Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#217
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#194
Pace66.4#249
Improvement-1.5#273

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#277
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#358
Layup/Dunks+3.9#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#312
Freethrows-0.5#217
Improvement+1.5#74

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#146
First Shot+1.2#127
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#232
Layups/Dunks-2.4#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#66
Freethrows-0.4#218
Improvement-3.1#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.4% 14.6% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.3
.500 or above 76.1% 82.6% 61.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.6% 80.9% 73.6%
Conference Champion 16.0% 17.4% 12.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.3% 2.1%
First Four1.9% 1.7% 2.5%
First Round12.4% 13.7% 9.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 54 - 7
Quad 413 - 717 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 1%     0 - 1 -9.3 -0.6 -7.1
  Nov 10, 2024 174   @ Brown W 69-67 30%     1 - 1 +4.4 -0.8 +5.2
  Nov 15, 2024 249   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 46%     1 - 2 -4.8 -15.7 +10.8
  Nov 20, 2024 216   @ Richmond L 66-70 38%     1 - 3 -3.9 -5.1 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 313   Holy Cross W 80-55 79%     2 - 3 +13.5 +1.3 +12.9
  Nov 29, 2024 181   Elon W 69-56 43%     3 - 3 +12.0 +1.0 +12.1
  Nov 30, 2024 292   @ Penn L 64-77 54%     3 - 4 -17.0 -7.1 -10.9
  Dec 01, 2024 318   Navy W 71-66 72%     4 - 4 -3.9 -3.3 -0.4
  Dec 08, 2024 178   @ Fordham L 72-87 31%     4 - 5 -12.9 -5.8 -5.7
  Dec 11, 2024 163   @ Duquesne W 61-56 29%     5 - 5 +7.8 +0.2 +8.3
  Dec 14, 2024 353   @ Canisius W 84-79 74%     6 - 5 -4.7 +11.4 -15.6
  Dec 21, 2024 306   @ Stony Brook L 72-74 58%     6 - 6 -7.0 +1.5 -8.7
  Dec 29, 2024 257   Boston University W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 185   @ Bryant L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 09, 2025 302   Binghamton W 71-63 77%    
  Jan 11, 2025 233   Albany W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 68-61 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 245   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 23, 2025 144   @ Umass Lowell L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 30, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 74-61 88%    
  Feb 01, 2025 220   @ Vermont L 60-63 40%    
  Feb 06, 2025 352   NJIT W 71-58 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 245   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 220   Vermont W 63-60 62%    
  Feb 20, 2025 233   @ Albany L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 302   @ Binghamton W 68-66 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 71-64 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 185   Bryant W 76-75 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 144   Umass Lowell L 73-74 48%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.2 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.1 16.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 4.2 7.4 4.4 0.9 0.1 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.6 8.2 3.8 0.4 0.0 17.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.2 7.7 3.3 0.2 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.8 2.9 0.2 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 2.3 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.7 1.1 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.3 9.8 13.9 15.9 16.2 13.9 9.9 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
14-2 97.5% 2.4    2.2 0.2
13-3 83.4% 4.6    3.2 1.3 0.1
12-4 52.3% 5.2    2.2 2.4 0.6 0.0
11-5 18.1% 2.5    0.4 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 16.0% 16.0 8.9 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 46.6% 46.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.8% 39.8% 39.8% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-2 2.5% 32.4% 32.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7
13-3 5.5% 27.8% 27.8% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 3.9
12-4 9.9% 24.3% 24.3% 14.8 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.3 7.5
11-5 13.9% 17.9% 17.9% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.7 11.4
10-6 16.2% 14.0% 14.0% 15.4 0.1 1.1 1.1 13.9
9-7 15.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 14.3
8-8 13.9% 7.6% 7.6% 15.8 0.2 0.8 12.8
7-9 9.8% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.5 9.2
6-10 6.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 6.0
5-11 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 3.2
4-12 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-13 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.5 4.8 86.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.1 10.3 72.4 17.2