Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#122
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#31
Pace65.0#306
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#139
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.4% 26.3% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 13.7
.500 or above 88.7% 90.4% 69.7%
.500 or above in Conference 91.2% 92.1% 81.3%
Conference Champion 34.9% 36.1% 21.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 1.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round25.4% 26.2% 15.4%
Second Round4.4% 4.7% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 92.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 414 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 188   @ Louisiana W 70-66 55%     1 - 0 +5.6 +2.6 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 56-79 5%     1 - 1 -0.7 -1.4 -1.8
  Nov 21, 2024 320   Niagara W 77-62 92%    
  Nov 23, 2024 220   @ Cleveland St. W 70-67 61%    
  Nov 28, 2024 134   Towson W 66-65 55%    
  Nov 29, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 65-71 30%    
  Nov 30, 2024 176   Kennesaw St. W 80-76 64%    
  Dec 06, 2024 307   Portland W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 15, 2024 356   Mercyhurst W 75-55 96%    
  Dec 22, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 67-85 6%    
  Jan 04, 2025 224   Ball St. W 73-64 79%    
  Jan 07, 2025 294   @ Northern Illinois W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 315   @ Buffalo W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 14, 2025 311   Western Michigan W 77-63 89%    
  Jan 18, 2025 213   Miami (OH) W 73-64 78%    
  Jan 21, 2025 149   @ Toledo L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 28, 2025 270   Bowling Green W 77-65 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 135   Akron W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 298   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 11, 2025 201   Central Michigan W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 158   Ohio W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 18, 2025 270   @ Bowling Green W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 213   @ Miami (OH) W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 25, 2025 149   Toledo W 77-72 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 135   @ Akron L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 311   @ Western Michigan W 74-66 75%    
  Mar 07, 2025 298   Eastern Michigan W 73-60 86%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 7.0 9.3 8.6 5.1 1.6 34.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.7 7.1 5.8 2.2 0.4 19.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.9 5.8 8.1 10.6 12.4 13.6 13.5 11.5 9.0 5.1 1.6 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 100.0% 5.1    5.0 0.1
16-2 95.6% 8.6    7.7 0.9
15-3 81.0% 9.3    6.6 2.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 52.3% 7.0    3.3 3.0 0.7 0.0
13-5 19.8% 2.7    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 34.9% 34.9 25.0 7.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 72.4% 67.3% 5.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 15.6%
17-1 5.1% 56.1% 55.0% 1.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.2 2.5%
16-2 9.0% 46.4% 46.0% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.8 0.8%
15-3 11.5% 39.4% 39.2% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 7.0 0.2%
14-4 13.5% 32.3% 32.3% 13.1 0.0 1.0 2.2 1.1 0.1 9.1
13-5 13.6% 23.6% 23.6% 13.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.4
12-6 12.4% 17.5% 17.5% 13.8 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 10.3
11-7 10.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.0 9.1
10-8 8.1% 10.4% 10.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 7.3
9-9 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.4
8-10 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
7-11 2.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.3
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.4% 25.3% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.5 7.3 8.0 5.3 2.0 0.3 74.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.3 7.4 3.7 18.5 25.9 14.8 22.2 7.4