Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.6 186
Results Rating -3.1 217
Pace 69.2 161
Improvement +6.8 10

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 128 C+ C+ D+ C C
Defense D+ 269 D+ D C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 136 C- 56% 217 +0.1 171
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 102 C+ 39% 130 +1.1 118
Three Pointers 37% 254 B 37% 45 +0.0 178
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 208 C+ +1.3 120
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 138
Second Chance C 30.5% 178 B- 1.11 69 C+ 0.34 113
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 289
Freethrows C 0.30 197 B- 74% 123 C 0.22 163
Total Offense C+ +1.5 128

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 134 C 11.0% 181
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 170 C+ 4.8% 174
Three Pointers D- 75% 338 B- 0.5% 92
Total C- 53% 234 C 5.7% 199

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 54 C- 60% 220 +3.7 302
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 301 F 46% 353 -0.1 180
Three Pointers 40% 225 C 34% 207 -0.5 156
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 324 D+ +2.1 258
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 276
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 272 D 1.13 316 D 0.37 315
Turnovers C- 16.2% 217
Freethrows D+ 0.33 255 D- 76% 348 D+ 0.25 293
Total Defense D+ -3.1 269

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 172 D+ 8.9% 257
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 205 C- 4.5% 197
Three Pointers C 85% 195 C+ 1.2% 105
Total C 55% 176 C- 5.1% 208

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 187 17.1 155
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 299 0.20 261
Improvement +2.4 #87 +4.3 #20

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 214 186 159
Results Rating Rank 240 212 173
Conference Record 10 - 8 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 14% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 3% 5% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four8% 7% 9%
First Round10% 12% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 125 - 17
Quad 48 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 37 @UCLA L 74 - 80 5% -7  11% 0 - 1 B +11 B- +5 A+ D D- B+ +6 C B D
 Wed, Nov 5 148 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 31% -1  34% 0 - 2 C- -4 F -10 C- F D- B+ +6 B+ F C
 Sat, Nov 8 66 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 11% -1  27% 0 - 3 B- +7 A+ +15 A+ D B+ F+ -8 D C D
 Wed, Nov 12 122 @Seattle L 67 - 94 24% -15  1% 0 - 4 F -21 C- -2 B- D- C F -18 F F A-
 Sun, Nov 23 183 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 38% -20  0% 0 - 5 F -25 F -11 F+ B- F F -14 F B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 137 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 28% -2  26% 0 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 D+ D+ B C- -3 B- D- C-
 Wed, Dec 3 228 @Denver L 89 - 93 47% -0  47% 0 - 7 C- -5 B+ +8 A+ C F F -13 F A D
 Sat, Dec 6 360 UMKC W 90 - 66 94% +15  90% 1 - 7 C+ +4 C +1 F+ A+ D+ C+ +1 C- F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 138 California Baptist L 83 - 88 50% -5  19% 1 - 8 D+ -7 B+ +9 B+ A C- F -16 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 126 Washington St. L 63 - 78 34% -12  0% 1 - 9 D- -12 F -15 F+ F D B- +2 D C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 99 @Utah L 77 - 101 18% -11  1% 1 - 10 F+ -16 B- +4 D+ C C+ F -19 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 20 @BYU L 81 - 109 3% -10  6% 1 - 11 D+ -7 B+ +8 B A+ D+ F -13 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 187 @Idaho L 81 - 84 39% -2  29% 1 - 12 0 - 1 C -2 B +7 D- A+ F F+ -9 F+ F B
 Thu, Jan 8 164 Montana St. L 64 - 68 56% +0  54% 1 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 F D C+ C -0 D+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 194 Montana W 66 - 65 63% -2  22% 2 - 13 1 - 2 C- -4 D+ -4 C C- B- C +0 B D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 211 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 43% -1  53% 2 - 14 1 - 3 D -11 D+ -3 D A F+ D- -7 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 252 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 51% +15  98% 3 - 14 2 - 3 A- +16 B+ +8 A F D- A +9 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 150 Portland St. L 61 - 65 54% -5  0% 3 - 15 2 - 4 D+ -7 F+ -9 D C C- B- +2 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 24 276 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 77% +7  94% 4 - 15 3 - 4 C -1 C- -1 F+ A+ B- C+ +0 C+ D+ B+
 Thu, Jan 29 304 @Northern Arizona L 86 - 92 65% -12  0% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D- -11 A +12 C A- D F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 168 @Northern Colorado L 71 - 74 34% +1  51% 4 - 17 3 - 6 C -0 C- -2 C B- F C+ +1 B B F
 Thu, Feb 5 194 @Montana W 82 - 74 40% -0  41% 5 - 17 4 - 6 B +9 B +7 A- C D- C+ +2 D B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 164 @Montana St. W 72 - 71 34% +2  70% 6 - 17 5 - 6 C+ +4 B- +4 C- A+ C- C -0 C- A F
 Thu, Feb 12 252 Idaho St. W 88 - 75 73% +7  72% 7 - 17 6 - 6 B- +5 A +11 B+ C- A+ D -6 B- F B
 Sat, Feb 14 211 Weber St. W 84 - 66 66% +20  98% 8 - 17 7 - 6 B+ +12 B- +5 A+ F+ D- A- +8 A- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 276 @Sacramento St. W 102 - 94 57% +13  99% 9 - 17 8 - 6 C+ +5 A+ +19 A+ A+ C F -15 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 150 @Portland St. W 67 - 55 32% +2  62% 10 - 17 9 - 6 A- +15 C +1 D- A C A+ +15 A+ A F
 Thu, Feb 26 168 Northern Colorado W 80 - 78 57%
 Sat, Feb 28 304 Northern Arizona W 81 - 71 82%
 Mon, Mar 2 187 Idaho W 78 - 75 61%
Totals 12 - 18 11 - 7 -2 C+ +1 B C+ C D+ -3 B B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C+ B C+ 40% 45% 37% C C+ C B- C+ D+ C B- C D+ C- F C D+ 44% 17% 40% D D+ D+ D D C- D+ D- D+
1.11 56% 39% 37% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 18% .30 74% .22 1.13 60% 46% 34% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .37 16% .33 76% .23
Nov
3		 UCLA B- A+ B D+ A+ 38% 15% 48% B+ A+ F+ B- D D- D+ F D- B+ C- F C+ C 33% 28% 40% C C C A- B D A+ A+ A+
1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16 1.13 63% 50% 35% +5 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10
Nov
5		 Loyola Marymount F B- C- F C 40% 36% 23% D C- F F F D- A+ F+ A B+ B+ D- A- A 36% 19% 45% D- B+ C F F C F A- D-
0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30 0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23
Nov
8		 Colorado A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 28% C A+ F B+ D B+ C- C+ C F+ A- F F D+ 52% 13% 36% F D C+ C- C D F A- F
1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21 1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39
Nov
12		 Seattle C- D+ A C+ B 42% 23% 35% C B- F+ D+ D- C C- F+ D+ F F F F F 50% 13% 37% F+ F B F F A- A- C B+
0.91 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 65% .19 1.28 69% 71% 53% +20 +2 1.46 21% 1.8 .38 22% .23 69% .16
Nov
23		 Central Arkansas F F F C- F 27% 10% 63% C F+ A- F+ B- F C- D+ C- F D A+ F F 43% 4% 53% F F D+ A+ B- C+ B B+ B
0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18 1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15
Nov
25		 North Texas C- C- D- D D+ 40% 26% 34% C- D+ B- F D+ B D A C C- D+ D+ A+ B- 42% 17% 42% C+ B- B- F D- C- F B F
0.97 55% 31% 29% -5 -1 0.90 36% 0.8 .28 21% .33 79% .26 1.08 60% 38% 20% -8 +1 0.88 32% 1.3 .41 16% .49 67% .33
Dec
3		 Denver B+ A+ A A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% F A+ D+ A- C F C+ B B- F D B F F 38% 23% 38% D- F D+ A+ A D F F F
1.28 82% 47% 50% +19 -2 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 17% .33 74% .24 1.34 61% 36% 61% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.7 .23 12% .54 85% .46
Dec
6		 UMKC C D+ C+ F F 43% 9% 47% B F+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ C+ D C+ A+ C- 48% 29% 23% D+ C- D+ F F A+ F B+ F
1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31 0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24
Dec
12		 California Baptist B+ D- A- A+ B+ 56% 21% 23% B B+ A- A+ A C- A+ F+ A F F+ F B F 53% 18% 29% D F F D- F A- F F F
1.18 48% 45% 50% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 16% .45 67% .30 1.25 63% 75% 31% +8 +1 1.20 54% 1.0 .54 21% .50 82% .41
Dec
17		 Washington St. F C- C F F 43% 19% 38% B F+ D+ F F D C+ F+ C- B- F+ F D+ D 42% 12% 46% D- D F A C+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20 1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09
Dec
20		 Utah B- C F C D+ 35% 25% 40% D D+ A+ F C C+ B+ C B F F D F F 46% 13% 40% D- F A F F D+ B- B B
1.09 57% 27% 33% -4 -1 0.93 41% 0.7 .30 14% .31 68% .21 1.43 83% 43% 52% +23 +1 1.52 24% 2.0 .48 14% .28 71% .20
Dec
22		 BYU B+ A- A+ D- A- 11% 40% 49% F B B- A+ A+ D+ D B+ C- F F B- D D- 25% 13% 62% D+ D- F+ F F D+ B- F C-
1.08 67% 52% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 1.5 .45 19% .20 75% .15 1.45 93% 38% 38% +12 0 1.27 43% 1.4 .60 12% .30 85% .26
Jan
3		 Idaho B D F+ C+ D 32% 36% 32% D- D- A+ D- A+ F A+ F+ A- F+ A+ F F+ F 31% 13% 56% C F+ F F F B F C F
1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31 1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37
Jan
8		 Montana St. D- F A F F 48% 20% 32% C+ F B F D C+ B A+ A+ C C- D D D+ 31% 28% 41% C+ D+ F A D A+ F F+ F
0.99 38% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.7 .26 15% .31 94% .29 1.05 58% 45% 38% +4 -2 1.08 41% 0.8 .33 26% .44 81% .36
Jan
10		 Montana D+ F A+ A C 42% 23% 35% C+ C F A+ C- B- F A+ F C D A A+ A- 61% 15% 24% F B F A- D+ D+ D- F+ F
1.04 45% 50% 39% 0 0 1.02 17% 1.6 .28 14% .13 100% .13 1.02 64% 29% 18% -3 +2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .35 83% .29
Jan
15		 Weber St. D+ D- C+ C D 45% 31% 24% D- D C- A+ A F+ A+ A A+ D- A F F D 56% 10% 34% F D F+ F F C+ F F F
1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37 1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39
Jan
17		 Idaho St. B+ F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% F A D- F F D- A+ B+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% D+ A+ C- F F+ F D F F
1.24 50% 50% 67% +15 -2 1.29 24% 0.3 .08 18% .61 82% .50 0.98 42% 67% 19% -13 +1 0.78 33% 1.3 .42 12% .35 90% .32
Jan
22		 Portland St. F+ F+ D- C- D 42% 29% 29% D D D A+ C C- B+ C- B B- C- A+ A+ A 56% 19% 25% D B+ B- F F C A- F C+
0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20
Jan
24		 Sacramento St. C- C F F+ F 44% 14% 42% C F+ C A+ A+ B- C A+ B+ C+ C A+ B- B 41% 18% 41% F C+ A F D+ B+ F F F
1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27 1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45
Jan
29		 Northern Arizona A D- F A+ C- 51% 10% 39% B+ C A+ D A- D A+ B+ A+ F A- F F F 55% 8% 37% F F D+ F F F F F F
1.33 52% 20% 47% +3 +2 1.12 49% 1.0 .49 19% .53 79% .42 1.42 48% 50% 56% +7 +3 1.22 27% 2.0 .54 8% .47 93% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Northern Colorado C- D D- A- C 52% 17% 31% B- C D A+ B- F F A+ F C+ C- F A+ B+ 38% 9% 54% D- B D A+ B F A- F B
1.05 52% 33% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 18% .18 90% .16 1.10 62% 60% 27% -2 +1 1.00 31% 0.8 .24 6% .17 82% .14
Feb
5		 Montana B D+ A+ A+ A 33% 24% 43% D+ A- C C C D- A+ F A- C+ C- F D+ D- 38% 21% 40% B- D D A+ B- A- C- C C-
1.16 56% 50% 43% +8 -1 1.16 29% 1.0 .29 18% .42 63% .26 1.05 61% 60% 37% +8 0 1.17 27% 0.8 .20 24% .32 76% .24
Feb
7		 Montana St. B- F+ D+ A+ C- 54% 22% 24% C+ C- B+ A+ A+ C- F+ B+ D C A F D- C 36% 18% 46% F+ C- A- A- A F F+ B D
1.11 48% 36% 42% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 17% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 56% 39% +2 0 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 8% .33 70% .23
Feb
12		 Idaho St. A A+ C+ C- A- 45% 18% 37% C+ B+ F+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ A+ B- 39% 15% 46% C B- F D+ F B F D- F
1.34 77% 44% 33% +9 +1 1.22 22% 1.4 .30 9% .43 92% .40 1.14 69% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.1 .48 20% .57 80% .45
Feb
14		 Weber St. B- A D A A 62% 6% 32% A+ A+ F B+ F+ D- B+ A A A- B F A+ A- 48% 21% 31% B- A- A A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.22 72% 33% 40% +11 +4 1.32 17% 1.3 .22 19% .38 81% .31 0.96 52% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.3 .06 15% .44 81% .36
Feb
19		 Sacramento St. A+ A- A- A+ A+ 43% 8% 49% B- A+ A A+ A+ C A+ F B F F F A F 44% 27% 29% D F F+ F F F F B F
1.40 68% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.4 .62 16% .44 59% .26 1.29 70% 57% 27% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.4 .45 10% .47 74% .35
Feb
21		 Portland St. C D B- F D 38% 32% 30% F+ D- C- A+ A C B B- B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 18% 31% D+ A+ A A- A F B F C-
1.01 50% 40% 21% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.6 .42 18% .41 77% .31 0.83 38% 11% 25% -19 +1 0.67 23% 0.8 .19 12% .26 87% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 2.9 2.9 1st
2nd 2.6 29.4 26.7 58.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 10.9 15.2 26.1 3rd
4th 0.4 7.6 8.1 4th
5th 1.5 1.0 2.5 5th
6th 1.4 1.4 6th
7th 0.3 0.3 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 3.6 22.1 44.6 29.6 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 9.9% 2.9    1.3 1.6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.3 1.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 29.6% 15.5% 15.5% 15.7 1.5 3.1 25.0
11-7 44.6% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.0 5.2 39.4
10-8 22.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1 20.0
9-9 3.6% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.3 3.4
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 15.9 87.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 15.7 32.8 67.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.7%
Lose Out 1.8%