Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#89
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#44
Pace71.5#113
Improvement+4.2#2

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#93
First Shot+5.0#53
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#266
Layup/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#86
Freethrows+3.6#33
Improvement+3.4#1

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#93
First Shot+3.6#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#252
Layups/Dunks-2.2#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#100
Freethrows+1.9#81
Improvement+0.8#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 2.0% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 21.6% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.0% 8.8% 2.4%
Average Seed 10.5 9.9 10.9
.500 or above 93.1% 97.8% 91.4%
.500 or above in Conference 80.1% 87.1% 77.6%
Conference Champion 14.1% 20.7% 11.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.8% 1.9%
First Four1.7% 3.3% 1.2%
First Round13.1% 20.1% 10.6%
Second Round4.4% 7.3% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Neutral) - 26.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 45 - 5
Quad 38 - 413 - 9
Quad 48 - 221 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 310   Navy W 70-63 94%     1 - 0 -4.3 -10.5 +6.0
  Nov 08, 2024 286   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 92%     1 - 1 -15.3 -6.5 -8.8
  Nov 12, 2024 71   Villanova W 83-76 54%     2 - 1 +12.0 +6.0 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2024 266   @ Penn W 86-69 79%     3 - 1 +14.5 +14.8 +0.8
  Nov 21, 2024 21   Texas Tech W 78-77 23%     4 - 1 +14.9 +10.5 +4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 31   Texas L 70-77 26%    
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 83-55 99.6%   
  Dec 03, 2024 129   Princeton W 76-69 75%    
  Dec 10, 2024 111   College of Charleston W 80-75 69%    
  Dec 18, 2024 263   American W 77-63 90%    
  Dec 21, 2024 118   Virginia Tech W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 28, 2024 346   Delaware St. W 83-62 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 125   Massachusetts W 78-71 72%    
  Jan 03, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 08, 2025 215   @ Duquesne W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 105   Loyola Chicago W 76-71 67%    
  Jan 17, 2025 60   Virginia Commonwealth W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 21, 2025 131   @ Davidson W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 24, 2025 59   @ Dayton L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 29, 2025 215   Duquesne W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 07, 2025 102   Saint Louis W 80-76 64%    
  Feb 12, 2025 130   La Salle W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 70-72 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 144   @ George Washington W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 197   Richmond W 76-65 84%    
  Feb 26, 2025 115   St. Bonaventure W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 163   @ Fordham W 75-72 61%    
  Mar 05, 2025 112   Rhode Island W 82-77 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 130   @ La Salle W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.5 4.1 4.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 14.1 1st
2nd 0.3 2.5 5.4 4.0 1.4 0.2 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.6 0.9 0.1 11.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.8 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.4 3.6 4.4 1.1 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.5 1.4 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.4 2.4 0.1 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.4 0.4 6.1 8th
9th 0.7 2.9 1.2 0.1 4.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 1.6 0.1 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.4 3.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.4 5.0 7.9 11.4 12.3 13.2 12.9 11.3 9.0 5.9 2.6 1.2 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.1
16-2 92.6% 2.4    2.0 0.4 0.0
15-3 74.6% 4.4    2.9 1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.2% 4.1    1.6 1.7 0.7 0.1
13-5 13.3% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.1% 14.1 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 90.1% 30.7% 59.4% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.7%
17-1 1.2% 86.1% 39.5% 46.6% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 77.0%
16-2 2.6% 66.5% 34.9% 31.6% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 48.5%
15-3 5.9% 44.7% 26.5% 18.3% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 24.8%
14-4 9.0% 28.4% 21.2% 7.2% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 0.5 6.5 9.1%
13-5 11.3% 17.1% 15.3% 1.7% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.0 9.4 2.1%
12-6 12.9% 13.5% 12.7% 0.8% 11.7 0.6 1.0 0.1 11.1 0.9%
11-7 13.2% 7.0% 6.7% 0.3% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.3 0.3%
10-8 12.3% 4.1% 4.0% 0.1% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 11.8 0.1%
9-9 11.4% 3.1% 3.1% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.1
8-10 7.9% 2.3% 2.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.8
7-11 5.0% 1.5% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 4.9
6-12 3.4% 3.4
5-13 2.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.9% 10.3% 3.6% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.5 5.2 3.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 86.1 4.0%