Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#269
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#255
Pace65.4#264
Improvement-2.6#307

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#233
First Shot-4.1#297
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#76
Layup/Dunks-2.1#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
Freethrows-2.0#300
Improvement-3.2#349

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#287
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#256
Layups/Dunks-2.0#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#234
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement+0.7#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.9% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 10.1% 25.5% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 47.0% 34.3%
Conference Champion 2.8% 5.2% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 9.4% 14.8%
First Four1.8% 1.1% 1.9%
First Round2.8% 4.4% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 48 - 711 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 197   @ Charlotte L 79-88 25%     0 - 1 -7.8 +16.1 -25.1
  Nov 08, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 7%     0 - 2 +1.3 +7.0 -6.1
  Nov 13, 2024 151   Wofford W 71-68 38%     1 - 2 +0.2 +2.2 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2024 193   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 25%     1 - 3 -16.6 -2.9 -14.4
  Nov 21, 2024 214   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 28%     2 - 3 +3.4 -13.6 +16.8
  Nov 22, 2024 187   Youngstown St. W 67-42 33%     3 - 3 +23.6 -0.3 +24.8
  Nov 23, 2024 262   Monmouth W 71-61 48%     4 - 3 +4.6 +2.7 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 53%     4 - 4 -21.5 +1.3 -23.4
  Dec 03, 2024 357   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 68%     4 - 5 -13.6 -14.2 +0.6
  Dec 15, 2024 103   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 11%     4 - 6 -11.4 +8.9 -22.0
  Dec 21, 2024 279   Manhattan L 81-86 OT 64%     4 - 7 -14.4 -3.0 -11.1
  Dec 30, 2024 63   @ South Carolina L 61-78 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 172   Longwood L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 230   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 08, 2025 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 176   UNC Asheville L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 123   @ High Point L 68-79 15%    
  Jan 22, 2025 298   Charleston Southern W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 213   Radford L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 190   @ Winthrop L 74-81 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 123   High Point L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 342   South Carolina Upstate W 80-71 78%    
  Feb 12, 2025 298   @ Charleston Southern L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 172   @ Longwood L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 19, 2025 190   Winthrop L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 213   @ Radford L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 176   @ UNC Asheville L 69-77 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 230   Gardner-Webb W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.9 6.0 1.3 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.7 7.3 2.0 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.7 7.7 2.4 0.1 19.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.2 5.5 1.6 0.1 17.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.1 10.2 13.7 15.9 15.5 13.3 9.7 6.2 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 96.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 87.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
12-4 60.3% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1
11-5 25.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 4.1% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 21.2% 21.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.6% 16.2% 16.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.6% 15.7% 15.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
11-5 3.5% 11.4% 11.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 3.1
10-6 6.2% 7.7% 7.7% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 5.7
9-7 9.7% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.1
8-8 13.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.6 12.6
7-9 15.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 15.0
6-10 15.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 15.6
5-11 13.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.5
4-12 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.1
3-13 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
2-14 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%