Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.9 337
Results Rating -9.2 313
Pace 73.8 49
Improvement +2.0 104

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 307 D- D+ D C- D-
Defense D- 344 D D- D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 352 D- 50% 343 -7.5 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 83 C 38% 172 +2.0 71
Three Pointers 44% 113 D- 30% 327 -0.9 218
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 331 D- -5.1 336
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 346
Second Chance D 26.2% 302 C- 0.99 235 D+ 0.26 297
Turnovers D 19.0% 308
Freethrows D+ 0.27 287 B 76% 52 C- 0.21 225
Total Offense D -5.2 307

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F+ 32% 354 D+ 12.6% 276
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 277 C- 5.7% 236
Three Pointers D+ 80% 279 F 2.0% 349
Total F+ 45% 346 C- 6.1% 236

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 178 D- 65% 339 +2.9 280
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 328 B+ 33% 33 -2.7 11
Three Pointers 46% 46 C- 35% 246 +3.4 323
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.7 293 D+ +2.9 292
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 298
Second Chance F+ 36.3% 350 C- 1.05 215 D- 0.38 327
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 279
Freethrows D 0.35 302 C- 73% 252 D 0.25 306
Total Defense D- -6.7 344

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 62% 359 D 6.9% 327
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 44% 359 A 10.9% 10
Three Pointers D- 91% 349 C+ 1.2% 101
Total F 70% 360 C- 5.0% 227

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 206 15.7 3
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 180 0.25 354
Improvement +3.5 #37 -1.5 #272

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 349 337 321
Results Rating Rank 333 316 290
Conference Record 9 - 9 10 - 8 12 - 6
Conference Finish 7 4 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 98% 100% 97%
Conference Champion 1% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 5% 4%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Away) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 412 - 1112 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 5 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0% 0 - 1 F -32 F -16 D- F D+ F -12 F F B+
 Thu, Nov 6 11 @Louisville L 70 - 106 0% -22  1% 0 - 2 D- -14 D+ -2 A- F B F+ -8 D+ D+ D-
 Sat, Nov 15 215 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 14% -3  38% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -19 F D D C+ +2 B+ D- C
 Wed, Nov 19 33 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  1% 0 - 4 F -28 F+ -9 D+ C F F -16 F B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 17 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  3% 0 - 5 F -33 F -13 F A F F -16 F D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 135 Winthrop L 62 - 80 16% -8  15% 0 - 6 F -19 F+ -10 C F+ F+ F -11 F D- D
 Fri, Nov 28 291 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 24% +5  89% 1 - 6 C +1 F -18 F F D- A+ +21 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 165 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 9% -9  24% 1 - 7 D- -12 D -5 F B D- D- -7 A F F
 Wed, Dec 10 6 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  2% 1 - 8 F+ -17 F -22 D+ F F C+ +1 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 13 69 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 3% -18  0% 1 - 9 F -29 F -20 F F C D- -8 D- C- B-
 Thu, Dec 18 259 Hampton L 77 - 84 27% -5  12% 1 - 10 D- -13 C- -1 C+ D- C F -12 D- F B
 Fri, Dec 19 302 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 37% -11  12% 1 - 11 F -18 F+ -9 D- D F F+ -9 F B C
 Mon, Dec 29 50 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  0% 1 - 12 F -37 D -6 D- B+ D F -29 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 345 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 64% +7  86% 2 - 12 1 - 0 D- -13 B +6 B+ F A- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 312 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 29% +7  90% 3 - 12 2 - 0 C+ +5 D- -7 F D- D+ A +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 310 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 28% -6  14% 3 - 13 2 - 1 F+ -15 C +0 D D- A- F -14 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 331 Prairie View W 82 - 78 59% +4  83% 4 - 13 3 - 1 D -10 D -4 C+ D- F D -6 C D- C-
 Mon, Jan 19 305 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 49% +5  96% 5 - 13 4 - 1 D+ -7 A- +9 A D- B F -16 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 240 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 16% -16  8% 5 - 14 4 - 2 F -38 F -29 F F D- D- -8 C+ F D-
 Mon, Jan 26 328 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 34% -3  10% 6 - 14 5 - 2 D+ -7 C- -2 F A- C+ D+ -4 C- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 296 Grambling St. L 66 - 69 46% -3  14% 6 - 15 5 - 3 D- -14 D- -7 F D- B- D- -7 D C+ D
 Mon, Feb 2 258 Southern L 91 - 96 OT 37% -11  1% 6 - 16 5 - 4 D- -14 C +0 C- D A- F -13 F+ C+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 97 - 81 79% +6  72% 7 - 16 6 - 4 C- -4 B +7 F A+ D- F -12 F C F
 Mon, Feb 9 329 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63 - 84 35% -10  5% 7 - 17 6 - 5 F -29 F -13 F B+ D- F -17 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 328 Florida A&M W 80 - 60 57% +12  99% 8 - 17 7 - 5 B- +6 C +1 C D+ C+ B+ +5 A+ B D
 Mon, Feb 16 240 Bethune-Cookman W 91 - 86 33% +2  69% 9 - 17 8 - 5 C- -2 B- +5 A- C+ D+ F+ -8 C F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 345 @Alcorn St. L 65 - 83 41% +2  70% 9 - 18 8 - 6 F -28 F -17 F F F F -11 C+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 26 331 @Prairie View L 81 - 85 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 305 @Texas Southern L 76 - 82 28%
 Tue, Mar 3 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82 - 80 57%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 67 91%
Totals 11 - 20 10 - 8 -12 D -5 C- D- D- D- -7 D- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C D- D- 30% 46% 44% D- D- D C- D+ D D+ B C- D- D- B+ C- D+ 39% 16% 46% D+ D F+ C- D- D+ D C- D
1.01 50% 38% 30% -5 -1 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 19% .27 76% .21 1.18 65% 33% 35% +3 +1 1.09 36% 1.0 .38 15% .35 73% .20
Nov
3		 Illinois F A- F+ F D 13% 42% 45% F D- F F F D+ B+ B- B+ F B+ C F F 32% 9% 59% C F F C F B+ F+ A+ C
0.73 63% 28% 26% -9 -5 0.75 9% 0.3 .02 15% .22 71% .15 1.50 56% 40% 52% +15 +1 1.34 58% 1.2 .72 16% .38 67% .25
Nov
6		 Louisville D+ F C+ A+ A- 30% 25% 45% C+ A- F+ F F B D+ F F+ F+ F F C+ C- 48% 5% 46% D D+ F+ C+ D+ D- F B F
0.91 41% 36% 44% +1 -1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 16% .25 56% .14 1.37 74% 67% 35% +10 +3 1.27 41% 1.0 .41 13% .52 74% .39
Nov
15		 Louisiana Tech F F F F F 33% 7% 61% B F F B+ D D C B+ C+ C+ B+ A+ A- A 63% 12% 26% F B+ F C+ D- C F B+ F
0.75 27% 0% 21% -24 +1 0.57 23% 1.2 .27 20% .31 76% .24 0.99 48% 0% 27% -13 +3 0.81 46% 0.7 .34 19% .56 58% .32
Nov
19		 Auburn F+ D B+ D C 26% 39% 35% F D+ B F+ C F A C A- F F F F F 44% 5% 51% F+ F A D+ B+ D+ A+ D A
0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26 1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23
Nov
21		 Arkansas F F C- F F 25% 33% 42% F F C+ A+ A F D- B+ D+ F F A+ F F 54% 15% 31% F+ F D+ D+ D F+ F D+ F
0.80 31% 35% 23% -15 -3 0.67 29% 1.6 .46 26% .20 73% .14 1.51 79% 25% 53% +18 +2 1.43 38% 1.3 .50 8% .51 78% .40
Nov
23		 Winthrop F+ C- A C B- 18% 33% 49% F C D F F+ F+ F F F F F+ A+ F+ F 37% 11% 52% C F C F D- D A+ F A+
0.96 56% 50% 33% +3 -3 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 20% .16 63% .10 1.24 65% 17% 39% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 12% .18 90% .16
Nov
28		 Louisiana F F A- F F 38% 22% 40% D F F F+ F D- F A- F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% F A+ F D- F A+ F A+ C-
0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08 0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17
Dec
2		 Kennesaw St. D F B- F F 31% 24% 45% F+ F C- A+ B D- A A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A+ 41% 2% 57% F A F D+ F F F B+ F
1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44 1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39
Dec
10		 Houston F F F+ C- D+ 17% 20% 63% D+ D+ D F F F F F F C+ D- F A B- 15% 33% 52% A- B- F F F A B- A+ A
0.59 29% 25% 31% -11 -1 0.78 23% 0.4 .10 39% .13 60% .08 1.24 71% 56% 28% +3 -3 1.02 46% 1.4 .64 17% .24 54% .13
Dec
13		 Northwestern F F D+ F F 27% 24% 49% D+ F F F F C A+ F+ B+ D- F A+ A D 41% 11% 48% F D- D- B+ C- B- F D+ F
0.73 36% 33% 24% -15 -1 0.71 19% 0.5 .10 18% .39 65% .25 1.28 89% 20% 27% +6 +1 1.17 34% 1.2 .41 14% .62 77% .48
Dec
18		 Hampton C- B- A+ D- B- 33% 22% 44% D+ C+ F B+ D- C F A+ D- F A+ B F F 30% 30% 41% B- D- C- F F B F F F
1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22 1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46
Dec
19		 Norfolk St. F+ D+ F A+ C- 24% 34% 42% F D- D C- D F F B F+ F+ F C- F F 20% 37% 43% A+ F D+ A+ B C F+ F F
0.99 58% 24% 43% +1 -3 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 22% .28 75% .21 1.12 70% 39% 48% +12 -3 1.18 32% 0.7 .24 19% .41 83% .34
Dec
29		 TCU D F B B D 30% 32% 38% F D- C A+ B+ D C D C F F F F F 43% 15% 43% D+ F B- B- B- F A+ F A
0.87 27% 44% 37% -6 -2 0.86 26% 1.3 .34 23% .26 67% .18 1.56 88% 56% 50% +26 +1 1.56 33% 1.0 .33 11% .18 100% .18
Jan
3		 Alcorn St. B A+ C- B A- 36% 16% 48% D B+ F F F A- A A+ A+ F B- A+ F F 28% 28% 44% B+ F F F+ F F F A+ F
1.27 83% 38% 38% +12 0 1.26 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 84% .35 1.23 53% 20% 54% +7 -2 1.13 34% 1.1 .37 14% .40 58% .23
Jan
10		 Alabama St. D- D F F F 53% 16% 31% B F C F D- D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 60% 11% 29% F A+ F B F A+ F B- F+
0.99 56% 0% 25% -12 +2 0.82 33% 0.8 .28 20% .53 88% .46 0.85 39% 17% 13% -23 +3 0.62 48% 0.8 .37 25% .37 67% .25
Jan
12		 Alabama A&M C B- A+ F D 32% 13% 55% C D F A+ D- A- A+ A- A+ F F B- C+ F 37% 18% 45% D- F C F F C- F D- F
1.12 63% 63% 27% -1 0 1.02 15% 1.5 .22 12% .43 77% .34 1.23 78% 33% 32% +5 0 1.12 25% 1.6 .41 16% .63 79% .50
Jan
17		 Prairie View D A D- C+ C+ 37% 17% 46% C C+ B F D- F D+ D D D C+ B- C+ C 31% 31% 39% C C F+ C- D- C- F C- F
1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25 1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43
Jan
19		 Texas Southern A- A+ A+ B- A+ 38% 24% 38% D- A D- D D- B A A+ A+ F F C- B+ F 41% 9% 50% F F F A+ D+ D F C- F
1.29 74% 58% 37% +12 0 1.26 27% 1.0 .27 14% .45 86% .38 1.22 83% 40% 29% +6 +2 1.18 38% 0.8 .31 15% .39 71% .27
Jan
24		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F F 33% 21% 46% D- F F D+ F D- F A+ F D- C A+ C B- 48% 20% 32% D- C+ F F F D- D F F
0.65 32% 17% 15% -26 0 0.49 22% 1.1 .24 18% .17 90% .15 1.15 59% 18% 33% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 15% .35 82% .29
Jan
26		 Florida A&M C- B+ F C F+ 21% 40% 40% F F B+ B A- C+ A- D- B D+ F A+ A- D+ 25% 29% 46% A- C- D C D+ F D+ A+ B-
1.06 67% 24% 35% -3 -4 0.88 38% 1.1 .41 18% .41 71% .29 1.05 92% 21% 27% -1 -2 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 15% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Grambling St. D- C- D+ F+ F+ 27% 27% 47% F F F+ D+ D- B- A+ C A+ D- B A+ F D- 29% 17% 54% C D F A+ C+ D A- C+ A-
1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41 1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19
Feb
2		 Southern C F C+ A+ C 26% 26% 48% D- C- D C- D A- A C+ A F D+ B- F+ F+ 46% 20% 34% F F+ F A+ C+ F F B+ F
1.13 47% 40% 43% +4 -2 1.07 28% 1.1 .30 15% .45 77% .35 1.19 61% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 36% 0.8 .27 11% .48 65% .31
Feb
7		 Mississippi Valley B F A+ D- F 30% 6% 64% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A A+ F D+ F+ D F 30% 39% 30% C- F D+ B C F F B D-
1.28 40% 67% 31% -6 +1 0.92 53% 1.6 .84 20% .58 83% .48 1.07 59% 45% 35% +4 -3 1.04 26% 0.8 .21 13% .37 67% .24
Feb
9		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F B- F F 18% 37% 45% F F C+ A- B+ D- F F F F C+ F F F 37% 27% 37% C+ F D- C+ D+ F D- F+ F
0.96 33% 42% 22% -11 -4 0.73 37% 1.3 .49 18% .28 67% .19 1.28 56% 54% 50% +12 -1 1.24 30% 0.9 .27 11% .36 81% .29
Feb
14		 Florida A&M C C+ B+ C+ C+ 52% 26% 22% C- C B+ F D+ C+ C B- C B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 29% 40% B A+ A C- B D F F F
1.15 62% 46% 36% +5 0 1.12 38% 0.7 .26 17% .33 79% .26 0.86 50% 23% 22% -14 -2 0.71 20% 0.9 .17 19% .48 89% .43
Feb
16		 Bethune-Cookman B- D A A+ A 47% 17% 36% C A- D+ B+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ A+ C+ 50% 21% 29% D C F F+ F D+ F F F
1.18 50% 50% 47% +5 +1 1.15 29% 1.3 .38 17% .55 77% .42 1.11 73% 18% 20% -3 +1 0.98 34% 1.2 .40 17% .51 76% .39
Feb
21		 Alcorn St. F F+ B- F F 39% 16% 45% D+ F D F F F A+ C A+ F B- A+ B+ B+ 46% 11% 43% F C+ F F+ F F+ F F F
0.91 53% 43% 20% -11 +1 0.82 32% 1.0 .32 25% .48 73% .35 1.16 52% 20% 30% -7 +2 0.91 42% 1.1 .45 15% .63 76% .48



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 0.5 1st
2nd 0.3 9.4 5.1 14.9 2nd
3rd 4.6 15.3 0.7 20.7 3rd
4th 0.1 15.5 2.1 17.8 4th
5th 2.5 16.4 0.1 19.0 5th
6th 0.2 14.6 5.1 20.0 6th
7th 0.7 5.1 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.9 0.2 1.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 2.1 22.5 42.0 27.0 6.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 8.3% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 6.4% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.4 6.0
11-7 27.0% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 1.5 25.5
10-8 42.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 1.6 40.5
9-9 22.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.7 21.9
8-10 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 95.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 1.7%