Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#242
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#175
Pace77.7#18
Improvement-1.1#256

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#269
First Shot-5.7#336
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#49
Layup/Dunks+0.3#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#148
Freethrows-3.5#352
Improvement-1.0#260

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#205
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#319
Layups/Dunks+1.2#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#160
Freethrows-2.1#320
Improvement-0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.8% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 46.9% 51.8% 26.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 50.0% 24.8%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.7% 13.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Monroe (Home) - 80.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 349   Northern Illinois W 80-65 84%     1 - 0 +0.0 -3.4 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2024 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 19%     1 - 1 -3.4 +3.4 -6.1
  Nov 15, 2024 274   NC Central W 80-75 57%     2 - 1 -1.3 -3.8 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 190   @ Winthrop W 89-87 28%     3 - 1 +3.5 -1.0 +4.1
  Nov 17, 2024 221   William & Mary L 87-102 45%     3 - 2 -18.3 -2.7 -13.6
  Nov 23, 2024 341   West Georgia W 64-54 82%     4 - 2 -4.3 -16.9 +12.3
  Nov 30, 2024 80   @ Drake L 47-61 9%     4 - 3 -3.7 -15.7 +10.7
  Dec 04, 2024 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-89 7%     4 - 4 -22.6 -8.9 -14.7
  Dec 07, 2024 207   North Florida W 93-91 OT 53%     5 - 4 -3.3 -1.4 -2.2
  Dec 13, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-77 13%     5 - 5 -6.4 -0.8 -6.7
  Dec 17, 2024 229   Gardner-Webb W 86-81 58%     6 - 5 -1.6 +2.4 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2024 126   @ Texas St. L 61-83 18%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -16.9 -9.4 -7.7
  Jan 02, 2025 334   Louisiana Monroe W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 04, 2025 156   South Alabama L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 08, 2025 272   @ Georgia St. L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 199   @ Marshall L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 277   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 308   @ Old Dominion W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 22, 2025 277   Coastal Carolina W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 25, 2025 199   Marshall W 79-78 51%    
  Jan 30, 2025 119   @ Troy L 69-79 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 282   @ Southern Miss L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 05, 2025 286   Louisiana W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 13, 2025 135   James Madison L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 308   Old Dominion W 81-74 73%    
  Feb 20, 2025 175   @ Appalachian St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 135   @ James Madison L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 175   Appalachian St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 272   Georgia St. W 78-74 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.4 3.8 4.8 0.9 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 6.3 1.9 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 6.3 3.4 0.2 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 5.1 4.7 0.6 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.1 1.2 0.1 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.4 1.8 0.1 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.4 2.0 0.2 7.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.3 7.6 10.9 14.1 15.5 15.1 12.0 8.5 5.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 75.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 69.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 27.0% 27.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 11.5% 11.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 9.9% 9.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.6% 8.8% 8.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-6 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.9
11-7 8.5% 3.2% 3.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.3
10-8 12.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.8
9-9 15.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.9
8-10 15.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 15.4
7-11 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
5-13 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
4-14 4.3% 4.3
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 98.4 0.0%