Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.9 249
Results Rating -3.4 227
Pace 71.7 96
Improvement -5.8 353

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 260 C D C- D- C+
Defense C- 212 C- C- C- B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 288 C- 56% 237 -2.9 282
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 250 C 39% 147 -1.2 243
Three Pointers 48% 46 C 34% 179 +3.5 67
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 175 C -0.7 195
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 187
Second Chance D 24.8% 328 C 1.02 190 D 0.25 309
Turnovers C- 17.5% 222
Freethrows D- 0.25 334 D+ 70% 262 D- 0.18 329
Total Offense D+ -3.6 260

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 236 D- 14.1% 332
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 292 C 5.2% 201
Three Pointers C- 82% 235 C 0.9% 171
Total C 55% 192 C- 6.2% 252

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 137 D+ 61% 266 +2.3 262
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 212 C 38% 170 -0.6 144
Three Pointers 40% 195 C+ 33% 119 -0.9 144
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 222 C +0.5 200
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 204
Second Chance D 34.1% 320 B- 0.97 87 C- 0.33 236
Turnovers C- 16.3% 212
Freethrows B 0.26 57 B- 71% 86 B 0.19 51
Total Defense C- -1.3 212

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 319 D+ 9.0% 252
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 199 D+ 3.4% 268
Three Pointers D- 90% 335 C- 0.8% 178
Total D+ 61% 297 D+ 4.6% 259

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 195 16.5 42
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 191 0.21 307
Improvement -3.0 #319 -2.8 #317

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 273 250 221
Results Rating Rank 250 228 198
Conference Record 9 - 11 10 - 10 11 - 9
Conference Finish 9 7 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 62% 96% 52%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 1%
First Round3% 5% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Away) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 44 - 6
Quad 415 - 819 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 106 Hofstra W 81 - 73 28% +14  99% 1 - 0 B +9 C +0 B C F A- +8 C B+ A-
 Tue, Nov 11 360 @UMKC W 105 - 91 80% +9  89% 2 - 0 C +0 B +7 A+ F F+ F+ -9 F F+ B-
 Fri, Nov 14 155 Fordham W 76 - 71 42% -0  37% 3 - 0 C+ +2 C+ +3 A F A+ C -1 A F D
 Tue, Nov 18 254 Princeton W 89 - 69 62% +18  95% 4 - 0 B+ +12 C +0 B+ C- D+ A +10 A A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 79 Akron L 75 - 96 13% -18  1% 4 - 1 D- -13 D- -6 D- C+ F+ D -5 D D- D+
 Sat, Nov 22 158 Oregon St. W 91 - 84 2OT 32% -5  9% 5 - 1 B- +7 C- -0 C+ D- C- B+ +6 C A+ C
 Mon, Nov 24 225 Green Bay L 75 - 80 45% +0  44% 5 - 2 D -9 D+ -3 D+ C- B D -6 A F F
 Mon, Dec 1 265 @Delaware W 89 - 66 42% +7  72% 6 - 2 A +20 A +12 A+ F C A- +8 C+ D+ C-
 Fri, Dec 5 192 Quinnipiac L 68 - 89 51% -7  9% 6 - 3 0 - 1 F -26 F+ -10 F B- C+ F -15 D- F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 286 @Sacred Heart W 81 - 69 48% +4  75% 7 - 3 1 - 1 B- +8 C +0 D+ C- C A- +7 D- B- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 354 Bryant W 69 - 63 87% +5  84% 8 - 3 D -11 F -11 F+ D B- C+ +0 F B A-
 Sat, Dec 13 19 @St. John's L 64 - 91 2% -8  20% 8 - 4 D+ -6 D -5 D C A C+ +1 F B- A+
 Sat, Dec 20 229 @Vermont W 83 - 78 35% +0  49% 9 - 4 C+ +4 B+ +9 C+ A A D -5 C+ C- F
 Mon, Dec 29 284 @Mount St. Mary's L 59 - 66 47% -1  44% 9 - 5 1 - 2 D -11 F -19 F C- F A +9 B- B- C-
 Fri, Jan 2 191 Siena W 75 - 72 50% +4  84% 10 - 5 2 - 2 C- -2 D -5 A+ F F B- +3 B B F+
 Sun, Jan 4 181 @Marist L 38 - 83 27% -21  9% 10 - 6 2 - 3 F -43 F -32 F F F F -11 C+ F F
 Fri, Jan 9 336 Niagara W 71 - 53 82% +16  93% 11 - 6 3 - 3 C+ +3 C -0 C C- C B+ +6 A B- F
 Sun, Jan 11 344 Canisius W 74 - 48 84% +8  72% 12 - 6 4 - 3 B +11 B- +4 A+ B- F A +10 A+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 14 356 @Rider L 68 - 72 75% -7  6% 12 - 7 4 - 4 F+ -16 D+ -3 D F A+ F -14 F+ F C-
 Mon, Jan 19 235 @St. Peter's L 63 - 77 36% -3  45% 12 - 8 4 - 5 F+ -15 F+ -9 F D- A+ D -6 F B+ C+
 Thu, Jan 22 160 Merrimack W 61 - 60 43% +1  54% 13 - 8 5 - 5 C- -2 D -5 C F C+ B- +3 C+ F A
 Sat, Jan 24 319 Manhattan W 66 - 57 79% +8  95% 14 - 8 6 - 5 C- -4 F -14 D- F F+ A +10 A+ C+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 264 Fairfield L 70 - 71 65% +2  58% 14 - 9 6 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 C- B- D D- -7 F B B
 Thu, Feb 5 191 @Siena L 72 - 79 28% +3  72% 14 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 C +1 A+ F D+ D- -7 D- F B-
 Sat, Feb 7 284 Mount St. Mary's L 76 - 83 69% -3  22% 14 - 11 6 - 8 F+ -17 B +6 C- B A+ F -24 F F F
 Fri, Feb 13 344 @Canisius W 69 - 63 67% +3  67% 15 - 11 7 - 8 C- -3 C- -2 D- D- D+ C -1 F+ B A-
 Sun, Feb 15 336 @Niagara L 68 - 70 65% -1  26% 15 - 12 7 - 9 D -11 B +6 D- A+ B+ F -17 F A F
 Fri, Feb 20 235 St. Peter's W 72 - 64 OT 58% +2  60% 16 - 12 8 - 9 C +1 F -11 F C+ F A +11 B- C+ A+
 Sun, Feb 22 160 @Merrimack L 65 - 73 24%
 Fri, Feb 27 356 Rider W 78 - 65 89%
 Sun, Mar 1 319 @Manhattan W 79 - 77 58%
Totals 18 - 13 10 - 10 -5 D+ -4 D+ C C+ C- -1 C D+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C C 35% 32% 48% C+ C D C D C- D- D+ D- C- D+ C C+ C 40% 19% 40% C- C- D B- C- C- B B- B
1.04 56% 39% 34% -1 0 1.01 25% 1.0 .25 17% .25 70% .18 1.11 61% 38% 33% +1 0 1.04 34% 1.0 .33 16% .26 71% .18
Nov
7		 Hofstra C B+ F B- B- 37% 15% 48% B+ B C C- C F A+ D- A+ A- F+ A- A+ B- 45% 13% 42% F C D A+ B+ A- C- A+ A-
1.08 63% 13% 36% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 20% .45 67% .30 0.98 67% 29% 27% -2 +1 1.02 37% 0.8 .29 20% .30 56% .17
Nov
11		 UMKC B A B A+ A+ 41% 22% 38% D+ A+ D F F F+ F+ F+ F+ F+ F F A+ F 30% 33% 38% A- F F C F+ B- D- D D-
1.22 73% 43% 54% +18 0 1.39 31% 0.8 .26 21% .20 64% .13 1.05 68% 67% 17% +3 -2 1.03 38% 0.9 .33 21% .31 71% .22
Nov
14		 Fordham C+ B+ A A A 39% 26% 35% C+ A F F F A+ C+ F D+ C B- C- A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% D- A F D- F D A+ A A+
1.09 64% 47% 40% +8 -1 1.16 17% 0.2 .03 10% .29 56% .16 1.02 55% 43% 18% -13 +1 0.79 43% 1.1 .48 16% .14 63% .09
Nov
18		 Princeton C A- A B- B+ 36% 15% 49% C B+ F+ A+ C- D+ A+ A- A+ A D+ C A+ A 41% 25% 34% B- A C- A+ A+ C- D A+ C
1.15 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 16% .41 78% .32 0.89 58% 40% 15% -9 0 0.83 28% 0.5 .13 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
21		 Akron D- C+ D+ F D- 37% 22% 41% C- D- D A+ C+ F+ B+ F C+ D F B- F+ D- 40% 25% 35% B+ D D+ D D- D+ F A F+
0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22 1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26
Nov
22		 Oregon St. C- F A+ A C 43% 10% 48% B C+ B- F D- C- D+ A C+ B+ D A+ C- C+ 47% 16% 36% D- C C A+ A+ C F A+ D+
1.07 37% 50% 40% -4 +2 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 15% .30 82% .25 0.99 62% 11% 35% -2 +1 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 18% .51 58% .30
Nov
24		 Green Bay D+ F F A- D 38% 13% 48% B D+ C+ D C- B D+ C D+ D A+ D+ B- A+ 42% 13% 45% D A F+ F F F D- C- F+
1.11 45% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.1 .34 12% .32 74% .23 1.18 39% 43% 32% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.5 .47 7% .41 77% .32
Dec
1		 Delaware A A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% B- A+ F F F C B C- B- A- D- A+ C+ B- 44% 18% 38% D C+ C- D D+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.27 76% 60% 48% +20 0 1.42 8% 0.5 .04 14% .32 79% .25 0.94 67% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 17% .14 38% .05
Dec
5		 Quinnipiac F+ F+ C- F F 43% 17% 40% C+ F C B+ B- C+ A D B+ F F C+ B D- 41% 20% 39% D D- F D F C- B+ C- B
0.93 48% 33% 14% -17 +1 0.70 33% 1.1 .37 16% .36 68% .25 1.22 71% 33% 30% +2 0 1.07 47% 1.1 .53 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
7		 Sacred Heart C C+ A+ D D 35% 7% 57% B- D+ D+ C C- C B- A+ A- A- D+ A+ F D- 27% 12% 61% D+ D- F+ A+ B- A+ C A- B-
1.15 63% 50% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 14% .30 83% .25 0.98 62% 17% 40% +4 0 1.10 32% 0.7 .24 28% .28 71% .20
Dec
10		 Bryant F F F B F 44% 13% 43% C+ F+ F A+ D B- F A+ F C+ A A+ F F 19% 15% 67% A- F C+ A B A- A+ F A+
1.04 46% 14% 39% -5 +1 0.94 17% 1.7 .29 12% .15 89% .14 0.95 44% 14% 44% +4 -1 1.08 26% 0.8 .21 26% .08 100% .08
Dec
13		 St. John's D F+ D- F D- 52% 21% 26% B D C- C C A F C F C+ D+ F F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F B C B- A+ D+ F F
0.84 44% 31% 25% -13 +1 0.79 27% 0.9 .25 17% .11 71% .08 1.20 62% 50% 40% +7 +2 1.20 34% 1.2 .41 22% .42 84% .36
Dec
20		 Vermont B+ A+ A- F B 35% 35% 29% F+ C+ F+ A+ A A B+ D+ B D F A- B+ C+ 32% 22% 46% B C+ C- C- C- F B+ A A-
1.22 78% 44% 27% +6 -2 1.10 19% 2.2 .41 9% .39 71% .27 1.15 74% 31% 30% 0 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .22 64% .14
Dec
29		 Mount St. Mary's F F C F F 28% 17% 55% C F F A+ C- F F A- F A B- F A+ A- 62% 8% 30% F B- A- D B- C- B+ A A-
0.79 31% 40% 25% -15 0 0.72 20% 1.3 .27 20% .17 80% .13 0.89 55% 50% 19% -8 +3 0.92 23% 1.1 .26 21% .26 60% .15
Jan
2		 Siena D A+ B+ A A+ 32% 17% 51% C+ A+ F F F F D- F F+ B- A C C+ A- 47% 20% 32% F B A C- B F+ A+ F B
1.05 76% 44% 41% +12 0 1.26 21% 0.2 .04 22% .23 62% .14 1.00 46% 42% 32% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.0 .23 13% .18 100% .18
Jan
4		 Marist F D F+ F F 43% 25% 33% C+ F F F F F C+ F F+ F B- F A+ B 39% 18% 43% F+ C+ D F F F C+ F C
0.54 53% 30% 8% -17 0 0.68 14% 0.6 .08 34% .36 53% .19 1.18 54% 55% 23% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 8% .23 87% .20
Jan
9		 Niagara C A- A+ F+ C 34% 15% 51% C+ C B+ F C- C D A D+ B+ C A+ A+ A 32% 22% 46% A A D A+ B- F A- F+ B
1.17 69% 57% 29% +3 0 1.09 39% 0.8 .33 15% .25 85% .21 0.87 56% 18% 26% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 12% .17 78% .13
Jan
11		 Canisius B- C- A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 53% B A+ D+ A B- F F F F A A+ A+ D+ A+ 48% 25% 27% D A+ B F C- F A+ D- A+
1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06 0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11
Jan
14		 Rider D+ C F C D- 32% 6% 62% C D F D F A+ F+ F F F D+ A- F F 41% 36% 23% C F+ F F F C- F D+ F
1.12 59% 0% 36% 0 +1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 7% .21 42% .09 1.19 56% 29% 44% -1 -2 0.97 47% 1.1 .53 17% .55 71% .40
Jan
19		 St. Peter's F+ F A+ D- F 33% 8% 59% B- F F A+ D- A+ D+ F F D D+ C F F 49% 19% 33% F+ F B+ B B+ C+ F C F
0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20 1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Merrimack D F F A+ C+ 24% 18% 58% D+ C F F F C+ D D- D- B- B+ D B- B- 48% 16% 36% C- C+ F C F A A A+ A+
1.01 27% 25% 42% -3 -1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 18% .30 67% .20 0.99 48% 43% 31% -6 +1 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 22% .25 58% .15
Jan
24		 Manhattan F B C D D 26% 21% 53% D- D- C- F F F+ B+ C B+ A A+ F A+ A+ 34% 19% 47% D+ A+ D+ A- C+ C+ C+ C- C+
1.02 67% 40% 32% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.7 .24 19% .30 75% .23 0.88 39% 50% 16% -17 0 0.68 30% 0.9 .28 17% .28 80% .22
Jan
30		 Fairfield D+ F D A C- 40% 13% 47% C C- B- C+ B- D B A A- D- F+ D F F 41% 15% 43% D- F F A+ B B D+ B+ C
1.12 47% 33% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.1 .38 18% .33 82% .27 1.14 63% 43% 40% +7 +1 1.17 51% 0.5 .24 18% .27 64% .18
Feb
5		 Siena C A F A+ A+ 27% 19% 54% C- A+ D+ F F D+ F F F D- F F A+ D- 43% 25% 31% D D- F D- F B- A F B-
1.09 71% 20% 50% +13 -1 1.27 29% 0.4 .12 18% .07 50% .04 1.20 73% 62% 19% +5 0 1.12 39% 1.1 .43 18% .20 91% .18
Feb
7		 Mount St. Mary's B C- A+ D- C- 19% 15% 66% C- C- B- B+ B A+ A- D B F F F C+ F 27% 12% 61% B F F D+ F F F F+ F
1.20 56% 57% 29% -3 -1 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 6% .40 71% .29 1.31 91% 60% 32% +10 0 1.22 39% 1.1 .43 17% .57 73% .42
Feb
13		 Canisius C- F C B+ F 45% 12% 43% B+ D- F B+ D- D+ A+ A+ A+ C F B- D F 24% 31% 45% A F+ F+ A+ B A- A A+ A
1.07 42% 40% 39% -4 +2 0.98 21% 1.2 .24 17% .47 88% .41 0.98 67% 33% 36% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 23% .20 60% .12
Feb
15		 Niagara B A+ B F D 20% 20% 59% D- D- C A+ A+ B+ B+ C- B F C- C F F 44% 19% 37% C+ F A- A+ A F F+ F F
1.21 78% 44% 27% -1 -1 0.98 34% 1.5 .53 12% .35 76% .26 1.25 58% 38% 56% +12 +1 1.28 16% 0.5 .08 12% .31 87% .26
Feb
20		 St. Peter's F C D+ F F 37% 18% 45% C- F C B- C+ F D C+ D+ A A+ F A- C+ 27% 25% 47% B+ B- B- C C+ A+ A+ D- A+
0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28 0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.9 0.9 5th
6th 10.6 9.8 20.4 6th
7th 5.8 30.8 2.3 38.9 7th
8th 20.9 7.8 28.8 8th
9th 1.2 6.4 7.7 9th
10th 2.8 0.6 3.3 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 4.0 33.7 49.3 13.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 13.0% 6.2% 6.2% 14.9 0.2 0.6 0.1 12.2
10-10 49.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.6 0.0 0.8 1.3 47.2
9-11 33.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.1 1.0 32.7
8-12 4.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 3.9
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.6 95.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 14.9 18.6 71.1 10.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%
Lose Out 1.7%