Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#284
Pace71.4#104
Improvement-2.3#297

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#276
First Shot-3.0#262
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#227
Layup/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#302
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-2.0#314

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#243
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#259
Layups/Dunks-1.6#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#206
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-0.3#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 7.9% 11.8% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.1% 31.3% 22.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 8.1% 12.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 31 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 252   Ball St. W 71-66 58%     1 - 0 -2.9 -3.8 +1.0
  Nov 08, 2024 24   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 3%     1 - 1 -17.6 -3.5 -11.9
  Nov 13, 2024 152   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 19%     1 - 2 -1.8 -9.7 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2024 274   NC Central W 93-79 63%     2 - 2 +4.7 +21.1 -15.4
  Nov 26, 2024 283   Austin Peay L 50-62 53%     2 - 3 -18.6 -16.4 -3.8
  Nov 27, 2024 239   Tulsa W 74-71 44%     3 - 3 -1.4 -0.7 -0.6
  Nov 29, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 76-105 2%     3 - 4 -10.5 +1.0 -8.2
  Dec 06, 2024 194   Kennesaw St. L 77-81 45%     3 - 5 -8.6 -2.9 -5.5
  Dec 14, 2024 193   Charlotte L 63-77 45%     3 - 6 -18.6 -15.5 -2.9
  Dec 17, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 59-100 1%     3 - 7 -14.6 -8.1 -4.1
  Dec 21, 2024 119   @ Troy L 57-77 14%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -14.2 -8.4 -7.0
  Dec 28, 2024 235   Mercer W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 156   South Alabama L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 04, 2025 286   Louisiana W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 08, 2025 242   Georgia Southern W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 277   Coastal Carolina W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 15, 2025 126   @ Texas St. L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 105   @ Arkansas St. L 68-81 11%    
  Jan 23, 2025 199   Marshall L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 135   James Madison L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 30, 2025 199   @ Marshall L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 175   @ Appalachian St. L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 05, 2025 334   Louisiana Monroe W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 13, 2025 308   Old Dominion W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 175   Appalachian St. L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 20, 2025 135   @ James Madison L 68-78 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 308   @ Old Dominion L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 277   @ Coastal Carolina L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 28, 2025 242   @ Georgia Southern L 74-78 35%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.5 1.6 0.1 4.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 4.7 1.3 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.8 2.5 0.1 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 4.4 5.8 1.3 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.2 2.3 0.1 12.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.7 3.0 0.3 11.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.4 8.3 12.3 15.0 15.9 14.5 11.1 7.8 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 71.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 34.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 10.3% 10.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 10.1% 10.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 7.7% 7.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.3% 4.3% 4.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
11-7 4.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 7.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.6
9-9 11.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.0
8-10 14.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.4
7-11 15.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.9
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
4-14 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
3-15 4.4% 4.4
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%