San Jose St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.4 218
Results Rating -4.4 238
Pace 63.3 323
Improvement +0.4 174

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 158 C- B- B- C- F+
Defense D+ 283 D+ F+ C+ C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 337 C- 55% 252 -5.1 342
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 53 C 38% 176 +3.4 37
Three Pointers 39% 218 B- 36% 101 +0.3 164
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.6 341 C +0.3 165
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 215
Second Chance B- 32.9% 102 C+ 1.06 134 B- 0.35 99
Turnovers B- 15.5% 95
Freethrows D+ 0.28 255 B- 75% 112 C- 0.21 215
Total Offense C +0.2 158

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 243 C- 11.5% 210
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 293 C 4.9% 177
Three Pointers D- 76% 328 C+ 0.7% 125
Total D 48% 321 C+ 5.3% 147

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 127 D- 66% 343 +4.5 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 277 C- 40% 261 -0.9 119
Three Pointers 42% 148 C+ 33% 117 -0.3 167
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 269 D+ +2.6 286
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 292
Second Chance D- 34.6% 327 F+ 1.17 349 F+ 0.41 354
Turnovers C+ 18.0% 108
Freethrows C+ 0.29 133 D 75% 324 C 0.22 166
Total Defense D+ -3.5 283

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 307 D- 6.2% 342
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 204 D+ 3.2% 284
Three Pointers D 89% 325 D+ 0.4% 288
Total D+ 60% 291 D- 3.3% 339

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 340 17.1 156
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 279 0.20 272
Improvement +0.4 #159 -0.1 #190

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 252 223 192
Results Rating Rank 288 232 205
Conference Record 2 - 18 3 - 17 5 - 15
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 3%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 75.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 21 - 101 - 16
Quad 31 - 72 - 23
Quad 46 - 08 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 99 @Utah L 75 - 84 14% -5  11% 0 - 1 C -1 C+ +2 C+ C C- C- -3 D- D C
 Sat, Nov 8 141 @UC Santa Barbara L 74 - 85 24% -9  3% 0 - 2 D+ -7 B +6 C- A+ F F -15 F F C
 Thu, Nov 13 10 @Michigan St. L 60 - 79 2% -14  0% 0 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 D+ B- A- C+ +2 B- B- F+
 Fri, Nov 21 258 Southern W 80 - 66 69% +8  90% 1 - 3 B- +5 C +1 C- B- D- B +4 C A- B+
 Tue, Nov 25 76 Tulsa L 51 - 81 15% -13  4% 1 - 4 F -22 F -17 F C F+ F+ -10 D- F C-
 Wed, Nov 26 282 Loyola Chicago W 63 - 51 63% +1  49% 2 - 4 B- +5 D+ -3 D+ D C+ A +11 C- F A+
 Sun, Nov 30 120 UC Irvine L 63 - 72 38% -5  6% 2 - 5 D -9 D -4 D+ D- A D -6 C- F C-
 Fri, Dec 5 226 San Diego W 86 - 69 63% +18  98% 3 - 5 B +10 C+ +3 A- A+ F A- +7 A+ F D
 Tue, Dec 9 263 Long Beach St. W 89 - 83 OT 70% +1  43% 4 - 5 C- -3 B+ +9 A A C+ F -11 C- F B+
 Sat, Dec 13 77 Stanford L 82 - 86 23% -8  0% 4 - 6 C +1 A- +11 B- A+ A+ F -10 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 47 @New Mexico L 65 - 88 6% -10  1% 4 - 7 0 - 1 D -9 C- -2 C- C- C D- -8 F F+ C
 Tue, Dec 30 45 San Diego St. L 68 - 81 14% -4  5% 4 - 8 0 - 2 C- -5 D+ -3 F+ A- D- C- -2 D+ F A
 Sat, Jan 3 28 @Utah St. L 78 - 96 3% -1  51% 4 - 9 0 - 3 C -0 A+ +17 A C+ A+ F -18 F F D
 Tue, Jan 6 132 Fresno St. L 55 - 70 41% -11  1% 4 - 10 0 - 4 F+ -16 F -14 D+ F B- D+ -4 D F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 62 @Grand Canyon L 58 - 76 9% -14  0% 4 - 11 0 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -8 C D+ D C+ +2 D- D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 351 Air Force W 70 - 62 89% +4  89% 5 - 11 1 - 5 D -9 C- -1 D+ B- C D -6 D+ D- A
 Sat, Jan 17 118 UNLV L 62 - 76 37% -7  2% 5 - 12 1 - 6 D- -14 C- -1 C+ C- F+ F -17 F A+ F+
 Tue, Jan 20 78 @Nevada L 54 - 87 10% -16  0% 5 - 13 1 - 7 F -22 F+ -10 F D A+ F -17 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 100 @Wyoming L 62 - 66 14% -3  10% 5 - 14 1 - 8 C+ +4 D -4 D F+ A A- +8 B- A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 64 Boise St. L 58 - 89 20% -9  6% 5 - 15 1 - 9 F -25 F -13 F B- D F -14 F F C
 Sat, Jan 31 47 New Mexico L 80 - 90 14% -7  0% 5 - 16 1 - 10 C- -2 A+ +16 B+ A+ A+ F -19 F+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 91 @Colorado St. L 57 - 65 13% -3  7% 5 - 17 1 - 11 C +1 F -14 F F+ A+ A+ +14 A+ D- D-
 Tue, Feb 10 118 @UNLV L 75 - 82 19% -4  6% 5 - 18 1 - 12 C -1 C+ +3 F+ A- A+ D+ -4 C+ D- D-
 Sat, Feb 14 62 Grand Canyon L 79 - 94 20% -6  23% 5 - 19 1 - 13 D -9 A+ +16 A C+ A+ F -26 F F B+
 Tue, Feb 17 78 Nevada W 87 - 71 23% +12  98% 6 - 19 2 - 13 A +21 A +11 A+ A+ F+ A +9 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Feb 21 64 @Boise St. L 69 - 84 9% -9  3% 6 - 20 2 - 14 C- -3 C+ +3 F+ A+ A+ D- -7 F C D-
 Tue, Feb 24 351 @Air Force W 73 - 66 75%
 Sat, Feb 28 91 Colorado St. L 68 - 74 28%
 Tue, Mar 3 132 @Fresno St. L 69 - 77 21%
 Sat, Mar 7 100 Wyoming L 71 - 76 31%
Totals 8 - 22 4 - 16 -3 C +0 F C F+ D+ -4 B- B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- C B- C 31% 50% 39% F+ C- B- C+ B- B- D+ B- C- D+ D- C- C+ D+ 41% 18% 42% D+ D+ D- F+ F+ C+ C+ D C
1.09 55% 38% 36% 0 -2 0.99 33% 1.1 .35 15% .28 75% .21 1.14 66% 40% 33% +3 +1 1.09 35% 1.2 .41 18% .29 75% .21
Nov
3		 Utah C+ B- F C C 47% 20% 33% C+ C+ B- D- C C- B F D+ C- F A+ F D 45% 14% 41% D D- D- C- D C C- A+ B-
1.07 62% 27% 33% -1 +1 1.02 33% 0.8 .28 16% .30 50% .15 1.20 70% 14% 43% +7 +1 1.20 36% 1.0 .36 16% .32 63% .20
Nov
8		 UC Santa Barbara B D+ A+ F C 32% 32% 36% F C- A+ A+ A+ F A A A+ F D F F F 37% 22% 41% B- F F D F C D- B D
1.18 57% 64% 25% +3 -2 1.05 44% 1.5 .64 22% .43 81% .35 1.36 65% 60% 53% +19 0 1.39 42% 1.1 .46 18% .37 74% .27
Nov
13		 Michigan St. C D+ C F+ C- 19% 32% 49% F+ D+ C- A+ B- A- A- D- B C+ F D- A+ B 38% 18% 44% D- B- C B B- F+ F A D
0.91 50% 35% 27% -8 -3 0.81 18% 1.0 .18 14% .31 67% .21 1.19 79% 44% 23% +2 0 1.06 41% 1.0 .41 14% .44 68% .30
Nov
21		 Southern C D C A+ C+ 30% 36% 34% F C- A- D B- D- A+ C A+ B D+ D+ A C+ 33% 24% 43% C- C C A+ A- B+ A- F B-
1.15 54% 38% 47% +5 -3 1.07 39% 1.0 .39 22% .53 76% .40 0.95 61% 38% 26% -4 -1 0.93 29% 0.7 .21 20% .25 79% .20
Nov
25		 Tulsa F F D- C+ F 29% 35% 35% F F B+ F C F+ F+ D+ F+ F+ C+ A+ F D- 48% 6% 46% D D- C+ F F C- A+ C A+
0.83 29% 29% 35% -11 -3 0.75 33% 0.9 .30 20% .20 70% .14 1.32 57% 0% 50% +8 +3 1.23 31% 1.9 .58 15% .19 80% .15
Nov
26		 Loyola Chicago D+ D A+ F D+ 36% 29% 36% D D+ B F D C+ B F C+ A C- B D+ D+ 34% 17% 49% B+ C- C F F A+ B A B+
1.08 50% 62% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.7 .24 12% .33 71% .23 0.87 58% 33% 35% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.3 .41 36% .27 60% .16
Nov
30		 UC Irvine D F F A C- 31% 31% 38% D- D+ B+ F D- A D+ B+ C- D C+ F A C 55% 24% 22% F C- D+ F F C- B A+ A-
0.95 38% 25% 40% -7 -2 0.85 40% 0.5 .21 14% .23 77% .17 1.08 54% 50% 27% -2 +1 1.00 33% 1.3 .42 17% .25 57% .14
Dec
5		 San Diego C+ A A+ A A+ 32% 34% 34% F A- A+ D- A+ F A+ D+ A+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ 20% 19% 61% B- A+ F D- F D D D+ D
1.18 71% 53% 40% +13 -2 1.23 58% 0.9 .54 30% .53 70% .37 0.95 55% 0% 24% -17 -1 0.67 39% 1.1 .43 15% .27 76% .21
Dec
9		 Long Beach St. B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% D- A D+ A+ A C+ A+ C- A F D- C- A- C- 40% 25% 35% D- C- F C F B+ B- F C-
1.25 56% 64% 44% +12 -1 1.24 26% 1.9 .48 17% .46 74% .34 1.17 67% 38% 28% 0 0 1.02 50% 1.1 .53 21% .25 86% .21
Dec
13		 Stanford A- A+ C+ C- A- 26% 43% 30% F B- B+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B+ F F A+ F F 49% 5% 46% D F F F+ F A+ F C F
1.19 71% 39% 31% +3 -4 1.00 33% 1.5 .48 12% .33 90% .29 1.24 72% 0% 53% +18 +3 1.43 60% 1.2 .70 29% .59 72% .43
Dec
20		 New Mexico C- F F A+ C+ 21% 31% 48% F+ C- C+ D C- C F A F+ D- F F C+ F 32% 10% 58% B- F A+ F F+ C C F D
0.95 45% 25% 40% -2 -3 0.92 28% 0.9 .25 19% .18 80% .15 1.29 81% 80% 34% +12 +1 1.28 16% 2.5 .40 15% .31 83% .26
Dec
30		 San Diego St. D+ F B+ F F 32% 21% 47% C F+ B+ A- A- D- A+ A+ A+ C- B- C+ F D 46% 30% 24% C- D+ F F F A F B F
0.93 40% 40% 23% -13 -1 0.74 33% 1.1 .36 25% .44 92% .40 1.11 57% 36% 55% +6 -1 1.13 39% 1.4 .54 22% .46 73% .33
Jan
3		 Utah St. A+ C F+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% C+ A B+ D- C+ A+ A A+ A+ F D- F F F 57% 9% 35% D- F F+ F F D F F F
1.21 56% 27% 50% +6 0 1.13 38% 0.8 .31 16% .40 82% .33 1.49 69% 50% 44% +12 +3 1.33 42% 1.7 .71 12% .46 81% .37
Jan
6		 Fresno St. F A+ F D+ C 20% 26% 54% F D+ F D+ F B- F C- F D+ D+ F B- D+ 48% 17% 35% D D F C F A+ C B C+
0.87 100% 8% 30% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.0 .18 17% .13 71% .10 1.10 64% 50% 31% +3 +1 1.11 42% 1.0 .42 25% .29 71% .21
Jan
10		 Grand Canyon F+ C F C+ C+ 29% 31% 40% D C D+ D+ D+ D A F B- C+ F A B D- 35% 8% 56% D- D- C D- D B+ C F D+
0.83 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 20% .39 64% .25 1.09 82% 25% 30% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.2 .41 20% .32 83% .27
Jan
13		 Air Force C- C D B D+ 36% 26% 38% D+ D+ C- A B- C A+ B+ A+ D F+ A+ D+ D+ 36% 17% 48% B- D+ F B- D- A D F F
1.14 60% 36% 38% +2 -1 1.05 29% 1.3 .36 15% .46 75% .34 1.01 67% 14% 35% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.0 .32 26% .33 80% .27
Jan
17		 UNLV C- D+ F A+ B- 38% 35% 26% F C+ A+ F C- F+ A+ A+ A+ F D F F F 36% 19% 45% C+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F B-
1.10 54% 25% 56% +2 -2 1.03 43% 0.7 .30 21% .47 86% .41 1.35 65% 56% 52% +18 0 1.38 22% 0.4 .09 12% .24 92% .22
Jan
20		 Nevada F+ F D+ F F 28% 28% 44% F+ F C F D A+ C- C- C- F D+ B- F F 40% 24% 36% D+ F C- F F F C+ D- C-
0.88 43% 36% 18% -15 -2 0.68 28% 0.9 .25 11% .31 71% .22 1.41 60% 33% 50% +8 0 1.18 35% 1.5 .52 8% .37 81% .30
Jan
24		 Wyoming D F D A- C- 27% 23% 50% F D F D F+ A F C F A- D- F A+ B+ 59% 8% 33% F B- C A+ A+ C+ F F F
0.98 36% 33% 38% -4 -1 0.92 15% 0.8 .13 13% .29 69% .20 1.04 65% 67% 15% -3 +3 1.03 37% 0.2 .07 17% .52 89% .46
Jan
27		 Boise St. F D- F C F+ 24% 33% 43% F+ F C B+ B- D A- F C F F F A+ F+ 74% 2% 24% F F F F F C F A- D
0.87 50% 25% 33% -7 -3 0.84 22% 1.3 .27 18% .33 56% .18 1.33 71% 100% 27% +8 +5 1.28 45% 1.4 .64 15% .44 72% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 New Mexico A+ C- A+ C+ A- 17% 26% 57% D- B+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ C C- F F A+ F F+ 50% 13% 37% D+ F+ B F F F F F F
1.25 56% 57% 33% +4 -2 1.06 32% 1.4 .44 8% .26 73% .19 1.41 70% 17% 47% +10 +2 1.26 28% 1.6 .44 9% .42 88% .36
Feb
7		 Colorado St. F F D+ F F 33% 35% 32% F+ F F A+ F+ A+ F A+ D A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% D A+ C F D- D- D+ B- C-
0.87 42% 35% 17% -15 -2 0.68 8% 2.7 .21 6% .18 91% .16 0.99 58% 20% 17% -15 +1 0.75 32% 1.3 .43 15% .36 75% .27
Feb
10		 UNLV C+ F D+ A D- 26% 37% 37% F F+ D+ A+ A- A+ D A C D+ B F C C+ 41% 20% 39% C C+ D D- D- D- C C- C
1.11 29% 35% 40% -5 -3 0.85 27% 1.6 .44 10% .33 80% .26 1.21 52% 60% 35% +3 0 1.08 36% 1.0 .36 13% .36 71% .26
Feb
14		 Grand Canyon A+ B- A+ A- A+ 26% 34% 40% F+ A D A+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ F F F A+ F 38% 26% 36% B+ F F F F B+ D F F+
1.22 58% 50% 37% +6 -3 1.09 21% 1.5 .31 11% .40 83% .33 1.45 83% 67% 24% +11 -1 1.23 54% 1.6 .88 20% .37 84% .31
Feb
17		 Nevada A F A+ A+ A+ 16% 31% 53% F A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ F C- A F B+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% C+ A+ C+ A A- A+ F C+ F
1.22 38% 53% 46% +11 -3 1.18 39% 1.6 .61 21% .34 63% .21 1.00 71% 31% 12% -10 -1 0.81 33% 0.8 .28 21% .57 75% .43
Feb
21		 Boise St. C+ C+ B F D- 27% 36% 38% F+ F+ B A+ A+ A+ F A+ F D- D- F F+ F 48% 8% 44% F+ F A F C D- A- F B-
1.05 60% 45% 19% -5 -3 0.86 27% 1.5 .41 9% .12 100% .12 1.28 67% 75% 41% +12 +2 1.30 26% 1.3 .35 12% .29 88% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.7 0.7 10th
11th 10.9 39.7 35.1 12.6 1.0 99.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 10.9 39.7 35.1 12.6 1.7 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 1.7% 1.7
5-15 12.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-16 35.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 35.1
3-17 39.7% 39.7
2-18 10.9% 10.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.5%