Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.6 #342
Expected Predictive Rating -10.5 #321
Pace 72.8 #82
Improvement +0.3 #163

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #323 D- F F D- F
Defense #334 F F C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% #364 0.96 #345 -9.3 #364
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #57 0.79 #125 +3.1 #51
Three Pointers 46% #92 0.96 #250 +1.1 #137
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #316 -5.0 #316
Freethrows 13.4 #335 77% #58 10.3 #314
Second Chance 23.8% #337 0.95 #283 0.23 #344
Turnovers 19.9% #340
Total Offense -5.9 #323

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #175 1.30 #326 -3.0 #278
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #337 0.68 #87 +2.8 #17
Three Pointers 47% #45 1.12 #306 -5.2 #340
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #331 -5.5 #331
Freethrows 18.8 #259 74% #247 13.9 #94
Second Chance 35.3% #325 1.15 #300 0.41 #336
Turnovers 15.7% #238
Total Defense -5.7 #334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.4% #343 1.6% #304
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.7% #287 9.1% #328
Possession Length 17.8 #229 15.6 #15
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #186 0.22 #315
Improvement +3.1 #24 -2.8 #332

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 4.1% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 52.9% 71.6% 46.3%
Conference Champion 5.9% 11.7% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 0.8%
First Four3.2% 4.8% 2.6%
First Round1.5% 2.5% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Away) - 26.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 20 - 9
Quad 410 - 1310 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 9 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0%  -33  0 - 1 -35 -12 D F D- -18 F F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 15 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1%  -22  0 - 2 -15 -1 A F B -11 D+ C- D-
 Sat, Nov 15 228 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 16%  -3  0 - 3 -18 -18 F D- F -1 B- F B-
 Wed, Nov 19 33 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1%  -26  0 - 4 -29 -7 D+ D F -19 F B+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 19 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1%  -30  0 - 5 -35 -10 F A- F -20 F D F
 Sun, Nov 23 152 Winthrop L 62 - 80 21%  -8  0 - 6 -21 -10 D+ F F -13 F D- D
 Fri, Nov 28 310 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 29%  +5  1 - 6 +0 -15 F F F +16 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 162 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 10%  -9  1 - 7 -12 -1 F B F -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 11 @Houston L 38 - 80 0%  -22  1 - 8 -20 -19 D F F -4 C+ F A
 Sat, Dec 13 60 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 2%  -18  1 - 9 -28 -18 F F C -9 D C B-
 Thu, Dec 18 252 Hampton L 77 - 84 27%  -5  1 - 10 -12 +2 B- F C- -14 D- F B-
 Fri, Dec 19 272 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 31%  -11  1 - 11 -16 -5 D- C- F -11 F B- B-
 Mon, Dec 29 44 @TCU L 64 - 115 2%  -24  1 - 12 -36 -3 D- B+ D+ -30 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 3 346 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 63%  +7  2 - 12 1 - 0 -12 +8 B+ F A- -21 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 301 @Alabama St. L 74 - 81 26% 
 Mon, Jan 12 303 @Alabama A&M L 69 - 76 26% 
 Sat, Jan 17 306 Prairie View L 80 - 81 50% 
 Mon, Jan 19 335 Texas Southern W 78 - 76 58% 
 Sat, Jan 24 278 @Bethune-Cookman L 74 - 82 23% 
 Mon, Jan 26 345 @Florida A&M L 75 - 78 40% 
 Sat, Jan 31 246 Grambling St. L 71 - 75 36% 
 Mon, Feb 2 256 Southern L 77 - 80 38% 
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77 - 68 81% 
 Mon, Feb 9 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 80 - 84 35% 
 Sat, Feb 14 345 Florida A&M W 78 - 75 61% 
 Mon, Feb 16 278 Bethune-Cookman L 77 - 79 43% 
 Sat, Feb 21 346 @Alcorn St. L 78 - 80 41% 
 Thu, Feb 26 306 @Prairie View L 78 - 84 29% 
 Sat, Feb 28 335 @Texas Southern L 75 - 79 37% 
 Tue, Mar 3 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 81 56% 
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 65 92% 
Totals 10 - 21 9 - 9 -12 -6 D- F F -6 F F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.9 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.1 4.4 1.9 0.1 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.3 2.9 0.2 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.9 4.8 0.7 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 6.3 1.4 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 6.1 3.5 0.2 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 4.1 5.7 0.7 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.7 1.6 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.2 0.1 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.8 1.6 0.1 6.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 5.6 9.5 13.1 15.8 15.3 13.9 10.3 7.1 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 96.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-4 84.8% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 54.9% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 19.9% 1.4    0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 2.9 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 27.9% 27.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2
15-3 0.6% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 1.8% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
13-5 3.6% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.4 3.2
12-6 7.1% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.7 6.4
11-7 10.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.6 9.8
10-8 13.9% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.6 13.3
9-9 15.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 14.9
8-10 15.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 15.6
7-11 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.5
5-13 5.6% 5.6
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 96.7 0.0%