LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#327
Expected Predictive Rating-10.4#326
Pace65.6#254
Improvement+0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#359
First Shot-7.3#347
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#293
Layup/Dunks-1.6#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#297
Freethrows-2.6#321
Improvement-2.4#308

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#208
First Shot-0.1#183
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#272
Layups/Dunks-1.5#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#9
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#99
Freethrows-3.5#353
Improvement+2.4#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 11.0% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.7% 5.7% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 89.7% 98.2% 83.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four9.3% 10.6% 8.3%
First Round3.6% 4.1% 3.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 411 - 1312 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 60-90 1%     0 - 1 -12.9 -6.7 -4.7
  Nov 11, 2024 277   @ Air Force W 63-54 27%     1 - 1 +5.1 +0.1 +6.6
  Nov 15, 2024 161   @ California Baptist L 77-90 12%     1 - 2 -10.2 +8.1 -18.8
  Nov 20, 2024 237   Columbia L 72-80 37%     1 - 3 -14.9 -8.0 -6.9
  Nov 23, 2024 221   @ Charlotte W 79-76 19%     2 - 3 +2.2 +8.3 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2024 205   @ Winthrop L 65-87 16%     2 - 4 -21.7 -11.1 -10.0
  Nov 29, 2024 281   @ Lafayette L 56-75 28%     2 - 5 -23.2 -15.6 -8.2
  Nov 30, 2024 313   Binghamton L 70-75 OT 44%     2 - 6 -13.8 -11.7 -1.8
  Dec 01, 2024 316   Niagara L 52-60 46%     2 - 7 -17.1 -18.4 +0.1
  Dec 11, 2024 203   @ Umass Lowell L 62-69 16%     2 - 8 -6.6 -14.8 +8.4
  Dec 14, 2024 23   @ Missouri L 61-88 1%     2 - 9 -9.5 -1.2 -9.9
  Dec 18, 2024 260   Mount St. Mary's L 72-80 42%     2 - 10 -16.1 -5.1 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2024 267   Lehigh L 59-60 43%     2 - 11 -9.4 -16.6 +7.2
  Jan 03, 2025 355   Le Moyne W 78-62 71%     3 - 11 1 - 0 +0.1 +4.0 -2.2
  Jan 05, 2025 359   Chicago St. W 53-39 73%     4 - 11 2 - 0 -2.7 -16.8 +16.1
  Jan 10, 2025 321   @ Stonehill W 70-60 39%     5 - 11 3 - 0 +2.8 +1.5 +2.4
  Jan 12, 2025 209   @ Central Connecticut St. W 54-52 17%     6 - 11 4 - 0 +2.0 -4.1 +6.5
  Jan 18, 2025 336   St. Francis (PA) W 64-51 64%     7 - 11 5 - 0 -1.0 -6.1 +7.0
  Jan 20, 2025 353   Mercyhurst W 72-63 OT 70%     8 - 11 6 - 0 -6.6 -8.8 +2.0
  Jan 24, 2025 336   @ St. Francis (PA) L 64-74 45%     8 - 12 6 - 1 -19.0 -10.1 -9.3
  Jan 26, 2025 353   @ Mercyhurst L 80-85 2OT 52%     8 - 13 6 - 2 -15.6 -10.0 -4.9
  Jan 30, 2025 209   Central Connecticut St. L 50-63 31%     8 - 14 6 - 3 -18.0 -19.0 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2025 359   @ Chicago St. L 67-73 OT 56%     8 - 15 6 - 4 -17.7 -8.8 -8.8
  Feb 06, 2025 335   @ Wagner L 58-59 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 321   Stonehill W 66-64 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-67 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 355   @ Le Moyne W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 335   Wagner W 61-57 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 322   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 67-70 39%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 2.1 1st
2nd 0.3 10.4 20.7 11.6 2.0 45.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 5.8 15.1 4.2 0.1 25.1 3rd
4th 0.9 10.2 3.2 0.1 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 3.7 3.7 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.5 3.5 0.4 4.3 6th
7th 0.7 0.7 1.4 7th
8th 0.2 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.4 8.9 20.3 28.8 25.2 12.6 2.8 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 28.0% 0.8    0.3 0.5 0.0
11-5 7.8% 1.0    0.1 0.8 0.1
10-6 1.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 2.8% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.4
11-5 12.6% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 1.6 11.0
10-6 25.2% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 3.1 22.1
9-7 28.8% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 2.5 26.3
8-8 20.3% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 1.3 19.1
7-9 8.9% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.6 8.3
6-10 1.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 1.4
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.4 90.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 2.8 97.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 1.1%