Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#116
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#77
Pace63.9#311
Improvement+0.8#127

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#223
First Shot-4.9#316
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#27
Layup/Dunks-4.4#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement-0.5#219

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#56
First Shot+4.9#45
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks+2.0#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#165
Freethrows-0.9#245
Improvement+1.4#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.3% 32.6% 23.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 99.3% 99.6% 97.8%
.500 or above in Conference 97.0% 98.0% 91.7%
Conference Champion 46.3% 50.0% 25.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round31.3% 32.6% 23.9%
Second Round3.8% 4.0% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 84.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 35 - 35 - 6
Quad 417 - 222 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 286   @ Louisiana W 70-66 74%     1 - 0 +0.3 -1.2 +1.7
  Nov 13, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 56-79 2%     1 - 1 +3.4 -1.6 +2.6
  Nov 21, 2024 320   Niagara W 76-73 91%     2 - 1 -9.0 +1.8 -10.5
  Nov 23, 2024 218   @ Cleveland St. W 68-52 61%     3 - 1 +16.0 +1.6 +15.6
  Nov 28, 2024 209   Towson W 65-54 70%     4 - 1 +8.6 +4.1 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 39-51 33%     4 - 2 -4.5 -22.2 +16.3
  Nov 30, 2024 194   Kennesaw St. W 67-60 67%     5 - 2 +5.4 -5.7 +11.2
  Dec 06, 2024 314   Portland W 76-57 91%     6 - 2 +7.4 +4.3 +4.6
  Dec 15, 2024 358   Mercyhurst W 82-57 96%     7 - 2 +7.9 +7.9 +1.9
  Dec 22, 2024 9   @ Alabama L 54-81 6%     7 - 3 -6.1 -15.5 +11.4
  Jan 04, 2025 252   Ball St. W 71-60 85%    
  Jan 07, 2025 349   @ Northern Illinois W 72-60 87%    
  Jan 10, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 73-63 82%    
  Jan 14, 2025 293   Western Michigan W 73-60 89%    
  Jan 18, 2025 200   Miami (OH) W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 21, 2025 208   @ Toledo W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 24, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 28, 2025 289   Bowling Green W 76-63 88%    
  Jan 31, 2025 148   Akron W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 04, 2025 305   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 11, 2025 237   Central Michigan W 70-60 82%    
  Feb 15, 2025 147   Ohio W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 18, 2025 289   @ Bowling Green W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 200   @ Miami (OH) W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 25, 2025 208   Toledo W 76-68 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 148   @ Akron L 69-70 49%    
  Mar 04, 2025 293   @ Western Michigan W 70-63 74%    
  Mar 07, 2025 305   Eastern Michigan W 74-60 89%    
Projected Record 20 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.5 10.5 13.1 10.3 5.6 1.5 46.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.3 8.0 6.1 1.9 0.2 21.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.7 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 3.9 2.0 0.3 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.8 9.2 13.0 15.9 17.1 15.0 10.5 5.6 1.5 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.5    1.5
17-1 100.0% 5.6    5.5 0.1
16-2 98.2% 10.3    9.5 0.8
15-3 87.0% 13.1    10.1 2.8 0.2
14-4 61.5% 10.5    5.5 4.1 0.8 0.0
13-5 28.2% 4.5    1.1 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.0% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 46.3% 46.3 33.4 10.0 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.5% 57.8% 57.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6
17-1 5.6% 51.8% 51.8% 12.1 0.3 1.9 0.6 0.0 2.7
16-2 10.5% 46.9% 46.9% 12.5 0.1 2.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.6
15-3 15.0% 40.3% 40.3% 12.9 0.0 1.7 3.4 1.0 0.0 9.0
14-4 17.1% 34.9% 34.9% 13.2 0.0 0.8 3.1 1.9 0.1 11.1
13-5 15.9% 28.0% 28.0% 13.6 0.2 1.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.5
12-6 13.0% 23.0% 23.0% 13.9 0.0 0.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 10.0
11-7 9.2% 18.7% 18.7% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 7.5
10-8 5.8% 15.8% 15.8% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.9
9-9 3.3% 11.4% 11.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.9
8-10 1.7% 7.0% 7.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
7-11 0.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.8
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 31.3% 31.3% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 7.5 12.1 8.4 2.1 0.1 68.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 11.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.1 52.4 34.0 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%