Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#256
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#257
Pace70.5#110
Improvement+4.3#25

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#316
First Shot-6.8#343
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#104
Layup/Dunks-1.5#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#314
Freethrows-1.9#288
Improvement+2.5#67

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#163
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#275
Layups/Dunks+0.4#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-1.7#294
Improvement+1.9#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 15.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 17.1% 37.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.0% 8.9% 0.0%
First Round4.8% 10.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 415 - 1116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 187   @ Princeton L 80-81 27%     0 - 1 +0.3 +8.4 -8.1
  Nov 08, 2024 217   @ Hofstra L 76-90 32%     0 - 2 -14.3 +4.6 -18.4
  Nov 12, 2024 228   Delaware L 58-64 55%     0 - 3 -12.3 -21.0 +8.6
  Nov 15, 2024 229   Vermont W 62-59 55%     1 - 3 -3.4 -8.5 +5.3
  Nov 20, 2024 47   @ West Virginia L 43-86 5%     1 - 4 -28.9 -18.7 -10.8
  Nov 25, 2024 130   Cornell L 68-84 34%     1 - 5 -16.9 -14.4 -1.3
  Nov 29, 2024 275   Tarleton St. W 62-51 55%     2 - 5 +4.6 -1.4 +7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 194   Indiana St. L 80-83 38%     2 - 6 -4.9 +0.1 -4.9
  Dec 01, 2024 192   Rice L 66-70 37%     2 - 7 -5.8 -7.4 +1.6
  Dec 06, 2024 261   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 41%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -26.7 -19.2 -6.5
  Dec 08, 2024 287   St. Peter's W 72-63 68%     3 - 8 1 - 1 -1.0 +2.6 -3.1
  Dec 22, 2024 257   @ Colgate W 79-73 40%     4 - 8 +3.6 +5.1 -1.4
  Dec 29, 2024 243   Harvard L 61-67 58%     4 - 9 -13.2 -10.9 -2.7
  Jan 03, 2025 266   Marist L 65-70 63%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -13.6 -11.1 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2025 255   @ Siena W 74-73 39%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -1.3 -7.2 +5.8
  Jan 10, 2025 327   @ Fairfield L 64-68 59%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -11.4 -10.9 -0.5
  Jan 12, 2025 199   Quinnipiac L 62-63 49%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -5.9 -11.6 +5.7
  Jan 16, 2025 356   Canisius W 82-61 87%     6 - 12 3 - 4 +3.6 +4.9 +0.5
  Jan 23, 2025 303   @ Rider W 73-67 51%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +0.5 -1.5 +2.2
  Jan 25, 2025 255   Siena W 72-68 60%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -3.8 -3.0 -0.7
  Jan 31, 2025 235   @ Manhattan L 55-76 35%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -22.3 -17.8 -5.9
  Feb 02, 2025 327   Fairfield W 87-64 77%     9 - 13 6 - 5 +10.1 +13.2 -1.9
  Feb 06, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's W 70-67 OT 40%     10 - 13 7 - 5 +0.4 -6.7 +6.9
  Feb 08, 2025 266   @ Marist W 75-71 42%     11 - 13 8 - 5 +0.9 +11.3 -10.1
  Feb 14, 2025 303   Rider L 71-74 71%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -14.0 -6.6 -7.4
  Feb 16, 2025 199   @ Quinnipiac L 74-79 29%     11 - 15 8 - 7 -4.4 -3.1 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2025 235   Manhattan W 65-60 56%     12 - 15 9 - 7 -1.8 -11.9 +10.4
  Feb 23, 2025 191   Merrimack L 70-77 OT 47%     12 - 16 9 - 8 -11.4 -1.2 -10.2
  Feb 28, 2025 311   @ Niagara W 65-63 55%     13 - 16 10 - 8 -4.3 -10.7 +6.5
  Mar 02, 2025 356   @ Canisius W 82-52 74%     14 - 16 11 - 8 +18.1 +10.4 +11.2
  Mar 08, 2025 261   Sacred Heart W 90-88 62%     15 - 16 12 - 8 -6.2 +8.7 -14.9
  Mar 13, 2025 235   Manhattan L 74-75 46%    
Projected Record 15 - 17 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.2 6.8 93.1
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 6.8 93.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.0% 100.0% 16.0 2.6 97.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.3%
Lose Out 54.7%