georgetown L 67 - 97 1%  -22  1 - 14 -22 -5 D+ C D -16 F B- D-
 Mon, Dec 29 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59 - 93 16%  -18  1 - 15 -43 -21 F F F -21 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 352 @Delaware St. W 53 - 51 17%  -1  2 - 15 1 - 0 -8 -16 F B F +8 C C A+
 Sat, Jan 10 347 NC Central L 67 - 72 33% 
 Mon, Jan 12 357 South Carolina St. L 71 - 73 42% 
 Sat, Jan 17 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 61 - 72 14% 
 Sat, Jan 24 272 @Norfolk St. L 61 - 78 6% 
 Mon, Jan 26 271 Howard L 65 - 76 16% 
 Sat, Jan 31 362 Morgan St. L 74 - 75 47% 
 Sat, Feb 7 352 Delaware St. L 65 - 69 36% 
 Sat, Feb 14 347 @NC Central L 64 - 75 16% 
 Mon, Feb 16 357 @South Carolina St. L 68 - 76 23% 
 Sat, Feb 21 341 Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 69 31% 
 Sat, Feb 28 272 Norfolk St. L 64 - 75 16% 
 Mon, Mar 2 271 @Howard L 62 - 79 7% 
 Thu, Mar 5 362 @Morgan St. L 71 - 78 26% 
Totals 5 - 25 4 - 10 -20 -12 F D+ F -8 F D D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.2 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 5.8 1.4 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 4.3 9.6 3.2 0.1 17.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.3 13.0 5.6 0.3 27.4 7th
8th 4.1 12.2 13.3 5.2 0.3 35.2 8th
Total 4.2 13.5 21.0 22.6 18.4 11.2 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-3 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-4 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 20.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0
11-3 0.0% 0.0
10-4 0.2% 0.2
9-5 0.8% 0.8
8-6 2.4% 2.4
7-7 5.7% 5.7
6-8 11.2% 11.2
5-9 18.4% 18.4
4-10 22.6% 22.6
3-11 21.0% 21.0
2-12 13.5% 13.5
1-13 4.2% 4.2
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%