James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.4 201
Results Rating -1.7 188
Pace 64.3 295
Improvement +4.8 27

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 168 C C C C- C+
Defense C- 241 C+ C F+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 179 C 58% 174 +0.0 176
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 267 D+ 34% 292 -2.1 280
Three Pointers 45% 106 C 34% 165 +2.0 112
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 115 C -0.5 190
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 176
Second Chance C- 28.8% 224 C+ 1.06 132 C 0.30 192
Turnovers C 17.1% 196
Freethrows C- 0.29 215 D+ 70% 268 C- 0.21 232
Total Offense C -0.2 168

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 40% 304 D+ 13.1% 302
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 17% 291 D+ 6.5% 274
Three Pointers C 84% 190 C- 1.1% 252
Total C- 52% 245 D+ 6.6% 292

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 182 B- 55% 90 -1.2 130
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 206 C 38% 184 -0.4 152
Three Pointers 42% 140 C 34% 196 +0.6 210
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 197 C+ -1.1 132
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 137
Second Chance C 30.0% 166 C 1.03 186 C 0.31 179
Turnovers F+ 12.7% 356
Freethrows D 0.35 313 C+ 72% 150 D 0.25 301
Total Defense C- -2.2 241

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 182 B 14.9% 52
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 11% 4 C- 4.0% 232
Three Pointers D+ 87% 283 D+ 0.5% 273
Total C 55% 172 B- 6.7% 87

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 299 17.1 151
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 184 0.15 120
Improvement -0.6 #221 +5.4 #10

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 224 204 178
Results Rating Rank 223 195 164
Conference Record 8 - 10 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 9 7 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 98% 100% 91%
.500 or above in Conference 91% 100% 66%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Home) - 73.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 413 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 79 @Akron L 71 - 85 12% -0  46% 0 - 1 C- -3 D+ -4 C- D- F C+ +1 A+ D- F
 Sun, Nov 9 363 Coppin St. W 84 - 70 95% +13  100% 1 - 1 D+ -7 C +1 C+ F C- D- -8 C- F B+
 Wed, Nov 12 262 @Longwood L 72 - 82 51% -8  11% 1 - 2 D- -13 D+ -4 D+ D- B+ F+ -9 B B F
 Sat, Nov 15 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 79 - 88 42% -10  4% 1 - 3 D -9 C- -1 B- D+ D+ D- -7 F A+ D-
 Tue, Nov 18 170 Towson W 81 - 75 55% +3  68% 2 - 3 C+ +2 A+ +18 A+ F A F -14 C- D- F
 Mon, Nov 24 184 @Florida International W 80 - 72 36% -1  28% 3 - 3 B +9 B+ +9 F A+ A+ C+ +1 B A- F
 Tue, Nov 25 239 Nebraska Omaha W 88 - 77 57% +13  90% 4 - 3 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ A+ C+ F+ -8 F D- C
 Sat, Nov 29 105 @George Mason L 66 - 82 18% -1  45% 4 - 4 D -9 D+ -2 F+ C+ A+ D- -7 F A C-
 Wed, Dec 3 352 NC Central W 67 - 62 91% +4  81% 5 - 4 D- -12 F -11 F D- B- C -1 B D C-
 Sat, Dec 6 302 Norfolk St. W 68 - 67 80% +4  89% 6 - 4 D -10 D- -6 F C+ A D+ -4 F C- A-
 Wed, Dec 17 242 @Old Dominion L 68 - 77 46% -6  17% 6 - 5 0 - 1 D -10 D -5 C D- D- D -6 C A F
 Sat, Dec 20 266 @Georgia Southern L 92 - 96 OT 52% +3  75% 6 - 6 0 - 2 D+ -7 C+ +3 D- A C+ F -10 C C+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 17 @Arkansas L 74 - 103 2% -17  3% 6 - 7 D+ -8 B +6 A C+ D F -13 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 143 @Arkansas St. W 78 - 74 27% -2  29% 7 - 7 1 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 A D- F B+ +5 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 176 Marshall L 64 - 66 57% -8  0% 7 - 8 1 - 3 D+ -6 D- -8 F+ C C- C+ +1 A+ D F
 Sat, Jan 10 242 Old Dominion W 70 - 69 69% -9  10% 8 - 8 2 - 3 D+ -6 D- -8 B- F+ F C+ +1 A- B- F
 Thu, Jan 15 173 @Appalachian St. L 65 - 80 33% -11  0% 8 - 9 2 - 4 D- -13 B- +5 F+ B- A- F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 176 @Marshall L 72 - 77 34% +0  36% 8 - 10 2 - 5 C- -3 D+ -3 D+ B+ F+ C +0 A- D B-
 Thu, Jan 22 182 South Alabama L 83 - 90 58% -2  47% 8 - 11 2 - 6 D- -11 C -0 A- C F F -11 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 237 Texas St. W 82 - 57 68% +17  92% 9 - 11 3 - 6 A +18 A +13 A B+ C+ A- +7 A A F
 Thu, Jan 29 152 @Troy W 73 - 64 29% +1  55% 10 - 11 4 - 6 B+ +12 C+ +4 B+ C D- A +9 A+ A F
 Sat, Jan 31 241 @Southern Miss L 65 - 73 46% -5  3% 10 - 12 4 - 7 D -9 D -6 F B- C+ D+ -4 C+ B- D
 Wed, Feb 4 291 Louisiana L 61 - 64 78% -1  28% 10 - 13 4 - 8 D- -14 D+ -4 C+ C+ C+ F -11 C F+ D-
 Sat, Feb 7 161 Toledo W 73 - 71 53% +2  62% 11 - 13 C -1 D+ -2 C D+ D+ C+ +1 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 12 289 Georgia St. W 81 - 79 OT 78% +2  56% 12 - 13 5 - 8 D -9 C- -2 B- D F+ D- -7 F C+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 173 Appalachian St. W 69 - 58 55% +6  92% 13 - 13 6 - 8 B- +7 C+ +3 C- C- A+ B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Wed, Feb 18 236 @Coastal Carolina W 67 - 65 45% +0  55% 14 - 13 7 - 8 C +1 C- -1 C F B+ B- +2 B- B F
 Sat, Feb 21 289 @Georgia St. W 80 - 65 59% +11  99% 15 - 13 8 - 8 B +10 B+ +8 B+ A D- B- +3 D A- C+
 Wed, Feb 25 266 Georgia Southern W 81 - 74 74%
 Fri, Feb 27 236 Coastal Carolina W 72 - 67 68%
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 -2 C +0 D+ C C+ C- -2 C D+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C D+ C C 39% 30% 45% C+ C C- C+ C C C- D+ C- C- B- C C C+ 39% 20% 42% C- C+ C C C F+ D C+ D
1.08 58% 34% 34% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .30 17% .29 70% .21 1.12 55% 38% 34% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .31 13% .35 72% .21
Nov
3		 Akron D+ D- F A- D+ 42% 10% 48% B+ C- C- F D- F D+ A+ B- C+ A+ F A A+ 51% 6% 43% F A+ D- C D- F F D+ F
0.99 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.8 .24 26% .25 92% .23 1.18 42% 67% 27% -11 +3 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 11% .45 79% .36
Nov
9		 Coppin St. C B+ A B- C+ 31% 8% 62% C+ C+ D F F C- D+ B C D- A+ A+ F C- 40% 24% 36% D+ C- F+ F F B+ F D F
1.19 69% 50% 38% +7 +1 1.19 30% 0.6 .18 17% .34 80% .27 1.00 35% 10% 53% -6 0 0.90 34% 1.3 .46 26% .69 72% .50
Nov
12		 Longwood D+ B- F D- D 46% 10% 44% B D+ F B- D- B+ D+ F F F+ B+ F+ A+ A- 43% 20% 37% D B D+ A+ B F F F F
1.03 67% 20% 30% 0 +2 1.06 19% 1.0 .19 16% .32 53% .17 1.17 50% 44% 24% -8 +1 0.87 35% 0.7 .25 10% .67 86% .57
Nov
15		 LIU Brooklyn C- C- C+ A+ B 44% 27% 29% D- B- D+ C- D+ D+ F F F D- F F F F 56% 21% 23% F+ F A+ A+ A+ D- B B+ B
1.04 54% 40% 44% +3 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 20% .23 57% .13 1.16 69% 50% 54% +15 +1 1.35 18% 0.4 .07 17% .24 60% .14
Nov
18		 Towson A+ A+ C A+ A+ 34% 11% 55% B A+ F C F A A+ A+ A+ F F A- B D+ 37% 31% 33% C C- F C D- F F F+ F
1.32 73% 40% 50% +19 +1 1.41 9% 1.0 .09 11% .39 81% .31 1.22 68% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 45% 0.8 .37 11% .42 74% .31
Nov
24		 Florida International B+ F C- F F 32% 10% 58% C+ F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F D+ B+ 38% 15% 47% C- B D+ A+ A- F F A F+
1.18 38% 40% 21% -18 +1 0.68 51% 1.2 .59 15% .52 73% .38 1.07 30% 63% 36% -5 +1 0.92 35% 0.7 .25 10% .45 59% .26
Nov
25		 Nebraska Omaha A+ C F A+ A+ 35% 12% 53% B- A+ C A+ A+ C+ F A+ F F+ F C+ D- F 32% 16% 52% C- F D- D+ D- C A+ B- A+
1.36 61% 17% 56% +16 +1 1.35 30% 1.8 .52 14% .14 88% .13 1.19 75% 38% 38% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 17% .19 70% .13
Nov
29		 George Mason D+ B- F D+ D- 24% 25% 51% D F+ D A+ C+ A+ C- A- C D- F+ F C- F 41% 17% 41% D F A+ F A C- F D- F
0.99 62% 14% 32% -7 -2 0.85 23% 1.2 .28 9% .23 79% .18 1.24 71% 57% 35% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.3 .20 15% .64 78% .50
Dec
3		 NC Central F F F D+ F 38% 10% 53% B- F D D- D- B- A+ D A+ C A- A B A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ F D C- C+ C C+
1.05 40% 25% 33% -9 +1 0.88 32% 0.8 .26 16% .60 69% .41 0.97 45% 25% 30% -10 +1 0.83 27% 1.2 .33 17% .28 73% .21
Dec
6		 Norfolk St. D- A F F F 31% 15% 54% D F F A+ C+ A C+ F F+ D+ F C- D F 42% 40% 18% A- F C- C C- A- C A+ A
1.05 73% 29% 23% -5 0 0.92 22% 1.6 .36 12% .39 55% .21 1.03 74% 39% 38% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 23% .34 47% .16
Dec
17		 Old Dominion D A+ A- F C 40% 15% 45% B- C F C D- D- D+ C- D+ D B- B+ C- C+ 33% 16% 51% F+ C B A+ A F F F F
1.01 79% 43% 19% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.0 .22 18% .33 72% .24 1.15 53% 29% 35% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.8 .16 9% .54 82% .44
Dec
20		 Georgia Southern C+ C A F F 54% 8% 38% A- D- A B- A C+ A+ D+ A+ F B F A+ B- 51% 8% 41% F+ C C B- C+ F F D F
1.17 59% 50% 21% -6 +3 0.96 45% 1.1 .50 18% .59 74% .43 1.22 50% 80% 25% -6 +2 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 8% .54 77% .41
Dec
29		 Arkansas B B B+ B A 27% 14% 59% C+ A B D C+ D A B+ A+ F D- B F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F+ D- D- F D- F A+ F
1.06 62% 43% 34% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 20% .34 74% .25 1.47 72% 33% 50% +16 0 1.34 40% 1.4 .57 9% .49 65% .31
Jan
3		 Arkansas St. C+ B+ C- A+ A 45% 23% 32% C+ A D+ F D- F A+ F B+ B+ F+ A+ A B+ 35% 17% 48% C+ B+ C- A+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.10 67% 36% 47% +10 0 1.21 24% 0.9 .21 21% .46 62% .29 1.04 68% 11% 27% -6 0 0.91 39% 0.6 .24 11% .43 59% .25
Jan
7		 Marshall D- C F F F 35% 19% 46% B- F+ C+ C C C- F F F C+ A+ F A A+ 29% 27% 43% B- A+ D+ D- D F D+ C- D+
1.03 59% 22% 27% -7 0 0.88 36% 0.9 .33 18% .26 62% .16 1.07 33% 50% 27% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.2 .41 10% .29 75% .21
Jan
10		 Old Dominion D- A+ D- F B- 52% 23% 25% C+ B- D+ F F+ F A+ A- A+ C+ A+ C- C- A 33% 30% 37% C+ A- B C- B- F D+ B- C-
1.01 78% 30% 18% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.8 .21 23% .47 80% .38 1.00 33% 38% 35% -8 -2 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 10% .32 70% .23
Jan
15		 Appalachian St. B- F F A F 35% 13% 52% B- F+ B C B- A- B- D+ C+ F C+ F F F 38% 4% 58% F F F F F F A+ C+ A+
1.11 24% 17% 40% -10 +1 0.83 35% 0.9 .33 10% .30 69% .21 1.36 58% 50% 45% +10 +2 1.26 38% 1.3 .50 10% .15 63% .09
Jan
17		 Marshall D+ F C B D+ 26% 23% 51% D+ D+ C+ A B+ F+ C+ F+ C- C B A+ C- A 35% 28% 37% C+ A- F A D B- F F F
1.05 42% 36% 38% -2 -1 0.96 36% 1.1 .40 20% .37 65% .24 1.13 56% 23% 35% -4 -1 0.91 46% 0.9 .41 19% .51 82% .42
Jan
22		 South Alabama C D+ F A- A- 14% 2% 84% C+ A- F A+ C F A+ C+ A+ F A- B A- A 49% 11% 40% F+ B+ C- F F F F B F
1.10 57% 0% 39% +5 +1 1.14 20% 1.7 .34 22% .43 76% .32 1.19 48% 33% 27% -9 +2 0.87 24% 2.1 .51 4% .54 62% .33
Jan
24		 Texas St. A C+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 12% 62% C- A A- C+ B+ C+ F C F A- C A+ A+ A+ 45% 28% 28% D+ A B+ A+ A F F B+ F+
1.30 62% 50% 45% +13 0 1.28 37% 1.0 .37 17% .21 73% .15 0.90 57% 15% 23% -11 0 0.79 28% 0.6 .18 11% .37 71% .27
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Troy C+ B+ F A+ B+ 46% 15% 40% B+ B+ C- C+ C D- A+ D- B+ A A- A A+ A+ 44% 13% 43% C A+ A+ B- A F C A- B-
1.11 64% 29% 42% +6 +1 1.17 30% 1.1 .33 20% .38 65% .25 0.97 46% 29% 26% -12 +1 0.81 22% 0.9 .20 9% .30 67% .20
Jan
31		 Southern Miss D C- B- F F 49% 16% 36% B F D+ A+ B- C+ A+ F B D+ C- B+ C+ C 37% 39% 24% B+ C+ A- D- B- D F F F
0.97 55% 43% 19% -9 +1 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 16% .47 58% .27 1.09 60% 31% 30% -3 -3 0.90 25% 1.1 .29 16% .61 82% .50
Feb
4		 Louisiana D+ B F C C- 50% 8% 43% A- C+ B- C- C+ C+ B- F F F C A+ F C 23% 31% 46% C C F C+ F+ D- B F C
1.08 65% 0% 35% +1 +3 1.10 35% 1.0 .35 18% .41 42% .17 1.13 55% 20% 41% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 14% .18 89% .16
Feb
7		 Toledo D+ A D D C 38% 13% 49% C C C+ F+ D+ D+ A- A+ A+ C+ C- F+ B+ C+ 38% 31% 31% B- C+ A+ F B- F B- A B+
1.10 71% 33% 32% +3 +1 1.09 36% 0.8 .30 20% .32 88% .28 1.07 60% 50% 31% +3 -1 1.06 18% 1.3 .24 11% .25 67% .17
Feb
12		 Georgia St. C- C- B A- B- 45% 13% 42% B B- D+ D+ D F+ B C- B- D- A F+ F F 39% 26% 35% D- F B D+ C+ D D- A+ C-
1.09 56% 43% 39% +3 +2 1.11 31% 0.9 .28 20% .34 70% .24 1.07 43% 43% 42% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.1 .26 15% .35 68% .24
Feb
14		 Appalachian St. C+ D- F+ B+ C- 38% 20% 42% C C- C C- C- A+ B- F+ C B+ B- C A+ A+ 21% 26% 53% A+ A+ D- F F C+ F B+ F
1.13 47% 30% 38% -3 0 0.96 30% 0.9 .27 8% .30 65% .20 0.95 56% 36% 13% -18 -2 0.63 35% 1.3 .45 16% .47 58% .27
Feb
18		 Coastal Carolina C- C F A C- 44% 28% 28% B C F+ F+ F B+ F B- F B- B F A+ C+ 15% 35% 50% A B- A D+ B F F A D-
1.02 54% 27% 40% -2 0 0.96 19% 0.9 .16 9% .20 75% .15 0.99 50% 56% 23% -3 -3 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 8% .36 64% .23
Feb
21		 Georgia St. B+ B A+ F B 53% 17% 30% B B+ A+ C A D- A+ C+ A+ B- B+ F+ D F 26% 46% 28% A+ D A B- A- C+ D+ D- D-
1.19 64% 100% 14% +5 +2 1.15 48% 1.0 .48 19% .41 73% .30 0.97 46% 43% 36% 0 -4 0.94 20% 1.0 .20 18% .33 83% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.9 0.9 4th
5th 10.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.2 24.6 24.8 6th
7th 8.6 14.8 23.4 7th
8th 2.8 30.3 33.1 8th
9th 4.0 1.7 5.7 9th
10th 1.8 1.8 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 8.9 40.7 50.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 50.4% 3.3% 3.3% 14.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.4 48.7
9-9 40.7% 2.0% 2.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 39.9
8-10 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 14.4 97.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.7% 100.0% 14.1 0.2 11.8 64.6 23.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 6.7%