Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.0 #145
Expected Predictive Rating +3.6 #106
Pace 75.4 #34
Improvement -1.9 #269

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #135 C- B- D A C+
Defense #165 C C+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #185 1.15 #185 -0.4 #187
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #250 0.62 #343 -2.6 #305
Three Pointers 45% #105 1.01 #198 +1.7 #120
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #212 -1.3 #213
Freethrows 0.38 #8 75% #90 0.28 #7
Second Chance 35.3% #51 1.03 #171 0.36 #77
Turnovers 19.2% #318
Total Offense +1.1 #135

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #203 1.15 #162 +0.5 #158
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #249 0.69 #76 +1.4 #76
Three Pointers 44% #96 1.04 #226 -2.0 #278
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #182 -0.1 #184
Freethrows 0.32 #236 72% #139 0.23 #229
Second Chance 28.6% #97 1.04 #213 0.30 #140
Turnovers 15.5% #248
Total Defense -0.1 #165

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #127 0.5% #212
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.3% #231 -0.4% #182
Possession Length 16.3 #80 16.6 #77
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #219 0.19 #240
Improvement -4.1 #347 +2.2 #62

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 7.4% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 100.0% 98.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round6.3% 7.4% 5.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 38 - 39 - 7
Quad 411 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 140 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 60% -8  0 - 1 -8 +5 D- A B- -12 F C D-
 Fri, Nov 7 176 Cornell W 110 - 102 69% +8  1 - 1 +4 +16 A+ A- C+ -13 F D- B+
 Mon, Nov 10 116 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 53% +8  2 - 1 +9 +10 A+ B- D+ -1 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 306 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 81% +2  3 - 1 -1 +12 C- A C -14 F+ F C
 Sun, Nov 16 144 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 50% -2  4 - 1 +5 -2 F A- F +6 B- B- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 265 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 82% +16  5 - 1 +6 -1 C- B- F +5 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 22 306 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 87% +14  6 - 1 +9 -1 B D F +8 B+ B B+
 Wed, Dec 3 175 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 69% +3  7 - 1 +8 +19 A+ A+ B- -11 F A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 14 232 @Portland L 78 - 88 58% -0  7 - 2 -11 -6 F+ B F -4 F+ A- C
 Sat, Dec 20 173 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 46% +5  8 - 2 1 - 0 +12 -3 D C D+ +15 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 8 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  8 - 3 -17 -9 D- F D -5 D A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 308 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 88% +9  9 - 3 2 - 0 -8 -3 F+ D+ C- -5 F C A+
 Tue, Jan 6 151 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 64% +2  10 - 3 3 - 0 +0 +23 A+ A+ A -22 D- F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 294 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 71% -1  10 - 4 3 - 1 -7 +8 F A+ F -14 C+ F F
 Tue, Jan 13 204 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 52% +7  11 - 4 4 - 1 +6 +11 B- B C- -4 B- B- F
 Fri, Jan 16 159 Toledo W 87 - 84 65% -0  12 - 4 5 - 1 -0 +8 C B- A+ -8 C F C
 Tue, Jan 20 90 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 42% -6  12 - 5 5 - 2 -3 +12 C+ A+ D -14 F+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 24 237 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 58% +3  13 - 5 6 - 2 -0 -4 C F F +3 A+ C F
 Tue, Jan 27 199 Ohio W 72 - 57 73% +4  14 - 5 7 - 2 +9 -6 F A F +15 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 30 61 @Akron L 52 - 69 15% -11  14 - 6 7 - 3 -5 -16 F C- D- +11 B A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 159 @Toledo L 81 - 83 42%
 Sat, Feb 7 250 @Southern Miss W 79 - 76 62%
 Wed, Feb 11 237 Eastern Michigan W 79 - 71 79%
 Sat, Feb 14 298 @Ball St. W 76 - 70 71%
 Tue, Feb 17 151 @Bowling Green L 77 - 79 41%
 Tue, Feb 24 294 Central Michigan W 83 - 71 86%
 Sat, Feb 28 61 Akron L 83 - 88 31%
 Tue, Mar 3 308 @Northern Illinois W 80 - 73 74%
 Fri, Mar 6 273 Western Michigan W 85 - 75 82%
Totals 20 - 9 12 - 6 +1 +1 C- B- D +0 C C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.2 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 12.7 25.7 23.2 9.1 0.9 73.5 3rd
4th 0.7 5.1 7.3 2.3 0.2 15.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.1 0.3 3.5 5th
6th 0.2 0.9 0.3 1.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.8 9.2 20.3 28.2 24.7 11.7 2.5 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 17.8% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1
14-4 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 2.5% 9.3% 9.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.3
14-4 11.7% 9.7% 9.7% 12.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 10.5
13-5 24.7% 6.5% 6.5% 13.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 23.1
12-6 28.2% 6.0% 6.0% 13.4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 26.6
11-7 20.3% 5.7% 5.7% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 19.2
10-8 9.2% 4.0% 4.0% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.9
9-9 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 2.7
8-10 0.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.0 0.0 0.6
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 13.2 93.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 12.2 2.6 73.7 23.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%