Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#146
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#188
Pace71.9#103
Improvement+0.6#116

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#154
First Shot+0.7#147
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#171
Layup/Dunks-4.5#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#59
Freethrows+0.7#152
Improvement-0.2#209

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#165
First Shot+0.9#149
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#247
Layups/Dunks+3.0#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#42
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#283
Freethrows-1.4#263
Improvement+0.8#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.2% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.3 13.4
.500 or above 60.3% 61.7% 30.6%
.500 or above in Conference 47.2% 48.1% 29.3%
Conference Champion 2.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 7.5% 16.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 95.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 35 - 56 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 321   Louisiana Monroe W 80-64 88%     1 - 0 +4.0 -0.7 +3.9
  Nov 11, 2024 349   Alcorn St. W 84-51 93%     2 - 0 +17.1 +9.7 +10.3
  Nov 15, 2024 133   @ Furman L 67-75 35%     2 - 1 -3.1 -0.2 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2024 287   Bethune-Cookman W 72-57 83%     3 - 1 +5.6 -2.4 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2024 357   New Orleans W 86-68 96%    
  Nov 26, 2024 182   Wyoming W 75-73 58%    
  Dec 02, 2024 270   SE Louisiana W 78-68 81%    
  Dec 07, 2024 92   @ George Mason L 68-76 24%    
  Dec 10, 2024 256   Southern Miss W 85-76 78%    
  Dec 14, 2024 81   Florida St. L 73-79 29%    
  Dec 31, 2024 142   @ Charlotte L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 04, 2025 273   Texas San Antonio W 83-73 81%    
  Jan 07, 2025 103   @ UAB L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 11, 2025 120   South Florida W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 15, 2025 73   Florida Atlantic L 78-82 37%    
  Jan 19, 2025 114   @ Temple L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 172   @ Rice L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 30, 2025 33   Memphis L 75-83 24%    
  Feb 02, 2025 185   Tulsa W 81-76 68%    
  Feb 05, 2025 273   @ Texas San Antonio W 80-76 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 84   @ North Texas L 60-69 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 172   Rice W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 19, 2025 145   East Carolina W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 23, 2025 94   @ Wichita St. L 70-78 26%    
  Feb 26, 2025 142   Charlotte W 70-67 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 185   @ Tulsa L 78-79 48%    
  Mar 06, 2025 145   @ East Carolina L 69-72 39%    
  Mar 09, 2025 103   UAB L 75-76 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.0 1.2 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 4.9 2.0 0.1 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 4.4 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.8 0.5 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.0 7.6 10.2 12.1 12.9 12.3 11.2 8.9 6.4 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 62.6% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 34.6% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 42.6% 23.4% 19.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.0%
16-2 0.4% 23.9% 17.6% 6.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 7.6%
15-3 1.1% 15.2% 13.7% 1.5% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.8%
14-4 2.3% 11.2% 11.1% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.1%
13-5 4.4% 8.0% 8.0% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.0
12-6 6.4% 5.6% 5.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.1
11-7 8.9% 3.5% 3.5% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.6
10-8 11.2% 1.8% 1.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.0
9-9 12.3% 1.0% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.2
8-10 12.9% 0.6% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-11 12.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.6
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.0% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 97.9 0.1%