Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#229
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#204
Pace70.5#136
Improvement-2.5#306

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot-3.2#269
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#17
Layup/Dunks-8.7#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#10
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-2.0#297
Improvement-1.6#295

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#301
First Shot-1.6#231
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#340
Layups/Dunks-1.5#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#107
Freethrows-1.0#256
Improvement-0.9#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 9.6% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.2 15.1
.500 or above 45.6% 74.5% 44.3%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 83.3% 70.5%
Conference Champion 5.3% 9.4% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.4% 1.4%
First Four0.9% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round6.0% 9.5% 5.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 142   @ East Tennessee St. W 82-78 24%     1 - 0 +7.9 +15.0 -6.9
  Nov 12, 2024 37   @ Clemson L 62-75 5%     1 - 1 +2.0 +1.9 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2024 361   @ Chicago St. W 86-66 78%     2 - 1 +8.4 +4.1 +2.9
  Nov 25, 2024 252   Ball St. L 61-63 55%     2 - 2 -7.0 -11.0 +3.9
  Nov 26, 2024 196   Southern Illinois W 77-72 43%     3 - 2 +3.2 +2.5 +0.6
  Nov 27, 2024 102   Louisiana Tech L 69-78 22%     3 - 3 -4.4 +5.6 -10.9
  Dec 01, 2024 120   @ Troy L 74-84 19%     3 - 4 -4.2 +6.2 -10.5
  Dec 11, 2024 30   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 4%     3 - 5 -23.8 -9.9 -13.9
  Dec 14, 2024 326   Eastern Illinois W 81-66 80%     4 - 5 +2.6 +0.2 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2024 152   Jacksonville St. L 80-91 47%     4 - 6 -13.8 +4.8 -18.8
  Dec 28, 2024 44   @ Louisville L 69-87 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 338   @ Central Arkansas W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 04, 2025 198   @ North Alabama L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 09, 2025 207   North Florida W 84-82 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 211   Jacksonville W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 16, 2025 283   @ Austin Peay L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 345   Bellarmine W 83-72 85%    
  Jan 23, 2025 348   Stetson W 83-72 85%    
  Jan 25, 2025 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 108   @ Lipscomb L 70-81 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 283   Austin Peay W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 06, 2025 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 348   @ Stetson W 80-75 68%    
  Feb 13, 2025 341   West Georgia W 81-70 84%    
  Feb 15, 2025 265   Queens W 81-76 67%    
  Feb 18, 2025 108   Lipscomb L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 345   @ Bellarmine W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 24, 2025 211   @ Jacksonville L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 207   @ North Florida L 81-85 35%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.6 0.6 0.0 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.4 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.5 3.7 0.4 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.2 4.0 0.5 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.9 8.0 11.4 14.0 14.9 14.1 11.7 8.2 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 94.8% 0.8    0.6 0.2
15-3 71.5% 1.6    1.0 0.6 0.1
14-4 34.8% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 10.1% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 33.3% 33.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 30.3% 30.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.2% 19.4% 19.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.8
14-4 4.9% 16.8% 16.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.0
13-5 8.2% 13.3% 13.3% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 7.1
12-6 11.7% 10.1% 10.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 10.6
11-7 14.1% 7.4% 7.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 13.1
10-8 14.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 14.2
9-9 14.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 13.5
8-10 11.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.2
7-11 8.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.9
6-12 4.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.8
5-13 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.6 2.2 93.5 0.0%