Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.2 341
Results Rating -12.8 343
Pace 65.0 273
Improvement +0.4 173

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 363 F+ D- F+ F C+
Defense C 162 C C+ F B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 F+ 49% 355 -3.2 291
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 211 C- 36% 228 -0.9 233
Three Pointers 42% 161 F+ 28% 352 -3.0 284
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 167 F+ -7.1 359
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 354
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 274 F+ 0.87 351 D- 0.24 332
Turnovers F+ 20.8% 355
Freethrows F 0.23 361 D 69% 285 F 0.16 361
Total Offense F -12.3 363

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 337 F 16.2% 360
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 296 B- 3.8% 91
Three Pointers B+ 92% 26 F 2.4% 361
Total D+ 50% 294 F 8.0% 353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 45 B- 55% 102 +1.9 241
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 129 B- 36% 95 +0.0 185
Three Pointers 34% 344 D+ 36% 257 -2.5 74
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 212 C+ -0.8 147
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 157
Second Chance B- 27.9% 81 C- 1.06 239 C+ 0.30 138
Turnovers F 12.0% 363
Freethrows B- 0.28 108 B- 70% 81 B- 0.20 95
Total Defense C +0.1 162

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 42 C 11.7% 141
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 145 C 5.4% 134
Three Pointers A- 75% 15 D+ 0.3% 303
Total B+ 47% 26 C+ 6.5% 113

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 308 16.9 114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 315 0.17 186
Improvement -1.5 #260 +1.9 #85

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 349 339 325
Results Rating Rank 352 340 325
Conference Record 7 - 9 8 - 8 9 - 7
Conference Finish 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 83% 83% 82.6%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four4% 5% 3%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 70.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 410 - 1410 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 93 @DePaul L 64 - 72 4% -8  6% 0 - 1 C +1 F+ -9 D- C C- A +11 A+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 124 @Rhode Island L 57 - 80 6% -12  11% 0 - 2 F+ -17 F -14 F C- F C- -3 C B- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 264 @Fairfield L 71 - 73 OT 19% -2  20% 0 - 3 C- -5 F -14 F+ F B A +9 A A F
 Sat, Nov 15 315 Loyola Maryland L 63 - 74 39% -3  12% 0 - 4 F -20 F -14 C- F F D- -7 F+ D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 8 @Iowa St. L 57 - 96 0% -18  0% 0 - 5 F+ -15 D- -6 B+ F F F+ -8 D- A F
 Fri, Nov 21 322 Lafayette W 74 - 70 54% +4  73% 1 - 5 D -9 F+ -8 B- F F C -1 B- C+ C
 Wed, Nov 26 311 Umass Lowell L 64 - 75 48% -5  3% 1 - 6 F -23 F -16 F D- C D- -7 C+ C F
 Sun, Nov 30 192 @Quinnipiac L 62 - 76 11% -8  17% 1 - 7 D- -13 F+ -9 F A F D+ -4 F A+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 354 @Bryant L 65 - 77 46% -4  33% 1 - 8 F -23 D- -7 D F+ D+ F -18 F F F
 Wed, Dec 17 346 @New Hampshire L 58 - 59 41% -1  23% 1 - 9 D -11 F -18 F F F A- +7 A B- F
 Mon, Dec 22 73 @Syracuse L 48 - 77 3% -12  0% 1 - 10 F -18 F -16 F B- F D -6 C C+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 321 New Haven L 55 - 70 54% -5  42% 1 - 11 0 - 1 F -28 F -21 F C- D F+ -8 F+ C- F
 Sun, Jan 4 320 @Wagner W 69 - 60 31% +2  53% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +2 C -0 C- D C+ B- +3 B- C- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 303 @Central Connecticut St. L 69 - 76 26% -6  0% 2 - 12 1 - 2 D- -12 D- -6 B- F F D -6 F+ F B
 Sat, Jan 10 347 Chicago St. W 85 - 82 OT 64% +3  65% 3 - 12 2 - 2 D- -13 D+ -2 C+ C+ F F -11 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 290 @Mercyhurst W 62 - 57 OT 23% -2  11% 4 - 12 3 - 2 C +0 F -14 F+ D F+ A+ +15 B+ A+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 61 - 63 49% +3  70% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -14 F -19 F F F B +5 A+ D+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 219 LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 66 29% +3  66% 4 - 14 3 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 D+ C F C -0 B+ A F
 Mon, Jan 26 303 Central Connecticut St. W 61 - 59 47% -3  8% 5 - 14 4 - 4 D -9 F -17 D F F A- +8 D+ A- B
 Thu, Jan 29 333 Fairleigh Dickinson W 58 - 57 59% +1  51% 6 - 14 5 - 4 D- -13 F -15 F C+ D+ B- +2 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 300 @Le Moyne W 65 - 54 25% +5  87% 7 - 14 6 - 4 B- +6 F -13 F F B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 333 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 58 - 74 36% -10  0% 7 - 15 6 - 5 F -24 F -16 F D F+ F -10 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 54 - 61 14% +1  55% 7 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F -12 F D D- B +4 C- A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 12 347 @Chicago St. L 55 - 68 41% -14  0% 7 - 17 6 - 7 F -23 F -12 B F F F -15 F F C
 Sat, Feb 14 320 Wagner L 57 - 68 54% -4  30% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -21 F B+ F D+ -3 A- F+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 321 @New Haven L 51 - 64 32% -6  1% 7 - 19 6 - 9 F -20 F -22 F F+ C+ C+ +0 C C+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 300 Le Moyne W 77 - 68 46% +5  66% 8 - 19 7 - 9 C- -2 D+ -4 D+ D- A+ C+ +1 B+ C+ C
 Thu, Feb 26 355 St. Francis (PA) W 72 - 66 70%
 Sat, Feb 28 290 Mercyhurst L 61 - 63 44%
Totals 9 - 20 8 - 10 -12 F -12 D+ F+ C+ C +0 F+ D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F+ C- F+ F+ 39% 35% 42% C+ F+ D+ F+ D- F+ F D F C B- B- D+ C+ 44% 22% 34% C- C B- C- C+ F B- B- B-
0.91 49% 36% 28% -7 0 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 21% .23 69% .16 1.08 55% 36% 36% -1 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .30 12% .28 70% .16
Nov
7		 DePaul F+ F A- C- D- 35% 25% 40% C D- F A+ C C- F+ F F A D+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 17% 41% D A+ A+ D A F F A+ F
0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15 0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30
Nov
11		 Rhode Island F F F F F 28% 14% 58% C- F C D C- F B+ C+ B+ C- D F A+ C+ 55% 14% 31% F+ C B- C+ B- F+ C F D
0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30 1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30
Nov
14		 Fairfield F F+ F A F 49% 16% 35% C F+ F F F B F C- F A A+ A+ B+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C A A+ F A F F D- F
0.92 48% 10% 41% -6 +1 0.94 13% 0.8 .10 13% .16 73% .12 0.94 40% 25% 30% -12 0 0.78 17% 1.1 .19 8% .34 75% .25
Nov
15		 Loyola Maryland F C A+ F D+ 46% 15% 38% B C- C F F F F C F D- B- F F+ F+ 55% 7% 38% F F+ B+ F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06 1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05
Nov
17		 Iowa St. D- A+ B A- A+ 14% 39% 47% F B+ F+ F F F F F F F+ F+ F C- F+ 42% 23% 36% B- D- A B+ A F F B F
0.81 71% 40% 38% +5 -4 1.04 19% 0.5 .09 28% .04 50% .02 1.36 73% 67% 37% +14 0 1.30 30% 1.0 .30 10% .47 63% .30
Nov
21		 Lafayette F+ B B+ C+ B- 45% 22% 33% B- B- B- F F F C+ F D C A- A D B 54% 17% 29% D B- F A+ C+ C F B- F
1.04 65% 45% 35% +5 0 1.14 34% 0.6 .20 21% .30 59% .18 0.98 46% 25% 36% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .21 17% .49 66% .32
Nov
26		 Umass Lowell F F F D- F 34% 20% 46% D F C- F D- C F B+ F D- D+ A+ B+ B- 42% 13% 45% D- C+ C C+ C F F A+ C+
0.93 37% 27% 31% -12 0 0.79 31% 0.9 .27 13% .15 78% .12 1.09 59% 29% 29% -4 +1 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 10% .41 48% .19
Nov
30		 Quinnipiac F+ F B F+ F 26% 26% 48% F F B+ A A F F F F D+ D- A F F 51% 22% 27% F+ F A A+ A+ D A F B
0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07 1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17
Dec
2		 Bryant D- D B D+ D- 57% 14% 29% B D C- F F+ D+ F B+ F F F D B- F 43% 10% 47% D F F F F F F+ A+ C+
1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13 1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19
Dec
17		 New Hampshire F B- F F F 49% 21% 30% C+ F C F F F B+ A A A- A+ A F A 47% 15% 38% D+ A B- C+ B- F D+ B- C-
0.85 62% 11% 23% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.6 .18 31% .38 83% .32 0.86 24% 25% 40% -15 +1 0.75 22% 0.9 .20 13% .29 65% .19
Dec
22		 Syracuse F F F D F 32% 23% 45% D+ F C+ B- B- F A- F B- D C- A+ F C+ 45% 14% 41% D C C- B C+ F F A+ D+
0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23 1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25
Jan
2		 New Haven F F F F F 55% 10% 35% A F C- C C- D D C D F+ C A F F 36% 23% 42% C F+ A F C- F A+ B A
0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17 1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10
Jan
4		 Wagner C F A A D+ 47% 17% 36% C+ C- C- F+ D C+ C- F D- B- A B F B 52% 24% 24% D B- C D+ C- D- A+ F B-
1.13 45% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 13% .36 63% .23 0.98 42% 33% 42% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 16% .18 100% .18
Jan
8		 Central Connecticut St. D- D- A+ A- C 55% 6% 39% A- B- C F F F D- F F D D- D+ F F 28% 40% 33% B+ F+ B- F F B F D- F
1.04 50% 67% 40% +1 +3 1.10 32% 0.5 .18 20% .21 64% .13 1.15 67% 41% 43% +8 -3 1.12 24% 1.8 .44 20% .45 83% .38
Jan
10		 Chicago St. D+ A+ F B- C+ 33% 10% 58% C C+ A F+ C+ F B- D C+ F B+ D+ F D+ 39% 35% 26% D+ D+ A+ F F F D- F+ F+
1.16 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.17 46% 0.9 .43 23% .37 71% .27 1.12 45% 40% 40% -2 -2 0.95 15% 2.6 .39 8% .31 81% .25
Jan
17		 Mercyhurst F C F F F 53% 13% 33% B F+ F+ B D F+ A- F D A+ C- A+ A+ B+ 41% 43% 16% B- B+ D+ A+ A+ D C A+ B
0.89 58% 0% 27% -9 +2 0.89 25% 1.1 .28 21% .44 54% .24 0.82 57% 29% 22% -7 -3 0.82 28% 0.3 .09 13% .21 54% .12
Jan
19		 St. Francis (PA) F D- F D+ F 50% 5% 45% A F F+ F+ F F A B A B A A+ C+ A+ 45% 25% 29% D+ A+ B F D+ F F A F
0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34 0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28
Jan
23		 LIU Brooklyn F+ C+ A F D 55% 9% 36% A D+ C- B- C F F F F C B+ B+ C B+ 31% 29% 40% A- B+ A+ F A F C- D- D+
0.97 58% 50% 24% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.1 .35 23% .20 60% .12 1.02 50% 33% 33% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.1 .22 9% .29 71% .20
Jan
26		 Central Connecticut St. F A+ A F D- 47% 9% 44% B D D+ F F F A+ F A+ A- B C F C- 47% 31% 22% F+ D+ A+ C- A- B A+ A+ A+
0.93 71% 50% 15% -5 +2 0.96 29% 0.6 .17 20% .46 67% .30 0.90 54% 38% 45% +2 -1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 20% .08 50% .04
Jan
29		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F A+ F F 40% 29% 31% D F B- D+ C+ D+ F B+ D- B- A+ C A+ A 36% 34% 30% A A D+ F F F A+ F A+
0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20 0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Le Moyne F F A+ D- F 45% 13% 42% B F F+ F F B+ D+ B C- A+ A+ F+ A A+ 43% 19% 38% C A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22 0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13
Feb
5		 Fairleigh Dickinson F D D- F F 26% 35% 40% F F D- C+ D F+ A+ F A- F D+ C C- F+ 37% 27% 37% B D- D+ F F F D+ F F+
0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31 1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25
Feb
7		 LIU Brooklyn F D- F F F 43% 17% 39% C F C+ F D D- F+ A+ C+ B B- D- F C- 57% 28% 15% D+ C- D A+ A+ C- B+ F B-
0.88 50% 25% 22% -13 +1 0.78 36% 0.8 .27 21% .27 92% .25 1.00 54% 46% 43% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.4 .15 20% .22 73% .16
Feb
12		 Chicago St. F C- A+ A+ B 39% 5% 55% B B F F F F F D+ F F F F B- F 35% 35% 30% C- F F+ F F C C F C-
0.98 60% 50% 43% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.6 .13 25% .26 73% .19 1.22 67% 53% 31% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.5 .52 16% .26 83% .21
Feb
14		 Wagner F F C- F F 36% 16% 48% C- F C- A+ B+ F F B+ F D+ C- A+ D+ B+ 36% 36% 28% A A- F B F+ F D F D-
0.87 28% 38% 25% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 21% .25 77% .19 1.03 56% 17% 36% -8 -2 0.82 45% 0.9 .43 14% .32 78% .25
Feb
19		 New Haven F F B+ D- F 42% 18% 40% C F F C+ F+ C+ F+ F F C+ C+ F+ A+ B- 55% 18% 27% F C F A+ C+ F+ B D C+
0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09 0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16
Feb
21		 Le Moyne D+ B- D F D+ 43% 19% 39% C+ D+ D+ F+ D- A+ B+ D+ B C+ A F A- B+ 33% 18% 49% B- B+ C+ C C+ C F B D-
1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26 0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.3 3rd
4th 9.3 9.3 4th
5th 2.4 15.2 17.5 5th
6th 31.2 6.3 37.4 6th
7th 9.8 17.9 0.1 27.7 7th
8th 7.7 7.7 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 17.4 51.4 31.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 31.2% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 1.8 29.4
8-8 51.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 2.0 49.4
7-9 17.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 17.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 16.0 95.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.2%
Lose Out 10.5%