St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#96
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#75
Pace61.9#342
Improvement-2.4#292

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#108
First Shot+0.9#149
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#85
Layup/Dunks+4.3#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#279
Freethrows+0.0#171
Improvement+1.4#93

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#93
First Shot+4.0#58
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#286
Layups/Dunks+3.8#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#283
Freethrows+2.5#37
Improvement-3.9#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 8.8% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 11.8
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 85.8% 64.7%
Conference Champion 3.3% 5.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round7.4% 8.6% 5.7%
Second Round1.4% 1.8% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 24 - 55 - 6
Quad 38 - 313 - 9
Quad 49 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 133   Cal St. Northridge W 70-56 73%     1 - 0 +13.1 -8.5 +20.4
  Nov 09, 2024 346   @ Canisius W 87-78 91%     2 - 0 -0.2 +17.3 -16.4
  Nov 13, 2024 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 74-65 62%     3 - 0 +11.4 +3.9 +7.7
  Nov 16, 2024 350   Le Moyne W 71-52 96%     4 - 0 +3.7 -3.3 +8.8
  Nov 24, 2024 156   Bryant W 85-70 77%     5 - 0 +12.7 +11.3 +1.4
  Nov 28, 2024 54   Utah St. L 67-72 32%     5 - 1 +5.3 -0.7 +5.9
  Nov 29, 2024 113   Northern Iowa W 68-56 59%     6 - 1 +15.0 +3.3 +13.2
  Dec 04, 2024 265   @ Bucknell W 64-47 79%     7 - 1 +13.8 -2.1 +17.3
  Dec 07, 2024 330   Buffalo W 65-55 95%     8 - 1 -3.2 -7.1 +4.9
  Dec 14, 2024 81   Providence W 74-70 43%     9 - 1 +11.1 +14.1 -2.5
  Dec 17, 2024 272   @ Siena W 65-48 80%     10 - 1 +13.5 -4.8 +19.2
  Dec 21, 2024 311   Niagara W 71-52 93%     11 - 1 +7.7 -1.5 +10.9
  Dec 31, 2024 50   Virginia Commonwealth W 77-75 40%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +10.0 +18.8 -8.6
  Jan 04, 2025 220   @ Fordham W 86-66 72%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +19.4 +18.5 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 68-73 45%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +1.7 +1.2 +0.3
  Jan 11, 2025 191   La Salle L 82-83 OT 81%     13 - 3 2 - 2 -5.1 +8.2 -13.2
  Jan 15, 2025 209   Richmond W 63-49 84%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +8.9 +4.7 +7.5
  Jan 18, 2025 116   @ Duquesne L 57-75 49%     14 - 4 3 - 3 -12.4 -4.8 -9.8
  Jan 21, 2025 86   George Mason W 64-62 57%    
  Jan 24, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-70 22%    
  Jan 28, 2025 76   Dayton W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 220   Fordham W 76-65 86%    
  Feb 04, 2025 136   @ Loyola Chicago W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 09, 2025 119   George Washington W 72-67 71%    
  Feb 12, 2025 109   @ Rhode Island L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 170   @ Massachusetts W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 116   Duquesne W 67-62 69%    
  Feb 26, 2025 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-71 36%    
  Mar 05, 2025 170   Massachusetts W 76-67 80%    
  Mar 08, 2025 120   @ Davidson W 70-69 50%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.1 0.3 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.9 2.5 0.6 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.8 5.3 1.2 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 2.3 7.3 2.1 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.6 6.7 4.8 0.4 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 3.0 7.4 1.3 11.7 6th
7th 0.6 6.2 3.4 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.4 6.2 0.6 9.3 8th
9th 0.5 4.9 2.5 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 3.7 0.4 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.2 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 1.5 0.1 2.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.2 1.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 15th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.9 6.5 13.0 18.9 20.7 17.8 12.1 5.3 1.7 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-4 63.5% 1.1    0.5 0.4 0.1
13-5 28.5% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.3% 44.4% 29.6% 14.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 21.1%
14-4 1.7% 28.7% 25.1% 3.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.2 4.8%
13-5 5.3% 21.2% 19.9% 1.3% 11.4 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 4.2 1.6%
12-6 12.1% 14.8% 14.4% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.0 10.3 0.4%
11-7 17.8% 8.4% 8.4% 0.1% 11.8 0.4 1.0 0.1 16.3 0.1%
10-8 20.7% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 12.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 19.6 0.1%
9-9 18.9% 5.1% 5.1% 11.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 17.9
8-10 13.0% 2.2% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.7
7-11 6.5% 1.1% 1.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 6.5
6-12 2.9% 0.7% 0.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
5-13 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 14.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.5% 7.3% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 4.5 0.4 0.0 92.5 0.2%