Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#146
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#222
Pace65.4#252
Improvement+1.5#132

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#229
First Shot-4.2#294
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#72
Layup/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#234
Freethrows+4.1#12
Improvement-5.0#351

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#91
First Shot+0.9#147
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#34
Layups/Dunks-0.8#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#120
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+6.5#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 14.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.4% 10.0% 0.0%
First Round7.7% 12.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 4
Quad 30 - 102 - 14
Quad 49 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 294   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 71%     0 - 1 -11.9 +8.3 -20.0
  Nov 09, 2024 66   Liberty L 64-66 33%     0 - 2 +3.5 +0.1 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2024 186   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 48%     0 - 3 -2.7 -6.2 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2024 46   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 11%     1 - 3 +27.1 +25.5 +2.7
  Nov 26, 2024 138   Furman L 56-61 49%     1 - 4 -3.8 -10.6 +6.2
  Nov 29, 2024 1   @ Duke L 48-70 1%     1 - 5 +7.5 -10.5 +17.3
  Dec 04, 2024 201   Portland St. W 91-74 72%     2 - 5 +11.9 +22.4 -9.9
  Dec 07, 2024 159   @ UTEP L 72-88 42%     2 - 6 -13.1 +2.8 -16.1
  Dec 17, 2024 160   @ Western Kentucky L 73-86 43%     2 - 7 -10.3 +3.8 -14.1
  Dec 20, 2024 172   Illinois-Chicago L 68-79 66%     2 - 8 -14.4 -9.4 -4.6
  Dec 23, 2024 105   @ Washington W 79-70 29%     3 - 8 +15.7 +7.1 +8.4
  Dec 30, 2024 180   Nicholls St. L 69-71 68%     3 - 9 -5.9 -3.8 -2.2
  Jan 04, 2025 163   @ California Baptist L 59-61 43%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +0.6 -6.8 +7.3
  Jan 11, 2025 211   Abilene Christian W 66-64 73%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -3.6 -0.2 -3.2
  Jan 16, 2025 293   Utah Tech W 82-62 85%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +9.6 +7.1 +3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 304   Southern Utah W 75-52 87%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +12.0 +1.4 +11.3
  Jan 23, 2025 226   @ Texas Arlington L 56-65 56%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -9.7 -9.8 -1.3
  Jan 25, 2025 114   Utah Valley L 66-70 51%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -3.3 -1.5 -2.0
  Jan 30, 2025 90   @ Grand Canyon L 74-83 23%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -0.5 +2.8 -2.6
  Feb 06, 2025 275   Tarleton St. W 91-54 83%     7 - 13 4 - 4 +27.9 +36.2 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2025 226   Texas Arlington W 67-65 75%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -4.2 -6.5 +2.4
  Feb 13, 2025 211   @ Abilene Christian L 59-75 54%     8 - 14 5 - 5 -16.1 -11.4 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2025 275   @ Tarleton St. L 64-67 67%     8 - 15 5 - 6 -6.6 -6.1 -0.5
  Feb 22, 2025 114   @ Utah Valley L 55-61 31%     8 - 16 5 - 7 +0.2 -2.6 +1.7
  Feb 27, 2025 163   California Baptist W 72-48 64%     9 - 16 6 - 7 +21.1 +4.0 +18.9
  Mar 01, 2025 90   Grand Canyon L 60-63 42%     9 - 17 6 - 8 +0.0 -7.3 +7.2
  Mar 06, 2025 304   @ Southern Utah W 62-39 73%     10 - 17 7 - 8 +17.5 -8.6 +27.1
  Mar 08, 2025 293   @ Utah Tech W 70-65 71%     11 - 17 8 - 8 +0.1 -3.4 +3.7
  Mar 13, 2025 211   Abilene Christian W 68-64 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.2 9.2 90.6
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 9.2 90.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.4% 100.0% 16.0 1.9 98.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 38.8%
Lose Out 36.2%