Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#174
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#151
Pace62.9#321
Improvement-1.9#265

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#317
First Shot-1.6#219
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#347
Layup/Dunks-1.3#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#115
Freethrows-1.2#262
Improvement-4.0#348

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#53
First Shot+4.2#56
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#122
Layups/Dunks+2.7#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#250
Freethrows+0.3#168
Improvement+2.1#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 10.8% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 81.5% 90.8% 74.6%
.500 or above in Conference 78.6% 89.3% 70.8%
Conference Champion 3.6% 6.3% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round8.6% 10.8% 7.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 38 - 79 - 9
Quad 48 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 253   Iona W 90-76 76%     1 - 0 +6.0 +12.9 -7.4
  Nov 13, 2024 132   Seton Hall W 49-48 41%     2 - 0 +2.8 -11.4 +14.4
  Nov 16, 2024 171   @ Massachusetts W 75-71 OT 39%     3 - 0 +6.3 +1.4 +4.8
  Nov 19, 2024 58   @ Florida St. L 61-79 12%     3 - 1 -5.7 -4.3 -1.7
  Nov 22, 2024 3   @ Houston L 44-80 2%     3 - 2 -11.7 -10.5 -5.2
  Nov 29, 2024 192   Rice W 68-63 OT 53%     4 - 2 +3.6 -8.9 +12.2
  Nov 30, 2024 262   Tarleton St. L 59-61 69%     4 - 3 -7.7 -5.1 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2024 100   Arkansas St. W 68-66 31%     5 - 3 +6.8 +0.9 +6.0
  Dec 09, 2024 182   @ Norfolk St. W 80-67 41%     6 - 3 +14.9 +14.2 +1.8
  Dec 15, 2024 110   Temple L 42-60 46%     6 - 4 -17.6 -28.1 +9.1
  Dec 29, 2024 184   @ Quinnipiac L 69-75 OT 41%     6 - 5 -4.3 -8.4 +4.8
  Jan 02, 2025 189   William & Mary L 56-74 63%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -22.0 -19.4 -3.4
  Jan 04, 2025 200   @ Northeastern W 55-37 45%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +18.9 -12.6 +32.9
  Jan 09, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 61-67 50%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -6.4 -12.5 +6.1
  Jan 11, 2025 141   UNC Wilmington W 66-63 53%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +1.8 +0.8 +1.4
  Jan 16, 2025 176   @ Towson L 60-65 40%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -2.9 -0.3 -3.5
  Jan 20, 2025 193   @ Drexel L 59-61 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 196   Delaware W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   Campbell W 65-58 76%    
  Jan 30, 2025 158   @ Elon L 61-65 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 252   @ Campbell W 62-60 56%    
  Feb 06, 2025 200   Northeastern W 66-62 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 69-58 87%    
  Feb 13, 2025 189   @ William & Mary L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 256   @ Hampton W 62-60 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 267   Monmouth W 67-59 79%    
  Feb 22, 2025 196   @ Delaware L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 27, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 66-60 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 323   N.C. A&T W 74-62 87%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.4 3.6 1st
2nd 0.4 3.2 3.5 1.0 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 5.6 1.8 0.2 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 6.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.5 5.7 6.2 0.6 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 8.4 1.7 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 6.6 4.0 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.2 3.4 5.3 0.6 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.6 1.4 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.1 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.3 3.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.0 5.8 11.5 17.2 20.4 17.8 13.2 6.9 2.7 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 90.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 56.3% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.4% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1
12-6 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.4% 27.5% 27.5% 12.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 2.7% 22.6% 22.6% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.1
13-5 6.9% 19.0% 19.0% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 5.6
12-6 13.2% 16.9% 16.9% 14.0 0.4 1.3 0.5 11.0
11-7 17.8% 8.4% 8.4% 14.2 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 16.3
10-8 20.4% 7.2% 7.2% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 18.9
9-9 17.2% 4.8% 4.8% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 16.4
8-10 11.5% 3.5% 3.5% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 11.1
7-11 5.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 5.7
6-12 3.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-13 0.9% 0.9
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.2 1.6 3.8 2.8 0.3 91.4 0.0%