Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#78
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#101
Pace70.3#122
Improvement+2.6#83

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#102
First Shot+2.7#101
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#201
Layup/Dunks+1.5#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#71
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement+2.1#81

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#61
First Shot+4.6#54
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks-0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#27
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+0.4#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 12.6% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 11.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round12.2% 12.5% 9.0%
Second Round2.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 90.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 3
Quad 22 - 33 - 6
Quad 38 - 411 - 10
Quad 410 - 221 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 283   Navy W 70-63 93%     1 - 0 -2.4 -8.4 +5.8
  Nov 08, 2024 197   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 87%     1 - 1 -10.6 -4.3 -6.4
  Nov 12, 2024 43   Villanova W 83-76 43%     2 - 1 +16.2 +6.2 +9.6
  Nov 15, 2024 260   @ Penn W 86-69 83%     3 - 1 +14.2 +16.2 -0.8
  Nov 21, 2024 10   Texas Tech W 78-77 15%     4 - 1 +19.4 +12.2 +7.2
  Nov 22, 2024 36   Texas L 58-67 30%     4 - 2 +3.8 -7.7 +11.2
  Nov 26, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 83-54 99%     5 - 2 +8.0 +7.1 +1.8
  Dec 03, 2024 162   Princeton L 69-77 83%     5 - 3 -10.6 -5.9 -4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 236   La Salle W 82-68 85%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +10.0 +8.8 +1.3
  Dec 10, 2024 143   College of Charleston L 75-78 80%     6 - 4 -4.5 -3.3 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2024 247   American W 84-57 91%     7 - 4 +19.6 +10.0 +10.7
  Dec 21, 2024 128   Virginia Tech W 82-62 71%     8 - 4 +21.8 +14.2 +8.7
  Dec 28, 2024 303   Delaware St. W 76-58 94%     9 - 4 +7.4 -4.4 +11.1
  Dec 31, 2024 168   Massachusetts W 81-72 83%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +6.1 +6.3 -0.5
  Jan 03, 2025 109   @ Saint Louis L 57-73 56%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -10.1 -8.8 -2.4
  Jan 08, 2025 132   @ Duquesne L 81-85 OT 62%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +0.2 +6.9 -6.4
  Jan 11, 2025 110   Loyola Chicago W 93-57 74%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +36.8 +20.6 +15.7
  Jan 17, 2025 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-78 38%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +1.6 +0.9 +0.9
  Jan 21, 2025 129   @ Davidson W 78-61 62%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +21.3 +10.3 +12.1
  Jan 24, 2025 83   @ Dayton L 72-77 42%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +4.3 +5.1 -1.1
  Jan 29, 2025 132   Duquesne W 76-72 78%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +3.1 +5.7 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ Loyola Chicago L 55-58 56%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +2.9 -10.5 +13.2
  Feb 07, 2025 109   Saint Louis W 76-63 73%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +13.8 +6.8 +7.6
  Feb 12, 2025 236   La Salle W 75-63 90%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +5.4 -0.6 +6.0
  Feb 15, 2025 75   @ George Mason L 57-58 39%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +9.1 +5.6 +3.3
  Feb 19, 2025 117   @ George Washington W 79-68 58%     16 - 10 8 - 6 +16.3 +16.2 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 218   Richmond W 75-62 90%    
  Feb 26, 2025 106   St. Bonaventure W 70-64 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 204   @ Fordham W 79-72 74%    
  Mar 05, 2025 121   Rhode Island W 79-71 78%    
  Mar 08, 2025 236   @ La Salle W 78-69 78%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 12.0 34.5 28.8 75.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.7 10.1 4.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 0.8 4.0 5th
6th 0.5 0.4 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 0.1 1.1 6.6 22.9 38.8 30.7 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 30.7% 15.1% 15.0% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 2.7 1.8 26.1 0.1%
12-6 38.8% 13.1% 13.1% 11.8 1.1 3.8 0.2 33.7
11-7 22.9% 8.7% 8.7% 11.9 0.2 1.7 0.1 20.9
10-8 6.6% 7.3% 7.3% 12.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 6.1
9-9 1.1% 4.7% 4.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 1.0
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 4.0 7.7 0.5 87.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 11.4 0.9 59.3 39.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.3% 0.1% 11.0 0.1