Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.3 #124
Expected Predictive Rating +2.7 #121
Pace 69.0 #173
Improvement -2.5 #288

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #301 C+ F+ C D+ B-
Defense #26 B- C+ A- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #71 1.17 #159 +2.8 #91
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #240 0.70 #264 -1.6 #266
Three Pointers 40% #209 1.05 #125 +0.0 #176
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #138 +1.2 #138
Freethrows 0.27 #268 69% #274 0.19 #285
Second Chance 25.4% #319 0.80 #363 0.20 #356
Turnovers 17.0% #201
Total Offense -4.8 #301

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #139 1.03 #43 +1.5 #121
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #122 0.86 #324 -1.7 #312
Three Pointers 38% #271 0.91 #51 +3.6 #48
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #68 +3.5 #67
Freethrows 0.29 #158 71% #84 0.21 #134
Second Chance 32.0% #241 0.89 #26 0.28 #103
Turnovers 21.2% #15
Total Defense +7.1 #26

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #91 -0.1% #155
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.8% #160 -6.6% #59
Possession Length 16.5 #97 17.6 #243
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #307 0.13 #63
Improvement -6.1 #362 +3.6 #29

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 95.3% 97.1% 82.3%
.500 or above in Conference 26.3% 29.0% 6.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.4% 6.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 87.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 22 - 23 - 7
Quad 34 - 46 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 288 Denver W 84 - 73 88% +6  1 - 0 +1 -7 D- F D +7 B+ C A+
 Sat, Nov 8 263 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 85% +4  1 - 1 -11 -13 C F F +2 C- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 245 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 83% +15  2 - 1 +19 +11 A+ C- F +7 C+ A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 227 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 80% +9  3 - 1 +2 +15 A+ B+ D- -12 C F B
 Fri, Nov 21 86 @Stanford W 77 - 69 25% -2  4 - 1 +17 +6 B- C- C- +11 A+ B+ C+
 Fri, Nov 28 259 Texas St. W 66 - 52 77% +5  5 - 1 +8 +2 B+ F B+ +8 C A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 130 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 52% -1  5 - 2 -1 +5 B+ D+ A- -7 C- F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 257 UTEP W 75 - 68 84% +1  6 - 2 -1 +4 B C C -5 D+ D B
 Wed, Dec 17 189 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 55% +4  7 - 2 +2 +3 C C+ D+ -1 F+ A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 41 Washington W 70 - 66 25% -2  8 - 2 +13 -4 C+ F D+ +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 342 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 85% +4  9 - 2 -6 -9 F+ F D+ +3 F B+ A-
 Sun, Dec 28 97 San Francisco L 59 - 67 50% -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -14 F F+ A+ +8 A+ D C-
 Tue, Dec 30 122 Washington St. W 69 - 55 61% +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +14 -5 B F C- +18 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 11 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +15 +5 B- C+ B +10 A A C+
 Sun, Jan 4 42 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 12% -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +17 A+ D A+ -21 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 184 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 53% -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F D+ +4 A+ F B
 Thu, Jan 15 202 San Diego W 75 - 64 77% +6  11 - 6 2 - 4 +5 -3 B+ F C +8 B+ A A-
 Sat, Jan 17 11 Gonzaga L 50 - 71 10% -8  11 - 7 2 - 5 -4 -14 D C F +9 A- C- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 170 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 59 72% +12  12 - 7 3 - 5 +6 -2 C- D A+ +8 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 125 @Pacific L 54 - 56 39% -8  12 - 8 3 - 6 +3 -10 C+ F F +13 A- B+ B+
 Wed, Jan 28 122 @Washington St. L 58 - 70 38% -6  12 - 9 3 - 7 -6 -13 F D- C+ +6 F A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 4 283 Pepperdine W 72 - 60 88%
 Sat, Feb 7 232 @Portland W 71 - 68 62%
 Wed, Feb 11 46 @Santa Clara L 65 - 77 13%
 Sun, Feb 15 184 Oregon St. W 70 - 63 74%
 Wed, Feb 18 42 St. Mary's L 62 - 69 27%
 Sat, Feb 21 232 Portland W 74 - 65 81%
 Wed, Feb 25 283 @Pepperdine W 69 - 63 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 170 @Loyola Marymount W 66 - 65 50%
Totals 17 - 12 8 - 10 +2 -5 C+ F+ C +7 B- C+ A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.4 4.0 0.6 8.2 4th
5th 0.0 4.1 9.5 2.1 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 14.4 5.6 0.2 22.1 6th
7th 0.3 10.2 10.5 0.7 21.7 7th
8th 3.7 11.2 1.2 16.0 8th
9th 0.7 7.2 1.8 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.3 2.0 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.1 1.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 4.3 13.2 25.1 30.4 19.2 6.3 0.7 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.7% 2.1% 2.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 6.3% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 6.3
9-9 19.2% 0.4% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.1
8-10 30.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 30.3
7-11 25.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 25.1
6-12 13.2% 13.2
5-13 4.3% 4.3
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%