Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#327
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#305
Pace65.5#249
Improvement+2.4#92

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#320
First Shot-5.5#317
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#202
Layup/Dunks-4.9#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
Freethrows-3.0#338
Improvement-3.6#330

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#307
First Shot-3.9#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#230
Layups/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#173
Freethrows-0.8#246
Improvement+6.0#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 410 - 1411 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 151   @ Rhode Island L 58-96 11%     0 - 1 -34.7 -18.4 -13.6
  Nov 09, 2024 83   @ Georgetown L 57-69 5%     0 - 2 -2.7 -8.4 +5.5
  Nov 12, 2024 353   @ New Hampshire W 62-56 53%     1 - 2 -4.8 -10.5 +6.1
  Nov 19, 2024 181   Drexel L 61-67 28%     1 - 3 -10.1 -6.5 -4.2
  Nov 23, 2024 78   Yale L 66-91 6%     1 - 4 -17.6 +5.2 -26.7
  Nov 24, 2024 229   Vermont W 67-66 27%     2 - 4 -2.6 +2.9 -5.5
  Dec 01, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-74 57%     3 - 4 -7.9 +1.7 -9.6
  Dec 04, 2024 303   Rider W 78-75 53%     4 - 4 1 - 0 -8.0 +3.1 -10.8
  Dec 08, 2024 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 94-101 24%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -9.6 +20.0 -29.5
  Dec 18, 2024 203   Central Connecticut St. L 63-64 32%     4 - 6 -6.2 -2.0 -4.3
  Dec 21, 2024 249   @ Monmouth L 74-88 22%     4 - 7 -16.0 -0.5 -15.5
  Dec 28, 2024 290   @ Columbia L 72-85 30%     4 - 8 -17.8 +0.1 -19.1
  Jan 03, 2025 191   @ Merrimack L 54-67 15%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -11.9 -6.2 -7.6
  Jan 10, 2025 256   Iona W 68-64 41%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -3.9 -4.7 +0.9
  Jan 12, 2025 266   @ Marist L 51-61 25%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -13.1 -10.8 -4.2
  Jan 16, 2025 311   Niagara W 70-66 56%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -7.8 -1.9 -5.4
  Jan 18, 2025 356   Canisius L 67-78 76%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -28.4 -10.5 -18.8
  Jan 23, 2025 235   @ Manhattan W 87-84 OT 20%     7 - 11 4 - 4 +1.7 +6.6 -4.9
  Jan 25, 2025 191   Merrimack L 54-75 29%     7 - 12 4 - 5 -25.4 -12.8 -14.2
  Jan 31, 2025 199   @ Quinnipiac L 69-81 16%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -11.4 -3.9 -7.0
  Feb 02, 2025 256   @ Iona L 64-87 23%     7 - 14 4 - 7 -25.4 -3.4 -23.2
  Feb 06, 2025 266   Marist W 59-56 44%     8 - 14 5 - 7 -5.6 -4.0 -1.1
  Feb 08, 2025 261   Sacred Heart L 71-77 42%     8 - 15 5 - 8 -14.2 -6.1 -8.2
  Feb 14, 2025 287   @ St. Peter's L 52-65 29%     8 - 16 5 - 9 -17.5 -15.6 -2.8
  Feb 16, 2025 235   Manhattan L 67-80 37%     8 - 17 5 - 10 -19.8 -7.6 -13.1
  Feb 21, 2025 303   @ Rider W 69-49 32%     9 - 17 6 - 10 +14.5 +0.4 +16.5
  Feb 28, 2025 259   Mount St. Mary's W 69-62 42%     10 - 17 7 - 10 -1.1 +0.1 -0.6
  Mar 02, 2025 261   @ Sacred Heart L 62-83 24%     10 - 18 7 - 11 -23.7 -13.0 -10.8
  Mar 06, 2025 255   @ Siena L 64-68 23%     10 - 19 7 - 12 -6.3 -7.0 +0.5
  Mar 08, 2025 199   Quinnipiac W 83-74 31%     11 - 19 8 - 12 +4.1 +1.9 +1.3
  Mar 11, 2025 261   Sacred Heart L 58-71 32%     11 - 20 -18.5 -21.5 +3.7
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%