Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#277
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#261
Pace61.2#348
Improvement-1.9#287

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#264
First Shot-2.2#235
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#248
Layup/Dunks-1.8#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#202
Freethrows-1.0#244
Improvement+1.5#79

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#274
First Shot-4.2#311
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#87
Layups/Dunks+4.8#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#101
Freethrows-4.2#356
Improvement-3.3#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 22.8% 29.7% 11.4%
.500 or above in Conference 27.9% 35.9% 14.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 6.0% 18.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 293   Western Michigan W 60-56 64%     1 - 0 -6.1 -12.2 +6.6
  Nov 09, 2024 182   @ East Carolina L 59-63 21%     1 - 1 -2.0 -1.3 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 7%     1 - 2 -1.7 +1.6 -3.2
  Nov 17, 2024 152   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 36%     1 - 3 -20.8 -12.9 -11.6
  Nov 22, 2024 351   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 72%     2 - 3 +1.7 +1.4 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 68%     2 - 4 -18.3 -7.0 -11.4
  Nov 30, 2024 342   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 78%     3 - 4 +7.5 -2.9 +11.3
  Dec 04, 2024 296   @ Campbell W 58-57 42%     4 - 4 -3.3 -8.8 +5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 190   @ Winthrop L 89-96 23%     4 - 5 -5.5 +16.1 -21.6
  Dec 17, 2024 324   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 49%     5 - 5 -1.2 -1.5 +0.4
  Dec 21, 2024 105   @ Arkansas St. L 67-97 10%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -22.6 +2.1 -26.3
  Jan 02, 2025 286   Louisiana W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 334   Louisiana Monroe W 70-63 75%    
  Jan 08, 2025 175   @ Appalachian St. L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 11, 2025 272   @ Georgia St. L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 16, 2025 242   Georgia Southern W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 199   Marshall L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 22, 2025 242   @ Georgia Southern L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 308   @ Old Dominion L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 30, 2025 135   @ James Madison L 62-73 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 199   @ Marshall L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 156   South Alabama L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 175   Appalachian St. L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 135   James Madison L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 282   @ Southern Miss L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 119   @ Troy L 61-73 14%    
  Feb 26, 2025 272   Georgia St. W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 28, 2025 308   Old Dominion W 72-67 67%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 4.8 1.3 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.7 2.5 0.2 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.4 4.3 0.5 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.8 1.2 0.0 11.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.0 2.2 0.1 11.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 3.0 0.3 11.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.6 8.2 12.3 14.5 15.6 14.2 11.2 8.0 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 67.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 31.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 1.9% 1.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 10.7% 10.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.1% 7.0% 7.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-7 4.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.6
10-8 8.0% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.8
9-9 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.2
8-10 14.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.1
7-11 15.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.6
6-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.3
4-14 8.2% 8.2
3-15 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%