Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.9 296
Results Rating -8.6 307
Pace 67.2 224
Improvement -4.0 328

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 346 D D+ F+ B- C
Defense C 175 D+ D+ B D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 150 D+ 55% 255 -0.7 211
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 112 D- 31% 351 -1.1 238
Three Pointers 39% 229 D 31% 294 -2.8 278
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 199 D -4.4 318
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 317
Second Chance D+ 27.9% 251 D+ 0.98 260 D+ 0.27 262
Turnovers F+ 20.8% 354
Freethrows B- 0.33 111 C+ 73% 167 B- 0.24 114
Total Offense D- -7.8 346

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 185 F 16.8% 361
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 254 D- 8.3% 334
Three Pointers F+ 73% 349 C 0.8% 164
Total D+ 51% 282 F 8.8% 364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 81 D+ 61% 259 +3.7 304
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 320 B 35% 64 -2.3 22
Three Pointers 41% 164 C- 35% 229 +0.9 226
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 332 C- +1.3 232
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 250
Second Chance D+ 33.1% 292 C- 1.07 244 D+ 0.35 288
Turnovers B 19.3% 46
Freethrows D 0.35 301 C- 73% 247 D 0.25 303
Total Defense C -0.1 175

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 331 D 7.1% 323
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 260 D+ 3.4% 272
Three Pointers C+ 81% 106 B- 1.5% 68
Total D+ 61% 303 D+ 4.2% 299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 191 17.3 185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 131 0.21 310
Improvement -5.9 #360 +1.9 #79

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 316 297 269
Results Rating Rank 326 305 261
Conference Record 6 - 12 8 - 10 10 - 8
Conference Finish 11 8 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 6% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6% 6% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 32% 33% 5%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four5% 6% 2%
First Round3% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 95.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 411 - 1212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 8 @Iowa St. L 62 - 102 1% -16  1% 0 - 1 F+ -16 D -5 C D- D- F+ -9 D+ D+ B-
 Sun, Nov 9 202 @Howard W 73 - 70 21% +1  52% 1 - 1 C+ +4 B +7 B A F C- -3 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 241 Southern Miss W 75 - 70 48% +6  84% 2 - 1 C- -2 C- -2 A D F C -1 A+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 226 @San Diego L 68 - 78 25% -7  1% 2 - 2 D -11 F -13 F C- D+ B- +2 B- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 138 @California Baptist L 59 - 72 13% -13  1% 2 - 3 D -9 D- -6 C F F D+ -3 F C+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 283 @UC Riverside L 74 - 83 35% +1  53% 2 - 4 D- -13 C- -1 F+ C A- F -12 F D C+
 Tue, Dec 2 162 @Tulane L 63 - 65 16% -0  32% 2 - 5 C +1 C- -2 D+ B+ F B- +3 B+ D+ D-
 Mon, Dec 8 241 @Southern Miss L 60 - 68 27% +1  64% 2 - 6 D -9 F -13 D F F B- +3 D- C A+
 Thu, Dec 18 302 Norfolk St. W 80 - 68 52% +14  99% 3 - 6 C+ +4 D+ -3 C+ F A B+ +6 A- D+ D+
 Fri, Dec 19 259 Hampton W 81 - 72 41% +7  95% 4 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +9 B A+ F D -5 F A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 36 @Ohio St. L 63 - 89 2% -13  1% 4 - 7 D -9 D+ -3 D- B F D- -6 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 331 Prairie View W 76 - 72 73% +4  92% 5 - 7 1 - 0 D -10 F -11 C- D F C+ +0 C+ D- A+
 Mon, Jan 5 305 Texas Southern W 84 - 67 64% +9  87% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B- +5 C+ +3 B+ A- D+ B- +2 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 240 @Bethune-Cookman L 65 - 74 26% -8  11% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D -10 F -14 D+ F F B +4 B- F A
 Mon, Jan 12 328 @Florida A&M L 84 - 91 49% -3  24% 6 - 9 2 - 2 F+ -15 B- +5 C- B+ B- F -19 F F B
 Sat, Jan 17 258 Southern L 53 - 71 53% -11  0% 6 - 10 2 - 3 F -27 F -26 F C F C -1 D- A B-
 Sat, Jan 31 337 @Jackson St. W 69 - 66 54% +3  73% 7 - 10 3 - 3 D+ -6 D- -7 D+ F D- C+ +2 C C C-
 Mon, Feb 2 345 @Alcorn St. W 74 - 50 56% +13  96% 8 - 10 4 - 3 B+ +14 C+ +2 D+ B D A+ +15 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64 - 67 72% -4  4% 8 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -17 F -17 F D D C -0 B F C+
 Sat, Feb 7 312 Alabama St. W 57 - 47 66% +3  62% 9 - 11 5 - 4 C- -2 F -16 F F C- A+ +15 A+ B+ C-
 Mon, Feb 9 310 Alabama A&M L 58 - 66 65% -10  0% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F -20 F -20 F C- D C -0 D+ C A-
 Sat, Feb 14 305 @Texas Southern L 79 - 82 41% -2  29% 9 - 13 5 - 6 D -9 C +1 B- F D- F+ -9 F F A-
 Mon, Feb 16 331 @Prairie View L 63 - 68 51% -3  29% 9 - 14 5 - 7 D- -13 F -16 F A F B- +3 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 258 @Southern L 73 - 87 30% -17  1% 9 - 15 5 - 8 F+ -17 D- -8 F A- D+ F+ -8 F D A+
 Mon, Feb 23 365 Mississippi Valley W 76 - 58 96%
 Thu, Feb 26 240 Bethune-Cookman L 69 - 70 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 328 Florida A&M W 71 - 65 71%
 Tue, Mar 3 310 @Alabama A&M L 66 - 68 42%
 Thu, Mar 5 312 @Alabama St. L 68 - 70 44%
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -8 D- -8 C+ D C C +0 D C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ D- D D 39% 44% 39% C D D+ D+ D+ F+ B- C+ B- C D+ B C- C- 43% 16% 41% D D+ D+ C- D+ B D C- D
0.98 55% 31% 31% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.0 .27 21% .33 73% .24 1.09 61% 35% 35% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .35 19% .35 73% .24
Nov
6		 Iowa St. D C D+ D+ C 42% 36% 22% C- C F B+ D- D- A+ C A+ F+ C F F D+ 42% 9% 49% F+ D+ F+ B- D+ B- F B+ F
0.83 58% 31% 30% -4 -2 0.91 16% 1.2 .19 25% .41 70% .29 1.36 64% 60% 42% +10 +2 1.26 44% 1.1 .47 16% .46 62% .29
Nov
9		 Howard B C- F A+ B 48% 10% 43% B B B A+ A F A- D+ B C- B- F F F 50% 18% 33% D+ F F D- F A+ C- F+ D
1.13 55% 0% 44% +2 +2 1.10 37% 1.4 .52 26% .40 68% .27 1.08 50% 57% 54% +9 +1 1.23 43% 1.2 .52 29% .35 81% .28
Nov
13		 Southern Miss C- B- A+ A A- 54% 6% 40% A+ A D- C D F D A- C- C A+ A- A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A+ F F F D- F A+ D
1.08 62% 67% 42% +8 +3 1.25 21% 1.0 .21 24% .30 75% .23 1.00 43% 29% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.2 .54 16% .49 62% .31
Nov
18		 San Diego F F+ F+ F F 45% 32% 23% D- F B F C- D+ A+ F A- B- F A+ C+ B- 22% 18% 60% C+ B- C- A+ A+ A- F F F
0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31 1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53
Nov
21		 California Baptist D- B+ B F C- 40% 18% 43% B- C F+ F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F+ F 61% 7% 32% F F B- C C+ A+ F+ C+ D-
0.91 63% 43% 24% -4 +1 0.95 17% 0.0 .00 22% .46 91% .42 1.12 68% 67% 38% +10 +3 1.29 35% 0.9 .30 28% .37 71% .26
Nov
24		 UC Riverside C- F A+ D+ F+ 41% 27% 33% D F+ F+ A+ C A- A+ C A+ F F B F F 50% 20% 30% D F B F D C+ F D F
1.07 40% 54% 31% -5 -1 0.92 23% 1.3 .29 12% .54 70% .38 1.20 73% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.27 24% 1.2 .28 20% .56 77% .43
Dec
2		 Tulane C- A+ B F D+ 26% 17% 57% C- D+ C- A+ B+ F A+ C A B- B A+ C B+ 38% 22% 40% C+ B+ F A D+ D- C- C+ C-
1.02 73% 43% 25% -3 0 0.95 32% 1.3 .43 24% .43 70% .30 1.05 53% 20% 33% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 11% .38 76% .29
Dec
8		 Southern Miss F D- F A+ D 49% 22% 29% C+ D A+ F F F A+ F A B- F D A+ D 45% 26% 30% D- D- D B+ C A+ A D A-
0.87 50% 0% 58% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.4 .16 31% .52 60% .31 0.99 76% 42% 14% 0 0 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 25% .27 79% .21
Dec
18		 Norfolk St. D+ A F A B- 41% 19% 41% D+ C+ F C- F A D A- C- B+ C- A+ A+ A 46% 26% 28% D+ A- D C D+ D+ F+ A+ B+
1.08 73% 10% 41% +5 0 1.13 7% 1.0 .07 12% .34 77% .26 0.92 57% 23% 21% -10 0 0.82 34% 1.0 .34 18% .41 44% .18
Dec
19		 Hampton B+ A- A+ F B- 61% 15% 24% A B A- A+ A+ F A+ A A+ D F B F F 39% 28% 33% C- F F A+ A+ A- F F+ F
1.22 72% 50% 20% +5 +2 1.17 36% 1.3 .48 23% .58 77% .45 1.08 72% 31% 40% +6 -1 1.13 42% 0.4 .16 23% .45 78% .35
Dec
23		 Ohio St. D+ F B- F F+ 33% 26% 41% B- D- B B B F A+ C+ A+ D- F F D F 44% 20% 36% F+ F F A+ A+ A+ F F+ F
0.94 40% 42% 26% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.1 .36 22% .44 74% .33 1.33 85% 78% 38% +22 +1 1.47 43% 0.6 .24 21% .47 84% .40
Jan
3		 Prairie View F A F A+ C+ 33% 37% 30% F C- D+ D D F A+ F A+ C+ B A D C+ 33% 31% 35% C C+ F B+ D- A+ F D+ F
1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42 0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37
Jan
5		 Texas Southern C+ A F A+ A- 25% 18% 57% D- B+ A C A- D+ A+ D B+ B- A+ B A- A+ 34% 30% 36% B A D- F F A A- F C
1.20 73% 25% 44% +10 -1 1.20 43% 1.1 .46 17% .47 67% .31 0.96 41% 33% 28% -11 -2 0.78 30% 2.1 .63 23% .22 92% .20
Jan
10		 Bethune-Cookman F A- C+ F D+ 41% 20% 39% D+ D+ D+ F F F B+ B+ A B B- A D+ B- 48% 24% 28% C- B- F+ F+ F A F+ C D-
0.87 65% 40% 21% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.2 .06 24% .39 77% .30 0.99 54% 25% 36% -4 0 0.94 33% 1.2 .38 23% .38 68% .26
Jan
12		 Florida A&M B- C D- B- C- 50% 18% 32% B- C- D+ A+ B+ B- A A A+ F F F C F 28% 21% 51% C F F F F B F F F
1.16 60% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.4 .40 17% .43 85% .36 1.26 77% 70% 33% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.3 .48 23% .47 81% .38
Jan
17		 Southern F F D F F 53% 9% 38% A+ F B- D C F A+ F+ A+ C B+ D F+ D+ 46% 10% 44% F D- C+ A+ A B- F+ A+ C-
0.76 28% 33% 23% -23 +3 0.62 35% 1.0 .35 33% .68 69% .47 1.02 50% 40% 38% -1 +2 1.04 28% 0.6 .17 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Jackson St. D- F F A+ D+ 29% 17% 54% D+ D+ C+ F F D- F D+ F C+ D+ B B+ C 27% 27% 47% C+ C C C C C- F B- F
1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19 1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41
Feb
2		 Alcorn St. C+ C+ F C+ D+ 43% 15% 43% C- D+ C- A+ B D F B- F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% F A+ B D C+ F F A- F+
1.18 65% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.09 36% 1.5 .54 21% .24 75% .18 0.80 43% 0% 25% -18 +1 0.68 22% 1.0 .22 14% .35 63% .22
Feb
4		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F C+ A+ F F 40% 19% 40% C- F C+ F D D F D+ F C C+ A B+ B+ 39% 24% 37% C- B C- F F C+ F B- D-
0.95 62% 50% 10% -11 0 0.81 37% 0.9 .34 18% .27 73% .20 0.99 56% 27% 29% -6 0 0.89 26% 1.4 .38 19% .38 71% .27
Feb
7		 Alabama St. F F D+ C- F 32% 7% 61% B- F F D F C- C- D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A A+ 44% 15% 41% F A+ D- A+ B+ C- A A+ A+
0.90 43% 33% 33% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.0 .18 19% .35 72% .25 0.74 29% 13% 27% -21 +1 0.63 35% 0.6 .19 17% .19 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Alabama A&M F F+ F F F 40% 11% 49% B- F D- B+ C- D A+ A+ A+ C A- C- D- C 45% 18% 36% F D+ C C C A- F B- F
0.87 50% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.67 26% 1.1 .29 18% .49 89% .44 0.99 45% 38% 38% -4 +1 0.95 25% 1.0 .25 21% .46 71% .32
Feb
14		 Texas Southern C B+ A+ C- B- 37% 10% 53% C+ B- F F F D- B- C- C+ F+ F B F F 46% 13% 41% F F B- F F A- F B F
1.12 68% 60% 33% +5 +1 1.16 23% 0.7 .16 18% .40 70% .28 1.17 71% 33% 47% +14 +2 1.33 23% 1.8 .42 21% .49 67% .33
Feb
16		 Prairie View F F F A+ F 40% 38% 23% F F C+ A+ A F F A+ F B- D+ A A+ A- 42% 38% 21% C B+ D+ F F D+ F D F
0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19 0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38
Feb
21		 Southern D- A F F F 38% 32% 30% D- F C A+ A- D+ A- D+ B+ F+ F B- F F 42% 27% 31% D+ F A+ F D A+ F F F
0.98 72% 20% 21% -6 -1 0.87 32% 1.5 .47 20% .44 73% .32 1.17 79% 33% 43% +12 -1 1.24 13% 2.7 .35 23% .40 83% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.7 0.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.6 2.7 4th
5th 1.7 2.7 4.5 5th
6th 0.2 9.5 0.7 10.4 6th
7th 7.9 12.0 0.0 20.0 7th
8th 0.8 17.2 1.8 19.8 8th
9th 0.0 7.1 9.8 0.0 16.9 9th
10th 0.9 11.7 1.2 13.8 10th
11th 0.3 5.7 5.1 0.0 11.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.3 6.7 24.7 36.4 25.2 6.8 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 6.8% 17.8% 17.8% 15.9 0.1 1.1 5.6
9-9 25.2% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 3.5 21.7
8-10 36.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 1.4 35.0
7-11 24.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.6
6-12 6.7% 6.7
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 16.0 93.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 15.9 11.8 88.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%
Lose Out 0.3%