Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.9 #213
Expected Predictive Rating +0.0 #166
Pace 75.9 #40
Improvement +2.2 #71

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #153 C- C B B- B+
Defense #277 C- F B- F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #136 1.02 #325 -2.0 #251
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #332 0.95 #14 -1.9 #271
Three Pointers 48% #55 0.97 #239 +2.4 #107
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #213 -1.5 #212
Freethrows 19.4 #81 73% #170 14.1 #93
Second Chance 28.0% #262 1.10 #121 0.31 #208
Turnovers 15.1% #88
Total Offense +0.4 #153

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #52 1.24 #276 -4.7 #322
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #328 0.78 #216 +1.8 #60
Three Pointers 41% #175 0.97 #129 +0.9 #150
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #244 -2.0 #244
Freethrows 21.4 #338 74% #261 15.9 #27
Second Chance 37.6% #350 1.07 #223 0.40 #334
Turnovers 18.4% #83
Total Defense -3.4 #277

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.4% #45 2.2% #345
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.2% #259 1.8% #215
Possession Length 16.1 #76 16.7 #97
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #257 0.20 #280
Improvement +1.5 #84 +0.6 #142

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.9% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.7
.500 or above 92.5% 97.8% 89.4%
.500 or above in Conference 91.7% 97.5% 88.3%
Conference Champion 15.8% 24.7% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round7.9% 10.9% 6.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Away) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 54 - 7
Quad 414 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 266 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 51%  -2  0 - 1 -6 +6 C- B C -11 D F F
 Sat, Nov 8 239 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 67%  -1  1 - 1 -4 +4 C F A+ -9 F F A
 Tue, Nov 11 189 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 35%  +3  2 - 1 +2 +16 A+ D- B- -14 C F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 114 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 18%  +1  2 - 2 +5 -6 F B- F +11 A+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 111 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 17%  -14  2 - 3 -19 -9 F F C+ -5 D C+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 210 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 49%  -4  2 - 4 -9 -10 F F C +1 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 315 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 73%  +1  2 - 5 -22 -14 F C- C- -8 C F F
 Sat, Nov 29 300 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 77%  +6  3 - 5 +7 +5 C+ C A+ +4 C+ C A+
 Wed, Dec 3 228 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 65%  +4  4 - 5 +1 +8 A B- C+ -6 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 363 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 83%  +3  5 - 5 -9 +3 D F A -12 F D C
 Sat, Dec 13 297 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 57%  +9  6 - 5 +1 +12 C+ A C+ -11 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 304 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 78%  +8  7 - 5 1 - 0 +12 +18 D A A+ -5 F B+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 204 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 60%  -3  8 - 5 2 - 0 -1 +8 D C- A+ -9 B- F B-
 Thu, Jan 1 270 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 52%  +3  9 - 5 3 - 0 -2 +3 D B C -6 B F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 250 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 46%  +12  10 - 5 4 - 0 +5 +7 B C C+ -3 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 200 @South Alabama L 71 - 75 37% 
 Thu, Jan 15 250 Old Dominion W 83 - 78 68% 
 Sat, Jan 17 270 Coastal Carolina W 81 - 75 73% 
 Thu, Jan 22 126 Arkansas St. L 85 - 87 43% 
 Sat, Jan 24 137 Troy L 78 - 79 45% 
 Thu, Jan 29 356 @Louisiana Monroe W 89 - 81 77% 
 Sat, Jan 31 310 @Louisiana W 73 - 70 60% 
 Wed, Feb 4 268 Texas St. W 79 - 73 72% 
 Wed, Feb 11 224 Appalachian St. W 73 - 70 63% 
 Sat, Feb 14 159 Marshall W 82 - 81 51% 
 Thu, Feb 19 304 @Georgia St. W 80 - 78 57% 
 Sat, Feb 21 224 @Appalachian St. L 70 - 73 40% 
 Wed, Feb 25 204 @James Madison L 77 - 80 38% 
 Fri, Feb 27 159 @Marshall L 79 - 85 30% 
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 6 -3 +0 C- C B -3 C- F B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.3 4.5 2.3 0.6 0.1 15.8 1st
2nd 0.3 3.5 6.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 15.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 7.7 4.4 0.7 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 7.2 5.2 0.7 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.9 5.6 1.0 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 5.3 1.4 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.8 2.1 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 2.3 0.2 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.5 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.1 9.4 13.9 17.2 17.9 14.6 10.2 5.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 98.5% 2.3    2.0 0.3 0.0
15-3 83.8% 4.5    2.9 1.5 0.2
14-4 51.7% 5.3    2.0 2.4 0.8 0.1
13-5 17.6% 2.6    0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.8% 15.8 8.0 5.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 29.2% 29.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 29.3% 29.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.3% 28.0% 28.0% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.7
15-3 5.4% 23.2% 23.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 4.2
14-4 10.2% 16.9% 16.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 8.5
13-5 14.6% 13.5% 13.5% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.2 12.6
12-6 17.9% 7.1% 7.1% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 16.6
11-7 17.2% 3.5% 3.5% 15.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 16.6
10-8 13.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.7
9-9 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.4
8-10 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
7-11 2.2% 2.2
6-12 0.8% 0.8
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 14.6 92.1 0.0%