IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.6	#264
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.9	#197

Pace	74.4	#57
Improvement	+2.9	#37

Offense
Total Offense	-2.5	#239

First Shot	-2.3	#238
After Offensive Rebound	-0.2	#198

Layup/Dunks	+1.5	#129
2 Pt Jumpshots	-4.6	#363
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.8	#87
Freethrows	-2.0	#299

Improvement	+2.5	#34

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#273

First Shot	-0.3	#181
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.8	#348

Layups/Dunks	-4.7	#334
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.9	#107
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#76
Freethrows	+1.0	#105

Improvement	+0.4	#154

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	3.6%	2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.3	15.6

.500 or above	45.3%	50.2%	23.9%
.500 or above in Conference	58.3%	63.5%	35.5%
Conference Champion	2.7%	3.1%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	2.9%	1.7%	8.4%

First Four	0.7%	0.7%	0.8%
First Round	3.0%	3.3%	1.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 81.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	13 - 6	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	311	Western Carolina	W	67-54	71%	1 - 0			+1.6	-15.7	+15.9
Nov 12, 2024	65	@ Utah	L	65-96	7%	1 - 1			-19.9	-7.8	-9.5
Nov 13, 2024	42	@ BYU	L	55-99	4%	1 - 2			-29.6	-15.2	-12.1
Nov 19, 2024	175	@ Appalachian St.	L	53-65	23%	1 - 3			-9.8	-12.4	+1.7
Nov 23, 2024	342	South Carolina Upstate	W	98-74	72%	2 - 3			+12.5	+14.0	-3.1
Nov 24, 2024	142	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-82	19%	2 - 4			-11.1	-3.2	-8.1
Dec 03, 2024	190	Winthrop	L	78-86	46%	2 - 5			-12.5	-3.8	-8.1
Dec 07, 2024	344	@ VMI	W	81-78	62%	3 - 5			-5.6	+6.3	-11.8
Dec 14, 2024	229	@ Gardner-Webb	W	85-83	32%	4 - 5			+1.4	+13.3	-11.9
Dec 18, 2024	235	Mercer	W	73-66	56%	5 - 5			-0.1	-10.6	+9.8
Dec 21, 2024	28	@ Mississippi	L	62-80	3%	5 - 6			-1.5	-4.5	+3.2
Jan 02, 2025	348	Stetson	W	82-73	81%
Jan 04, 2025	188	Florida Gulf Coast	L	71-72	46%
Jan 09, 2025	109	@ Lipscomb	L	69-82	11%
Jan 11, 2025	283	@ Austin Peay	L	68-70	43%
Jan 16, 2025	348	@ Stetson	W	79-76	62%
Jan 18, 2025	188	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	68-75	26%
Jan 23, 2025	207	North Florida	L	83-84	49%
Jan 25, 2025	211	Jacksonville	L	73-74	50%
Jan 29, 2025	197	North Alabama	L	76-77	47%
Feb 01, 2025	341	West Georgia	W	79-70	79%
Feb 05, 2025	338	@ Central Arkansas	W	76-73	59%
Feb 08, 2025	109	Lipscomb	L	72-79	27%
Feb 13, 2025	345	@ Bellarmine	W	79-76	61%
Feb 15, 2025	230	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	76-81	33%
Feb 18, 2025	338	Central Arkansas	W	79-70	78%
Feb 20, 2025	283	Austin Peay	W	71-67	64%
Feb 24, 2025	341	@ West Georgia	W	76-73	60%
Feb 26, 2025	197	@ North Alabama	L	73-80	27%
Projected Record						14 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.6	2.6	1.4	0.3	0.0				6.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.4	4.0	1.8	0.3	0.0					8.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.8	5.0	2.4	0.3	0.0						11.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	3.0	6.1	3.3	0.4								13.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	3.0	6.7	4.0	0.5	0.0								14.4	6th
7th							0.3	2.6	6.4	4.2	0.7	0.0									14.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.1	5.3	3.6	0.6	0.0										11.8	8th
9th					0.1	1.4	3.5	2.7	0.5	0.0											8.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.9	2.3	1.7	0.3	0.0												5.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.4	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0													2.8	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0														1.3	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.5	5.0	7.8	11.3	13.8	15.0	14.0	11.5	8.5	5.2	2.6	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	91.6%	0.3		0.2	0.1
15-3	71.1%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	35.8%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	10.5%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.2	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		29.0%	29.0%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.3%		15.5%	15.5%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
15-3	1.1%		18.0%	18.0%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.9
14-4	2.6%		12.9%	12.9%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	2.2
13-5	5.2%		9.4%	9.4%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	4.7
12-6	8.5%		6.4%	6.4%		15.3															0.0	0.3	0.2	8.0
11-7	11.5%		4.7%	4.7%		15.5															0.0	0.2	0.3	10.9
10-8	14.0%		3.9%	3.9%		15.7																0.2	0.4	13.5
9-9	15.0%		2.2%	2.2%		15.8																0.1	0.3	14.7
8-10	13.8%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	13.7
7-11	11.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
6-12	7.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
5-13	5.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
4-14	2.5%																							2.5
3-15	1.0%																							1.0
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	15.3													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.7	96.6		0.0%