UAB
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#103
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#235
Pace68.8#190
Improvement+1.4#56

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#73
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#46
Layup/Dunks+8.0#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#352
Freethrows+1.2#126
Improvement-0.5#250

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
First Shot+2.0#114
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#270
Layups/Dunks+0.7#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#235
Freethrows+1.5#103
Improvement+1.9#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 7.9% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.4 12.0
.500 or above 77.3% 83.6% 62.8%
.500 or above in Conference 63.2% 67.1% 54.1%
Conference Champion 6.2% 7.2% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.2% 4.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round6.8% 7.8% 4.6%
Second Round1.8% 2.1% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Neutral) - 69.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 43 - 6
Quad 36 - 59 - 11
Quad 49 - 117 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 151   Vermont L 62-67 75%     0 - 1 -7.6 -3.0 -5.1
  Nov 07, 2024 256   Southern Miss W 98-84 87%     1 - 1 +6.2 +10.1 -5.6
  Nov 10, 2024 270   SE Louisiana W 82-72 89%     2 - 1 +1.3 +4.2 -3.1
  Nov 15, 2024 125   @ High Point L 65-68 46%     2 - 2 +2.5 -6.5 +8.9
  Nov 22, 2024 179   Longwood W 72-67 70%    
  Dec 01, 2024 164   Middle Tennessee W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 06, 2024 348   Prairie View W 89-69 97%    
  Dec 15, 2024 107   Arkansas St. W 75-72 62%    
  Dec 18, 2024 345   Alabama A&M W 83-63 97%    
  Dec 22, 2024 349   Alcorn St. W 81-61 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 84   @ North Texas L 62-67 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 185   Tulsa W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 07, 2025 146   Tulane W 79-72 72%    
  Jan 12, 2025 73   @ Florida Atlantic L 77-83 29%    
  Jan 15, 2025 120   @ South Florida L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 21, 2025 273   Texas San Antonio W 84-71 88%    
  Jan 26, 2025 33   @ Memphis L 73-84 17%    
  Jan 29, 2025 185   @ Tulsa W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 142   Charlotte W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 03, 2025 84   North Texas W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 11, 2025 145   @ East Carolina W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 16, 2025 120   South Florida W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 19, 2025 172   @ Rice W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 23, 2025 114   Temple W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 94   @ Wichita St. L 72-76 37%    
  Mar 02, 2025 33   Memphis L 76-81 34%    
  Mar 06, 2025 73   Florida Atlantic L 79-80 49%    
  Mar 09, 2025 146   @ Tulane W 76-75 52%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 6.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.7 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 4.4 1.3 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 4.1 1.7 0.1 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.6 7.0 9.7 11.4 12.8 12.8 12.0 9.6 7.2 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 93.1% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 72.1% 1.8    1.2 0.6 0.0
14-4 39.3% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 88.5% 61.5% 26.9% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0%
17-1 0.4% 66.4% 37.6% 28.9% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 46.2%
16-2 1.1% 46.4% 30.0% 16.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 23.4%
15-3 2.5% 29.7% 24.8% 4.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.8 6.5%
14-4 4.7% 19.9% 19.4% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 3.8 0.7%
13-5 7.2% 15.9% 15.9% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.1 0.0%
12-6 9.6% 11.9% 11.8% 0.1% 12.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.5 0.1%
11-7 12.0% 8.0% 8.0% 12.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.0
10-8 12.8% 4.5% 4.5% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.2
9-9 12.8% 2.4% 2.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.5
8-10 11.4% 1.7% 1.7% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2
7-11 9.7% 0.8% 0.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 7.0% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
5-13 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.9% 6.5% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.8 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 93.1 0.5%