Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.6 #339
Expected Predictive Rating -19.1 #358
Pace 64.1 #315
Improvement -2.8 #317

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #362 F D- F D- C-
Defense #190 C D- C+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #187 1.05 #300 -2.4 #266
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #112 0.76 #165 +1.3 #106
Three Pointers 38% #242 0.84 #339 -4.8 #320
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #330 -5.8 #331
Freethrows 16.8 #221 61% #363 10.3 #312
Second Chance 22.9% #347 1.07 #149 0.25 #317
Turnovers 22.2% #363
Total Offense -11.0 #362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #97 1.25 #290 -3.8 #303
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #132 0.72 #132 -0.1 #190
Three Pointers 37% #293 0.93 #79 +3.8 #55
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #182 -0.1 #180
Freethrows 18.4 #239 71% #141 13.1 #144
Second Chance 39.4% #360 1.00 #125 0.39 #323
Turnovers 17.8% #106
Total Defense -0.5 #190

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.9% #245 0.2% #183
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.6% #332 0.2% #183
Possession Length 18.2 #271 17.8 #264
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #242 0.18 #210
Improvement -2.4 #321 -0.5 #220

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.2% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 28.5% 42.0% 18.1%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 18.8% 10.4% 25.3%
First Four3.4% 4.2% 2.7%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 8
Quad 47 - 158 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 70 @George Washington L 47 - 67 3%  -7  0 - 1 -9 -22 F F F +12 A+ D A+
 Sat, Nov 8 276 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 22%  -6  0 - 2 -15 -13 F F C -2 C B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 131 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 7%  -11  0 - 3 -7 -4 B+ F F -4 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 158 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 21%  +2  0 - 4 -9 -9 C+ F C+ -1 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 237 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 17%  -3  0 - 5 -8 +1 D- A+ F -10 C F C
 Sun, Nov 23 247 Brown L 53 - 58 36%  -8  0 - 6 -13 -16 C F F +3 A F A+
 Fri, Nov 28 241 @American L 61 - 74 17%  -12  0 - 7 -14 -9 C F F -6 D B+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 279 Longwood L 61 - 65 32%  -3  0 - 8 -11 -10 F B+ F -1 F B- A+
 Sun, Nov 30 190 Siena L 60 - 64 18%  -8  0 - 9 -6 -3 C C- C- -3 D A- C
 Wed, Dec 3 170 @Ohio L 57 - 79 11%  -12  0 - 10 -20 -11 F D+ F -11 C F C
 Sat, Dec 6 93 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 4%  -21  0 - 11 -23 -10 D+ C F -13 C+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 10 258 @Boston University W 69 - 59 20%  +7  1 - 11 +7 -1 A- F F +9 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 331 Canisius L 43 - 70 58%  -16  1 - 12 -41 -31 F C- F -12 F F A-
 Sun, Dec 21 248 @Drexel L 56 - 74 18%  -9  1 - 13 -20 -4 F A- F -20 F D+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 317 Bryant L 51 - 56 53%  -5  1 - 14 0 - 1 -17 -24 F F F +7 A+ D+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 267 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 21%  -6  1 - 15 0 - 2 -10 -8 F C C- -3 C A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 351 @NJIT L 63 - 65 43% 
 Thu, Jan 15 198 @Vermont L 58 - 70 12% 
 Mon, Jan 19 344 New Hampshire W 65 - 62 62% 
 Thu, Jan 22 322 Albany W 68 - 67 55% 
 Sat, Jan 24 359 Binghamton W 68 - 61 73% 
 Sat, Jan 31 286 Umass Lowell L 67 - 69 43% 
 Thu, Feb 5 198 Vermont L 61 - 67 29% 
 Sat, Feb 7 317 @Bryant L 60 - 65 32% 
 Thu, Feb 12 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 67 42% 
 Sat, Feb 14 351 NJIT W 66 - 62 66% 
 Sat, Feb 21 344 @New Hampshire L 62 - 65 40% 
 Thu, Feb 26 322 @Albany L 65 - 70 34% 
 Sat, Feb 28 359 @Binghamton W 65 - 64 52% 
 Tue, Mar 3 286 Umass Lowell L 67 - 69 44% 
Totals 7 - 23 6 - 10 -12 -11 F D- F -1 C D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.8 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 7.2 5.2 0.8 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 7.6 6.7 1.0 0.0 17.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 7.5 7.0 1.4 0.0 17.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.6 6.1 1.5 0.0 16.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 10.7 9th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 6.3 11.3 16.0 17.7 16.8 13.1 8.4 4.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 77.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 58.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 17.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.6% 19.1% 19.1% 16.0 0.1 0.5
11-5 1.7% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.2 1.5
10-6 4.5% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.4 4.1
9-7 8.4% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.6 7.8
8-8 13.1% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 12.5
7-9 16.8% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.6 16.2
6-10 17.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.5 17.2
5-11 16.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 15.7
4-12 11.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.2
3-13 6.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3
2-14 2.6% 2.6
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%