Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.7 #245
Expected Predictive Rating -9.1 #311
Pace 69.5 #162
Improvement +0.8 #151

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #173 C C D+ C C-
Defense #306 D D- C D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #157 1.11 #248 -0.5 #198
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #116 0.77 #153 +1.4 #104
Three Pointers 37% #264 1.10 #63 -0.4 #202
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #163 +0.4 #162
Freethrows 0.29 #215 75% #96 0.22 #175
Second Chance 30.4% #188 1.09 #99 0.33 #136
Turnovers 18.5% #299
Total Offense -0.3 #173

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #51 1.20 #236 -3.9 #307
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #310 0.92 #358 +0.4 #156
Three Pointers 40% #205 1.08 #271 -0.9 #225
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #315 -4.4 #314
Freethrows 0.32 #255 76% #346 0.25 #293
Second Chance 33.6% #299 1.17 #335 0.39 #337
Turnovers 16.5% #193
Total Defense -4.4 #306

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #234 1.9% #332
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.4% #149 6.6% #302
Possession Length 17.4 #192 17.1 #157
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #305 0.20 #279
Improvement -1.0 #238 +1.7 #86

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.4% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 36.4% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 2.8% 12.5%
First Four3.7% 5.2% 3.2%
First Round2.7% 4.1% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Away) - 23.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 133 - 18
Quad 46 - 49 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 35 @UCLA L 74 - 80 3% -7  0 - 1 +11 +9 A+ D D +2 C B- D
 Wed, Nov 5 170 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 25% -1  0 - 2 -6 -7 C F D +2 B F C
 Sat, Nov 8 72 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 8% -1  0 - 3 +6 +17 A+ D B- -10 D C D+
 Wed, Nov 12 124 @Seattle L 67 - 94 17% -15  0 - 4 -22 -0 C+ D- C+ -20 F F A-
 Sun, Nov 23 219 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 33% -20  0 - 5 -27 -10 F+ C+ F -17 F B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 147 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 21% -2  0 - 6 -4 +2 C- D+ B- -6 B- F+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 288 @Denver L 89 - 93 48% -0  0 - 7 -8 +9 A+ C F+ -18 F A- D
 Sat, Dec 6 358 UMKC W 90 - 66 88% +15  1 - 7 +6 +4 F+ A+ D+ +1 C F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 134 California Baptist L 83 - 88 37% -5  1 - 8 -6 +10 B+ A C -17 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 17 122 Washington St. L 63 - 78 24% -12  1 - 9 -12 -12 D- F D+ -1 D C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 104 @Utah L 77 - 101 13% -11  1 - 10 -17 +5 D C B- -21 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 15 @BYU L 81 - 109 2% -10  1 - 11 -7 +12 B+ A+ C- -16 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 185 @Idaho L 81 - 84 28% -2  1 - 12 0 - 1 -2 +9 D- A+ F -11 F+ F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 166 Montana St. L 64 - 68 45% +0  1 - 13 0 - 2 -7 -5 F D C -3 C- C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 158 Montana W 66 - 65 44% -2  2 - 13 1 - 2 -2 -1 C+ D+ C+ -1 B C- C
 Thu, Jan 15 221 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 34% -1  2 - 14 1 - 3 -11 +0 D+ B+ F+ -11 D F C
 Sat, Jan 17 227 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 35% +15  3 - 14 2 - 3 +17 +12 A+ F D- +6 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 149 Portland St. L 61 - 65 41% -5  3 - 15 2 - 4 -6 -6 D C+ C- -0 A- F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 274 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 67% +7  4 - 15 3 - 4 -1 +3 F+ A+ C+ -3 C C- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 313 @Northern Arizona L 86 - 92 55% -12  4 - 16 3 - 5 -12 +15 C A- D -27 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 190 @Northern Colorado L 71 - 74 29% +1  4 - 17 3 - 6 -2 -0 C B- F -2 B B F
 Thu, Feb 5 158 @Montana L 73 - 81 24%
 Sat, Feb 7 166 @Montana St. L 71 - 78 25%
 Thu, Feb 12 227 Idaho St. W 76 - 74 57%
 Sat, Feb 14 221 Weber St. W 81 - 79 55%
 Thu, Feb 19 274 @Sacramento St. L 81 - 82 46%
 Sat, Feb 21 149 @Portland St. L 69 - 77 22%
 Thu, Feb 26 190 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 52%
 Sat, Feb 28 313 Northern Arizona W 79 - 72 76%
 Mon, Mar 2 185 Idaho L 76 - 77 49%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 11 -5 +0 C C D+ -4 D D- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 0.6 2.0 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 2.6 0.1 6.1 4th
5th 0.2 4.3 6.2 0.8 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 4.0 10.8 2.4 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.7 11.3 5.2 0.1 19.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 10.2 7.6 0.6 20.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 8.2 7.6 1.1 0.0 19.0 9th
10th 0.4 2.0 1.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 10th
Total 0.5 4.0 11.6 20.7 24.3 21.1 12.1 4.7 1.0 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 46.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.1 0.9
10-8 4.7% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.4 4.3
9-9 12.1% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.9 11.2
8-10 21.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.1 20.1
7-11 24.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.7 23.6
6-12 20.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.4 20.3
5-13 11.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.4
4-14 4.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 16.0 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%