LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.4 219
Results Rating -0.9 176
Pace 70.6 122
Improvement -1.5 243

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 250 C C+ F+ D C
Defense C 180 C D+ C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 31 C 58% 169 +3.8 53
2 Pt. Jumpers 56% 28 B- 41% 76 +2.6 55
Three Pointers 30% 354 C- 33% 228 -6.1 344
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 207 C +0.4 164
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 166
Second Chance B 34.6% 66 D+ 0.95 289 C+ 0.33 129
Turnovers F+ 20.5% 346
Freethrows D+ 0.28 262 F+ 65% 354 D 0.18 321
Total Offense D+ -3.1 250

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 74 C 10.8% 170
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 302 C+ 4.3% 124
Three Pointers C 83% 215 F 2.1% 353
Total C- 52% 250 D+ 6.6% 281

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 13 B- 55% 96 +3.2 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 244 C- 39% 239 -0.5 147
Three Pointers 35% 334 C- 35% 224 -2.5 73
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 317 C+ -0.6 159
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 187
Second Chance D 34.1% 315 C 1.02 162 D+ 0.35 270
Turnovers C+ 18.0% 109
Freethrows D+ 0.33 277 B 69% 45 C- 0.23 239
Total Defense C -0.3 180

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 194 B+ 15.9% 37
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 156 C 5.4% 135
Three Pointers B+ 78% 36 A 2.6% 12
Total C+ 53% 124 A 9.3% 13

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 176 16.8 100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 19 0.21 312
Improvement -3.4 #325 +1.9 #81

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 247 225 200
Results Rating Rank 213 191 152
Conference Record 14 - 2 15 - 1 15 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 16 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59% 59% 56%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four11% 9% 27%
First Round53% 55% 43%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 421 - 422 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 86 @Notre Dame L 67 - 89 12% -15  0% 0 - 1 D- -12 D -5 D B- F D- -7 D F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 325 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 90 65% -1  37% 1 - 1 C- -3 D -5 B B F C+ +0 B F C
 Tue, Nov 11 351 @Air Force W 76 - 72 75% +0  38% 2 - 1 D+ -7 C- -1 D+ B F D -5 C+ F D
 Sat, Nov 15 201 James Madison W 88 - 79 58% +10  94% 3 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ F F C+ +1 D+ C B
 Thu, Nov 20 155 @Fordham L 53 - 69 26% -11  5% 3 - 2 D- -13 F -14 F F+ D+ C+ +1 F+ A+ D-
 Sat, Nov 22 5 @Illinois L 58 - 98 1% -26  5% 3 - 3 D- -14 F+ -10 B D F D+ -4 F+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 204 @Missouri St. W 75 - 61 35% -1  34% 4 - 3 A- +15 B+ +9 A+ B F+ A- +7 A+ F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 135 Winthrop L 92 - 94 OT 42% -4  18% 4 - 4 C- -3 B +7 B+ A D+ F -10 B F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 307 @Lehigh W 87 - 82 59% +7  93% 5 - 4 C -1 B +6 C A+ D- D- -7 C- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 200 La Salle W 70 - 60 57% +5  94% 6 - 4 C+ +5 C- -1 D+ A+ F B+ +7 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 74 @Mississippi St. L 83 - 87 10% -3  18% 6 - 5 B- +7 A- +11 A- B A+ D+ -4 C+ F D
 Sat, Dec 20 184 @Florida International L 79 - 86 32% -2  42% 6 - 6 D+ -6 C- -1 C C- F D+ -4 F C+ B
 Mon, Dec 29 32 @Georgia L 74 - 89 4% -1  53% 6 - 7 C+ +3 C- -0 C B- D+ B +4 B D B+
 Fri, Jan 2 303 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 78 78% +1  62% 7 - 7 1 - 0 D+ -5 A+ +18 A- A+ A- F -22 F F+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 347 @Chicago St. W 74 - 55 73% +11  99% 8 - 7 2 - 0 B +9 C -0 B- C F A +11 B+ A D
 Thu, Jan 8 290 Mercyhurst W 60 - 58 75% +4  63% 9 - 7 3 - 0 D -9 F+ -10 D- D- C- C+ +1 C+ F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 355 St. Francis (PA) W 67 - 63 91% +1  58% 10 - 7 4 - 0 D- -14 F -19 F A+ F B +5 D+ A B
 Sat, Jan 17 333 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 66 - 59 69% +2  63% 11 - 7 5 - 0 C -1 F+ -8 C C F A- +8 B B+ C
 Mon, Jan 19 300 @Le Moyne L 77 - 83 57% -4  12% 11 - 8 5 - 1 D -11 C- -1 D- A+ D- F+ -10 F B+ C-
 Fri, Jan 23 341 @Stonehill W 66 - 63 71% -3  25% 12 - 8 6 - 1 D+ -6 D+ -3 D- D B+ D+ -3 D- F B
 Thu, Jan 29 300 Le Moyne W 83 - 61 77% +11  90% 13 - 8 7 - 1 B +11 D+ -3 B D+ F A+ +12 A+ A- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 303 @Central Connecticut St. W 80 - 59 58% +2  52% 14 - 8 8 - 1 A- +16 B- +5 B B- C- A+ +12 A+ B- C-
 Thu, Feb 5 321 New Haven W 60 - 55 82% +7  92% 15 - 8 9 - 1 D -8 F -13 F C+ F B +5 C A D-
 Sat, Feb 7 341 Stonehill W 61 - 54 86% -1  31% 16 - 8 10 - 1 D -8 D- -7 B- F F C -0 B+ D+ C+
 Thu, Feb 12 320 @Wagner W 67 - 57 65% +1  45% 17 - 8 11 - 1 C+ +3 F -12 F+ D F A+ +15 B A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 321 @New Haven L 52 - 55 65% -10  0% 17 - 9 11 - 2 D -10 F -17 F B+ F B+ +7 A+ F F
 Mon, Feb 16 320 Wagner W 83 - 65 82% +7  77% 18 - 9 12 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +9 A+ C D- C- -2 D- B+ A-
 Thu, Feb 19 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 91 - 89 79% +1  53% 19 - 9 13 - 2 D -10 C +1 A- F B+ F -11 F B- A+
 Sat, Feb 21 290 @Mercyhurst L 83 - 91 55% -2  40% 19 - 10 13 - 3 D- -13 B +7 A+ D- C- F -20 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 26 347 Chicago St. W 79 - 66 88%
 Sat, Feb 28 333 Fairleigh Dickinson W 76 - 65 86%
Totals 21 - 10 15 - 3 -3 D+ -3 F+ C C C +0 C- F+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C B- C- C 45% 56% 30% C C B D+ C+ F+ D+ F+ D C B- C- C- C+ 46% 19% 35% D C D C D+ C+ D+ B C-
1.04 58% 41% 33% 0 0 1.03 35% 1.0 .33 21% .28 65% .18 1.09 55% 39% 35% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.0 .35 18% .33 69% .19
Nov
3		 Notre Dame D D+ F C D 33% 28% 39% D+ D A F+ B- F A+ F A+ D- F B+ F D- 27% 22% 51% B- D F F F A+ F C- F
0.94 53% 23% 33% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.9 .29 21% .55 61% .34 1.25 73% 33% 43% +10 -1 1.20 50% 1.2 .62 27% .58 70% .40
Nov
6		 IU Indianapolis D A+ F+ A- B+ 56% 25% 18% D+ B B- C+ B F D- F F C+ A- F A A- 45% 15% 39% F B D F F C F+ F+ F
1.09 77% 29% 40% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.2 .48 27% .35 50% .17 1.04 50% 50% 27% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.3 .40 16% .25 78% .19
Nov
11		 Air Force C- D- F+ A+ C- 41% 37% 22% D- D+ A+ F B F A+ F A+ D C+ A+ F+ C+ 53% 19% 28% D+ C+ F B- F D F B F
1.10 53% 33% 56% +3 -2 1.05 50% 0.8 .39 22% .65 54% .35 1.04 56% 11% 38% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.0 .38 19% .44 60% .27
Nov
15		 James Madison C+ A A+ A+ A+ 56% 21% 23% B A+ F F F F F F F C+ B- D+ F D 44% 27% 29% B+ D+ D+ B- C B A- A+ A
1.16 69% 50% 54% +15 +1 1.35 18% 0.4 .07 17% .24 60% .14 1.04 54% 40% 44% +3 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 20% .23 57% .13
Nov
20		 Fordham F F A+ F F 40% 29% 31% C F D+ F F+ D+ A+ A A+ C+ F A+ D F+ 49% 18% 33% F+ F+ B A+ A+ D- D+ A+ C+
0.80 33% 54% 7% -18 -1 0.64 23% 0.7 .15 18% .44 75% .33 1.04 68% 22% 35% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 15% .27 60% .16
Nov
22		 Illinois F+ F A- B B 28% 30% 42% C+ B C+ F D F D+ F D D+ F F B+ F 55% 22% 24% C F+ F D+ F A- A- A- A
0.81 40% 44% 36% -2 -2 0.94 25% 0.6 .14 24% .13 57% .07 1.38 77% 58% 31% +13 +1 1.31 50% 1.3 .65 17% .25 73% .19
Nov
24		 Missouri St. B+ A+ A+ A A+ 31% 38% 31% D+ A+ A- D+ B F+ C F D- A- A- C+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% F+ A+ D F F D+ F A+ D
1.20 92% 60% 42% +22 -3 1.41 39% 1.0 .39 21% .36 61% .22 0.97 53% 33% 17% -14 0 0.75 35% 1.3 .46 16% .51 52% .27
Dec
2		 Winthrop B B+ C A+ A 43% 31% 26% D- B+ B+ B+ A D+ A- A- A F C+ A+ A A- 56% 12% 32% F+ B F+ F F D+ F F F
1.21 65% 41% 43% +7 -1 1.15 36% 1.3 .45 18% .40 80% .32 1.23 53% 14% 28% -9 +2 0.89 40% 1.4 .55 13% .44 83% .36
Dec
6		 Lehigh B D+ C+ A C 50% 27% 23% C C A+ B- A+ D- B- D C D- D C- A- B- 45% 11% 45% F C- F F F A+ F D+ F
1.19 54% 43% 42% +2 0 1.06 53% 1.1 .55 19% .34 70% .24 1.12 62% 40% 29% -2 +2 1.02 41% 1.3 .53 26% .50 74% .37
Dec
13		 La Salle C- F F B+ D- 56% 10% 33% A D+ C A+ A+ F A+ C A+ B+ A+ F D A- 51% 24% 24% D B+ F C F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.06 45% 25% 38% -6 +3 0.95 29% 2.1 .61 24% .48 67% .32 0.91 26% 64% 36% -9 0 0.84 47% 0.9 .45 27% .21 50% .10
Dec
16		 Mississippi St. A- F+ A+ B- A 25% 32% 43% D+ A- D+ A+ B A+ F C- F D+ C+ B D C+ 40% 25% 35% C C+ C+ F F D F F F
1.16 47% 58% 35% +4 -2 1.05 22% 1.5 .32 8% .17 73% .12 1.21 59% 36% 37% +1 -1 1.04 31% 1.5 .47 13% .48 77% .37
Dec
20		 Florida International C- D+ A C C- 49% 11% 40% B+ C A F C- F C- F D+ D+ F A+ D F 52% 17% 31% D F D+ B+ C+ B F C+ D-
1.04 54% 50% 33% -1 +2 1.04 45% 0.7 .33 26% .30 65% .20 1.13 78% 11% 38% +7 +1 1.19 34% 0.9 .31 20% .39 67% .26
Dec
29		 Georgia C- C- B- F C- 60% 19% 21% A C B+ C B- D+ A+ D- A+ B B C- C- B 35% 14% 51% B- B D D+ D B+ F B- F
0.99 53% 40% 27% -5 +2 0.96 38% 0.9 .33 21% .41 63% .25 1.19 56% 43% 35% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .46 17% .47 72% .34
Jan
2		 Central Connecticut St. A+ F A+ A+ A- 42% 10% 48% C+ A- A+ D+ A+ A- A+ F B F D D F F 37% 30% 33% D F F C- F+ D- D- B- D
1.43 45% 60% 48% +7 +2 1.19 54% 0.9 .51 9% .37 65% .24 1.33 65% 43% 53% +13 -1 1.26 35% 1.0 .35 14% .32 75% .24
Jan
4		 Chicago St. C C- A+ B B- 43% 6% 51% B B- B- D C F F F F A A B A+ A+ 55% 23% 23% F B+ D A+ A D D+ A+ C+
1.14 60% 100% 38% +7 +2 1.21 39% 1.0 .39 26% .25 67% .17 0.85 41% 33% 25% -13 +1 0.77 33% 0.4 .14 14% .29 63% .18
Jan
8		 Mercyhurst F+ F B- C- D 47% 33% 20% F+ D- B- F D- C- C+ D C C+ A- F A+ B- 45% 35% 20% D C+ D+ F F+ C+ A- A+ A
1.00 48% 40% 33% -4 -1 0.91 37% 0.7 .26 18% .39 68% .26 0.96 45% 53% 20% -5 -1 0.90 28% 1.3 .38 17% .14 57% .08
Jan
10		 St. Francis (PA) F F D F F 47% 33% 20% F F A+ C+ A+ F A+ F B- B A+ B F D 38% 26% 36% C D+ A+ F A B C+ A+ B
0.94 48% 33% 0% -17 -1 0.67 51% 1.2 .61 27% .48 60% .29 0.88 42% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.02 10% 1.3 .13 21% .25 57% .14
Jan
17		 Fairleigh Dickinson F+ A- D+ D+ C 57% 24% 20% B- C A- F C F F F F A- C C+ A+ B+ 37% 19% 44% C- B C- A+ B+ C F A+ F
1.02 69% 36% 33% +6 +1 1.15 37% 0.7 .27 22% .20 50% .10 0.91 56% 38% 21% -9 0 0.84 33% 0.6 .21 19% .49 58% .29
Jan
19		 Le Moyne C- C+ F+ D D 41% 32% 27% F+ D- A B+ A+ D- F F F F+ C F F F 41% 20% 39% C+ F A+ F B+ C- F C F
1.08 58% 26% 31% -5 -1 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 17% .20 50% .10 1.17 59% 63% 56% +18 0 1.39 9% 2.0 .17 20% .54 71% .38
Jan
23		 Stonehill D+ D- D+ C- D 31% 29% 40% F+ D- F+ B- D B+ C+ C C D+ D+ F A+ D+ 55% 9% 36% F D- D- F F B B- A+ B
1.02 50% 33% 33% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.1 .22 9% .29 71% .20 0.97 58% 50% 24% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.1 .35 23% .20 60% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Le Moyne D+ B+ F B B 43% 16% 41% B- B F A D+ F A+ B- A+ A+ A B A+ A+ 53% 6% 41% F A+ C A+ A- C+ F A F+
1.10 64% 25% 38% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 20% .43 77% .33 0.81 46% 33% 20% -15 +3 0.78 24% 0.6 .15 21% .45 63% .29
Jan
31		 Central Connecticut St. B- B D A+ B+ 51% 19% 30% C B C- A B- C- A+ D A+ A+ B A+ A- A+ 25% 33% 41% B- A+ C A- B- C- D+ F F
1.21 63% 33% 43% +5 +1 1.15 31% 1.2 .38 14% .44 76% .33 0.89 54% 18% 29% -11 -3 0.75 27% 0.8 .22 17% .29 94% .27
Feb
5		 New Haven F D C+ F F 37% 22% 41% D+ F B+ D- C+ F C- C+ C B B- F A+ C+ 52% 22% 26% F+ C A+ A A D- D+ A+ C
0.95 53% 40% 21% -9 0 0.83 34% 1.0 .34 21% .26 77% .20 0.87 54% 60% 17% -4 +1 0.96 13% 0.8 .10 16% .28 60% .17
Feb
7		 Stonehill D- C- A A+ B- 57% 28% 15% C B- A F F F D- B- D C B- A+ A+ A- 43% 17% 39% D+ B+ F B+ D+ C+ D F F
1.00 54% 46% 43% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.4 .15 20% .22 73% .16 0.88 50% 25% 22% -13 +1 0.78 36% 0.8 .27 21% .27 92% .25
Feb
12		 Wagner F B+ C- F F 57% 17% 26% B- F+ D D+ D F A F C+ A+ B- C- A+ B+ 38% 21% 40% C- B A A+ A+ A F A+ C+
0.95 65% 38% 8% -6 +2 0.93 26% 1.0 .26 19% .45 62% .28 0.81 50% 40% 26% -7 0 0.87 24% 0.8 .19 24% .36 53% .19
Feb
14		 New Haven F C- F F F 49% 26% 26% C- F B- A- B+ F F C F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 14% 39% F A+ F+ F F F F B- F
0.84 57% 25% 8% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.3 .41 24% .17 75% .13 0.89 38% 17% 18% -22 +2 0.61 28% 1.4 .38 15% .47 68% .32
Feb
16		 Wagner B+ C A+ A+ A+ 49% 12% 39% B A+ B- D+ C D- F D+ F C- C- A F F+ 41% 32% 27% B D- F A+ B+ A- F A+ F
1.30 58% 67% 53% +14 +2 1.35 33% 1.0 .33 17% .25 69% .17 1.02 56% 29% 50% +3 -1 1.05 44% 0.6 .26 24% .45 59% .27
Feb
19		 St. Francis (PA) C A- C+ A+ A- 60% 24% 16% C+ A- C- F F B+ D+ F F F B- F F F 55% 12% 33% F F F A+ B- A+ F F F
1.18 73% 38% 56% +14 +1 1.33 32% 0.6 .21 16% .34 55% .18 1.16 54% 50% 65% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.5 .21 27% .36 80% .29
Feb
21		 Mercyhurst B A+ A+ C- A+ 40% 29% 31% F+ A+ D F+ D- C- C- A C+ F A F D F 38% 30% 32% D F F D F F+ F F F
1.19 84% 50% 33% +14 -1 1.27 28% 0.9 .24 19% .35 80% .28 1.30 45% 81% 35% +9 -1 1.17 35% 1.2 .42 11% .34 81% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1.9 22.5 75.6 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.9 22.5 75.6 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 75.6    75.6
14-2 100.0% 22.5    22.5
13-3 100.0% 1.9    1.9
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 75.6% 59.7% 59.7% 15.4 0.0 1.6 21.8 21.7 30.5
14-2 22.5% 57.0% 57.0% 15.9 0.0 1.7 11.1 9.7
13-3 1.9% 50.5% 50.5% 15.9 0.1 0.9 1.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 58.9% 58.9% 0.0% 15.5 41.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 45.1% 100.0% 15.4 0.0 3.6 48.4 48.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.5%