Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#100
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#138
Pace70.6#136
Improvement+0.9#84

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#109
First Shot+2.3#102
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks+2.2#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
Freethrows+1.6#108
Improvement+2.0#7

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#100
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#93
Layups/Dunks-3.1#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#187
Freethrows+3.7#31
Improvement-1.1#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 15.9% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 4.2% 0.9%
Average Seed 11.1 10.5 11.4
.500 or above 85.6% 95.3% 83.6%
.500 or above in Conference 72.2% 82.1% 70.2%
Conference Champion 10.7% 16.7% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.9% 2.6%
First Four0.7% 1.7% 0.5%
First Round9.0% 15.0% 7.8%
Second Round2.8% 5.1% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Neutral) - 17.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 38 - 411 - 10
Quad 48 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 313   Navy W 70-63 93%     1 - 0 -4.4 -10.5 +6.0
  Nov 08, 2024 256   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 88%     1 - 1 -13.8 -6.8 -7.1
  Nov 12, 2024 69   Villanova W 83-76 50%     2 - 1 +12.0 +6.0 +5.6
  Nov 15, 2024 268   @ Penn W 86-69 77%     3 - 1 +14.5 +14.7 +0.9
  Nov 21, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 67-77 17%    
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 81-54 99%    
  Dec 03, 2024 110   Princeton W 75-71 65%    
  Dec 10, 2024 116   College of Charleston W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 18, 2024 265   American W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 21, 2024 95   Virginia Tech L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 28, 2024 345   Delaware St. W 81-61 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 129   Massachusetts W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 03, 2025 101   @ Saint Louis L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 08, 2025 207   @ Duquesne W 72-68 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 105   Loyola Chicago W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 17, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 21, 2025 130   @ Davidson W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 24, 2025 64   @ Dayton L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 29, 2025 207   Duquesne W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 07, 2025 101   Saint Louis W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 12, 2025 120   La Salle W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 19, 2025 143   @ George Washington W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 197   Richmond W 74-64 81%    
  Feb 26, 2025 114   St. Bonaventure W 73-68 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 161   @ Fordham W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 05, 2025 117   Rhode Island W 79-74 66%    
  Mar 08, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 3.0 2.0 0.8 0.2 10.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.7 3.2 0.8 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.6 3.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.4 3.8 4.1 0.9 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.6 1.4 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.6 0.2 7.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.5 1.1 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.0 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 3.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.1 5.0 7.2 9.7 11.4 12.8 12.6 11.5 9.5 7.0 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.7% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 91.5% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
15-3 72.5% 3.0    1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 41.7% 2.9    1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.7% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 5.9 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 86.7% 41.7% 45.0% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.1%
17-1 0.8% 71.2% 32.8% 38.4% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 57.1%
16-2 2.2% 47.8% 30.7% 17.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.2 24.7%
15-3 4.2% 32.2% 24.7% 7.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 2.8 10.0%
14-4 7.0% 21.9% 19.5% 2.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.5 3.0%
13-5 9.5% 17.1% 16.7% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 7.9 0.6%
12-6 11.5% 11.1% 10.9% 0.1% 11.9 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.2 0.1%
11-7 12.6% 6.3% 6.3% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 11.8 0.1%
10-8 12.8% 4.2% 4.2% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.3
9-9 11.4% 2.6% 2.6% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1
8-10 9.7% 1.2% 1.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.5
7-11 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
6-12 5.0% 0.5% 0.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
5-13 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.4% 8.1% 1.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 3.2 3.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 90.6 1.4%