Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Pace70.7#104
Improvement+2.7#82

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#279
First Shot-4.5#301
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#146
Layup/Dunks-3.8#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#245
Freethrows-0.7#219
Improvement+4.3#20

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#221
First Shot-1.5#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks+1.2#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#346
Freethrows+2.4#42
Improvement-1.6#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.0% 60.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 37.0% 60.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four37.0% 60.7% 0.0%
First Round22.7% 37.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 30 - 50 - 14
Quad 416 - 416 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 4   @ Houston L 40-97 1%     0 - 1 -31.4 -18.5 -14.8
  Nov 09, 2024 87   @ High Point L 71-80 10%     0 - 2 -0.4 -2.9 +2.6
  Nov 12, 2024 40   @ Xavier L 57-94 4%     0 - 3 -21.4 -9.8 -10.2
  Nov 16, 2024 51   @ Vanderbilt L 81-94 5%     0 - 4 +0.7 +9.4 -8.2
  Nov 20, 2024 160   @ Western Kentucky L 62-79 21%     0 - 5 -14.3 -10.1 -3.4
  Nov 22, 2024 14   @ Kentucky L 59-108 2%     0 - 6 -28.6 -15.8 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2024 97   @ Lipscomb L 53-77 11%     0 - 7 -16.3 -16.4 -0.2
  Dec 02, 2024 100   @ Saint Louis L 66-74 12%     0 - 8 -0.8 +0.8 -2.2
  Dec 05, 2024 98   @ Arkansas St. L 64-66 11%     0 - 9 +5.7 -7.7 +13.4
  Dec 08, 2024 9   @ Iowa St. L 58-100 1%     0 - 10 -20.1 -5.7 -11.9
  Dec 20, 2024 159   @ UTEP L 61-67 21%     0 - 11 -3.1 -7.9 +4.7
  Dec 21, 2024 111   Akron L 50-68 19%     0 - 12 -14.4 -23.6 +9.6
  Dec 28, 2024 163   @ California Baptist L 73-79 22%     0 - 13 -3.4 -4.6 +1.8
  Jan 04, 2025 325   @ Alcorn St. W 72-69 56%     1 - 13 1 - 0 -4.2 +2.2 -6.2
  Jan 11, 2025 288   Alabama St. W 77-70 67%     2 - 13 2 - 0 -3.2 +0.2 -3.4
  Jan 13, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 103-93 3OT 89%     3 - 13 3 - 0 -8.8 -8.6 -3.3
  Jan 18, 2025 360   @ Prairie View W 79-70 77%     4 - 13 4 - 0 -4.4 -1.3 -3.2
  Jan 20, 2025 279   @ Texas Southern L 73-81 44%     4 - 14 4 - 1 -12.0 +1.3 -13.1
  Jan 25, 2025 289   Bethune-Cookman W 86-81 67%     5 - 14 5 - 1 -5.3 +7.4 -12.8
  Jan 27, 2025 326   Florida A&M L 62-72 75%     5 - 15 5 - 2 -22.7 -20.2 -2.2
  Feb 01, 2025 328   @ Grambling St. W 65-50 58%     6 - 15 6 - 2 +7.4 -0.9 +10.1
  Feb 03, 2025 240   @ Southern L 89-91 OT 35%     6 - 16 6 - 3 -3.6 +6.5 -9.8
  Feb 08, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 92-44 98%     7 - 16 7 - 3 +16.9 +17.5 +5.4
  Feb 10, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-78 92%     8 - 16 8 - 3 -5.3 +9.7 -15.0
  Feb 15, 2025 326   @ Florida A&M L 71-76 56%     8 - 17 8 - 4 -12.2 -3.6 -8.8
  Feb 17, 2025 289   @ Bethune-Cookman W 84-71 47%     9 - 17 9 - 4 +8.2 +9.7 -1.7
  Feb 22, 2025 325   Alcorn St. W 71-63 75%     10 - 17 10 - 4 -4.7 -0.4 -3.5
  Mar 01, 2025 279   Texas Southern W 67-52 65%     11 - 17 11 - 4 +5.5 -6.9 +12.2
  Mar 03, 2025 360   Prairie View W 88-74 89%     12 - 17 12 - 4 -4.9 +6.4 -11.3
  Mar 06, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-69 83%     13 - 17 13 - 4 -8.8 -2.7 -5.9
  Mar 08, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 66-62 96%     14 - 17 14 - 4 -21.6 -16.0 -5.5
  Mar 12, 2025 326   Florida A&M W 91-76 66%     15 - 17 +5.0 +14.6 -9.1
Projected Record 15 - 17 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 37.0% 37.0% 16.0 37.0 63.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 37.0% 37.0% 0.0% 16.0 37.0 63.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 37.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 23.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 39.1%