Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#314
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#307
Pace71.6#99
Improvement+0.6#148

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#316
First Shot-0.7#190
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#357
Layup/Dunks-4.1#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#98
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement+2.0#59

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#286
First Shot-4.5#321
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#94
Layups/Dunks-0.4#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#344
Freethrows+3.5#12
Improvement-1.4#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 2.8% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.0% 22.8% 44.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 50 - 11
Quad 31 - 61 - 17
Quad 45 - 67 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 146   UC Santa Barbara L 53-94 28%     0 - 1 -43.5 -23.3 -18.9
  Nov 12, 2024 23   @ Oregon L 70-80 OT 2%     0 - 2 +7.6 -3.3 +12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 259   @ Long Beach St. W 63-61 27%     1 - 2 -0.3 -2.4 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2024 169   South Florida L 68-74 22%     1 - 3 -6.5 -6.5 +0.1
  Nov 22, 2024 147   Ohio L 73-85 20%     1 - 4 -11.7 -9.7 -0.5
  Nov 24, 2024 110   Princeton L 67-94 13%     1 - 5 -23.5 -9.7 -12.3
  Dec 01, 2024 317   Denver W 101-90 2OT 63%     2 - 5 -0.9 -1.2 -2.0
  Dec 06, 2024 117   @ Kent St. L 57-76 9%     2 - 6 -13.1 -4.9 -9.8
  Dec 10, 2024 222   UMKC L 64-69 42%     2 - 7 -11.4 -7.7 -4.0
  Dec 18, 2024 260   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-81 49%     2 - 8 -25.3 -4.5 -22.8
  Dec 21, 2024 267   Lafayette W 74-64 50%     3 - 8 +1.3 -2.5 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2024 74   Washington St. L 69-82 10%    
  Dec 30, 2024 61   @ Oregon St. L 59-79 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 63-94 0.2%   
  Jan 04, 2025 53   St. Mary's L 60-76 7%    
  Jan 09, 2025 62   @ San Francisco L 60-80 3%    
  Jan 16, 2025 301   Pacific W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 74   @ Washington St. L 66-85 4%    
  Jan 23, 2025 316   San Diego W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 66-91 1%    
  Jan 30, 2025 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-77 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 204   @ Pepperdine L 69-79 19%    
  Feb 06, 2025 73   Santa Clara L 69-82 11%    
  Feb 13, 2025 61   Oregon St. L 62-76 10%    
  Feb 15, 2025 157   Loyola Marymount L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 19, 2025 53   @ St. Mary's L 57-79 2%    
  Feb 22, 2025 301   @ Pacific L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 27, 2025 204   Pepperdine L 72-76 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 316   @ San Diego L 72-75 41%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.1 4.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.2 4.5 11.2 7.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 25.3 9th
10th 0.5 7.3 14.0 6.8 0.9 0.0 29.6 10th
11th 2.6 9.4 10.8 3.9 0.4 0.0 27.2 11th
Total 2.6 10.0 18.2 22.5 19.7 13.9 7.6 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.4% 0.4
8-10 1.3% 1.3
7-11 3.6% 3.6
6-12 7.6% 7.6
5-13 13.9% 13.9
4-14 19.7% 19.7
3-15 22.5% 22.5
2-16 18.2% 18.2
1-17 10.0% 10.0
0-18 2.6% 2.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.6%