Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.9 #145
Expected Predictive Rating -0.2 #169
Pace 69.5 #178
Improvement +2.0 #76

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #157 B- C- C- C C
Defense #137 C+ B- D D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #258 1.30 #52 +0.8 #143
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #204 0.78 #137 -0.2 #191
Three Pointers 46% #101 1.02 #182 +2.4 #106
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #103 +2.9 #102
Freethrows 17.6 #172 74% #139 13.1 #156
Second Chance 29.7% #222 1.01 #228 0.30 #220
Turnovers 17.4% #232
Total Offense +0.3 #157

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #268 1.15 #163 +1.9 #109
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #131 0.81 #272 -1.1 #265
Three Pointers 43% #129 0.94 #96 +0.7 #155
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #133 +1.5 #133
Freethrows 19.3 #284 73% #194 14.1 #79
Second Chance 23.5% #10 1.23 #342 0.29 #109
Turnovers 14.5% #302
Total Defense +0.6 #137

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #198 -0.7% #103
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.8% #93 -2.1% #141
Possession Length 16.8 #131 18.4 #333
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #201 0.16 #128
Improvement -3.0 #340 +5.0 #2

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.0 13.5
.500 or above 12.6% 33.6% 10.7%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 81.0% 52.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 8.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 71 - 12
Quad 36 - 57 - 17
Quad 47 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 195 Idaho L 81 - 83 72%  -9  0 - 1 -7 +3 C- C- A+ -10 F B+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 125 @Davidson L 69 - 85 34%  -16  0 - 2 -11 -0 F A- F -11 F B A
 Mon, Nov 10 135 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 59%  +15  1 - 2 +9 +8 B A+ D- +1 B+ A D
 Fri, Nov 14 47 Washington L 69 - 81 25%  -10  1 - 3 -4 +8 B- B A+ -14 D- B- F
 Wed, Nov 19 329 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 91%  +12  2 - 3 +10 +17 B- A+ A+ -7 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 88 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 29%  +2  2 - 4 +1 +21 A+ A A+ -21 F F C-
 Wed, Nov 26 53 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 19%  -11  2 - 5 -4 +0 C+ D C -5 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 116 @Bradley L 60 - 64 29%  +3  2 - 6 +3 -8 C+ F F +10 A+ C- F
 Sun, Dec 7 90 Nevada L 64 - 78 40%  -5  2 - 7 -11 -1 C+ D+ F -11 A- F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 46 @USC L 61 - 68 11%  -6  2 - 8 +7 -5 C F C +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 255 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 73%  +12  3 - 8 +10 -1 B F F +11 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 160 Mercer W 84 - 78 66%  +4  4 - 8 +3 +3 A+ F C -1 B- B+ D
 Sun, Dec 28 238 @Portland W 67 - 62 58%  +3  5 - 8 1 - 0 +4 -4 C F D +8 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 120 @Seattle L 55 - 69 32%  -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -8 -10 F D+ F +1 C- A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 122 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 56%  -1  6 - 9 2 - 1 +1 +7 A+ F C -6 B B F
 Sun, Jan 4 182 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 70%  +11  7 - 9 3 - 1 +9 +12 B+ A+ F -1 C+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 41 @St. Mary's L 64 - 79 8% 
 Thu, Jan 15 10 Gonzaga L 70 - 86 6% 
 Sun, Jan 18 100 @San Francisco L 68 - 75 25% 
 Wed, Jan 21 222 @San Diego W 77 - 76 54% 
 Sat, Jan 24 274 Pepperdine W 76 - 66 84% 
 Wed, Jan 28 120 Seattle W 71 - 70 55% 
 Sat, Jan 31 238 Portland W 79 - 71 78% 
 Wed, Feb 4 182 @Oregon St. L 71 - 72 48% 
 Sat, Feb 7 61 Santa Clara L 74 - 79 32% 
 Tue, Feb 10 10 @Gonzaga L 67 - 89 2% 
 Wed, Feb 18 144 Pacific W 74 - 71 61% 
 Sat, Feb 21 41 St. Mary's L 67 - 76 22% 
 Wed, Feb 25 122 @Loyola Marymount L 69 - 73 34% 
 Sat, Feb 28 274 @Pepperdine W 73 - 69 66% 
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 9 +1 +0 B- C- C- +1 C+ B- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.8 1.0 0.1 7.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 8.4 6.4 1.6 0.1 19.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 9.5 6.6 1.1 0.0 19.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 7.8 7.4 1.0 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.2 4.6 7.5 1.2 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 6.1 1.9 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.5 3.9 2.4 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.1 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.6 7.8 14.1 19.5 21.0 16.8 10.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 37.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 1.4% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.4% 9.9% 9.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-6 4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 4.9
11-7 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
10-8 16.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7
9-9 21.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.9
8-10 19.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 19.5
7-11 14.1% 14.1
6-12 7.8% 7.8
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.2 99.7 0.0%