Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.7 #346
Expected Predictive Rating -14.8 #352
Pace 63.2 #322
Improvement -1.6 #254

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #361 D F+ F+ D+ C
Defense #213 C D- C+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #178 1.11 #246 -0.9 #211
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #137 0.69 #282 +0.0 #171
Three Pointers 39% #222 0.84 #355 -4.4 #323
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #327 -5.3 #327
Freethrows 0.30 #201 65% #361 0.19 #282
Second Chance 20.0% #362 1.01 #197 0.20 #357
Turnovers 20.6% #355
Total Offense -10.6 #361

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #59 1.25 #300 -4.7 #331
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #163 0.72 #116 +0.2 #178
Three Pointers 36% #319 0.95 #87 +3.8 #42
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #207 -0.7 #203
Freethrows 0.30 #185 71% #110 0.21 #158
Second Chance 38.1% #360 1.02 #164 0.39 #332
Turnovers 17.6% #125
Total Defense -1.1 #213

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #225 0.5% #216
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -10.0% #333 1.0% #204
Possession Length 18.3 #284 17.6 #248
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #210 0.16 #161
Improvement +0.4 #153 -2.0 #288

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.3% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 21.5% 41.2% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 2.9% 11.3%
First Four3.2% 4.3% 2.8%
First Round1.4% 2.0% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 29.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 70 - 9
Quad 48 - 148 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 79 @George Washington L 47 - 67 3% -7  0 - 1 -10 -21 F F F+ +10 A D A+
 Sat, Nov 8 217 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 14% -6  0 - 2 -11 -13 F F+ C +1 B- B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 114 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 6% -11  0 - 3 -6 -4 B+ F F -3 D- F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 186 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 26% +2  0 - 4 -11 -10 C- F C+ -1 A+ F+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 201 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 13% -3  0 - 5 -7 +3 D A- F -10 C F C
 Sun, Nov 23 280 Brown L 53 - 58 42% -8  0 - 6 -15 -17 C F F +2 B+ F A-
 Fri, Nov 28 244 @American L 61 - 74 17% -12  0 - 7 -15 -8 B- F F -7 D B F
 Sat, Nov 29 264 Longwood L 61 - 65 29% -3  0 - 8 -10 -8 F B+ F+ -2 F B- A+
 Sun, Nov 30 174 Siena L 60 - 64 16% -8  0 - 9 -5 -4 C+ C- C- -1 C B+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 199 @Ohio L 57 - 79 13% -12  0 - 10 -22 -12 F D+ F -11 C- F C
 Sat, Dec 6 90 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 4% -21  0 - 11 -23 -11 D C F -11 C+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 10 290 @Boston University W 69 - 59 24% +7  1 - 11 +6 -1 A- F F +8 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 13 345 Canisius L 43 - 70 61% -16  1 - 12 -42 -32 F F+ F -13 F F B
 Sun, Dec 21 206 @Drexel L 56 - 74 13% -9  1 - 13 -18 -1 D A F -21 F C- B
 Sat, Jan 3 347 Bryant L 51 - 56 62% -5  1 - 14 0 - 1 -20 -27 F D F +7 A- C A-
 Thu, Jan 8 261 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 19% -6  1 - 15 0 - 2 -10 -7 F C C -3 C B- D-
 Sat, Jan 10 324 @NJIT W 74 - 70 33% +3  2 - 15 1 - 2 -3 +6 A+ D F -9 C C- F
 Thu, Jan 15 211 @Vermont L 62 - 67 14% +1  2 - 16 1 - 3 -5 -3 F D- A+ -2 C- C D
 Mon, Jan 19 320 New Hampshire L 48 - 65 54% -12  2 - 17 1 - 4 -30 -25 F F F -7 D C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 316 Albany W 52 - 49 53% -4  3 - 17 2 - 4 -10 -15 F F B +6 A+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 24 361 Binghamton W 79 - 63 76% +7  4 - 17 3 - 4 -3 +8 A D C -9 F C- A
 Sat, Jan 31 314 @Umass Lowell L 77 - 91 30% -11  4 - 18 3 - 5 -20 +0 C+ F B+ -20 F F A
 Thu, Feb 5 211 Vermont L 61 - 67 29%
 Sat, Feb 7 347 @Bryant L 61 - 64 38%
 Thu, Feb 12 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64 - 67 38%
 Sat, Feb 14 324 NJIT W 66 - 65 56%
 Sat, Feb 21 320 @New Hampshire L 62 - 67 33%
 Thu, Feb 26 316 @Albany L 63 - 68 32%
 Sat, Feb 28 361 @Binghamton W 65 - 64 55%
 Tue, Mar 3 314 Umass Lowell W 69 - 68 52%
Totals 7 - 23 6 - 10 -12 -11 D F+ F+ -1 C D- C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.5 0.9 4.2 3rd
4th 0.9 5.9 2.9 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.5 7.9 5.9 0.3 14.6 5th
6th 0.4 7.5 10.7 1.2 0.0 19.8 6th
7th 0.4 6.4 12.8 3.3 0.0 23.0 7th
8th 1.0 7.3 12.5 3.9 0.2 24.8 8th
9th 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.7 9th
Total 2.0 9.0 19.7 24.7 23.0 13.8 6.0 1.6 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 1.6% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.2 1.5
9-7 6.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.3 5.7
8-8 13.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.7 13.1
7-9 23.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.9 22.1
6-10 24.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.7 24.0
5-11 19.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.4 19.4
4-12 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.0
3-13 2.0% 2.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 16.0 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%