Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#148
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#173
Pace64.4#286
Improvement-2.7#302

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#253
First Shot-5.7#325
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#35
Layup/Dunks-4.5#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
Freethrows+0.6#146
Improvement-1.0#248

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#72
First Shot+4.2#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#206
Layups/Dunks+1.6#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#185
Freethrows-0.9#256
Improvement-1.7#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 16.4% 13.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.4
.500 or above 95.6% 98.0% 89.9%
.500 or above in Conference 81.5% 88.6% 64.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round15.3% 16.3% 13.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 70.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 413 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 301   @ Louisiana W 70-66 73%     1 - 0 -1.3 -0.6 -0.5
  Nov 13, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 56-79 2%     1 - 1 +2.7 -1.3 +1.5
  Nov 21, 2024 316   Niagara W 76-73 88%     2 - 1 -8.6 +2.5 -10.9
  Nov 23, 2024 157   @ Cleveland St. W 68-52 42%     3 - 1 +19.0 +3.3 +16.9
  Nov 28, 2024 160   Towson W 65-54 52%     4 - 1 +11.4 +4.8 +8.5
  Nov 29, 2024 67   UC Irvine L 39-51 25%     4 - 2 -4.0 -21.2 +15.8
  Nov 30, 2024 170   Kennesaw St. W 67-60 54%     5 - 2 +6.8 -3.8 +10.8
  Dec 06, 2024 299   Portland W 76-57 85%     6 - 2 +8.8 +2.3 +8.1
  Dec 15, 2024 353   Mercyhurst W 82-57 93%     7 - 2 +9.4 +8.7 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2024 5   @ Alabama L 54-81 4%     7 - 3 -4.8 -15.2 +12.4
  Jan 04, 2025 255   Ball St. L 67-75 80%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -16.0 -15.3 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 68-50 83%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +8.9 -5.4 +14.9
  Jan 10, 2025 342   @ Buffalo W 68-49 83%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +9.7 -6.3 +16.7
  Jan 14, 2025 306   Western Michigan L 83-94 86%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -21.8 +0.7 -21.9
  Jan 18, 2025 173   Miami (OH) L 61-70 65%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -11.9 -8.9 -3.8
  Jan 21, 2025 201   @ Toledo W 83-64 52%     10 - 6 3 - 3 +19.5 +16.9 +5.1
  Jan 24, 2025 168   @ Ohio L 59-61 44%     10 - 7 3 - 4 +0.4 -11.7 +12.1
  Jan 28, 2025 312   Bowling Green W 75-57 87%     11 - 7 4 - 4 +6.9 +2.8 +5.7
  Jan 31, 2025 100   Akron L 71-85 45%     11 - 8 4 - 5 -11.8 -3.6 -7.7
  Feb 04, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 93   Arkansas St. L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 11, 2025 225   Central Michigan W 68-61 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 168   Ohio W 71-68 64%    
  Feb 18, 2025 312   @ Bowling Green W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 173   @ Miami (OH) L 68-69 44%    
  Feb 25, 2025 201   Toledo W 75-70 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 100   @ Akron L 68-74 27%    
  Mar 04, 2025 306   @ Western Michigan W 71-64 72%    
  Mar 07, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 74-63 86%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 0.9 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.4 1.0 13.3 3rd
4th 1.8 10.8 13.3 3.3 0.1 29.3 4th
5th 1.2 10.1 12.6 3.3 0.1 27.2 5th
6th 0.3 5.4 7.6 1.8 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 4.3 1.1 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 1.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.1 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.8 12.2 20.6 26.2 21.8 10.8 2.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 2.1% 35.4% 35.4% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.4
12-6 10.8% 23.2% 23.2% 13.5 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 8.3
11-7 21.8% 18.0% 18.0% 13.9 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.8 0.0 17.9
10-8 26.2% 14.7% 14.7% 14.3 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.4 0.1 22.3
9-9 20.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.7 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.2 17.6
8-10 12.2% 9.7% 9.7% 15.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 11.0
7-11 4.8% 4.4% 4.4% 15.3 0.1 0.1 4.6
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.5 4.8 0.7 84.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 12.4 2.9 57.1 37.1 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%