Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.8 #95
Expected Predictive Rating +4.3 #109
Pace 69.4 #183
Improvement -1.0 #241

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #97 B- B+ C B- B+
Defense #99 B- B+ C+ F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #50 1.17 #162 +3.4 #77
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #284 0.89 #34 -0.9 #218
Three Pointers 41% #188 1.05 #139 +0.5 #160
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #98 +3.1 #96
Freethrows 18.8 #104 75% #125 14.0 #97
Second Chance 37.1% #29 1.07 #152 0.40 #50
Turnovers 16.8% #194
Total Offense +3.2 #97

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #54 1.14 #155 -2.6 #268
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #248 0.70 #112 +1.4 #93
Three Pointers 38% #257 0.88 #42 +3.9 #51
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #98 +2.7 #98
Freethrows 24.9 #362 70% #66 17.3 #10
Second Chance 24.4% #20 1.03 #170 0.25 #38
Turnovers 17.6% #117
Total Defense +2.5 #99

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #58 1.4% #296
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.7% #128 -6.5% #71
Possession Length 17.4 #183 16.9 #125
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #228 0.11 #24
Improvement +1.1 #108 -2.1 #304

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.7% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.4 11.3 11.6
.500 or above 91.7% 97.0% 88.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.6% 77.9% 52.3%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round4.1% 5.6% 3.2%
Second Round0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Away) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 43 - 10
Quad 35 - 38 - 13
Quad 411 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 232 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 88%  +3  1 - 0 +3 -0 C- D+ A+ +2 A- A A+
 Tue, Nov 11 186 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 84%  +5  2 - 0 +9 -1 C C D+ +9 B+ B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 238 Portland W 93 - 56 88%  +16  3 - 0 +30 +17 B+ A+ A- +13 A+ A+ D
 Wed, Nov 19 134 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 55%  -3  3 - 1 -3 -3 B- F F -1 B+ D A-
 Sun, Nov 23 272 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 91%  +11  4 - 1 -1 +4 F A+ F -5 C B C
 Wed, Nov 26 264 Denver W 101 - 59 91%  +16  5 - 1 +33 +17 B- A+ C+ +16 A+ B B
 Sun, Nov 30 17 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 10%  -2  5 - 2 +16 +10 A- D+ D- +6 A- A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 230 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 88%  +1  6 - 2 +6 +14 A+ F B+ -8 F C A-
 Tue, Dec 9 290 South Dakota W 106 - 79 92%  +15  7 - 2 +17 +19 A+ B+ B- -4 C+ D C
 Mon, Dec 15 173 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 74%  +13  8 - 2 +14 +17 A+ A+ D+ -2 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 83 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 57%  -14  8 - 3 0 - 1 -8 -2 F A B+ -6 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 334 @Air Force W 68 - 56 89%  +5  9 - 3 1 - 1 +4 -4 F A F +9 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 56 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 26%  -6  9 - 4 1 - 2 -7 +1 C B+ D -12 C F C
 Tue, Jan 6 142 UNLV W 98 - 66 77%  +20  10 - 4 2 - 2 +30 +22 A+ A C +7 A- A C
 Sat, Jan 10 90 @Nevada L 70 - 74 36% 
 Wed, Jan 14 52 San Diego St. L 73 - 75 44% 
 Sat, Jan 17 157 @Fresno St. W 75 - 72 60% 
 Tue, Jan 20 63 Boise St. L 70 - 71 49% 
 Sat, Jan 24 221 San Jose St. W 79 - 67 87% 
 Wed, Jan 28 35 @Utah St. L 71 - 82 15% 
 Sat, Jan 31 94 Colorado St. W 74 - 71 62% 
 Tue, Feb 3 52 @San Diego St. L 70 - 78 24% 
 Sat, Feb 7 35 Utah St. L 74 - 79 32% 
 Sat, Feb 14 94 @Colorado St. L 71 - 74 39% 
 Tue, Feb 17 157 Fresno St. W 78 - 69 79% 
 Sat, Feb 21 83 @Grand Canyon L 70 - 74 35% 
 Tue, Feb 24 63 @Boise St. L 68 - 74 28% 
 Sat, Feb 28 334 Air Force W 78 - 58 96% 
 Tue, Mar 3 90 Nevada W 73 - 71 58% 
 Sat, Mar 7 221 @San Jose St. W 76 - 70 71% 
Totals 18 - 12 10 - 10 +6 +3 B- B+ C +3 B- B+ C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.0 3.3 0.3 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.7 5.0 0.7 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.8 6.7 1.5 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 5.8 7.7 2.5 0.2 17.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 7.3 2.6 0.2 18.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.5 1.2 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 7.1 11.1 15.5 17.6 16.6 12.9 8.2 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 72.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 30.5% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 40.0% 20.0% 20.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.0%
16-4 0.5% 30.6% 14.3% 16.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 19.0%
15-5 1.7% 21.6% 17.5% 4.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.4 4.9%
14-6 4.1% 13.9% 12.7% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 3.5 1.4%
13-7 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.4 0.1%
12-8 12.9% 5.8% 5.8% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 12.1
11-9 16.6% 3.9% 3.9% 11.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 15.9
10-10 17.6% 2.7% 2.7% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 17.1
9-11 15.5% 1.7% 1.7% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.2
8-12 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
7-13 7.1% 0.5% 0.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
6-14 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 3.3
5-15 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 1.2
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.2% 3.9% 0.2% 11.4 95.8 0.3%