Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#220
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#193
Pace84.9#3
Improvement-0.9#276

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#192
First Shot-1.8#237
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#105
Layup/Dunks+3.7#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
Freethrows-4.3#341
Improvement-0.5#256

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#243
First Shot-1.0#207
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#274
Layups/Dunks+0.4#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#76
Freethrows-4.9#354
Improvement-0.4#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 3.8% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 53.1% 56.0% 28.0%
.500 or above in Conference 58.8% 60.4% 44.4%
Conference Champion 4.5% 4.8% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 3.4% 8.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round3.6% 3.8% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Home) - 89.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 326   Northern Illinois W 80-65 81%     1 - 0 +2.9 -2.0 +4.0
  Nov 08, 2024 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 28%     1 - 1 -4.6 +3.0 -6.7
  Nov 15, 2024 264   NC Central W 80-75 60%     2 - 1 -0.4 -3.3 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 193   @ Winthrop W 89-87 34%     3 - 1 +3.5 +0.1 +3.0
  Nov 17, 2024 210   William & Mary L 87-102 49%     3 - 2 -17.4 -0.4 -15.1
  Nov 23, 2024 353   West Georgia W 87-74 90%    
  Nov 30, 2024 93   @ Drake L 69-81 15%    
  Dec 04, 2024 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 71-86 9%    
  Dec 07, 2024 177   North Florida W 86-85 55%    
  Dec 13, 2024 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 72-84 14%    
  Dec 17, 2024 218   Gardner-Webb W 84-81 61%    
  Dec 21, 2024 179   @ Texas St. L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 02, 2025 323   Louisiana Monroe W 82-73 80%    
  Jan 04, 2025 195   South Alabama W 81-79 57%    
  Jan 08, 2025 227   @ Georgia St. L 79-82 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 191   @ Marshall L 82-86 35%    
  Jan 16, 2025 296   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 305   @ Old Dominion W 85-83 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 296   Coastal Carolina W 78-71 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 191   Marshall W 85-83 55%    
  Jan 30, 2025 122   @ Troy L 76-85 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 255   @ Southern Miss L 88-89 47%    
  Feb 05, 2025 247   Louisiana W 83-78 66%    
  Feb 13, 2025 113   James Madison L 82-86 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 305   Old Dominion W 88-80 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 198   @ Appalachian St. L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 113   @ James Madison L 79-89 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 198   Appalachian St. W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 28, 2025 227   Georgia St. W 82-79 62%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 4.6 2.9 0.6 0.1 9.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.4 3.2 4.7 1.1 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 5.5 1.9 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.8 2.9 0.3 9.3 8th
9th 0.5 3.6 3.7 0.6 8.5 9th
10th 0.3 2.3 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 3.1 1.4 0.0 6.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.6 0.1 5.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.1 3.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.0 5.5 7.7 10.0 12.5 13.2 12.7 11.6 8.7 6.0 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 82.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 69.3% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
14-4 36.5% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 13.7% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 15.2% 15.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 25.8% 25.8% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.0% 17.3% 17.3% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.7
14-4 3.6% 11.9% 11.9% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.1
13-5 6.0% 12.4% 12.4% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.2
12-6 8.7% 7.1% 7.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.1
11-7 11.6% 5.4% 5.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 11.0
10-8 12.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.4
9-9 13.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.2 0.1 0.0 13.1
8-10 12.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.4
7-11 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.3 96.4 0.0%