James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.5 #204
Expected Predictive Rating -2.2 #207
Pace 64.0 #317
Improvement +1.3 #111

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #138 C C- C C C+
Defense #282 C- C+ F F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #217 1.16 #173 -0.8 #207
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #263 0.64 #311 -2.4 #299
Three Pointers 47% #73 1.03 #172 +3.1 #90
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #182 -0.1 #183
Freethrows 17.3 #193 72% #189 12.5 #185
Second Chance 27.4% #273 1.08 #136 0.30 #232
Turnovers 16.5% #169
Total Offense +1.0 #138

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #130 1.12 #133 -0.4 #197
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #267 0.79 #227 +0.8 #140
Three Pointers 42% #154 1.06 #253 -1.6 #246
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #217 -1.1 #217
Freethrows 21.1 #330 73% #215 15.5 #38
Second Chance 31.1% #198 0.96 #81 0.30 #132
Turnovers 12.6% #356
Total Defense -3.4 #282

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #133 1.1% #270
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.1% #187 1.1% #203
Possession Length 18.8 #323 17.3 #193
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #315 0.14 #84
Improvement -1.0 #251 +2.3 #56

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.0% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 64.7% 72.3% 47.0%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 70.0% 42.9%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round4.3% 5.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 9
Quad 412 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 64 @Akron L 71 - 85 10%  -0  0 - 1 -2 -1 C F F -0 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84 - 70 96%  +13  1 - 1 -9 +2 C- F D+ -11 D F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 279 @Longwood L 72 - 82 55%  -8  1 - 2 -14 -3 D F C -11 B- B F
 Sat, Nov 15 209 @LIU Brooklyn L 79 - 88 39%  -10  1 - 3 -9 -1 C+ F D -7 F A+ D-
 Tue, Nov 18 175 Towson W 81 - 75 57%  +3  2 - 3 +2 +19 A+ F A+ -16 D+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 164 @Florida International W 80 - 72 32%  -1  3 - 3 +10 +11 F A+ A+ +0 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 257 Nebraska Omaha W 88 - 77 62%  +13  4 - 3 +5 +18 A+ A+ C- -11 F F C
 Sat, Nov 29 92 @George Mason L 66 - 82 14%  -1  4 - 4 -7 +1 D B- A+ -9 F A C
 Wed, Dec 3 347 NC Central W 67 - 62 88%  +4  5 - 4 -10 -5 F F B+ -5 C D+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 272 Norfolk St. W 68 - 67 75%  +4  6 - 4 -8 -2 F B- A -7 F D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 250 @Old Dominion L 68 - 77 48%  -6  6 - 5 0 - 1 -11 -3 C F F -9 C A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 213 @Georgia Southern L 92 - 96 OT 40%  +3  6 - 6 0 - 2 -4 +7 D- A- C -11 C+ B- F
 Mon, Dec 29 19 @Arkansas L 74 - 103 3%  -17  6 - 7 -10 +8 A+ C- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 3 126 @Arkansas St. W 78 - 74 24%  -2  7 - 7 1 - 2 +9 +6 A D F +3 B A+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 159 Marshall L 64 - 66 53%  -8  7 - 8 1 - 3 -5 -3 F B D -3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 250 Old Dominion W 77 - 71 70% 
 Thu, Jan 15 224 @Appalachian St. L 65 - 67 43% 
 Sat, Jan 17 159 @Marshall L 73 - 78 31% 
 Thu, Jan 22 200 South Alabama W 70 - 67 61% 
 Sat, Jan 24 268 Texas St. W 74 - 67 73% 
 Thu, Jan 29 137 @Troy L 69 - 76 26% 
 Sat, Jan 31 201 @Southern Miss L 72 - 75 39% 
 Wed, Feb 4 310 Louisiana W 71 - 62 81% 
 Sat, Feb 7 180 Toledo W 77 - 75 57% 
 Thu, Feb 12 304 Georgia St. W 77 - 69 78% 
 Sat, Feb 14 224 Appalachian St. W 68 - 64 64% 
 Wed, Feb 18 270 @Coastal Carolina W 72 - 71 53% 
 Sat, Feb 21 304 @Georgia St. W 74 - 72 59% 
 Wed, Feb 25 213 Georgia Southern W 80 - 77 62% 
 Fri, Feb 27 270 Coastal Carolina W 75 - 68 74% 
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 -2 +1 C C- C -3 C- C+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.4 1.1 0.1 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.5 5.2 4.8 0.6 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 4.0 7.1 1.5 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 7.6 3.1 0.1 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.9 4.9 0.3 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.3 5.8 1.0 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 4.4 1.8 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.0 0.2 5.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.9 6.5 11.1 16.0 18.0 17.1 13.4 8.3 3.8 1.1 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 79.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.1% 24.3% 24.3% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-5 3.8% 24.0% 24.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.9
12-6 8.3% 12.9% 12.9% 14.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 7.3
11-7 13.4% 7.3% 7.3% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 12.4
10-8 17.1% 2.8% 2.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 16.7
9-9 18.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 17.6
8-10 16.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.8
7-11 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-13 2.9% 2.9
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.4 95.7 0.0%