Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#256
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#274
Pace71.0#104
Improvement+2.1#88

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#323
First Shot-7.1#344
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#112
Layup/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#313
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement-0.3#201

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#158
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#276
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-1.8#299
Improvement+2.4#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 8.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 16.9% 29.0% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 75.2% 89.2% 65.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four4.2% 4.8% 3.8%
First Round4.2% 5.8% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 39.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 413 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 129   @ Princeton L 80-81 18%     0 - 1 +3.4 +8.9 -5.5
  Nov 08, 2024 174   @ Hofstra L 76-90 24%     0 - 2 -12.1 +5.5 -17.0
  Nov 12, 2024 232   Delaware L 58-64 54%     0 - 3 -12.6 -20.9 +8.2
  Nov 15, 2024 240   Vermont W 62-59 56%     1 - 3 -4.1 -8.0 +4.1
  Nov 20, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 43-86 4%     1 - 4 -28.6 -19.6 -9.6
  Nov 25, 2024 122   Cornell L 68-84 30%     1 - 5 -16.2 -13.7 -1.3
  Nov 29, 2024 247   Tarleton St. W 62-51 49%     2 - 5 +5.9 -1.6 +8.8
  Nov 30, 2024 210   Indiana St. L 80-83 39%     2 - 6 -5.6 +0.9 -6.4
  Dec 01, 2024 192   Rice L 66-70 35%     2 - 7 -5.5 -6.9 +1.3
  Dec 06, 2024 288   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 46%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -28.5 -20.1 -7.3
  Dec 08, 2024 272   St. Peter's W 72-63 62%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +0.3 +3.2 -2.4
  Dec 22, 2024 239   @ Colgate W 79-73 37%     4 - 8 +3.9 +5.2 -1.2
  Dec 29, 2024 241   Harvard L 61-67 56%     4 - 9 -13.1 -10.8 -2.6
  Jan 03, 2025 211   Marist L 65-70 49%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -10.1 -9.1 -0.8
  Jan 05, 2025 246   @ Siena W 74-73 39%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -1.6 -6.8 +5.1
  Jan 10, 2025 326   @ Fairfield L 64-68 58%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -11.7 -13.6 +1.9
  Jan 12, 2025 187   Quinnipiac L 62-63 43%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -4.8 -11.1 +6.3
  Jan 16, 2025 352   Canisius W 82-61 83%     6 - 12 3 - 4 +5.5 +5.8 +1.4
  Jan 23, 2025 303   @ Rider W 73-67 50%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +0.5 -0.4 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2025 246   Siena W 72-68 58%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -3.6 -2.4 -1.1
  Jan 31, 2025 271   @ Manhattan L 55-76 43%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -24.7 -18.1 -8.1
  Feb 02, 2025 326   Fairfield W 87-64 75%     9 - 13 6 - 5 +10.4 +10.8 +0.8
  Feb 06, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-71 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 211   @ Marist L 61-66 29%    
  Feb 14, 2025 303   Rider W 71-66 70%    
  Feb 16, 2025 187   @ Quinnipiac L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 21, 2025 271   Manhattan W 75-72 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 198   Merrimack L 64-65 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 316   @ Niagara W 68-67 53%    
  Mar 02, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 74-69 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 288   Sacred Heart W 76-72 67%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 3.2 1.3 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 8.2 12.0 4.2 0.4 26.0 4th
5th 0.4 6.2 11.5 3.8 0.2 22.1 5th
6th 0.0 3.1 9.6 3.7 0.2 16.6 6th
7th 0.7 6.9 4.6 0.4 12.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.5 4.6 0.6 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 0.7 0.0 4.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 0.7 1.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.3 2.0 6.8 15.7 22.2 23.9 17.9 8.0 2.7 0.4 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 39.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.4% 14.6% 14.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 2.7% 19.7% 19.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.2
13-7 8.0% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.2 0.9 6.9
12-8 17.9% 9.4% 9.4% 15.9 0.1 1.6 16.2
11-9 23.9% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5 22.4
10-10 22.2% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.8 21.4
9-11 15.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 15.3
8-12 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.7
7-13 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.5 5.6 93.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%