Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#254
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#228
Pace74.4#43
Improvement+0.0#183

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#263
First Shot-5.5#321
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#55
Layup/Dunks-0.4#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#116
Freethrows-3.6#354
Improvement+1.4#106

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#230
First Shot+0.5#162
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#340
Layups/Dunks+2.1#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#209
Freethrows-2.1#319
Improvement-1.4#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 19.5% 24.9% 7.4%
.500 or above in Conference 14.4% 19.3% 3.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 1.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 68.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 412 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 338   Northern Illinois W 80-65 80%     1 - 0 +0.9 -3.0 +3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 117   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 16%     1 - 1 -2.7 +3.9 -5.8
  Nov 15, 2024 295   NC Central W 80-75 58%     2 - 1 -2.3 -5.0 +2.3
  Nov 16, 2024 205   @ Winthrop W 89-87 29%     3 - 1 +2.3 -2.8 +4.8
  Nov 17, 2024 208   William & Mary L 87-102 39%     3 - 2 -17.4 -1.1 -14.3
  Nov 23, 2024 345   West Georgia W 64-54 80%     4 - 2 -4.3 -17.2 +12.7
  Nov 30, 2024 73   @ Drake L 47-61 8%     4 - 3 -3.9 -16.5 +11.3
  Dec 04, 2024 38   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-89 4%     4 - 4 -20.6 -8.8 -12.8
  Dec 07, 2024 245   North Florida W 93-91 OT 59%     5 - 4 -5.6 -3.8 -2.1
  Dec 13, 2024 113   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-77 15%     5 - 5 -8.3 -1.9 -7.5
  Dec 17, 2024 236   Gardner-Webb W 86-81 56%     6 - 5 -1.9 +2.9 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2024 184   @ Texas St. L 61-83 26%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -20.8 -12.8 -8.2
  Jan 02, 2025 328   Louisiana Monroe W 90-82 77%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -5.0 +13.9 -18.7
  Jan 04, 2025 156   South Alabama L 47-76 37%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -30.9 -23.3 -8.4
  Jan 08, 2025 278   @ Georgia St. L 78-82 OT 45%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -8.0 -9.7 +2.3
  Jan 11, 2025 182   @ Marshall L 69-81 26%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -10.6 +0.1 -11.3
  Jan 16, 2025 309   @ Coastal Carolina W 88-87 OT 53%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -5.1 +5.3 -10.4
  Jan 18, 2025 275   @ Old Dominion W 67-63 44%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +0.2 +2.2 -1.5
  Jan 23, 2025 309   Coastal Carolina W 85-58 71%     10 - 9 4 - 4 +16.0 +5.2 +10.5
  Jan 25, 2025 182   Marshall L 67-71 43%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -7.6 -5.6 -2.1
  Jan 30, 2025 111   @ Troy L 74-81 15%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -1.2 +8.9 -10.5
  Feb 01, 2025 248   @ Southern Miss L 68-72 40%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -6.7 -7.8 +1.4
  Feb 05, 2025 301   Louisiana W 75-70 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 306   @ Western Michigan W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 13, 2025 137   James Madison L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 275   Old Dominion W 74-71 65%    
  Feb 20, 2025 145   @ Appalachian St. L 64-73 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 137   @ James Madison L 69-78 18%    
  Feb 25, 2025 145   Appalachian St. L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 28, 2025 278   Georgia St. W 81-77 66%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.1 0.1 1.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.3 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 5.3 0.6 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 8.9 3.5 0.1 13.9 8th
9th 0.3 7.4 9.4 0.5 17.7 9th
10th 0.0 3.9 14.1 3.1 0.0 21.1 10th
11th 1.5 11.1 5.7 0.1 18.4 11th
12th 1.2 7.1 6.7 0.6 15.6 12th
13th 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 1.6 9.0 22.0 29.3 23.8 10.9 3.2 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.3% 6.1% 6.1% 15.0 0.0 0.3
10-8 3.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 3.2
9-9 10.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.8
8-10 23.8% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 23.6
7-11 29.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 29.2
6-12 22.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 21.9
5-13 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%