Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.5 #255
Expected Predictive Rating -15.0 #346
Pace 71.9 #99
Improvement -1.3 #253

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #169 C+ C D+ C- C-
Defense #332 F D- C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #192 1.17 #161 -0.1 #187
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #123 0.81 #104 +1.7 #90
Three Pointers 39% #225 1.07 #114 -0.1 #179
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #137 +1.5 #138
Freethrows 16.1 #249 73% #156 11.8 #230
Second Chance 32.3% #136 0.97 #264 0.31 #197
Turnovers 18.3% #279
Total Offense +0.1 #169

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #115 1.25 #291 -3.3 #287
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #282 0.96 #361 -0.5 #219
Three Pointers 42% #156 1.20 #354 -4.4 #330
1st FG Attempt 1.18 #360 -8.2 #360
Freethrows 18.6 #245 73% #195 13.5 #116
Second Chance 33.4% #282 1.14 #294 0.38 #308
Turnovers 17.5% #123
Total Defense -5.5 #332

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #239 1.2% #280
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.8% #126 14.9% #359
Possession Length 17.2 #168 16.5 #61
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #263 0.23 #330
Improvement -0.4 #214 -1.0 #245

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.5% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 21.4% 31.6% 13.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 21.5% 13.4% 28.3%
First Four2.6% 3.2% 2.0%
First Round1.9% 2.5% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 112 - 17
Quad 46 - 78 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 38 @UCLA L 74 - 80 3%  -7  0 - 1 +10 +7 A+ F D +3 C+ B- F
 Wed, Nov 5 122 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 16%  -1  0 - 2 -3 -6 C+ F D- +4 A- F B-
 Sat, Nov 8 77 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 7%  -1  0 - 3 +6 +17 A+ F B -11 D- C D-
 Wed, Nov 12 120 @Seattle L 67 - 94 15%  -15  0 - 4 -21 -2 B- F C -18 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 261 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 39%  -20  0 - 5 -30 -11 D- C F -18 F A- C
 Tue, Nov 25 133 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 17%  -2  0 - 6 -3 +2 C D+ C+ -5 B- F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 264 @Denver L 89 - 93 41%  -0  0 - 7 -7 +10 A+ D F -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 343 UMKC W 90 - 66 81%  +15  1 - 7 +9 +5 F A+ C- +2 D+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 147 California Baptist L 83 - 88 38%  -5  1 - 8 -7 +9 B+ A+ C -16 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 145 Washington St. L 63 - 78 27%  -12  1 - 9 -14 -10 F F D- -4 F C+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 117 @Utah L 77 - 101 14%  -11  1 - 10 -18 +5 D C- B- -22 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 8 @BYU L 81 - 109 1%  -9  1 - 11 -5 +13 A+ A C -16 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 3 195 @Idaho L 81 - 84 27%  -2  1 - 12 0 - 1 -2 +8 F A+ F -10 F F A-
 Thu, Jan 8 153 Montana St. L 64 - 68 40%  +0  1 - 13 0 - 2 -7 -4 F D C -3 D+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 178 Montana L 81 - 82 45% 
 Thu, Jan 15 212 @Weber St. L 78 - 84 30% 
 Sat, Jan 17 187 @Idaho St. L 74 - 81 27% 
 Thu, Jan 22 154 Portland St. L 76 - 78 41% 
 Sat, Jan 24 296 Sacramento St. W 86 - 81 68% 
 Thu, Jan 29 302 @Northern Arizona L 75 - 76 48% 
 Sat, Jan 31 161 @Northern Colorado L 77 - 85 23% 
 Thu, Feb 5 178 @Montana L 78 - 85 26% 
 Sat, Feb 7 153 @Montana St. L 71 - 80 22% 
 Thu, Feb 12 187 Idaho St. L 77 - 78 48% 
 Sat, Feb 14 212 Weber St. W 82 - 81 52% 
 Thu, Feb 19 296 @Sacramento St. L 83 - 84 47% 
 Sat, Feb 21 154 @Portland St. L 73 - 81 22% 
 Thu, Feb 26 161 Northern Colorado L 80 - 82 42% 
 Sat, Feb 28 302 Northern Arizona W 78 - 73 68% 
 Mon, Mar 2 195 Idaho L 77 - 78 49% 
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 11 -5 +0 C+ C D+ -6 F D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 4.4 1.8 0.1 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 3.1 0.2 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 7.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 5.0 8.3 5.5 1.0 0.0 20.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.2 7.3 4.1 0.7 0.0 19.4 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 2.5 4.1 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.2 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.8 5.9 9.8 14.5 15.9 15.7 13.1 10.0 6.2 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 78.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 58.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 16.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.4% 12.5% 12.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.5% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.2 1.3
11-7 3.2% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.3 2.9
10-8 6.2% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.5 5.7
9-9 10.0% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.5 9.4
8-10 13.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 12.7
7-11 15.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 15.4
6-12 15.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 15.7
5-13 14.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.3
4-14 9.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.7
3-15 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
2-16 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 97.3 0.0%