Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#96
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#118
Pace71.8#99
Improvement+2.3#48

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#123
First Shot+2.9#94
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#257
Layup/Dunks+3.0#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#90
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement+1.8#53

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#82
First Shot+5.5#39
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks+0.8#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#59
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 10.4% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.6 11.3 11.7
.500 or above 93.0% 96.3% 87.7%
.500 or above in Conference 89.7% 91.5% 86.7%
Conference Champion 18.7% 21.1% 14.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round9.0% 10.2% 7.1%
Second Round2.2% 2.6% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Neutral) - 61.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 45 - 6
Quad 37 - 512 - 11
Quad 48 - 221 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 302   Navy W 70-63 93%     1 - 0 -3.7 -10.9 +7.1
  Nov 08, 2024 221   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 86%     1 - 1 -12.0 -4.4 -7.6
  Nov 12, 2024 44   Villanova W 83-76 42%     2 - 1 +14.7 +4.6 +9.6
  Nov 15, 2024 274   @ Penn W 86-69 80%     3 - 1 +13.8 +16.1 -1.1
  Nov 21, 2024 24   Texas Tech W 78-77 21%     4 - 1 +14.9 +10.7 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 31   Texas L 58-67 25%     4 - 2 +3.5 -6.4 +9.6
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 83-54 98%     5 - 2 +7.8 +5.7 +3.0
  Dec 03, 2024 117   Princeton L 69-77 71%     5 - 3 -8.2 -6.6 -1.5
  Dec 07, 2024 164   La Salle W 82-68 72%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +13.6 +10.3 +3.5
  Dec 10, 2024 121   College of Charleston L 75-78 72%     6 - 4 -3.5 -3.1 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2024 242   American W 84-57 89%     7 - 4 +19.4 +10.0 +10.5
  Dec 21, 2024 126   Virginia Tech W 72-69 62%    
  Dec 28, 2024 326   Delaware St. W 83-65 95%    
  Dec 31, 2024 191   Massachusetts W 81-71 83%    
  Jan 03, 2025 143   @ Saint Louis W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 08, 2025 200   @ Duquesne W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 106   Loyola Chicago W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 17, 2025 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 21, 2025 122   @ Davidson W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 24, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 29, 2025 200   Duquesne W 74-64 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 07, 2025 143   Saint Louis W 82-74 76%    
  Feb 12, 2025 164   La Salle W 79-70 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 87   @ George Mason L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 19, 2025 136   @ George Washington W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 216   Richmond W 77-66 84%    
  Feb 26, 2025 89   St. Bonaventure W 70-68 58%    
  Mar 01, 2025 169   @ Fordham W 76-73 61%    
  Mar 05, 2025 99   Rhode Island W 78-75 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 164   @ La Salle W 76-73 60%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 12 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 5.7 4.4 2.1 0.7 18.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.6 5.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 5.1 1.9 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.9 0.1 3.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.1 8.1 10.9 13.6 14.9 14.4 11.8 8.3 4.9 2.1 0.7 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
17-1 99.1% 2.1    1.9 0.2
16-2 89.9% 4.4    3.4 0.9 0.1
15-3 68.0% 5.7    3.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-4 35.0% 4.1    1.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.8% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.6% 18.6 10.8 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 49.3% 31.8% 17.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 25.6%
17-1 2.1% 32.4% 24.4% 8.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.4 10.7%
16-2 4.9% 24.8% 22.8% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.7 2.7%
15-3 8.3% 17.6% 17.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 6.9 0.4%
14-4 11.8% 14.4% 14.3% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 10.1 0.0%
13-5 14.4% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 11.8 0.4 1.0 0.1 12.9 0.0%
12-6 14.9% 7.6% 7.6% 11.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 13.7
11-7 13.6% 4.4% 4.4% 12.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 13.0
10-8 10.9% 2.2% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.7
9-9 8.1% 1.8% 1.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.9
8-10 5.1% 0.7% 0.7% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
7-11 2.9% 1.1% 1.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
6-12 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.1% 8.7% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.6 4.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.9 0.5%