Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#240
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Pace70.4#116
Improvement-0.3#209

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#318
First Shot-5.9#329
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#171
Layup/Dunks+2.1#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#334
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-0.9#227

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#133
First Shot+2.6#91
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#292
Layups/Dunks+3.5#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#317
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+0.6#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 01 - 5
Quad 30 - 21 - 7
Quad 416 - 517 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 237   @ South Dakota L 79-93 39%     0 - 1 -15.4 -6.8 -7.0
  Nov 07, 2024 60   @ Iowa L 74-89 7%     0 - 2 -2.6 +0.1 -2.1
  Nov 13, 2024 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 68-70 66%     0 - 3 -10.6 -7.8 -2.8
  Nov 20, 2024 22   @ Texas A&M L 54-71 3%     0 - 4 +2.1 -3.8 +4.7
  Nov 30, 2024 119   @ Louisiana Tech W 73-70 18%     1 - 4 +8.5 +2.4 +6.1
  Dec 07, 2024 250   @ Tulsa W 70-66 41%     2 - 4 +1.9 +1.9 +0.3
  Dec 17, 2024 29   @ Mississippi L 61-74 3%     2 - 5 +4.1 -6.1 +10.6
  Dec 20, 2024 156   @ Loyola Marymount L 73-89 24%     2 - 6 -13.0 +4.7 -17.9
  Dec 22, 2024 61   @ USC L 51-82 7%     2 - 7 -18.8 -20.8 +3.8
  Dec 30, 2024 57   @ Nebraska L 43-77 6%     2 - 8 -21.2 -20.8 -2.2
  Jan 04, 2025 279   @ Texas Southern W 67-58 49%     3 - 8 1 - 0 +5.0 -3.5 +8.6
  Jan 06, 2025 360   @ Prairie View W 84-80 80%     4 - 8 2 - 0 -9.4 -4.0 -5.9
  Jan 11, 2025 326   Florida A&M W 91-57 79%     5 - 8 3 - 0 +21.3 +15.1 +7.8
  Jan 13, 2025 289   Bethune-Cookman W 69-53 72%     6 - 8 4 - 0 +5.7 -10.6 +15.4
  Jan 18, 2025 328   Grambling St. W 67-60 80%     7 - 8 5 - 0 -6.1 -7.3 +1.4
  Jan 25, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-67 86%     8 - 8 6 - 0 +0.2 -3.2 +2.4
  Jan 27, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 63-42 97%     9 - 8 7 - 0 -4.6 -11.9 +10.1
  Feb 01, 2025 325   Alcorn St. W 74-69 79%     10 - 8 8 - 0 -7.7 -5.8 -2.0
  Feb 03, 2025 262   Jackson St. W 91-89 OT 65%     11 - 8 9 - 0 -6.4 +2.5 -9.2
  Feb 08, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 81-68 80%     12 - 8 10 - 0 -0.3 +5.2 -5.3
  Feb 10, 2025 288   @ Alabama St. L 81-82 51%     12 - 9 10 - 1 -5.7 +4.5 -10.2
  Feb 15, 2025 360   Prairie View W 72-60 91%     13 - 9 11 - 1 -6.9 -12.0 +4.8
  Feb 17, 2025 279   Texas Southern W 66-57 69%     14 - 9 12 - 1 -0.5 -11.7 +10.6
  Feb 22, 2025 328   @ Grambling St. W 71-64 63%     15 - 9 13 - 1 -0.6 +8.4 -7.9
  Mar 01, 2025 289   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-70 52%     15 - 10 13 - 2 -5.8 -5.8 +0.0
  Mar 03, 2025 326   @ Florida A&M W 73-70 61%     16 - 10 14 - 2 -4.2 -0.3 -3.7
  Mar 06, 2025 288   Alabama St. L 65-66 71%     16 - 11 14 - 3 -11.2 -8.7 -2.6
  Mar 08, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 71-57 91%     17 - 11 15 - 3 -4.8 -2.4 -1.1
  Mar 12, 2025 328   Grambling St. L 62-65 OT 72%     17 - 12 -13.4 -16.3 +3.1
Projected Record 17 - 12 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%