Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#339
Expected Predictive Rating-16.9#357
Pace63.0#316
Improvement-6.4#354

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#352
First Shot-6.3#338
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#281
Layup/Dunks-2.2#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#303
Freethrows-1.2#267
Improvement-4.5#350

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#285
First Shot-4.0#298
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks-1.8#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#233
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement-1.9#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.5% 33.2% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.4% 2.6% 0.9%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Away) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 137 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 64-66 1%     0 - 1 +15.1 -0.1 +15.2
  Nov 11, 2024 4   @ Florida L 62-86 0.5%    0 - 2 -1.6 -3.6 +3.0
  Nov 21, 2024 40   @ New Mexico L 58-80 2%     0 - 3 -7.6 -12.8 +7.7
  Nov 24, 2024 54   @ USC L 69-80 2%     0 - 4 +1.4 +4.5 -3.5
  Nov 26, 2024 276   @ Cal Poly L 79-82 23%     0 - 5 -6.9 +2.8 -9.8
  Dec 07, 2024 217   @ Pepperdine L 57-85 15%     0 - 6 -28.7 -15.5 -13.2
  Dec 16, 2024 228   SE Louisiana L 65-75 30%     0 - 7 -16.2 -3.4 -13.7
  Dec 19, 2024 314   Delaware St. L 60-73 39%     0 - 8 -21.8 -10.5 -12.6
  Dec 20, 2024 185   Norfolk St. L 70-76 17%     0 - 9 -7.3 +2.8 -10.7
  Dec 22, 2024 59   @ Cincinnati L 49-84 2%     0 - 10 -22.8 -8.6 -18.3
  Jan 04, 2025 348   @ Prairie View L 55-73 43%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -27.9 -20.2 -8.7
  Jan 06, 2025 274   @ Texas Southern L 66-71 OT 23%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -8.8 -13.8 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2025 279   Bethune-Cookman L 59-65 40%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -15.0 -14.2 -0.9
  Jan 13, 2025 340   Florida A&M W 79-72 60%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -7.1 +7.2 -13.7
  Jan 18, 2025 224   @ Southern L 60-67 16%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -8.0 -7.8 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 65-54 85%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -11.6 -5.2 -4.4
  Jan 27, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-77 67%     3 - 14 3 - 4 -12.3 -0.9 -11.4
  Feb 01, 2025 284   Jackson St. L 50-65 41%     3 - 15 3 - 5 -24.2 -19.3 -6.7
  Feb 03, 2025 320   Alcorn St. L 53-60 51%     3 - 16 3 - 6 -18.9 -16.9 -3.0
  Feb 08, 2025 308   @ Alabama St. L 65-71 27%    
  Feb 10, 2025 360   @ Alabama A&M W 70-69 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 274   Texas Southern L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 17, 2025 348   Prairie View W 73-70 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 224   Southern L 62-68 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 340   @ Florida A&M L 67-69 39%    
  Mar 03, 2025 279   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-70 23%    
  Mar 06, 2025 360   Alabama A&M W 72-67 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 308   Alabama St. L 67-68 50%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.5 2.6 5th
6th 1.2 4.1 1.8 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 9.4 5.5 0.5 18.0 7th
8th 0.1 3.6 12.8 7.6 0.9 25.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 11.0 7.6 1.0 0.0 22.3 9th
10th 0.6 4.6 9.8 6.9 1.0 0.0 23.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.8 5.2 12.7 21.6 24.0 19.2 11.1 4.1 1.2 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.2% 0.0 0.2
11-7 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.1 1.1
10-8 4.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.2 3.9
9-9 11.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 10.7
8-10 19.2% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 18.7
7-11 24.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 24.0
6-12 21.6% 21.6
5-13 12.7% 12.7
4-14 5.2% 5.2
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 1.4 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%