Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.4 220
Results Rating -1.9 195
Pace 70.6 123
Improvement -1.6 246

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 239 C C+ D- C C+
Defense C- 197 C+ D+ C C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 93 B- 62% 87 +3.6 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 160 C- 37% 212 -0.7 216
Three Pointers 39% 230 D 30% 313 -3.2 289
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 130 C -0.6 193
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 183
Second Chance C- 28.8% 227 A- 1.19 21 C+ 0.34 103
Turnovers D- 19.8% 334
Freethrows C 0.31 188 C+ 74% 140 C 0.23 156
Total Offense C- -2.5 239

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A+ 70% 1 B+ 7.3% 27
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 63 C+ 4.2% 121
Three Pointers C+ 86% 154 B 0.4% 58
Total A 68% 11 B+ 4.0% 26

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 C 57% 163 -1.8 115
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 268 A 30% 8 -2.4 18
Three Pointers 46% 40 C- 35% 228 +3.4 327
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 203 C+ -0.9 143
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 148
Second Chance D+ 32.5% 269 C- 1.07 247 D+ 0.35 276
Turnovers C 17.0% 167
Freethrows C 0.30 178 C- 73% 245 C 0.22 195
Total Defense C- -0.9 197

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 329 C+ 11.9% 131
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 44% 356 C- 3.8% 243
Three Pointers F+ 93% 362 C- 0.6% 224
Total F 69% 358 C- 5.2% 199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 131 17.3 190
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 245 0.19 248
Improvement +1.2 #122 -2.8 #316

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 241 220 196
Results Rating Rank 215 185 169
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 11 10 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 3% 0% 3%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 71 - 11
Quad 34 - 55 - 16
Quad 45 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 74 84% +10  92% 1 - 0 D+ -5 F -13 D F+ F B+ +7 A D- A
 Sun, Nov 9 177 UC Davis W 67 - 63 53% -0  49% 2 - 0 C -0 F+ -10 F+ D+ F A +10 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 100 @Wyoming L 56 - 93 14% -16  1% 2 - 1 F -29 F -17 F D- D+ F -12 C F D
 Fri, Nov 21 208 Cal St. Fullerton W 103 - 85 59% +13  94% 3 - 1 B+ +12 A +14 A+ A+ B- D+ -3 F A- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 168 Northern Colorado L 80 - 86 OT 50% -2  14% 3 - 2 D -9 F+ -9 D- A+ F C +0 B D+ D-
 Sun, Nov 23 128 St. Thomas L 66 - 76 39% -5  1% 3 - 3 D -11 F -13 C- A- F B- +3 A F D
 Wed, Nov 26 263 Long Beach St. W 93 - 73 70% +11  94% 4 - 3 B+ +11 A +12 A+ C F+ C -1 B- C- C
 Mon, Dec 1 77 @Stanford L 72 - 94 10% -14  7% 4 - 4 D- -11 C+ +3 A B F F -15 D F F+
 Sun, Dec 14 144 Kent St. W 88 - 78 45% +0  46% 5 - 4 B- +8 C- -2 B+ D+ F+ A- +8 A- D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 89 @Oregon L 69 - 94 12% -11  2% 5 - 5 F+ -16 F+ -9 D+ C+ F D+ -4 F B- B-
 Mon, Dec 22 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 61 - 79 24% -11  8% 5 - 6 D- -14 F+ -9 F A+ F D -6 F D+ B
 Sun, Dec 28 126 Washington St. L 62 - 67 39% -3  21% 5 - 7 0 - 1 D+ -5 F -15 F A A+ A +9 A A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 30 42 Santa Clara L 85 - 92 11% -1  49% 5 - 8 0 - 2 C+ +3 A- +11 A+ A C F+ -8 F+ B A-
 Fri, Jan 2 40 @St. Mary's L 57 - 78 4% -14  1% 5 - 9 0 - 3 C- -5 D -4 F+ C B- C- -2 D- B+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 127 @San Francisco L 68 - 73 20% +4  69% 5 - 10 0 - 4 C +0 D+ -4 B- F F B +4 A C- C-
 Thu, Jan 8 117 Pacific W 90 - 89 OT 37% +4  74% 6 - 10 1 - 4 C +1 A- +11 A- A+ F F -10 C C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 158 Oregon St. W 82 - 76 49% -2  33% 7 - 10 2 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 C B+ A- D- -7 C- B+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 281 @Pepperdine L 63 - 67 51% -0  43% 7 - 11 2 - 5 D+ -8 F -12 F F+ D+ B +4 C+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 148 @Loyola Marymount W 71 - 58 25% +11  90% 8 - 11 3 - 5 A- +17 C- -0 B- D+ D+ A+ +17 A+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 40 St. Mary's L 69 - 75 11% -4  1% 8 - 12 3 - 6 C+ +4 B- +4 B- B+ B- C -1 C- A+ B
 Wed, Jan 28 117 @Pacific L 51 - 74 19% -15  2% 8 - 13 3 - 7 F+ -17 F -16 F F F D+ -4 C+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 126 @Washington St. L 74 - 104 20% -15  3% 8 - 14 3 - 8 F -24 D+ -3 F+ A+ B F -21 F F F
 Wed, Feb 4 12 Gonzaga W 87 - 80 5% +6  94% 9 - 14 4 - 8 A+ +23 A+ +15 A+ A- D A- +8 A+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 122 Seattle W 54 - 53 38% -4  26% 10 - 14 5 - 8 C +1 F+ -8 F A+ B- A +9 A- C+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 226 @San Diego L 58 - 71 40% -2  46% 10 - 15 5 - 9 D- -14 F -13 F C- F C- -2 F A B
 Wed, Feb 18 281 Pepperdine L 87 - 95 73% +1  41% 10 - 16 5 - 10 F -18 B +7 A+ F+ C- F -25 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 122 @Seattle L 59 - 71 19% -8  0% 10 - 17 5 - 11 D+ -6 D -5 C- D F C -1 B+ D+ D-
 Wed, Feb 25 12 @Gonzaga L 65 - 90 1%
 Sat, Feb 28 226 San Diego W 79 - 76 62%
Totals 11 - 18 6 - 12 -3 C- -3 A+ C C+ C- -1 D C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C- D C 42% 39% 39% C+ C C- A- C+ D- C C+ C C- C A C- C+ 36% 18% 46% C- C+ D+ C- D+ C C C- C
1.05 62% 37% 30% -1 0 1.02 29% 1.2 .34 20% .31 74% .23 1.10 57% 30% 35% -1 0 1.00 32% 1.1 .35 17% .30 73% .22
Nov
6		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F B+ C+ F D- 42% 9% 49% B D F B F+ F A+ B- A+ B+ B+ A+ B A+ 36% 18% 46% D A C+ F D- A F F F
1.01 68% 40% 23% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.3 .29 23% .50 78% .39 0.90 50% 11% 30% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.3 .32 23% .43 89% .38
Nov
9		 UC Davis F+ D- F C F+ 38% 19% 43% D+ F+ C+ F+ D+ F A C A A A+ F A+ A+ 25% 16% 59% C A+ F C F A B C B
0.96 50% 22% 35% -5 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .27 24% .42 73% .30 0.91 38% 50% 23% -13 0 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 23% .30 75% .22
Nov
15		 Wyoming F D+ F+ F F 56% 23% 21% C F D F+ D- D+ A+ F B+ F F A+ C+ C 40% 12% 47% C C F F F D B F+ B-
0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31 1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23
Nov
21		 Cal St. Fullerton A B+ A A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% B- A+ D A+ A+ B- D C- D D+ D C F F 38% 14% 48% D- F C- A+ A- C+ B A+ A+
1.32 69% 50% 50% +16 +1 1.36 24% 2.5 .60 17% .26 71% .18 1.09 64% 38% 43% +8 +1 1.21 26% 0.6 .16 17% .28 50% .14
Nov
22		 Northern Colorado F+ C+ B- F F 48% 12% 40% B D- B- A+ A+ F F C- F C C+ F A B+ 43% 15% 43% D B A+ F D+ D- D+ F F+
0.99 59% 43% 17% -10 +2 0.87 30% 1.6 .48 17% .24 75% .18 1.07 58% 56% 27% -2 +1 1.00 17% 2.0 .34 14% .26 89% .23
Nov
23		 St. Thomas F C- D C C- 47% 18% 35% C+ C- B B+ A- F F F F B- C A+ B A 34% 4% 63% C- A C- F F D C+ F D+
0.92 58% 33% 33% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.3 .45 28% .14 57% .08 1.06 63% 0% 31% -2 +2 1.02 22% 1.4 .30 13% .29 78% .22
Nov
26		 Long Beach St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 70% 11% 19% A+ A+ F A+ C F+ C- A+ B C C- B- A B+ 34% 17% 49% F B- C C- C- C F+ B D
1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30 1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24
Dec
1		 Stanford C+ A C- A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D A C A B F A+ B A+ F C A+ F D 44% 4% 53% D D C F F F+ C+ B- C+
1.04 69% 36% 42% +7 -2 1.12 27% 1.3 .35 26% .47 79% .37 1.35 58% 0% 41% +5 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 12% .33 70% .23
Dec
14		 Kent St. C- A- A- C- A- 47% 18% 35% C+ B+ F+ A- D+ F+ C- D- D+ A- C- A+ A+ A 45% 18% 37% D+ A- D- C D A+ F F F
1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21 0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42
Dec
17		 Oregon F+ B F F D- 40% 21% 40% B+ D+ D A C+ F D B- D+ D+ F A+ F F 34% 14% 52% C F B+ D+ B- B- D+ F F+
0.88 61% 25% 26% -6 0 0.90 25% 1.1 .28 22% .23 79% .18 1.19 70% 25% 43% +10 +1 1.22 30% 1.2 .36 19% .36 83% .30
Dec
22		 UC Santa Barbara F+ C- D- F F 50% 19% 31% B F B- A+ A+ F F F F D F A+ F F 34% 11% 55% D F C- D D+ B A+ A+ A+
0.96 58% 33% 13% -10 +1 0.83 31% 1.6 .50 22% .22 64% .14 1.24 81% 20% 46% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.1 .37 20% .18 56% .10
Dec
28		 Washington St. F F F F F 36% 18% 45% B- F B- A+ A A+ A F C+ A C+ A+ C- A+ 33% 18% 49% B- A B- A+ A+ C+ F A- F
0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22 0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34
Dec
30		 Santa Clara A- A+ A B+ A+ 43% 18% 39% C A+ A B A C D F F F+ D F D- F 33% 24% 43% A- F+ F A+ B A- D- F F
1.19 86% 44% 37% +15 +1 1.33 40% 1.1 .44 21% .28 63% .18 1.29 67% 69% 39% +14 -1 1.28 46% 0.8 .36 20% .30 82% .24
Jan
2		 St. Mary's D D+ A F F 46% 25% 29% C+ F+ A- F C B- B- A+ A C- F A+ F F+ 31% 18% 51% C+ D- A- C- B+ C- D- B+ D
0.89 50% 46% 7% -14 0 0.75 33% 0.7 .23 14% .27 87% .24 1.22 71% 25% 43% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 16% .39 76% .30
Jan
4		 San Francisco D+ A+ A+ F B- 32% 21% 47% C- B- D- F F F A+ B+ A+ B A- A+ C A+ 33% 14% 53% C A F A+ C- C- F A+ F
1.01 73% 60% 23% +2 -1 1.04 21% 0.7 .14 25% .38 79% .30 1.08 50% 0% 35% -7 0 0.88 50% 0.8 .38 15% .59 62% .36
Jan
8		 Pacific A- B F A+ A+ 20% 39% 41% F A- A+ A A+ F C- A+ B- F B- A F C+ 45% 20% 35% D+ C F A C- F F F F
1.23 64% 24% 55% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.2 .46 19% .30 83% .25 1.21 52% 30% 44% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 14% .41 85% .35
Jan
10		 Oregon St. A- B F D C 40% 17% 43% C C B- A- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ D- D+ D- C+ D+ 37% 24% 39% B- C- B+ B- B+ F+ F C+ F
1.24 63% 25% 30% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.2 .42 11% .58 88% .51 1.15 59% 45% 33% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.2 .26 14% .58 76% .44
Jan
14		 Pepperdine F B+ F F F 38% 9% 53% C+ F C+ F F+ D+ F D- F B D A+ B C+ 36% 18% 45% D+ C+ C+ F F C+ F+ A+ C
0.93 67% 20% 21% -9 +1 0.87 34% 0.7 .24 18% .16 67% .11 0.99 63% 25% 30% -3 0 0.95 27% 1.4 .39 19% .37 60% .22
Jan
17		 Loyola Marymount C- D- D A+ B- 38% 30% 32% D+ B- D C D+ D+ B+ C+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 21% 31% 48% A A+ B F+ C B+ D- F F
1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26 0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26
Jan
24		 St. Mary's B- C- F A- B- 43% 24% 33% C+ B- D+ A+ B+ B- A- A+ A+ C B C F C- 46% 17% 37% D C- B- A+ A+ B C- F D
1.06 52% 25% 38% -4 0 0.94 21% 1.4 .30 14% .30 88% .27 1.15 52% 38% 47% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.7 .24 18% .34 89% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Pacific F F C+ F F 31% 13% 56% A F D- F F F A+ D+ A+ D+ D F A+ C+ 44% 25% 31% C+ C+ C- F F D+ B- A- B
0.80 33% 40% 27% -13 0 0.77 19% 0.7 .13 22% .56 68% .38 1.16 62% 50% 27% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.5 .55 19% .25 69% .17
Jan
31		 Washington St. D+ F A+ F F+ 40% 26% 34% C F+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ F A- F F+ A+ F F 39% 13% 48% D+ F D+ F F F C- F D
1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27 1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25
Feb
4		 Gonzaga A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% A A+ B+ B+ A- D A- A+ A+ A- A+ A- C+ A+ 32% 21% 47% C- A+ B C- C+ D+ F C+ F
1.18 73% 60% 47% +18 +1 1.38 30% 1.0 .30 23% .35 80% .28 1.08 50% 33% 33% -4 -1 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .40 69% .28
Feb
7		 Seattle F+ F F F F 50% 15% 35% A- F B A+ A+ B- F A F+ A F+ A+ A- A- 28% 16% 56% B A- F+ A+ C+ A+ C+ C C+
0.86 39% 29% 19% -19 +2 0.67 34% 1.4 .49 19% .20 80% .16 0.85 67% 14% 29% -6 0 0.91 31% 0.6 .19 24% .27 69% .19
Feb
11		 San Diego F A A F F 40% 18% 42% C F F A+ C- F F+ A+ B C- A+ F+ F F 33% 22% 45% C+ F D- A+ A B A A+ A
0.91 72% 50% 11% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.6 .35 24% .29 100% .29 1.11 44% 45% 55% +11 -1 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 20% .16 63% .10
Feb
18		 Pepperdine B A+ A A+ A+ 55% 15% 30% B- A+ F A+ F+ C- B+ F C F A C+ F F 31% 22% 47% C+ F F F F F F C+ F+
1.25 76% 50% 44% +16 +2 1.38 16% 1.5 .24 17% .31 61% .19 1.36 44% 36% 54% +9 -1 1.20 44% 1.6 .72 13% .38 74% .28
Feb
21		 Seattle D A+ F F C- 27% 22% 51% D+ C- F A+ D F A+ A+ A+ C A+ D- D- A- 34% 14% 52% C B+ D D+ D+ D- F F F
0.86 70% 25% 26% -6 -1 0.89 15% 1.5 .22 28% .58 83% .48 1.03 29% 43% 38% -6 +1 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 15% .38 77% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 4.2 0.2 4.4 8th
9th 45.2 0.1 45.2 9th
10th 8.4 12.9 21.3 10th
11th 28.9 0.0 28.9 11th
12th 12th
Total 37.3 62.3 0.5 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 62.3% 62.3
5-13 37.3% 37.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 35.4%