Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.3 #337
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #292
Pace 73.6 #63
Improvement +1.7 #115

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #324 D- D D D+ D-
Defense #325 D D- C- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #357 1.03 #326 -7.4 #356
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #73 0.74 #190 +2.1 #75
Three Pointers 45% #112 0.89 #328 -1.0 #219
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #342 -6.3 #342
Freethrows 0.26 #318 76% #52 0.20 #269
Second Chance 24.8% #329 0.94 #289 0.23 #340
Turnovers 18.9% #308
Total Offense -5.9 #324

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #197 1.32 #342 -2.8 #279
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #338 0.62 #11 +3.2 #4
Three Pointers 47% #37 1.07 #253 -4.2 #333
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #302 -3.8 #301
Freethrows 0.32 #257 72% #179 0.23 #241
Second Chance 36.1% #346 1.07 #253 0.39 #331
Turnovers 15.8% #235
Total Defense -5.4 #325

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #329 1.4% #300
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.9% #331 6.0% #299
Possession Length 17.6 #213 15.5 #4
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #182 0.23 #338
Improvement +2.7 #59 -1.0 #245

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.1% 2.5% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 94.2% 75.4%
Conference Champion 10.0% 17.8% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.0% 4.8% 3.3%
First Round1.8% 2.3% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 20 - 00 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 412 - 1112 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 7 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0 - 1 -34 -13 D- F D+ -16 F F B
 Thu, Nov 6 16 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1% -22  0 - 2 -15 -0 B+ F B -11 D+ D+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 215 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 15% -3  0 - 3 -17 -18 F D- F+ +0 B- D+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 28 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  0 - 4 -27 -5 C- C F -19 F B- D+
 Fri, Nov 21 22 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  0 - 5 -35 -10 F B+ F -20 F D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 123 Winthrop L 62 - 80 16% -8  0 - 6 -19 -7 C F+ D- -13 F+ D D
 Fri, Nov 28 303 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 28% +5  1 - 6 +1 -16 F F D- +17 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 142 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 8% -9  1 - 7 -11 -1 F B F+ -9 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 6 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  1 - 8 -17 -20 D F F -2 B F A
 Sat, Dec 13 63 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 3% -18  1 - 9 -28 -17 F F C -10 D C B-
 Thu, Dec 18 251 Hampton L 77 - 84 28% -5  1 - 10 -12 +2 C+ D C -14 D- F B
 Fri, Dec 19 307 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 40% -11  1 - 11 -19 -6 D- D+ F -12 F B- C
 Mon, Dec 29 51 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  1 - 12 -38 -4 D B D+ -31 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 348 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 64% +7  2 - 12 1 - 0 -12 +9 B F B+ -21 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 322 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 33% +7  3 - 12 2 - 0 +4 -6 F F+ C- +10 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 293 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 26% -6  3 - 13 2 - 1 -14 +4 D+ D- A- -16 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 339 Prairie View W 82 - 78 62% +4  4 - 13 3 - 1 -10 -1 C D+ F -9 C F+ C
 Mon, Jan 19 309 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 52% +5  5 - 13 4 - 1 -7 +11 A- F B- -18 F C- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 236 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 17% -16  5 - 14 4 - 2 -38 -27 F F D -10 C+ F D-
 Mon, Jan 26 317 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 32% -3  6 - 14 5 - 2 -6 +0 F B+ C -6 C C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 287 Grambling St. L 66 - 69 46% -3  6 - 15 5 - 3 -13 -6 F F+ B -8 D+ C F+
 Mon, Feb 2 266 Southern L 77 - 79 41%
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77 - 68 81%
 Mon, Feb 9 331 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 79 - 83 35%
 Sat, Feb 14 317 Florida A&M W 75 - 74 54%
 Mon, Feb 16 236 Bethune-Cookman L 75 - 79 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 348 @Alcorn St. L 76 - 78 41%
 Thu, Feb 26 339 @Prairie View L 79 - 82 40%
 Sat, Feb 28 309 @Texas Southern L 77 - 82 31%
 Tue, Mar 3 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82 - 80 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 65 92%
Totals 11 - 20 10 - 8 -11 -6 D- D D -5 D D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.5 1.5 0.3 10.0 1st
2nd 0.8 7.7 6.6 1.4 0.1 16.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.2 9.7 1.5 0.0 17.5 3rd
4th 1.3 10.1 2.6 0.1 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 5.7 5.8 0.2 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 8.1 1.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 3.4 3.8 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.6 4.4 0.5 5.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 2.2 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.4 1.7 0.2 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.9 4.6 11.2 19.6 23.9 21.0 12.0 4.9 1.5 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-4 96.4% 1.5    1.2 0.3
13-5 70.6% 3.5    1.6 1.7 0.2
12-6 31.7% 3.8    0.6 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-7 4.5% 0.9    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.0% 10.0 3.7 3.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.3% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.5% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.2 1.3
13-5 4.9% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.4 4.5
12-6 12.0% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.8 11.3
11-7 21.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 1.0 20.0
10-8 23.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.8 23.1
9-9 19.6% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.6 19.0
8-10 11.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.1
7-11 4.6% 4.6
6-12 0.9% 0.9
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 16.0 96.0 0.0%