Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#199
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#78
Pace70.5#141
Improvement+0.2#151

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#144
First Shot-2.5#249
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#34
Layup/Dunks-3.8#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#105
Freethrows-6.7#361
Improvement-0.5#266

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#268
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebounds-4.9#355
Layups/Dunks-2.3#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#70
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#56
Freethrows-1.6#268
Improvement+0.7#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 14.4% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 65.4% 74.0% 49.3%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 81.3% 69.9%
Conference Champion 13.8% 16.0% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.8%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round12.4% 14.3% 8.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Neutral) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 413 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 188   @ East Tennessee St. W 82-78 37%     1 - 0 +5.7 +13.0 -7.1
  Nov 12, 2024 49   @ Clemson L 62-75 10%     1 - 1 -0.5 -0.3 -1.3
  Nov 19, 2024 350   @ Chicago St. W 86-66 78%     2 - 1 +10.1 +4.2 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2024 280   Ball St. W 76-72 65%    
  Nov 26, 2024 132   Southern Illinois L 71-75 36%    
  Nov 27, 2024 87   Louisiana Tech L 69-77 22%    
  Dec 01, 2024 124   @ Troy L 71-79 25%    
  Dec 11, 2024 23   @ Pittsburgh L 66-84 5%    
  Dec 14, 2024 315   Eastern Illinois W 78-68 81%    
  Dec 21, 2024 183   Jacksonville St. W 71-69 59%    
  Dec 28, 2024 46   @ Louisville L 70-85 9%    
  Jan 02, 2025 340   @ Central Arkansas W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 04, 2025 186   @ North Alabama L 74-78 37%    
  Jan 09, 2025 177   North Florida W 81-79 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 187   Jacksonville W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 238   @ Austin Peay L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 336   Bellarmine W 79-67 85%    
  Jan 23, 2025 327   Stetson W 79-69 82%    
  Jan 25, 2025 218   Florida Gulf Coast W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 30, 2025 152   @ Lipscomb L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 238   Austin Peay W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 06, 2025 218   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 327   @ Stetson W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 353   West Georgia W 82-68 89%    
  Feb 15, 2025 297   Queens W 83-75 76%    
  Feb 18, 2025 152   Lipscomb W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 20, 2025 336   @ Bellarmine W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 24, 2025 187   @ Jacksonville L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 26, 2025 177   @ North Florida L 78-82 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 4.1 2.6 1.0 0.3 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 3.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 12.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.6 3.8 0.8 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.8 3.5 0.8 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.0 6.1 8.4 10.8 12.6 13.3 12.9 10.5 8.1 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.8% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 93.9% 2.6    2.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 79.4% 4.1    2.8 1.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 46.2% 3.8    1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1
13-5 16.6% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 62.0% 62.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 51.4% 51.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.8% 40.8% 40.8% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.6
15-3 5.2% 34.1% 34.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4
14-4 8.1% 25.2% 25.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 6.1
13-5 10.5% 19.6% 19.6% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 8.4
12-6 12.9% 14.9% 14.9% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.3 11.0
11-7 13.3% 10.8% 10.8% 15.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 11.9
10-8 12.6% 7.5% 7.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 11.6
9-9 10.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.4
8-10 8.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.2
7-11 6.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 6.0
6-12 4.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.9
5-13 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.8 3.7 1.5 87.3 0.0%