Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#133
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#138
Pace65.0#270
Improvement+0.0#191

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#169
First Shot-3.2#270
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#20
Layup/Dunks-3.7#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+1.2#105
Improvement+5.2#11

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#125
First Shot+2.1#107
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#240
Layups/Dunks+0.8#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#221
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement-5.2#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.1% 32.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round27.1% 32.7% 0.0%
Second Round1.5% 1.8% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 45 - 8
Quad 416 - 321 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   @ Louisiana W 70-66 76%     1 - 0 -1.7 +0.0 -1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 56-79 2%     1 - 1 +4.0 -0.5 +2.1
  Nov 21, 2024 311   Niagara W 76-73 89%     2 - 1 -8.8 +2.1 -10.7
  Nov 23, 2024 171   @ Cleveland St. W 68-52 48%     3 - 1 +18.1 +3.1 +16.1
  Nov 28, 2024 150   Towson W 65-54 54%     4 - 1 +11.6 +3.6 +9.8
  Nov 29, 2024 73   UC Irvine L 39-51 28%     4 - 2 -4.1 -21.8 +16.2
  Nov 30, 2024 137   Kennesaw St. W 67-60 51%     5 - 2 +8.4 -2.3 +10.8
  Dec 06, 2024 273   Portland W 76-57 84%     6 - 2 +10.0 +2.4 +9.2
  Dec 15, 2024 341   Mercyhurst W 82-57 93%     7 - 2 +10.1 +7.5 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 54-81 3%     7 - 3 -3.1 -14.6 +13.6
  Jan 04, 2025 268   Ball St. L 67-75 84%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -16.8 -14.8 -1.6
  Jan 07, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 68-50 86%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +8.3 -5.3 +14.1
  Jan 10, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 68-49 85%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +9.3 -5.8 +15.8
  Jan 14, 2025 297   Western Michigan L 83-94 87%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -21.5 +0.5 -21.4
  Jan 18, 2025 161   Miami (OH) L 61-70 67%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -11.8 -8.2 -4.3
  Jan 21, 2025 248   @ Toledo W 83-64 64%     10 - 6 3 - 3 +17.0 +14.7 +4.9
  Jan 24, 2025 183   @ Ohio L 59-61 51%     10 - 7 3 - 4 -0.6 -12.6 +12.0
  Jan 28, 2025 283   Bowling Green W 75-57 86%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +8.1 +5.7 +4.0
  Jan 31, 2025 111   Akron L 71-85 53%     11 - 8 4 - 5 -13.1 -5.5 -7.1
  Feb 04, 2025 274   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-49 70%     12 - 8 5 - 5 +17.4 -6.1 +23.5
  Feb 08, 2025 98   Arkansas St. W 76-75 48%     13 - 8 +3.2 +5.2 -2.0
  Feb 11, 2025 219   Central Michigan W 91-83 76%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +2.1 +20.2 -17.6
  Feb 14, 2025 183   Ohio W 76-75 71%     15 - 8 7 - 5 -3.1 +4.3 -7.4
  Feb 18, 2025 283   @ Bowling Green W 91-84 72%     16 - 8 8 - 5 +2.6 +15.3 -12.9
  Feb 21, 2025 161   @ Miami (OH) L 92-96 OT 46%     16 - 9 8 - 6 -1.3 +10.6 -11.4
  Feb 25, 2025 248   Toledo W 105-65 81%     17 - 9 9 - 6 +32.5 +24.1 +8.8
  Feb 28, 2025 111   @ Akron L 72-77 32%     17 - 10 9 - 7 +1.4 +2.6 -1.4
  Mar 04, 2025 297   @ Western Michigan W 77-76 74%     18 - 10 10 - 7 -4.0 +3.4 -7.3
  Mar 07, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan W 76-70 84%     19 - 10 11 - 7 -3.1 +2.7 -5.4
  Mar 13, 2025 297   Western Michigan W 75-66 81%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 27.1% 27.1% 13.8 0.3 7.7 17.3 1.8 73.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 27.1% 27.1% 0.0% 13.8 0.3 7.7 17.3 1.8 73.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 27.1% 100.0% 13.8 1.0 28.4 63.9 6.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 24.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 30.8%
Lose Out 17.3%