Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -20.3 #364
Expected Predictive Rating -19.4 #361
Pace 72.1 #93
Improvement -0.9 #230

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #362 F+ D+ F C D
Defense #363 F F+ C- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #244 0.99 #343 -4.4 #324
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #53 0.60 #351 +0.8 #130
Three Pointers 36% #279 0.95 #267 -3.6 #307
1st FG Attempt 0.87 #356 -7.2 #356
Freethrows 0.32 #117 70% #262 0.22 #152
Second Chance 28.1% #255 0.98 #249 0.27 #268
Turnovers 22.5% #365
Total Offense -10.6 #362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #229 1.33 #351 -2.3 #257
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #339 0.83 #293 +1.8 #52
Three Pointers 48% #20 1.23 #365 -9.0 #363
1st FG Attempt 1.21 #365 -9.4 #365
Freethrows 0.37 #332 76% #335 0.28 #350
Second Chance 36.3% #349 1.13 #307 0.41 #350
Turnovers 15.7% #241
Total Defense -9.7 #363

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #309 1.3% #284
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.8% #350 17.3% #364
Possession Length 18.1 #261 15.3 #1
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #241 0.28 #365
Improvement +1.3 #104 -2.3 #305

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 85.6% 71.3% 87.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 13.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 44 - 164 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 107 Maryland L 61 - 83 2% -13  0 - 1 -18 -8 C- B- F -11 D- C- C
 Wed, Nov 5 214 @La Salle L 59 - 87 4% -22  0 - 2 -28 -16 F D F -11 F B+ C+
 Sun, Nov 9 205 @James Madison L 70 - 84 4% -13  0 - 3 -14 -5 D A F -9 F A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 70 @South Florida L 50 - 100 1% -28  0 - 4 -39 -17 F B- F -23 F F D
 Fri, Nov 14 294 Central Michigan L 59 - 82 12% -13  0 - 5 -31 -18 F C D -13 D F D
 Sat, Nov 15 194 South Alabama L 62 - 72 6% -5  0 - 6 -12 -7 F A- D+ -6 D C C
 Sat, Nov 22 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 58 - 101 1% -23  0 - 7 -30 -14 D- D- F -13 F A- F+
 Tue, Nov 25 352 @Rider W 68 - 65 16% -5  1 - 7 -7 -11 F C+ F +4 B A C+
 Sun, Nov 30 318 @Loyola Maryland L 84 - 95 11% -7  1 - 8 -18 +6 B- F+ D- -24 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 3 57 @West Virginia L 49 - 91 1% -14  1 - 9 -30 -15 F D+ F+ -15 D C- F
 Sat, Dec 6 89 @Liberty L 50 - 92 1% -34  1 - 10 -33 -19 F F F+ -15 F F B+
 Tue, Dec 9 132 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 87 2% -14  1 - 11 -17 -0 B- F C- -18 F D+ D
 Sun, Dec 14 234 @Radford L 77 - 107 5% -12  1 - 12 -31 -6 C+ D F -22 F F C+
 Fri, Dec 19 179 @Navy L 55 - 88 3% -12  1 - 13 -31 -12 F+ F F+ -21 F+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 78 @Georgetown L 67 - 97 1% -22  1 - 14 -20 -3 C- C+ D -15 F C+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59 - 93 14% -18  1 - 15 -43 -20 F F F -22 D- F D
 Sat, Jan 3 353 @Delaware St. W 53 - 51 18% -1  2 - 15 1 - 0 -9 -17 F B+ F +8 B- D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 341 NC Central L 77 - 88 29% +3  2 - 16 1 - 1 -26 +2 A F D -29 F F F
 Mon, Jan 12 359 South Carolina St. L 72 - 74 41% -4  2 - 17 1 - 2 -20 -4 F C+ F -16 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 338 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 70 13% +0  2 - 18 1 - 3 -11 +2 C- B- F -14 C+ F D
 Sat, Jan 24 307 @Norfolk St. L 76 - 103 9% -15  2 - 19 1 - 4 -33 -8 D+ C- F -22 F C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 31 354 Morgan St. L 80 - 89 37% -12  2 - 20 1 - 5 -26 -8 D F F+ -17 D- F C-
 Mon, Feb 2 253 Howard L 68 - 80 13%
 Sat, Feb 7 353 Delaware St. L 68 - 72 37%
 Sat, Feb 14 341 @NC Central L 69 - 81 14%
 Mon, Feb 16 359 @South Carolina St. L 72 - 80 21%
 Sat, Feb 21 338 Maryland Eastern Shore L 66 - 72 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 307 Norfolk St. L 69 - 78 21%
 Mon, Mar 2 253 @Howard L 65 - 83 5%
 Thu, Mar 5 354 @Morgan St. L 74 - 83 19%
Totals 4 - 26 3 - 11 -20 -11 F+ D+ F -10 F F+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 2.8 9.0 8.7 2.5 0.1 23.1 7th
8th 18.7 30.0 18.2 4.7 0.3 71.9 8th
Total 18.7 32.9 27.2 14.6 5.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0% 0.0
7-7 0.3% 0.3
6-8 1.3% 1.3
5-9 5.1% 5.1
4-10 14.6% 14.6
3-11 27.2% 27.2
2-12 32.9% 32.9
1-13 18.7% 18.7
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 18.7%