Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#167
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#145
Pace63.0#319
Improvement+0.3#170

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
First Shot+0.5#161
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#280
Layup/Dunks-1.8#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#150
Freethrows+0.1#168
Improvement-0.3#198

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#141
First Shot-0.2#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#70
Layups/Dunks+0.7#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#120
Freethrows-0.6#235
Improvement+0.6#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 12.8 14.1
.500 or above 16.1% 33.4% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 6.6% 16.7% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Home) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 7
Quad 22 - 53 - 12
Quad 33 - 45 - 16
Quad 49 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 289   Tennessee St. W 81-66 81%     1 - 0 +5.5 +3.4 +2.0
  Nov 13, 2024 12   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 4%     1 - 1 -26.9 -15.0 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2024 292   Utah Tech W 86-69 82%     2 - 1 +7.4 +5.0 +1.8
  Nov 22, 2024 228   SE Louisiana W 64-61 72%     3 - 1 -3.2 -9.9 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2024 141   Tulane W 64-63 45%     4 - 1 +2.2 -4.2 +6.5
  Nov 27, 2024 136   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 44%     4 - 2 -1.5 +3.6 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2024 49   @ Utah St. L 67-70 12%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +9.7 +9.4 -0.2
  Dec 10, 2024 262   @ South Dakota L 81-82 62%     4 - 4 -4.2 -5.2 +1.1
  Dec 14, 2024 33   BYU L 49-68 10%     4 - 5 -5.3 -11.2 +2.8
  Dec 19, 2024 356   Bellarmine W 92-55 92%     5 - 5 +21.0 +17.5 +7.5
  Dec 22, 2024 317   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-69 74%     6 - 5 -2.7 +10.9 -12.9
  Dec 28, 2024 88   Nevada W 66-63 35%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +7.0 +2.3 +5.0
  Dec 31, 2024 51   Boise St. L 58-67 23%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -1.3 -4.5 +2.0
  Jan 04, 2025 277   @ Air Force W 70-65 65%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +1.1 +7.4 -5.5
  Jan 07, 2025 40   New Mexico L 53-61 19%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +1.4 -12.2 +13.4
  Jan 14, 2025 51   @ Boise St. L 55-96 12%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -28.3 -10.8 -19.0
  Jan 18, 2025 77   Colorado St. L 63-79 31%     8 - 9 2 - 5 -11.0 -0.6 -11.9
  Jan 21, 2025 101   @ UNLV W 63-61 25%     9 - 9 3 - 5 +9.1 +3.4 +6.0
  Jan 25, 2025 146   @ San Jose St. L 58-67 36%     9 - 10 3 - 6 -5.4 -7.8 +1.4
  Jan 28, 2025 259   Fresno St. W 83-72 OT 78%     10 - 10 4 - 6 +2.9 +5.6 -3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 52   @ San Diego St. L 61-63 12%     10 - 11 4 - 7 +10.7 +3.5 +6.9
  Feb 04, 2025 49   Utah St. L 67-75 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 101   UNLV L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 40   @ New Mexico L 65-79 8%    
  Feb 15, 2025 77   @ Colorado St. L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 18, 2025 277   Air Force W 69-60 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 146   San Jose St. W 68-67 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 88   @ Nevada L 60-69 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 52   San Diego St. L 60-68 24%    
  Mar 04, 2025 259   @ Fresno St. W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.7 0.6 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 8.7 7.2 1.3 0.0 19.3 7th
8th 0.2 4.1 15.2 12.8 2.1 0.1 34.4 8th
9th 0.9 6.7 15.6 10.9 1.7 0.1 35.7 9th
10th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.1 7.2 19.7 28.2 24.0 13.3 5.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 1.1% 1.1
10-10 5.4% 1.3% 1.3% 12.1 0.1 0.0 5.3
9-11 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 13.2
8-12 24.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.0
7-13 28.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 28.1
6-14 19.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 19.7
5-15 7.2% 7.2
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%