Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.5 #122
Expected Predictive Rating +0.2 #160
Pace 69.4 #164
Improvement +3.8 #37

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #88 A- C- C- C C
Defense #206 C C D+ C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #248 1.35 #19 +2.1 #112
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #237 0.83 #73 -0.5 #204
Three Pointers 46% #71 1.15 #26 +5.8 #26
1st FG Attempt 1.17 #18 +7.4 #18
Freethrows 0.29 #223 73% #153 0.21 #200
Second Chance 30.5% #185 0.95 #282 0.29 #233
Turnovers 17.8% #250
Total Offense +3.5 #88

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #263 1.13 #136 +2.1 #105
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #101 0.82 #286 -1.6 #302
Three Pointers 42% #164 1.00 #145 +0.1 #174
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #154 +0.7 #153
Freethrows 0.30 #181 74% #259 0.22 #196
Second Chance 25.8% #32 1.18 #346 0.30 #151
Turnovers 14.9% #289
Total Defense -1.0 #206

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #162 -0.9% #96
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 14.0% #15 -0.4% #178
Possession Length 16.6 #105 18.2 #311
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #180 0.16 #146
Improvement +3.4 #33 +0.5 #161

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.3 14.2
.500 or above 7.0% 11.5% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 81.6% 43.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 53.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 81 - 13
Quad 36 - 46 - 17
Quad 47 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 185 Idaho L 81 - 83 75% -9  0 - 1 -7 +3 C C- A+ -10 F+ B- C
 Fri, Nov 7 117 @Davidson L 69 - 85 36% -16  0 - 2 -10 +0 D- B F -10 F B- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 133 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 64% +15  1 - 2 +9 +8 B- A+ F+ +1 B A- D+
 Fri, Nov 14 41 Washington L 69 - 81 26% -10  1 - 3 -3 +9 B B A+ -13 C- C+ D-
 Wed, Nov 19 284 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 88% +12  2 - 3 +14 +18 B+ A+ B+ -5 F+ A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 77 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 31% +2  2 - 4 +2 +21 A+ A- A+ -20 F F C-
 Wed, Nov 26 53 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 23% -11  2 - 5 -4 +1 B- D C -6 D- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 121 @Bradley L 60 - 64 38% +3  2 - 6 +2 -9 C F F +11 A+ C- D-
 Sun, Dec 7 71 Nevada L 64 - 78 40% -5  2 - 7 -9 -1 C+ C F -10 A F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 48 @USC L 61 - 68 14% -6  2 - 8 +7 -4 B- F C- +11 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 245 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 76% +12  3 - 8 +10 -0 A- F+ F +10 A- A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 148 Mercer W 84 - 78 68% +4  4 - 8 +4 +2 A+ F C +1 B- B+ D
 Sun, Dec 28 232 @Portland W 67 - 62 63% +3  5 - 8 1 - 0 +4 -4 C- F D+ +8 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 124 @Seattle L 55 - 69 39% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -9 -8 F C F -1 C- A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 170 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 73% -1  6 - 9 2 - 1 -2 +6 A+ F C- -8 C+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 184 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 75% +11  7 - 9 3 - 1 +9 +12 B+ A+ D- -1 C+ D+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 42 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 13% -9  7 - 10 3 - 2 +9 +16 A+ C F+ -7 F+ A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 15 11 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 10% -10  7 - 11 3 - 3 -4 +3 A+ D- F -8 B F+ D+
 Sun, Jan 18 97 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 29% -0  7 - 12 3 - 4 +3 +18 A+ F+ D+ -15 F+ F B
 Wed, Jan 21 202 @San Diego L 92 - 96 58% -8  7 - 13 3 - 5 -4 +19 B B- A+ -22 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 283 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 88% +12  8 - 13 4 - 5 +6 +18 A+ B C -12 F A- B
 Wed, Jan 28 124 Seattle W 70 - 58 62% +6  9 - 13 5 - 5 +11 +5 A+ F F +7 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 232 Portland W 104 - 74 82% +15  10 - 13 6 - 5 +23 +26 A+ A A+ -4 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 184 @Oregon St. W 75 - 74 54%
 Sat, Feb 7 46 Santa Clara L 77 - 83 28%
 Tue, Feb 10 11 @Gonzaga L 70 - 90 3%
 Wed, Feb 18 125 Pacific W 76 - 73 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 42 St. Mary's L 71 - 77 27%
 Wed, Feb 25 170 @Loyola Marymount W 75 - 74 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 283 @Pepperdine W 77 - 70 72%
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 9 +3 +3 A- C- C- -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.3 8.4 16.7 8.1 1.0 0.0 34.5 4th
5th 0.1 5.9 16.7 6.1 0.4 0.0 29.0 5th
6th 1.2 11.4 4.9 0.2 17.6 6th
7th 0.1 4.4 5.8 0.3 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.6 3.7 0.6 4.9 8th
9th 1.0 0.8 1.8 9th
10th 0.3 0.3 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.9 10.1 24.0 30.3 23.0 9.1 1.7 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 1.6
11-7 9.1% 1.1% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.0
10-8 23.0% 0.7% 0.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 22.8
9-9 30.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 30.2
8-10 24.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 24.0
7-11 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 1.9% 1.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.6 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%