Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#146
Pace65.0#265
Improvement-0.9#232

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#195
First Shot-3.8#288
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#23
Layup/Dunks-3.9#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#182
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement+4.2#24

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#119
First Shot+2.5#94
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#230
Layups/Dunks+0.9#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#215
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement-5.1#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.5% 18.5% 14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.1% 100.0% 96.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.5% 18.5% 14.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 414 - 320 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 289   @ Louisiana W 70-66 71%     1 - 0 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1
  Nov 13, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 56-79 2%     1 - 1 +3.1 -0.2 +0.9
  Nov 21, 2024 319   Niagara W 76-73 88%     2 - 1 -8.8 +2.1 -10.7
  Nov 23, 2024 170   @ Cleveland St. W 68-52 47%     3 - 1 +18.1 +3.2 +16.1
  Nov 28, 2024 157   Towson W 65-54 53%     4 - 1 +11.4 +5.4 +7.9
  Nov 29, 2024 85   UC Irvine L 39-51 30%     4 - 2 -5.3 -21.6 +14.9
  Nov 30, 2024 131   Kennesaw St. W 67-60 48%     5 - 2 +8.6 -2.6 +11.4
  Dec 06, 2024 284   Portland W 76-57 84%     6 - 2 +9.5 +2.4 +8.7
  Dec 15, 2024 350   Mercyhurst W 82-57 93%     7 - 2 +9.6 +7.8 +3.6
  Dec 22, 2024 6   @ Alabama L 54-81 4%     7 - 3 -5.0 -16.1 +13.2
  Jan 04, 2025 261   Ball St. L 67-75 81%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -16.0 -15.5 -0.1
  Jan 07, 2025 341   @ Northern Illinois W 68-50 84%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +8.7 -4.9 +14.2
  Jan 10, 2025 352   @ Buffalo W 68-49 86%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +8.4 -5.9 +15.0
  Jan 14, 2025 302   Western Michigan L 83-94 86%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -21.4 +0.7 -21.6
  Jan 18, 2025 171   Miami (OH) L 61-70 66%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -12.0 -8.9 -3.9
  Jan 21, 2025 221   @ Toledo W 83-64 58%     10 - 6 3 - 3 +18.3 +16.7 +4.1
  Jan 24, 2025 172   @ Ohio L 59-61 47%     10 - 7 3 - 4 +0.0 -12.6 +12.6
  Jan 28, 2025 301   Bowling Green W 75-57 86%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +7.6 +4.0 +5.2
  Jan 31, 2025 102   Akron L 71-85 48%     11 - 8 4 - 5 -12.2 -4.1 -7.6
  Feb 04, 2025 291   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-49 71%     12 - 8 5 - 5 +16.4 -5.8 +22.3
  Feb 08, 2025 97   Arkansas St. W 76-75 45%     13 - 8 +3.5 +6.2 -2.7
  Feb 11, 2025 215   Central Michigan W 91-83 74%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +2.7 +20.3 -17.1
  Feb 14, 2025 172   Ohio W 76-75 66%     15 - 8 7 - 5 -2.1 +4.6 -6.6
  Feb 18, 2025 301   @ Bowling Green W 91-84 74%     16 - 8 8 - 5 +1.7 +13.3 -11.8
  Feb 21, 2025 171   @ Miami (OH) L 92-96 OT 47%     16 - 9 8 - 6 -1.9 +9.7 -11.2
  Feb 25, 2025 221   Toledo W 78-71 76%    
  Feb 28, 2025 102   @ Akron L 71-77 28%    
  Mar 04, 2025 302   @ Western Michigan W 74-67 73%    
  Mar 07, 2025 291   Eastern Michigan W 76-65 85%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.5 2nd
3rd 1.6 23.1 12.1 36.7 3rd
4th 0.4 15.7 20.2 1.2 37.5 4th
5th 0.0 5.3 13.8 1.4 20.5 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 0.3 3.6 6th
7th 0.4 0.5 0.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.9 9.2 31.4 44.7 13.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 13.7% 23.9% 23.9% 13.2 0.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 10.4
11-7 44.7% 18.7% 18.7% 13.9 0.1 2.0 4.7 1.5 0.0 36.4
10-8 31.4% 15.2% 15.2% 14.3 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.7 0.2 26.6
9-9 9.2% 11.4% 11.4% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 8.2
8-10 0.9% 7.5% 7.5% 15.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 13.9 0.6 4.4 8.5 3.9 0.2 82.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 13.2 14.0 55.5 28.4 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.5%
Lose Out 0.7%