Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.6 #120
Expected Predictive Rating +3.4 #119
Pace 69.8 #169
Improvement -2.7 #311

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #248 B- F C D+ B-
Defense #51 B C A C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #70 1.18 #151 +3.0 #90
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #219 0.77 #147 -0.6 #205
Three Pointers 39% #226 1.07 #109 +0.0 #177
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #113 +2.4 #113
Freethrows 16.0 #256 71% #239 11.3 #263
Second Chance 27.2% #277 0.78 #363 0.21 #349
Turnovers 16.8% #190
Total Offense -2.6 #248

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #108 1.03 #42 +1.1 #135
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #148 0.81 #259 -0.9 #245
Three Pointers 38% #271 0.91 #62 +3.7 #58
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #64 +4.0 #64
Freethrows 16.5 #145 71% #106 11.6 #239
Second Chance 33.3% #278 0.93 #55 0.31 #158
Turnovers 20.5% #23
Total Defense +5.2 #51

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #99 0.2% #184
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.4% #131 -8.1% #54
Possession Length 16.2 #83 17.9 #283
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #278 0.14 #86
Improvement -3.4 #349 +0.8 #133

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 12.0
.500 or above 92.3% 95.3% 80.7%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 46.9% 19.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.5% 6.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 79.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 22 - 23 - 6
Quad 35 - 58 - 10
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 264 Denver W 84 - 73 86%  +6  1 - 0 +2 -7 D- F D +8 A C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 253 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 85%  +4  1 - 1 -10 -11 B F F +1 D+ C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 255 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 85%  +15  2 - 1 +19 +10 A+ C F +8 B A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 187 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 77%  +9  3 - 1 +4 +15 A+ A+ F -10 C+ F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 79 @Stanford W 77 - 69 22%  -2  4 - 1 +19 +7 B C- C- +11 A+ A B-
 Fri, Nov 28 268 Texas St. W 66 - 52 80%  +5  5 - 1 +8 +1 B F A +9 C A+ A
 Sat, Nov 29 181 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 66%  -1  5 - 2 -4 +3 B D- A- -8 D F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 244 UTEP W 75 - 68 83%  +1  6 - 2 -1 +3 B+ C C -4 D+ C B+
 Wed, Dec 17 171 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 52%  +4  7 - 2 +3 +2 C- C+ F +1 F A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 47 Washington W 70 - 66 31%  -2  8 - 2 +12 -5 C F D+ +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 315 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 80%  +4  9 - 2 -3 -6 D F D +3 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 28 100 San Francisco L 59 - 67 52%  -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -13 F F A+ +7 A+ D C
 Tue, Dec 30 145 Washington St. W 69 - 55 68%  +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +12 -3 B+ F D+ +15 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 10 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4%  +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +15 +4 B+ C+ B- +12 A+ A B
 Sun, Jan 4 41 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 12%  -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +17 A+ F A+ -20 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 182 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 55%  -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F C- +4 A+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 15 222 San Diego W 78 - 69 79% 
 Sat, Jan 17 10 Gonzaga L 67 - 82 8% 
 Wed, Jan 21 122 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 66 62% 
 Sat, Jan 24 144 @Pacific L 69 - 70 45% 
 Wed, Jan 28 145 @Washington St. L 70 - 71 45% 
 Wed, Feb 4 274 Pepperdine W 73 - 61 88% 
 Sat, Feb 7 238 @Portland W 74 - 70 64% 
 Wed, Feb 11 61 @Santa Clara L 69 - 78 19% 
 Sun, Feb 15 182 Oregon St. W 71 - 64 75% 
 Wed, Feb 18 41 St. Mary's L 65 - 72 27% 
 Sat, Feb 21 238 Portland W 77 - 67 82% 
 Wed, Feb 25 274 @Pepperdine W 70 - 64 72% 
 Sat, Feb 28 122 @Loyola Marymount L 66 - 69 40% 
Totals 17 - 12 8 - 10 +3 -3 B- F C +5 B C A




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 6.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 8.4 5.1 0.7 0.0 16.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 7.7 7.1 0.9 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.3 5.5 8.6 1.7 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 8.1 2.3 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.7 3.1 0.2 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.8 0.2 6.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.5 11.7 17.8 20.9 19.6 12.9 6.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.4% 10.1% 8.9% 1.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4%
12-6 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 2.0
11-7 6.4% 1.0% 1.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 6.3
10-8 12.9% 0.9% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.8
9-9 19.6% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 19.6
8-10 20.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.9
7-11 17.8% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 17.8
6-12 11.7% 11.7
5-13 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.7 99.7 0.0%