Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.5 277
Results Rating -6.1 263
Pace 62.2 340
Improvement +0.2 185

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 273 D+ C D- C D+
Defense D+ 254 D+ C C- B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 61 C 57% 190 +2.2 95
2 Pt. Jumpers 53% 39 C 37% 200 +2.5 57
Three Pointers 29% 356 D 31% 310 -7.4 355
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 270 D+ -2.0 252
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 263
Second Chance C+ 31.8% 139 C 1.01 194 C 0.32 151
Turnovers D- 19.7% 331
Freethrows B- 0.33 102 D- 67% 327 C 0.22 165
Total Offense D+ -3.9 273

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 53% 96 C+ 10.2% 133
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 157 C+ 4.8% 170
Three Pointers D+ 79% 284 C+ 0.7% 147
Total C- 52% 258 C- 5.9% 218

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 C 59% 195 +4.4 323
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 234 D 42% 318 +0.0 191
Three Pointers 36% 322 C- 35% 244 -2.0 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 310 C- +1.6 246
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 257
Second Chance C- 31.0% 211 C 1.02 161 C 0.32 195
Turnovers C- 15.7% 249
Freethrows C+ 0.29 149 A- 68% 19 B- 0.20 96
Total Defense D+ -2.6 254

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 102 B- 13.3% 82
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 98 B- 6.5% 83
Three Pointers C 84% 174 C- 0.6% 218
Total B- 51% 88 B 7.5% 51

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 270 18.1 294
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 241 0.15 104
Improvement +1.8 #102 -1.6 #277

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 296 275 251
Results Rating Rank 292 259 236
Conference Record 7 - 9 7 - 9 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 1% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 30% 100% 15%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 18.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 410 - 912 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 154 Navy L 55 - 76 36% -16  3% 0 - 1 F -24 F -15 F+ F F F -11 F+ C F
 Sat, Nov 8 131 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 30% +2  57% 1 - 1 C+ +3 D+ -2 D A+ F B+ +6 A+ F B
 Mon, Nov 10 289 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 42% -5  13% 2 - 1 C- -3 C- -2 C- A+ F C -1 D C- C
 Wed, Nov 12 92 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 8% -18  2% 2 - 2 D -11 D -5 D- C+ C+ D- -7 C- B F
 Sun, Nov 16 276 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 38% +4  78% 2 - 3 D+ -5 F -14 F F C A- +8 B- F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 70 @California L 57 - 67 6% -3  10% 2 - 4 C +1 C- -1 F+ A+ D- C +0 D+ C- A
 Fri, Nov 21 37 @UCLA L 46 - 86 3% -24  0% 2 - 5 F -23 F -21 F F F D+ -4 F F+ B
 Sun, Nov 30 348 The Citadel W 69 - 41 74% +19  98% 3 - 5 A- +15 B +7 C+ A+ D+ A+ +16 A+ B- B
 Wed, Dec 3 238 @Wofford L 56 - 63 31% -4  22% 3 - 6 D -8 F -16 F B- F+ A- +7 A B F
 Sat, Dec 6 280 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 62% +3  67% 4 - 6 C- -2 C +0 C+ A F C- -2 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 246 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 32% -10  0% 4 - 7 F -23 F -20 F C+ F C- -3 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 319 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 53% -3  26% 4 - 8 D- -13 C- -2 D C C- F -11 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 297 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 67% +4  76% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C- -2 B +7 B+ B- B F+ -9 F C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 233 @Radford L 61 - 80 30% -6  6% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -20 D- -7 F C- B+ F -15 F A F
 Sat, Jan 10 262 @Longwood L 70 - 77 36% -10  1% 5 - 10 1 - 2 D -10 C+ +2 B D D F -12 F D- F+
 Wed, Jan 14 223 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 50% +6  83% 6 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 A- D+ F+ D+ -4 A- C- D
 Sat, Jan 17 364 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 80% +20  99% 7 - 10 3 - 2 A +21 B+ +9 B- C B A+ +12 B+ C A-
 Wed, Jan 21 268 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 60% +8  89% 8 - 10 4 - 2 D+ -5 C+ +3 A+ D C- F+ -9 D+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 135 Winthrop L 72 - 82 31% -5  3% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D- -11 D- -7 F+ D- D- D+ -4 B+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 90 @High Point L 81 - 84 8% -2  21% 8 - 12 4 - 4 B- +6 B+ +9 B+ A- C C- -3 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 233 Radford L 84 - 93 2OT 52% -0  42% 8 - 13 4 - 5 F+ -16 F+ -8 B- F F D -6 B- C F
 Sat, Feb 7 364 Gardner-Webb W 68 - 62 91% -0  40% 9 - 13 5 - 5 F+ -16 F -11 D F+ F D+ -4 F A- D
 Thu, Feb 12 268 @Charleston Southern L 67 - 84 37% -8  2% 9 - 14 5 - 6 F -20 D- -7 D B- F F -14 F+ F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 223 @UNC Asheville W 58 - 57 28% -2  7% 10 - 14 6 - 6 C +0 F+ -10 F B+ F A +10 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 262 Longwood W 72 - 65 58% -3  28% 11 - 14 7 - 6 C- -2 D+ -3 B C D C+ +1 F D A+
 Sat, Feb 21 297 @South Carolina Upstate L 74 - 76 44% -7  3% 11 - 15 7 - 7 D+ -7 B- +5 C- A- A F -12 F F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 26 90 High Point L 70 - 80 18%
 Sat, Feb 28 135 @Winthrop L 67 - 78 15%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 9 -7 D+ -4 B- D+ D+ D+ -3 D D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C D D+ 43% 53% 29% D+ D+ C+ C C D- B- D- C D+ C D C- C- 46% 19% 36% D D+ C- C C C- C+ A- B-
1.03 57% 37% 31% -2 -1 0.97 32% 1.0 .32 20% .33 67% .22 1.12 59% 42% 35% +2 +1 1.07 31% 1.0 .32 16% .29 68% .23
Nov
3		 Navy F A+ F F F 36% 18% 45% B F+ C- F F F A+ F A+ F D- A D+ D 54% 15% 30% F F+ D+ B- C F F A D
0.85 75% 25% 15% -9 0 0.84 29% 0.5 .15 23% .45 64% .28 1.18 64% 29% 36% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 12% .43 67% .28
Nov
8		 East Tennessee St. D+ F+ F B D- 45% 15% 40% B- D B+ A+ A+ F A+ C- A+ B+ A- F A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% C A+ F D F B F C F+
1.05 50% 17% 38% -5 +1 0.95 37% 1.3 .47 25% .53 73% .39 0.99 50% 50% 14% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.2 .44 19% .40 76% .30
Nov
10		 Georgia St. C- C F B+ C- 44% 23% 33% C- C- C A+ A+ F A+ A A+ C F+ D A+ D+ 37% 23% 40% F+ D F A+ C- C F+ A- D
1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33 1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26
Nov
12		 South Carolina D D- A+ F F 57% 26% 17% B D- A- D- C+ C+ A F C+ D- B A- F C- 42% 19% 40% C- C- F A+ B F F C+ F
0.94 50% 50% 0% -10 +1 0.83 37% 0.9 .32 15% .36 55% .20 1.25 55% 33% 42% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.7 .25 9% .54 78% .42
Nov
16		 Sacramento St. F C- F F F 47% 14% 39% C+ F C+ F F C B+ F C A- B- F A+ A- 61% 16% 23% F B- F+ F F A+ F B+ F
0.93 57% 29% 16% -13 +1 0.80 35% 0.7 .25 17% .38 62% .23 0.96 52% 57% 10% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.3 .43 26% .51 72% .36
Nov
18		 California C- F C D+ F+ 32% 30% 39% F+ F+ A+ B- A+ D- D C+ D+ C D+ F C D+ 43% 25% 32% D+ D+ F A+ C- A C A+ A
0.99 29% 38% 29% -12 -2 0.75 46% 1.1 .49 19% .26 67% .17 1.16 63% 55% 36% +7 0 1.16 38% 0.8 .31 19% .34 56% .19
Nov
21		 UCLA F A+ F F F 26% 33% 41% F+ F D- F F F C+ F+ C- D+ F A F F 61% 15% 24% F F A F F+ B F A+ D
0.68 75% 27% 11% -14 -2 0.70 23% 0.6 .14 25% .30 67% .20 1.28 75% 29% 45% +13 +2 1.33 26% 1.8 .48 16% .43 67% .28
Nov
30		 The Citadel B D A A+ B- 33% 19% 48% D C+ B A+ A+ D+ F F F A+ A+ D A A+ 28% 25% 48% A- A+ B- C+ B- B D A+ B+
1.27 57% 50% 45% +10 0 1.21 38% 1.6 .58 17% .20 56% .11 0.76 18% 40% 26% -16 -1 0.68 25% 0.9 .22 20% .30 46% .14
Dec
3		 Wofford F F F D+ F 69% 11% 20% A F B+ D+ B- F+ C+ F D A- A+ C- B A+ 39% 10% 51% D+ A F A+ B F C+ C- C+
0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20 1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22
Dec
6		 Morehead St. C B A+ D B- 43% 20% 36% C- C+ A+ D+ A F A+ F A+ C- C C+ F F+ 44% 15% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ D- B C B
1.18 63% 56% 31% +4 0 1.11 53% 0.9 .47 25% .59 63% .37 1.06 57% 38% 43% +5 +1 1.13 21% 0.6 .12 15% .26 73% .19
Dec
17		 East Carolina F F+ F F F 63% 17% 20% A F C B- C+ F B- D+ C+ C- C- F D- F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F B+ A+ F F F
0.77 48% 25% 11% -15 +2 0.76 30% 1.2 .36 28% .28 71% .20 1.08 57% 71% 36% +6 +2 1.17 20% 1.3 .25 23% .50 85% .42
Dec
21		 Manhattan C- D D- B+ D 46% 20% 34% C+ D C+ C- C C- F+ A- D F F F D- F 42% 15% 44% F F C A B F D+ A+ C+
1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15 1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22
Jan
3		 South Carolina Upstate B A+ B- B A+ 37% 44% 20% F B+ C+ B- B- B A+ C+ A+ F+ F A- F F 32% 34% 34% A+ F A+ F C+ C+ F A+ D+
1.23 80% 39% 38% +9 -3 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 13% .71 72% .51 1.10 75% 29% 47% +9 -2 1.16 17% 1.4 .24 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
7		 Radford D- F+ D F+ F 47% 32% 21% D- F C+ D C- B+ C+ F F F C- F F F 24% 27% 49% A+ F B A+ A F A- F C
0.99 50% 33% 30% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17 1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26
Jan
10		 Longwood C+ B C+ A- B 43% 11% 45% B- B D D+ D D D+ F D- F D+ D+ F F 43% 20% 37% D F F+ D+ D- F+ B+ F C+
1.11 68% 40% 40% +9 +2 1.23 24% 0.9 .21 21% .32 63% .20 1.22 62% 40% 44% +8 0 1.18 39% 1.0 .39 16% .26 86% .23
Jan
14		 UNC Asheville C- F+ A+ A+ A 53% 28% 19% C- A- D+ C- D+ F+ A+ F A- D+ A+ A+ F A 34% 40% 26% C A- D B- C- D F F F
1.08 48% 58% 63% +8 0 1.19 29% 0.9 .25 20% .51 52% .27 1.07 44% 21% 50% -6 -3 0.85 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 83% .36
Jan
17		 Gardner-Webb B+ C+ A+ A+ B 53% 26% 21% C- B- D+ B+ C B A- B A A+ A- A+ B B+ 34% 20% 45% B+ B+ B+ F C A- F A D-
1.31 64% 50% 45% +10 0 1.23 32% 1.2 .39 13% .36 77% .28 0.79 47% 22% 30% -10 0 0.82 18% 1.2 .21 24% .38 60% .23
Jan
21		 Charleston Southern C+ A B- A+ A+ 40% 36% 23% D- A+ F B+ D C- A+ F A+ F+ B- A+ F D+ 41% 7% 52% D D+ B- F F F+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 68% 41% 55% +13 -2 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 12% .56 61% .34 1.13 54% 25% 40% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 15% .13 38% .05
Jan
24		 Winthrop D- F A+ F D- 30% 33% 37% F F+ C- F D- D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B D- A+ A 55% 13% 32% D- B+ D C D+ F F B- F
1.01 43% 53% 24% -5 -2 0.87 27% 0.9 .24 20% .44 88% .38 1.15 48% 43% 24% -10 +2 0.87 37% 1.1 .39 7% .53 71% .38
Jan
29		 High Point B+ B C- A+ A 39% 36% 25% F B+ B B+ A- C A+ A A+ C- B F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% D- A D C D+ F F+ D+ F
1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35 1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Radford F+ A+ F C+ B+ 48% 31% 20% D- B- B+ F F F C+ B+ B D A+ F D+ C+ 38% 27% 35% A- B- B- D C F D B C-
1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27 1.13 42% 47% 36% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27
Feb
7		 Gardner-Webb F A D+ F D 51% 27% 22% C- D B F F+ F A+ D A+ D+ C- D+ F F 54% 17% 29% D F C- A+ A- D B A+ A+
1.07 74% 33% 20% +2 0 1.07 41% 0.7 .28 21% .46 70% .32 0.98 58% 38% 43% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.5 .12 17% .23 33% .08
Feb
12		 Charleston Southern D- B F F D+ 46% 36% 18% D D A- D B- F A+ F A F F A+ B- D- 57% 4% 39% F F+ F F F A- C- D- D+
0.99 61% 28% 22% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.9 .34 21% .52 61% .32 1.24 71% 0% 32% +5 +3 1.18 50% 1.3 .65 22% .27 71% .19
Feb
14		 UNC Asheville F+ F A F F+ 42% 31% 27% F+ F C- A+ B+ F F+ F F A A- F A+ B+ 46% 30% 24% F B- B- A+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+
0.92 42% 50% 25% -7 -1 0.87 29% 1.3 .38 21% .24 58% .14 0.90 48% 53% 25% -3 -1 0.94 26% 0.4 .12 16% .17 67% .11
Feb
19		 Longwood D+ B A+ B- A- 44% 30% 26% F+ B C- B- C D A+ F A- C+ F D- F+ F 41% 39% 20% A F B F D A+ C- A+ A
1.08 68% 54% 36% +10 -1 1.21 27% 1.0 .27 21% .50 62% .30 0.98 71% 44% 38% +8 -2 1.15 29% 1.3 .36 29% .34 50% .17
Feb
21		 South Carolina Upstate B- D+ F B+ D+ 54% 21% 25% C+ C- D- A+ A- A F+ C- F+ F D+ F D+ F 55% 16% 29% F F F D+ F+ C- B C- C+
1.15 54% 27% 38% -3 +1 0.98 25% 1.9 .47 11% .23 69% .16 1.18 59% 50% 36% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 17% .26 71% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 1.5 2.1 3.6 3rd
4th 1.3 11.4 1.0 13.7 4th
5th 31.7 14.2 45.8 5th
6th 36.9 36.9 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 69.9 27.1 3.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.9
8-8 27.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.7 26.5
7-9 69.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 1.1 68.7
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 98.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.7 31.0 69.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 42.6%