LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.6 #209
Expected Predictive Rating +0.5 #160
Pace 70.3 #158
Improvement +2.6 #57

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #181 B- C+ F C- C
Defense #237 C F C+ C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #37 1.13 #214 +3.2 #85
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #106 0.88 #38 +2.9 #54
Three Pointers 31% #346 1.14 #36 -3.1 #287
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #101 +3.0 #101
Freethrows 17.9 #154 67% #324 11.9 #221
Second Chance 35.2% #61 1.01 #234 0.35 #110
Turnovers 19.7% #336
Total Offense -0.4 #181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #12 1.12 #129 -4.0 #311
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #216 0.74 #157 +0.7 #149
Three Pointers 34% #340 1.06 #251 +2.7 #87
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #197 -0.6 #198
Freethrows 18.0 #219 67% #23 12.1 #204
Second Chance 36.6% #344 1.10 #252 0.40 #333
Turnovers 17.6% #120
Total Defense -2.1 #237

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.1% #188 1.7% #318
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.8% #92 -0.5% #171
Possession Length 17.2 #167 16.9 #127
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #41 0.19 #230
Improvement +2.1 #60 +0.5 #154

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.0% 54.3% 45.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 18.3 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 99.3% 99.5% 96.3%
.500 or above in Conference 87.2% 86.5% 97.8%
Conference Champion 77.4% 78.9% 54.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four10.0% 9.6% 15.4%
First Round49.2% 49.8% 39.8%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 93.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 21 - 6
Quad 421 - 522 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 59 @Notre Dame L 67 - 89 9%  -15  0 - 1 -10 +1 C- B+ F -10 D F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 355 @IU Indianapolis W 94 - 90 77%  -1  1 - 1 -6 -3 B C+ F -4 B- F C
 Tue, Nov 11 334 @Air Force W 76 - 72 69%  +0  2 - 1 -4 +3 B- B- F -7 C F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 204 James Madison W 88 - 79 61%  +10  3 - 1 +4 +3 A+ F F -1 D+ C A-
 Thu, Nov 20 203 @Fordham L 53 - 69 38%  -11  3 - 2 -15 -15 F F F -1 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 9 @Illinois L 58 - 98 2%  -26  3 - 3 -17 -6 A- D- F -10 F F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 192 @Missouri St. W 75 - 61 37%  -1  4 - 3 +15 +12 A+ B F +5 A+ F C-
 Tue, Dec 2 152 Winthrop L 92 - 94 OT 51%  -4  4 - 4 -5 +7 B B+ D -12 B+ F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 320 @Lehigh W 87 - 82 66%  +7  5 - 4 -2 +9 C A+ D -11 D+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 217 La Salle W 70 - 60 63%  +5  6 - 4 +4 -1 D A+ F +6 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 55 @Mississippi St. L 83 - 87 9%  -3  6 - 5 +9 +15 A+ B- A+ -6 C F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 164 @Florida International L 79 - 86 31%  -2  6 - 6 -5 +0 C C F -4 F C A-
 Mon, Dec 29 24 @Georgia L 74 - 89 4%  -1  6 - 7 +4 +4 B- C+ D +1 B C A
 Fri, Jan 2 269 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 78 74%  +1  7 - 7 1 - 0 -3 +22 B+ A+ A+ -24 F F D
 Sun, Jan 4 353 @Chicago St. W 74 - 55 76%  +11  8 - 7 2 - 0 +9 +2 B+ C F +8 A- A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 307 Mercyhurst W 60 - 58 81%  +4  9 - 7 3 - 0 -10 -7 D F C -3 C D- C
 Sat, Jan 10 361 St. Francis (PA) W 84 - 68 94% 
 Sat, Jan 17 349 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 79 - 72 75% 
 Mon, Jan 19 291 @Le Moyne W 79 - 77 56% 
 Fri, Jan 23 340 @Stonehill W 73 - 67 72% 
 Sun, Jan 25 316 Wagner W 79 - 69 82% 
 Thu, Jan 29 291 Le Moyne W 82 - 74 76% 
 Sat, Jan 31 269 @Central Connecticut St. W 74 - 73 54% 
 Thu, Feb 5 338 New Haven W 74 - 62 87% 
 Sat, Feb 7 340 Stonehill W 76 - 64 87% 
 Thu, Feb 12 316 @Wagner W 76 - 72 63% 
 Sat, Feb 14 338 @New Haven W 71 - 65 71% 
 Thu, Feb 19 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 81 - 71 82% 
 Sat, Feb 21 307 @Mercyhurst W 71 - 68 62% 
 Thu, Feb 26 353 Chicago St. W 82 - 69 89% 
 Sat, Feb 28 349 Fairleigh Dickinson W 82 - 69 89% 
Totals 20 - 11 14 - 4 -3 +0 B- C+ F -2 C F C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.5 8.3 16.2 20.2 17.2 64.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.5 5.3 2.8 0.8 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.5 8.4 14.1 19.0 21.0 17.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 99.6% 17.2    16.8 0.4
15-1 96.0% 20.2    18.2 2.0 0.0
14-2 85.2% 16.2    12.2 3.8 0.2
13-3 59.3% 8.3    4.5 3.3 0.6 0.0
12-4 29.1% 2.5    0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 64.6% 64.6 52.2 10.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 17.3% 62.6% 62.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 6.6 2.3 6.4
15-1 21.0% 57.3% 57.3% 15.4 0.0 0.5 5.7 5.8 9.0
14-2 19.0% 52.5% 52.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.9 7.0 9.0
13-3 14.1% 45.6% 45.6% 15.8 0.0 1.1 5.3 7.7
12-4 8.4% 41.6% 41.6% 15.9 0.3 3.2 4.9
11-5 4.5% 33.9% 33.9% 16.0 0.1 1.5 3.0
10-6 2.0% 28.9% 28.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 1.4
9-7 0.8% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.1 0.6
8-8 0.2% 17.5% 17.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10 0.0% 0.0 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 45.0% 45.0% 0.0% 15.5 55.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 13.3 0.2 10.1 55.5 32.5 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%