George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#86
Pace62.8#322
Improvement+0.6#150

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot-1.4#215
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#104
Layup/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#322
Freethrows+2.8#38
Improvement+0.0#178

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#32
First Shot+5.1#41
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#66
Layups/Dunks+6.0#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#273
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement+0.7#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 17.0% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.4 11.7
.500 or above 99.8% 100.0% 99.7%
.500 or above in Conference 98.3% 99.5% 97.4%
Conference Champion 25.6% 37.0% 16.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
First Round13.7% 16.5% 11.5%
Second Round2.9% 3.7% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 6
Quad 37 - 311 - 9
Quad 411 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   NC Central W 75-58 94%     1 - 0 +6.3 -2.5 +9.2
  Nov 08, 2024 20   @ Marquette L 63-82 14%     1 - 1 -0.7 -3.3 +3.4
  Nov 11, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 94-56 95%     2 - 1 +26.1 +15.2 +11.1
  Nov 13, 2024 225   Central Michigan L 69-70 88%     2 - 2 -7.4 -4.5 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 164   @ East Carolina L 77-78 2OT 64%     2 - 3 +1.9 -1.8 +3.8
  Nov 20, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 93-55 98%     3 - 3 +18.2 +20.6 +0.2
  Nov 29, 2024 149   @ James Madison W 66-61 61%     4 - 3 +8.7 +0.9 +8.3
  Dec 03, 2024 188   UNC Asheville W 74-52 84%     5 - 3 +18.1 -0.5 +20.1
  Dec 07, 2024 148   Tulane W 76-64 78%     6 - 3 +10.4 +7.2 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2024 1   @ Duke L 47-68 4%     6 - 4 +5.5 -7.8 +11.0
  Dec 22, 2024 267   Penn W 85-53 92%     7 - 4 +23.3 +8.2 +15.8
  Dec 28, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's W 64-56 92%     8 - 4 -0.7 -8.0 +7.6
  Dec 31, 2024 120   Davidson W 69-57 74%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +11.9 +4.1 +9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 109   @ Rhode Island L 59-62 52%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +3.2 -6.5 +9.4
  Jan 08, 2025 209   Richmond W 64-58 86%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +0.9 +2.4 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2025 170   Massachusetts W 77-70 82%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +3.8 +3.6 +0.3
  Jan 15, 2025 76   @ Dayton W 67-59 37%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +18.0 +9.9 +9.6
  Jan 18, 2025 119   George Washington W 80-77 2OT 74%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +3.0 -5.0 +7.5
  Jan 21, 2025 96   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 29, 2025 136   Loyola Chicago W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 01, 2025 120   @ Davidson W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 05, 2025 119   @ George Washington W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 109   Rhode Island W 71-65 72%    
  Feb 11, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 90   Saint Joseph's W 68-65 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-67 25%    
  Feb 26, 2025 220   Fordham W 74-61 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 116   @ Duquesne W 63-62 53%    
  Mar 05, 2025 191   La Salle W 74-63 84%    
  Mar 08, 2025 209   @ Richmond W 66-60 72%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 5.5 8.8 7.0 2.8 0.5 25.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 7.7 12.0 5.7 1.2 0.0 27.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.4 8.9 3.2 0.3 17.0 3rd
4th 1.3 6.7 3.3 0.2 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 3.2 3.2 0.3 6.8 5th
6th 0.7 3.3 0.8 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 1.5 0.1 3.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 0.3 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 4.3 9.7 16.0 21.2 20.9 14.8 8.2 2.8 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 98.9% 2.8    2.5 0.3
15-3 85.2% 7.0    5.2 1.8 0.1
14-4 59.2% 8.8    4.4 3.8 0.6 0.0
13-5 26.4% 5.5    1.3 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0
12-6 4.6% 1.0    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.6% 25.6 13.9 8.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.5% 48.1% 21.2% 26.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 34.1%
16-2 2.8% 30.0% 24.4% 5.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 2.0 7.5%
15-3 8.2% 24.8% 23.8% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 6.2 1.3%
14-4 14.8% 18.5% 18.3% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 1.4 1.3 0.0 12.0 0.2%
13-5 20.9% 16.6% 16.6% 11.7 1.1 2.2 0.1 17.4
12-6 21.2% 13.0% 13.0% 11.9 0.5 2.1 0.2 18.4
11-7 16.0% 7.4% 7.4% 12.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 14.8
10-8 9.7% 4.0% 4.0% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 9.3
9-9 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.1
8-10 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 1.3
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.9% 13.5% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 5.2 7.5 0.7 86.1 0.5%