Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.6 289
Results Rating -7.4 284
Pace 69.4 150
Improvement +4.4 34

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 323 F C- C C+ F+
Defense C- 215 C- C- C C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 361 D- 50% 348 -8.7 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 101 D 33% 327 +1.7 90
Three Pointers 44% 132 D- 29% 339 -1.7 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.8 348 F+ -7.0 358
1st FG Attempt F 0.85 361
Second Chance D+ 26.9% 282 C+ 1.05 145 C- 0.28 248
Turnovers C 16.9% 181
Freethrows C- 0.29 219 A- 79% 9 C+ 0.23 135
Total Offense D -6.2 323

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 333 D+ 12.7% 281
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 35 B 2.8% 37
Three Pointers C+ 85% 160 B 0.4% 71
Total C 54% 206 B 4.5% 58

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 115 C 59% 201 +1.9 239
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 250 C- 39% 216 -0.7 130
Three Pointers 40% 200 C 34% 202 -0.2 174
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 255 C +0.5 201
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 217
Second Chance D 34.1% 318 C+ 0.98 108 C- 0.34 246
Turnovers C 16.6% 192
Freethrows C+ 0.29 161 C+ 72% 133 C+ 0.21 147
Total Defense C- -1.4 215

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 226 C 10.4% 192
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 217 D- 1.7% 335
Three Pointers D 89% 329 D 0.3% 315
Total C- 59% 250 C- 4.7% 247

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 244 16.5 47
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 346 0.18 224
Improvement +4.0 #19 +0.3 #165

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 306 291 273
Results Rating Rank 310 284 260
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 12 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 25% 51% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 48.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 33 - 93 - 11
Quad 46 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 248 @Eastern Michigan L 49 - 71 29% -8  12% 0 - 1 F -24 F -24 F D- F C -0 A F C+
 Fri, Nov 7 43 @Cincinnati L 64 - 74 3% -6  14% 0 - 2 B- +5 D+ -4 C- B D- A +10 A C+ A
 Mon, Nov 10 277 Presbyterian L 61 - 63 58% +5  80% 0 - 3 D- -12 F+ -8 F+ C- C- D+ -4 C- F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 60 @Arizona St. L 62 - 75 5% +1  51% 0 - 4 C -1 F+ -9 D D- F A +8 C- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 210 @South Dakota St. L 58 - 105 23% -28  0% 0 - 5 F -47 F -19 F F D+ F -26 F B- D+
 Tue, Nov 25 190 Samford L 63 - 78 29% -7  4% 0 - 6 F+ -17 F -15 F B- C- C- -2 C- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 163 New Mexico St. L 58 - 77 24% -9  25% 0 - 7 F -19 F -22 F F D- B +4 C+ B D
 Tue, Dec 2 178 @Mercer L 67 - 78 19% -5  20% 0 - 8 D -9 F -11 D F D C+ +2 A- D C-
 Sat, Dec 6 165 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 92 17% -16  0% 0 - 9 F -20 F -18 F B B- C+ +1 F C A+
 Sat, Dec 13 196 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 73 40% +5  88% 1 - 9 C -1 B- +5 D B- A+ D -6 B+ F F
 Thu, Dec 18 266 @Georgia Southern L 67 - 90 33% -8  15% 1 - 10 0 - 1 F -26 F+ -9 D+ F D- F -18 C+ F F
 Sat, Dec 20 173 @Appalachian St. W 70 - 63 18% +4  78% 2 - 10 1 - 1 B +9 C -0 B+ F F A +10 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 176 @Marshall L 80 - 84 18% -2  31% 2 - 11 1 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D B- C- C+ +0 C F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 236 @Coastal Carolina W 89 - 71 27% -1  29% 3 - 11 2 - 2 A- +17 A+ +23 A+ A B- D -5 B- F B
 Thu, Jan 8 173 Appalachian St. L 50 - 52 35% +2  70% 3 - 12 2 - 3 D+ -6 F -19 F C+ B+ A+ +14 A+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 10 176 Marshall W 81 - 73 37% -3  21% 4 - 12 3 - 3 C+ +4 D+ -3 F A+ D B+ +6 B+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 77 - 57 63% +9  80% 5 - 12 4 - 3 B +9 C- -1 C F B A+ +11 A- A- C-
 Thu, Jan 22 241 Southern Miss W 69 - 62 49% +2  61% 6 - 12 5 - 3 C -0 F+ -10 F A+ D A +9 B+ A F+
 Sat, Jan 24 143 Arkansas St. W 82 - 81 30% -3  27% 7 - 12 6 - 3 C -1 B+ +8 A F A F+ -9 F B- C+
 Thu, Jan 29 291 @Louisiana L 72 - 82 39% -10  3% 7 - 13 6 - 4 F+ -15 C+ +2 F C- A+ F -17 F F C
 Sat, Jan 31 182 @South Alabama L 67 - 69 19% -4  8% 7 - 14 6 - 5 C -0 B- +4 D+ B- C+ D -5 F+ C F
 Wed, Feb 4 152 Troy L 63 - 74 32% -4  11% 7 - 15 6 - 6 D- -14 D- -8 F C B+ D- -7 D- B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 323 Northern Illinois L 74 - 75 71% +1  46% 7 - 16 D- -14 D- -7 D- F A D- -7 F+ A- F+
 Thu, Feb 12 201 @James Madison L 79 - 81 OT 22% -2  25% 7 - 17 6 - 7 C -1 C- -1 C D+ D C +0 D C+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 242 @Old Dominion L 55 - 78 28% -12  0% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -24 F -16 F B- B+ F -10 F F B
 Thu, Feb 19 266 Georgia Southern W 66 - 64 56% +4  85% 8 - 18 7 - 8 D+ -7 F -14 F D+ A A- +7 A- B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 201 James Madison L 65 - 80 41% -11  0% 8 - 19 7 - 9 F -20 F -11 D+ F+ F F -10 F+ F B
 Tue, Feb 24 236 Coastal Carolina L 69 - 70 48%
 Fri, Feb 27 242 Old Dominion L 73 - 74 50%
Totals 9 - 20 8 - 10 -8 D -6 F+ F+ F+ C- -1 D- A- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D D- F+ 27% 45% 44% F+ F D+ C+ C- C C- A- C+ C- C C- C C 41% 18% 40% D+ C- D C+ C- C C+ C+ C+
1.00 50% 33% 29% -7 -2 0.85 27% 1.0 .28 17% .29 79% .23 1.11 59% 39% 34% +1 0 1.04 34% 1.0 .34 17% .29 72% .21
Nov
3		 Eastern Michigan F F F+ D+ F 36% 26% 38% D F C F D- F F F+ F C A+ C- A A+ 49% 30% 21% D+ A F C F C+ B+ A+ A
0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16 1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11
Nov
7		 Cincinnati D+ C- C+ F+ B- 20% 44% 36% F C- C A+ B D- B+ A+ A+ A F C+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% D+ A C- B C+ A F B F
0.85 50% 41% 28% -4 -4 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 23% .31 89% .27 0.98 72% 38% 19% -6 0 0.90 34% 0.9 .32 21% .44 65% .29
Nov
10		 Presbyterian F+ B- C F D- 37% 23% 40% D F+ A- F C- C- A- B A D+ C- A+ F+ C- 44% 23% 33% D C- D+ F F A- F F F
1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26 1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33
Nov
17		 Arizona St. F+ D- F B+ C- 21% 34% 45% F D D- D- D- F C+ A B A F F A+ D- 31% 40% 29% A+ C- B A+ A+ D+ A- B A-
0.87 50% 25% 38% -3 -3 0.89 25% 0.9 .22 25% .30 81% .24 1.06 71% 55% 25% +7 -3 1.09 29% 0.4 .11 14% .29 72% .21
Nov
21		 South Dakota St. F B+ D- F F 24% 12% 63% C F F D F D+ A+ F A+ F F F F F 42% 9% 49% F+ F D- A+ B- D+ F F+ F
0.81 67% 33% 19% -12 0 0.78 11% 1.0 .11 17% .45 67% .30 1.47 77% 80% 50% +24 +2 1.53 33% 0.8 .26 14% .36 77% .28
Nov
25		 Samford F F F F F 27% 14% 59% B+ F B+ D+ B- C- A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ B C 42% 12% 47% F C- F F F A+ F C+ F
0.90 29% 29% 17% -25 0 0.53 33% 1.1 .35 14% .45 89% .40 1.11 67% 20% 30% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.3 .41 20% .61 68% .41
Nov
26		 New Mexico St. F C+ F F F 27% 22% 51% C- F D F F D- F C- F B B+ A- F C+ 38% 29% 33% C C+ F A+ B D B+ C+ B+
0.78 60% 8% 25% -13 -1 0.75 26% 0.7 .19 18% .20 75% .15 1.04 50% 29% 42% -2 -1 0.97 39% 0.7 .26 12% .21 71% .15
Dec
2		 Mercer F D+ A D- C- 28% 30% 42% F D F F F D C F D+ C+ D+ B+ A+ A- 33% 20% 47% C A- D+ D+ D C- F D+ F
0.94 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 20% .26 67% .17 1.10 63% 30% 26% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 15% .50 77% .38
Dec
6		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 38% 16% 46% C F D A+ B B- B+ C+ B+ C+ D C F F 44% 15% 41% C F A F C A+ F A D
0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35 1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28
Dec
13		 Jacksonville St. B- F A- C+ C- 21% 26% 53% F D C A- B- A+ A+ A A+ D A A+ D+ A- 54% 10% 37% D- B+ D+ F F F B- A+ A
1.17 33% 45% 35% -3 -2 0.93 28% 1.2 .34 11% .54 84% .46 1.11 43% 20% 37% -8 +3 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 6% .32 50% .16
Dec
18		 Georgia Southern F+ A F C- C- 29% 15% 56% D D+ D- F F D- F D- F F A+ A+ F B- 40% 2% 58% F+ C+ F C+ F F F F F
1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19 1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52
Dec
20		 Appalachian St. C A+ D- B A 30% 28% 41% F+ B+ D F F F A+ B A+ A D+ A+ C- B- 42% 16% 42% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ D
1.04 79% 31% 37% +6 -2 1.11 26% 0.5 .13 21% .37 75% .28 0.93 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 19% 0.4 .08 13% .41 58% .24
Dec
31		 Marshall C- B+ B- F+ C- 23% 38% 40% F D C- A B- C- C+ A+ A C+ F A+ B+ C+ 33% 16% 51% F+ C B F F B+ F A+ D-
1.07 67% 40% 29% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32 1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23
Jan
3		 Coastal Carolina A+ B D A+ A+ 10% 38% 52% F A+ C- A+ A B- D- A+ B- D C+ A+ B- B 28% 19% 53% D- B- F F F B D- F F
1.37 60% 35% 56% +16 -4 1.25 27% 1.6 .43 11% .24 100% .24 1.09 54% 22% 32% -6 -1 0.89 40% 1.3 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Jan
8		 Appalachian St. F F D F F 30% 44% 26% F F F A+ C+ B+ D F D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% D A+ F A+ C A- A+ B A+
0.81 33% 32% 15% -17 -4 0.60 20% 1.5 .30 11% .24 62% .15 0.84 50% 0% 24% -15 +1 0.73 40% 0.8 .31 19% .20 60% .12
Jan
10		 Marshall D+ F C F F 31% 26% 43% D+ F B+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ B+ C+ A- B+ A 34% 20% 46% D B+ F+ B D+ A+ F A+ D-
1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55 0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23
Jan
17		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- F A C+ 18% 16% 65% F+ C F B+ F B F C F+ A+ A+ C+ B A- 31% 26% 43% B+ A- C- A+ A- C- A+ C+ A+
1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12 0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13
Jan
22		 Southern Miss F+ F F F F 30% 21% 49% D F B A+ A+ D A+ B A+ A D+ A- A+ B+ 31% 33% 37% B B+ A+ F A F+ B+ A- A-
0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36 0.86 63% 29% 21% -9 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
24		 Arkansas St. B+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 26% 54% F+ A F F F A B A+ A+ F+ C F D+ F+ 51% 6% 43% F F D A- B- C+ D+ F F
1.22 40% 62% 44% +11 -2 1.20 13% 0.5 .07 10% .37 91% .33 1.20 58% 100% 35% +5 +3 1.17 41% 0.8 .34 21% .36 89% .32
Jan
29		 Louisiana C+ F D+ F F 33% 28% 40% F F C+ D C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D- F F 23% 45% 32% A F F C- F C F F F
1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56 1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Alabama B- C F C+ C- 10% 17% 73% F+ D+ A- D B- C+ A- F B D F F A+ F 51% 19% 30% C- F+ F A+ C F D A+ B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% -2 -1 0.96 40% 1.0 .40 17% .30 67% .20 1.15 71% 56% 21% +4 +1 1.13 30% 0.9 .27 8% .34 53% .18
Feb
4		 Troy D- F+ C- F F 31% 35% 33% F F D B+ C B+ A- D+ B+ D- F A+ B D 51% 4% 45% F D- F A+ B+ F+ A A- A
0.99 47% 41% 25% -7 -2 0.83 27% 1.2 .32 14% .35 68% .24 1.16 69% 0% 30% +2 +3 1.12 40% 0.6 .25 13% .21 67% .14
Feb
7		 Northern Illinois D- A+ F F D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D F F A A+ C+ A+ D- A+ F F F 45% 12% 43% D+ F+ A+ C- A- F+ D F F+
1.03 78% 23% 24% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.7 .19 13% .53 73% .38 1.05 41% 50% 48% +3 +2 1.10 18% 0.8 .15 18% .38 73% .27
Feb
12		 James Madison C- F B A+ C+ 39% 26% 35% D+ C D- B- D+ D C D C- C C+ D- F+ D 45% 13% 42% D- D C- A- C+ B+ D C D
1.07 43% 43% 42% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.1 .26 15% .35 68% .24 1.09 56% 43% 39% +3 +2 1.11 31% 0.9 .28 20% .34 70% .24
Feb
14		 Old Dominion F F F F F 23% 44% 33% F F C+ B- B- B+ D+ A+ C+ F F D- F F 37% 30% 33% C+ F F F F B C- A+ B-
0.85 33% 17% 18% -23 -4 0.48 33% 1.1 .35 12% .32 83% .27 1.21 71% 43% 40% +9 -1 1.17 41% 1.4 .56 19% .30 63% .19
Feb
19		 Georgia Southern F F F F+ F 32% 30% 38% F F D C+ D+ A D A+ B- A- A A+ B+ A 38% 7% 55% D+ A- B A- B+ F A A- A+
0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30 0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16
Feb
21		 James Madison F F+ B B- C+ 26% 46% 28% F D+ F C- F+ F D+ A+ B- F D F A+ F+ 53% 17% 30% D- F+ F B- F B F D+ F
0.97 46% 43% 36% 0 -4 0.94 20% 1.0 .20 18% .33 83% .27 1.19 64% 100% 14% +5 +2 1.15 48% 1.0 .48 19% .41 73% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 4.6 4.6 7th
8th 1.8 19.0 20.8 8th
9th 25.4 1.1 26.5 9th
10th 8.0 20.2 28.1 10th
11th 11.9 1.5 13.4 11th
12th 5.7 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.8 0.8 13th
14th 14th
Total 26.4 48.9 24.7 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 24.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.6
8-10 48.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 48.9
7-11 26.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.4
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 24.0%