Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.5 334
Results Rating -11.2 331
Pace 71.2 108
Improvement +1.4 127

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 326 F+ D+ C D- C
Defense D 314 D+ F+ D+ B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 236 D- 50% 347 -4.2 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 142 C- 36% 246 -0.6 214
Three Pointers 43% 136 F+ 28% 351 -2.4 260
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 196 F+ -6.9 357
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 355
Second Chance C 30.2% 184 D- 0.90 337 D+ 0.27 270
Turnovers C 17.2% 207
Freethrows D- 0.26 328 C- 71% 229 D- 0.18 336
Total Offense D -6.4 326

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 325 D 13.2% 305
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 191 D 7.8% 325
Three Pointers D 78% 314 C- 1.0% 226
Total D 48% 322 D 6.8% 309

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 193 C- 60% 249 +0.7 212
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 337 C 38% 166 -2.1 33
Three Pointers 47% 34 C- 35% 240 +3.7 332
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 295 C- +1.6 244
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 253
Second Chance F+ 36.5% 352 D+ 1.08 268 F+ 0.40 345
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 254
Freethrows B- 0.27 70 C+ 72% 140 B- 0.19 69
Total Defense D -5.1 314

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 305 B 14.4% 59
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 318 C 4.6% 190
Three Pointers C 84% 166 C- 0.6% 213
Total D 63% 326 C+ 6.5% 109

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 133 16.9 117
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 132 0.25 353
Improvement +2.7 #68 -1.3 #264

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 347 333 317
Results Rating Rank 347 326 306
Conference Record 1 - 17 2 - 16 3 - 15
Conference Finish 13 13 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 99% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 42 - 104 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 260 SIU Edwardsville L 60 - 77 39% -3  39% 0 - 1 F -26 F -18 F F A- D- -7 C- F C+
 Wed, Nov 12 237 @Texas St. L 69 - 80 17% -10  0% 0 - 2 D- -12 D -6 F C B D -6 A F F
 Sat, Nov 15 228 @Denver W 84 - 79 16% +4  83% 1 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +9 A D+ D D+ -4 D- A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 245 Abilene Christian L 50 - 61 25% -7  0% 1 - 3 F+ -15 F -18 F D+ C C+ +1 A+ F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 266 Georgia Southern W 77 - 64 30% -1  26% 2 - 3 B- +7 D- -6 F D+ A A+ +13 A+ D- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 182 South Alabama L 58 - 82 25% -14  2% 2 - 4 F -28 F -20 F F+ A- F+ -8 D+ F B
 Sun, Dec 7 18 @Alabama L 55 - 97 1% -27  0% 2 - 5 F -21 F -20 F+ F+ F B- +3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 66 @Colorado L 64 - 88 3% -10  7% 2 - 6 D- -12 F+ -10 D- C- F C- -2 F+ A- B-
 Wed, Dec 17 56 @USC L 70 - 97 2% -10  17% 2 - 7 D- -14 C- -2 F+ A F F -11 F D- D
 Mon, Dec 22 122 Seattle L 68 - 71 15% -4  13% 2 - 8 C- -3 D -4 B+ F+ C- C+ +1 A- C- C
 Wed, Dec 31 116 @Florida Atlantic L 70 - 110 6% -27  3% 2 - 9 0 - 1 F -34 F+ -10 F D D F -19 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 156 @Temple L 57 - 76 9% -9  0% 2 - 10 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -15 F D+ F C- -2 B F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 174 Charlotte L 58 - 74 24% -9  5% 2 - 11 0 - 3 F -20 F -17 F D- B D+ -5 B+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 162 Tulane L 52 - 85 22% -19  5% 2 - 12 0 - 4 F -36 F -24 F F F F -13 F+ F C
 Wed, Jan 14 232 Rice L 73 - 89 33% -11  0% 2 - 13 0 - 5 F -23 C+ +2 D+ B- B- F -27 F F+ D-
 Sun, Jan 18 101 @Memphis L 69 - 95 5% -12  0% 2 - 14 0 - 6 F -18 C- -2 C+ D+ D- F -16 F B+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 137 @North Texas L 62 - 81 8% -14  0% 2 - 15 0 - 7 F+ -15 D -5 D F C+ F -11 F+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 24 156 Temple L 64 - 70 21% -0  47% 2 - 16 0 - 8 D -9 D- -7 D- C+ D C- -3 C- C C+
 Wed, Jan 28 121 UAB L 73 - 83 15% -1  25% 2 - 17 0 - 9 D -10 C- -2 F B A- F+ -8 F+ C D+
 Wed, Feb 4 58 @South Florida L 88 - 109 2% -6  13% 2 - 18 0 - 10 D -9 A+ +17 A+ A C+ F -25 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 137 North Texas L 58 - 81 18% -10  37% 2 - 19 0 - 11 F -25 F -13 D- D- D- F -11 D F C+
 Wed, Feb 11 246 @East Carolina L 72 - 88 18% -12  9% 2 - 20 0 - 12 F+ -18 D+ -4 F+ D+ B+ F -14 C F F
 Sun, Feb 15 174 @Charlotte W 88 - 79 11% -4  17% 3 - 20 1 - 12 B +11 A+ +17 C+ A A+ D -5 F+ D- C+
 Wed, Feb 18 116 Florida Atlantic L 52 - 60 14% -3  24% 3 - 21 1 - 13 D+ -8 F -20 F C+ C- A+ +12 A+ A+ D-
 Sun, Feb 22 76 @Tulsa L 68 - 90 2%
 Wed, Feb 25 246 East Carolina L 72 - 76 36%
 Sun, Mar 1 97 Wichita St. L 65 - 79 9%
 Sun, Mar 8 232 @Rice L 69 - 80 16%
Totals 4 - 24 2 - 16 -11 D -6 A F+ C D -5 F+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- F+ F+ 37% 41% 43% C F+ C D- D+ C D- C- D- D C- C C- C- 38% 15% 47% D+ D+ F+ D+ F+ D+ B- C+ B-
1.00 50% 36% 28% -7 0 0.88 30% 0.9 .27 17% .26 71% .18 1.16 60% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.07 37% 1.1 .40 16% .27 72% .18
Nov
7		 SIU Edwardsville F F A+ F F 33% 21% 46% C F C- F F A- C+ F D D- A- C F C 46% 29% 25% D- C- F+ F F C+ F A+ F
0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20 1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26
Nov
12		 Texas St. D F D+ F F 48% 12% 40% B F D+ B+ C B B C B D D+ A- A+ A+ 43% 25% 32% D A F F F F F C F
0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +2 0.83 26% 1.1 .28 16% .37 73% .27 1.14 61% 31% 12% -11 0 0.79 44% 1.2 .51 13% .42 77% .33
Nov
15		 Denver B+ D+ A+ A+ A 44% 13% 44% B- A B- F D+ D B+ B+ A- D+ F B F+ D- 22% 20% 58% C- D- A- A+ A+ D- B+ F B-
1.29 57% 67% 48% +12 +1 1.29 37% 0.9 .33 15% .36 75% .27 1.21 67% 36% 41% +7 -1 1.15 24% 0.5 .12 11% .24 86% .21
Nov
24		 Abilene Christian F F D F F 51% 16% 32% B- F C- D+ D+ C A+ F C- C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 45% 16% 39% F A+ F D- F B+ D+ C D+
0.81 47% 33% 17% -15 +2 0.76 26% 1.0 .26 23% .56 56% .31 0.98 30% 14% 35% -16 +1 0.73 45% 1.0 .45 24% .36 71% .26
Nov
25		 Georgia Southern D- F F F+ F 35% 22% 43% F+ F C D D+ A A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 27% 10% 63% B- A+ C F D- C+ F A+ F
1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 0 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39 0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36
Nov
30		 South Alabama F F F F F 11% 11% 77% D F C F F+ A- F A+ F F+ A+ F F D 43% 23% 34% B- D+ F A+ F B C- F F
0.82 43% 14% 25% -15 -1 0.71 32% 0.8 .25 14% .03 100% .03 1.16 43% 58% 39% +1 0 1.04 42% 0.9 .39 15% .32 84% .27
Dec
7		 Alabama F F C F F+ 26% 20% 54% C+ F+ F+ D- F+ F C F F+ B- D- D A+ A+ 30% 6% 64% C A+ D+ C D+ F A- F B
0.71 43% 36% 24% -12 -1 0.76 19% 0.8 .15 23% .27 44% .12 1.25 70% 50% 23% -6 +1 0.93 37% 1.2 .43 6% .28 85% .23
Dec
13		 Colorado F+ F D+ C+ D- 38% 31% 31% D+ D- B+ F C- F C- F F C- C+ F F D- 58% 9% 33% F F+ F A+ A- B- B+ A+ A
0.88 43% 35% 35% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 22% .28 50% .14 1.22 59% 80% 44% +10 +3 1.27 46% 0.5 .22 15% .28 65% .18
Dec
17		 USC C- F C- F F+ 24% 27% 49% D- F+ A+ C+ A F A+ A A+ F F D F F 41% 18% 41% D F C- F+ D- D C- F+ D-
0.94 42% 38% 25% -11 -2 0.78 43% 0.9 .40 23% .40 83% .33 1.31 76% 44% 43% +14 +1 1.31 37% 1.2 .44 15% .44 79% .35
Dec
22		 Seattle D B D C- B 47% 11% 42% A B+ F D+ F+ C- F B F+ C+ B D- A+ A 55% 13% 32% F A- F+ B C- C F D F
0.92 60% 33% 32% -1 +2 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 22% .21 75% .16 0.96 52% 43% 24% -8 +2 0.91 31% 0.8 .24 18% .43 73% .31
Dec
31		 Florida Atlantic F+ F F F+ F 41% 9% 50% B F D D D D A+ B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F C- F F C+ C F D
0.88 35% 20% 29% -15 +2 0.75 21% 0.9 .19 19% .46 77% .35 1.38 68% 60% 52% +20 +2 1.45 34% 1.4 .48 19% .31 80% .25
Jan
3		 Temple F C F F F 42% 22% 36% C F B F D+ F A A+ A+ C- B+ B A- A 50% 6% 44% F B F F+ F B- D A+ C+
0.86 58% 10% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.8 .25 23% .39 85% .33 1.15 50% 33% 29% -8 +3 0.92 47% 1.2 .53 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
7		 Charlotte F F A+ D- F 37% 12% 52% B F F B+ D- B F F F D+ D- B- A+ A- 39% 6% 55% D- B+ F D+ F D+ B+ B+ B+
0.90 32% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.81 20% 1.3 .25 12% .21 58% .12 1.15 68% 33% 26% -3 +2 1.00 42% 1.0 .42 17% .28 67% .19
Jan
10		 Tulane F D+ F F F 33% 27% 40% D F F+ F+ F F B F C- F B A- F F 22% 12% 66% C+ F+ F+ F F C A+ F A+
0.76 53% 8% 28% -13 -1 0.73 26% 0.8 .21 23% .36 58% .21 1.24 54% 29% 41% +5 0 1.12 28% 1.4 .39 15% .12 86% .10
Jan
14		 Rice C+ D+ A+ D- D 28% 20% 52% B- D+ A F+ B- B- F A+ D F D D- F F 18% 16% 66% D- F D F+ F+ D- D- C D-
1.19 57% 50% 31% 0 -1 1.00 43% 0.9 .37 15% .25 85% .21 1.44 63% 43% 55% +23 -1 1.45 39% 1.1 .43 15% .36 68% .25
Jan
18		 Memphis C- D A+ F C+ 30% 21% 48% C- C+ B- F D+ D- F D- F F D F F F 56% 13% 31% F F D+ A B+ D C A- C+
0.95 53% 58% 26% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.7 .25 23% .16 67% .11 1.31 63% 57% 53% +14 +2 1.35 39% 0.9 .35 17% .30 67% .20
Jan
21		 North Texas D F B D D+ 27% 27% 45% D- D F F F C+ A A+ A+ F D A+ F+ F 43% 12% 45% D+ F+ F D F B- F A D-
0.91 42% 42% 30% -6 -2 0.86 24% 0.5 .12 22% .45 83% .38 1.19 62% 17% 36% +1 +1 1.06 54% 1.1 .59 19% .47 62% .29
Jan
24		 Temple D- B C- F D- 44% 32% 24% D D- A+ F C+ D F B- F C- F A+ C C- 44% 28% 28% C+ C- F+ A- C C+ D D+ D-
1.02 64% 38% 17% -4 -1 0.92 41% 0.8 .32 18% .15 75% .12 1.12 74% 17% 33% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .41 77% .32
Jan
28		 UAB C- F C F+ F 34% 24% 42% D+ F C A+ B A- B- A B+ F+ C- F B- F 37% 29% 35% B+ F+ B- D C D+ F B+ F
1.03 45% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.83 26% 1.2 .31 13% .28 82% .23 1.18 61% 57% 29% +4 -1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 10% .50 66% .33
Feb
4		 South Florida A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 22% 40% C+ A+ C A+ A C+ C D+ C- F F F C- F 52% 5% 43% D F F F F F B- B B
1.24 47% 55% 55% +12 0 1.26 30% 1.4 .43 18% .31 67% .21 1.54 68% 67% 35% +7 +3 1.22 47% 1.5 .71 7% .35 70% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 North Texas F B F+ F D- 41% 30% 28% D+ D- D D- D- D- C- D D+ F F A+ A D 48% 19% 33% C D F B- F C+ D- F F
0.83 63% 29% 15% -9 -1 0.83 27% 0.9 .24 26% .35 67% .23 1.16 70% 22% 25% -2 +1 1.00 53% 1.0 .50 19% .41 83% .33
Feb
11		 East Carolina D+ D- F C- F 39% 18% 43% B- F+ A- F D+ B+ C F F F C+ F A+ C+ 31% 19% 50% D+ C D- F F F B- F D-
1.01 50% 20% 33% -7 0 0.89 38% 0.8 .30 14% .26 50% .13 1.24 53% 60% 22% -6 0 0.89 37% 1.6 .58 11% .32 90% .29
Feb
15		 Charlotte A+ C+ F C C 47% 15% 38% B+ C+ C+ A+ A A+ C- A+ A- D F A+ F F+ 33% 8% 59% C- F+ C- F+ D- C+ A A+ A+
1.34 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.04 32% 1.5 .48 5% .32 90% .29 1.20 75% 0% 41% +9 +1 1.22 35% 1.1 .39 20% .25 54% .13
Feb
18		 Florida Atlantic F F D- F F 34% 25% 42% F+ F B D+ C+ C- F F F A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% A- A+ A A+ A+ D- C- B+ C+
0.77 44% 31% 14% -19 -1 0.62 32% 0.9 .30 18% .22 50% .11 0.89 56% 36% 22% -8 -1 0.84 26% 0.5 .14 15% .31 67% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.5 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 48.6 40.3 10.2 0.4 0.0 99.5 13th
Total 48.6 40.3 10.2 0.9 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 10.2% 10.2
2-16 40.3% 40.3
1-17 48.6% 48.6
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 37.7%