IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.3	#310
Expected Predictive Rating	-16.4	#354

Pace	64.0	#306
Improvement	-6.0	#361

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#297

First Shot	-3.4	#276
After Offensive Rebound	-1.0	#254

Layup/Dunks	-1.0	#219
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#87
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.5	#285
Freethrows	-0.5	#219

Improvement	-0.5	#216

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#292

First Shot	-4.1	#309
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.2	#169

Layups/Dunks	-1.9	#257
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.6	#134
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.7	#222
Freethrows	-2.0	#318

Improvement	-5.5	#364

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.2%	11.2%	7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	10.5%	16.3%	4.7%
.500 or above in Conference	73.7%	84.1%	63.3%
Conference Champion	10.1%	15.1%	5.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.8%	0.2%	1.3%

First Four	8.6%	10.3%	6.9%
First Round	4.8%	6.1%	3.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Away) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 11	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	28	@ Mississippi	L	64-66	2%	0 - 1			+14.5	-2.2	+16.7
Nov 11, 2024	7	@ Florida	L	62-86	1%	0 - 2			-1.8	-4.0	+3.3
Nov 21, 2024	64	@ New Mexico	L	58-80	5%	0 - 3			-10.7	-16.7	+8.5
Nov 24, 2024	71	@ USC	L	69-80	5%	0 - 4			-0.2	+4.9	-5.6
Nov 26, 2024	271	@ Cal Poly	L	79-82	30%	0 - 5			-5.9	+3.4	-9.3
Dec 07, 2024	204	@ Pepperdine	L	57-85	19%	0 - 6			-26.9	-14.7	-12.3
Dec 16, 2024	225	SE Louisiana	L	65-75	43%	0 - 7			-16.5	-1.6	-15.8
Dec 19, 2024	327	Delaware St.	L	60-73	54%	0 - 8			-22.4	-10.8	-12.9
Dec 20, 2024	184	Norfolk St.	L	70-76	25%	0 - 9			-7.2	+3.0	-10.8
Dec 22, 2024	26	@ Cincinnati	L	49-84	2%	0 - 10			-18.0	-7.8	-14.1
Jan 04, 2025	340	@ Prairie View	W	76-75	50%
Jan 06, 2025	299	@ Texas Southern	L	68-72	36%
Jan 11, 2025	263	Bethune-Cookman	W	69-68	50%
Jan 13, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	71-63	78%
Jan 18, 2025	240	@ Southern	L	65-72	26%
Jan 25, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	70-59	85%
Jan 27, 2025	363	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-74	71%
Feb 01, 2025	309	Jackson St.	W	68-65	60%
Feb 03, 2025	337	Alcorn St.	W	72-66	70%
Feb 08, 2025	291	@ Alabama St.	L	70-74	35%
Feb 10, 2025	360	@ Alabama A&M	W	74-71	61%
Feb 15, 2025	299	Texas Southern	W	71-69	58%
Feb 17, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	79-73	70%
Feb 22, 2025	240	Southern	L	68-69	47%
Mar 01, 2025	357	@ Florida A&M	W	68-66	58%
Mar 03, 2025	263	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-72	30%
Mar 06, 2025	360	Alabama A&M	W	77-68	79%
Mar 08, 2025	291	Alabama St.	W	73-71	56%
Projected Record						10 - 18	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	2.1	3.4	2.6	1.3	0.4	0.0		10.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	3.3	4.8	2.3	0.4	0.0				11.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.4	5.6	2.2	0.3	0.0					11.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.8	6.1	2.6	0.3							12.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	2.0	6.2	3.5	0.4	0.0							12.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.4	5.3	4.3	0.6	0.0								11.6	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	4.2	4.3	0.8	0.0									10.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.7	3.0	3.7	1.0	0.0										8.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	2.1	2.7	0.9	0.0											6.3	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.4	0.6	0.0												3.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0													1.7	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.3	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.4	4.4	7.4	10.4	12.9	14.5	14.1	12.3	9.3	5.9	3.0	1.3	0.4	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-2	97.6%	1.3		1.2	0.1
15-3	85.2%	2.6		1.9	0.6	0.0
14-4	56.4%	3.4		1.5	1.4	0.4	0.0
13-5	22.1%	2.1		0.4	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.1%	10.1		5.5	3.1	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.4%		32.8%	32.8%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2
16-2	1.3%		31.2%	31.2%		15.9																0.0	0.4	0.9
15-3	3.0%		27.0%	27.0%		16.0																0.0	0.8	2.2
14-4	5.9%		21.1%	21.1%		16.0																0.0	1.3	4.7
13-5	9.3%		16.2%	16.2%		16.0																	1.5	7.8
12-6	12.3%		12.9%	12.9%		16.0																	1.6	10.7
11-7	14.1%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0																	1.4	12.7
10-8	14.5%		7.5%	7.5%		16.0																	1.1	13.4
9-9	12.9%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																	0.6	12.2
8-10	10.4%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.3	10.1
7-11	7.4%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
6-12	4.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
5-13	2.4%																							2.4
4-14	1.1%																							1.1
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.2%	9.2%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	9.0	90.8		0.0%