Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#87
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#91
Pace61.8#339
Improvement-5.9#351

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#36
First Shot+6.5#37
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#158
Layup/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#96
Freethrows+1.4#98
Improvement+1.5#112

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#191
First Shot+0.5#164
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#285
Layups/Dunks+0.5#151
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#258
Freethrows+0.8#119
Improvement-7.4#363
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 0.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 22 - 33 - 10
Quad 32 - 15 - 11
Quad 415 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 295   Utah Tech W 80-57 93%     1 - 0 +12.8 +1.2 +11.7
  Nov 08, 2024 283   Weber St. W 76-48 92%     2 - 0 +18.3 +5.2 +15.6
  Nov 15, 2024 350   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-51 97%     3 - 0 +3.5 +0.9 +5.2
  Nov 21, 2024 36   Oregon L 75-78 34%     3 - 1 +7.5 +11.3 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2024 70   @ North Texas L 55-58 33%     3 - 2 +7.7 +0.6 +6.5
  Nov 30, 2024 229   UC Davis W 90-57 88%     4 - 2 +26.7 +25.0 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2024 271   Idaho W 78-62 91%     5 - 2 +7.2 +6.0 +3.0
  Dec 14, 2024 82   UC Irvine W 67-55 58%     6 - 2 +16.1 -0.2 +16.1
  Dec 17, 2024 335   Sacramento St. W 82-45 96%     7 - 2 +23.1 +8.4 +16.5
  Dec 22, 2024 142   College of Charleston W 74-65 69%     8 - 2 +10.0 +0.2 +9.6
  Dec 23, 2024 202   Oakland W 80-74 OT 79%     9 - 2 +3.8 +7.1 -3.1
  Dec 25, 2024 55   Nebraska L 66-78 34%     9 - 3 -1.5 +5.8 -8.4
  Dec 30, 2024 267   Portland W 89-79 91%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +1.4 +17.9 -15.5
  Jan 02, 2025 159   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-82 63%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -18.1 -3.0 -16.7
  Jan 04, 2025 309   San Diego W 81-54 94%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +15.7 +7.9 +9.2
  Jan 09, 2025 53   @ Santa Clara L 81-82 OT 25%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +12.4 +7.5 +5.0
  Jan 11, 2025 293   @ Pacific W 91-55 85%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +31.4 +22.6 +11.5
  Jan 16, 2025 9   Gonzaga W 97-89 OT 18%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +24.1 +20.9 +2.5
  Jan 18, 2025 71   @ San Francisco L 70-81 34%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -0.3 +8.2 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2025 241   Pepperdine W 83-63 89%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +12.7 +18.4 -2.6
  Jan 25, 2025 53   Santa Clara W 83-69 43%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +22.0 +18.2 +4.7
  Jan 28, 2025 9   @ Gonzaga L 60-98 8%     15 - 7 6 - 4 -16.5 -0.2 -19.2
  Feb 06, 2025 124   Washington St. W 82-74 74%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +7.6 +15.1 -6.6
  Feb 08, 2025 26   St. Mary's L 49-63 29%     16 - 8 7 - 5 -1.9 -5.2 +0.2
  Feb 13, 2025 267   @ Portland L 72-84 81%     16 - 9 7 - 6 -15.2 -0.3 -15.6
  Feb 15, 2025 293   Pacific W 79-65 93%     17 - 9 8 - 6 +3.9 +7.8 -2.7
  Feb 20, 2025 241   @ Pepperdine W 84-78 78%     18 - 9 9 - 6 +4.1 +15.7 -11.1
  Feb 22, 2025 309   @ San Diego W 83-73 87%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +4.1 +9.4 -5.1
  Feb 26, 2025 71   San Francisco L 72-74 54%     19 - 10 10 - 7 +3.2 +8.5 -5.4
  Mar 01, 2025 26   @ St. Mary's L 64-74 15%     19 - 11 10 - 8 +7.5 +18.1 -13.2
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 11.4 0.5 0.3 99.2 0.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 11.4 0.5 0.3 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 11.4 59.7 40.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.7% 0.6% 11.3 0.4 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.8%
Lose Out 12.7%