Utah St.
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#55
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#36
Pace69.3#136
Improvement-3.8#321

Offense
Total Offense+10.0#16
First Shot+10.3#9
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#206
Layup/Dunks+9.8#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#200
Freethrows+3.2#30
Improvement+2.4#73

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#152
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#256
Layups/Dunks+5.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#344
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#335
Freethrows+4.1#4
Improvement-6.2#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.1% 79.4% 47.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.5% 72.3% 47.8%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.1% 18.0% 28.4%
First Round58.7% 69.3% 33.0%
Second Round19.4% 23.3% 10.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 3.9% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 4
Quad 27 - 310 - 7
Quad 36 - 015 - 7
Quad 410 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 325   Alcorn St. W 101-46 97%     1 - 0 +42.3 +23.0 +19.4
  Nov 09, 2024 242   Charlotte W 103-74 94%     2 - 0 +21.9 +25.9 -3.8
  Nov 18, 2024 155   Montana W 95-83 89%     3 - 0 +9.6 +12.4 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2024 60   Iowa W 77-69 55%     4 - 0 +17.6 -2.4 +19.3
  Nov 28, 2024 110   St. Bonaventure W 72-67 75%     5 - 0 +8.7 +4.9 +3.9
  Nov 29, 2024 79   North Texas W 61-57 63%     6 - 0 +11.3 +0.3 +11.4
  Dec 04, 2024 174   Wyoming W 70-67 91%     7 - 0 1 - 0 -0.8 +8.2 -8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 293   Utah Tech W 92-62 96%     8 - 0 +19.6 +9.7 +8.7
  Dec 14, 2024 189   South Florida W 88-67 91%     9 - 0 +16.7 +13.5 +2.8
  Dec 17, 2024 46   UC San Diego L 73-75 58%     9 - 1 +6.6 +3.0 +3.7
  Dec 22, 2024 27   @ St. Mary's W 75-68 26%     10 - 1 +24.4 +17.5 +7.4
  Dec 28, 2024 54   @ San Diego St. W 67-66 39%     11 - 1 2 - 0 +14.6 +3.8 +10.7
  Dec 31, 2024 82   @ Nevada W 69-64 55%     12 - 1 3 - 0 +14.5 +7.4 +7.7
  Jan 04, 2025 258   Fresno St. W 89-83 95%     13 - 1 4 - 0 -2.0 +5.3 -7.9
  Jan 07, 2025 152   @ San Jose St. W 85-78 76%     14 - 1 5 - 0 +10.2 +19.8 -9.0
  Jan 11, 2025 52   Boise St. W 81-79 60%     15 - 1 6 - 0 +10.2 +27.7 -17.1
  Jan 15, 2025 93   @ UNLV L 62-65 60%     15 - 2 6 - 1 +5.2 +5.2 -0.4
  Jan 22, 2025 82   Nevada W 90-69 74%     16 - 2 7 - 1 +25.0 +26.0 +0.8
  Jan 25, 2025 296   @ Air Force W 87-58 92%     17 - 2 8 - 1 +24.0 +17.4 +8.1
  Jan 29, 2025 93   UNLV W 76-71 78%     18 - 2 9 - 1 +7.7 +7.0 +0.7
  Feb 01, 2025 41   New Mexico L 63-82 53%     18 - 3 9 - 2 -9.1 -6.3 -1.8
  Feb 04, 2025 174   @ Wyoming W 71-67 80%     19 - 3 10 - 2 +5.7 +3.7 +2.2
  Feb 07, 2025 258   @ Fresno St. W 89-81 89%     20 - 3 11 - 2 +5.5 +17.7 -12.1
  Feb 11, 2025 53   Colorado St. W 93-85 60%     21 - 3 12 - 2 +16.1 +25.9 -9.6
  Feb 16, 2025 41   @ New Mexico L 79-82 33%     21 - 4 12 - 3 +12.4 +17.7 -5.3
  Feb 19, 2025 152   San Jose St. W 105-57 88%     22 - 4 13 - 3 +45.7 +34.8 +13.0
  Feb 22, 2025 54   San Diego St. W 79-71 60%     23 - 4 14 - 3 +16.1 +21.6 -4.7
  Feb 26, 2025 52   @ Boise St. L 65-82 39%     23 - 5 14 - 4 -3.3 +2.6 -7.1
  Mar 01, 2025 53   @ Colorado St. L 66-93 39%     23 - 6 14 - 5 -13.4 +6.1 -22.5
  Mar 08, 2025 296   Air Force W 87-47 96%     24 - 6 15 - 5 +29.5 +26.5 +10.6
  Mar 13, 2025 93   UNLV W 76-71 70%    
Projected Record 25 - 6 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 70.1% 18.1% 52.0% 9.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 5.4 14.6 23.4 23.9 1.1 29.9 63.5%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 70.1% 18.1% 52.0% 9.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 5.4 14.6 23.4 23.9 1.1 29.9 63.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 18.1% 100.0% 8.8 0.4 1.5 7.4 25.6 42.8 20.2 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 20.6% 79.7% 10.0 0.0 2.5 17.8 36.0 23.0 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.0% 67.5% 10.4 0.7 7.7 25.7 32.1 1.2
Lose Out 29.3% 47.8% 10.6 0.1 2.6 14.0 29.0 2.1