Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#161
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#135
Pace71.6#80
Improvement+0.5#176

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#168
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#220
Layup/Dunks-1.9#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#64
Freethrows-3.6#354
Improvement-0.4#204

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#178
First Shot-1.6#229
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#72
Layups/Dunks+1.2#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#305
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement+0.9#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 22.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round16.4% 22.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 35 - 25 - 6
Quad 417 - 322 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 178   @ Appalachian St. W 77-63 44%     1 - 0 +15.6 +7.1 +8.2
  Nov 09, 2024 230   Wright St. L 68-81 73%     1 - 1 -19.4 -12.9 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-70 95%     2 - 1 -0.8 +15.7 -14.6
  Nov 18, 2024 31   @ Michigan L 67-94 7%     2 - 2 -10.1 +0.8 -9.8
  Nov 25, 2024 255   Siena W 70-58 69%     3 - 2 +7.0 -1.5 +9.2
  Nov 26, 2024 265   Mercer W 75-72 71%     4 - 2 -2.7 -2.4 -0.4
  Dec 02, 2024 296   Air Force W 73-60 84%     5 - 2 +2.5 +5.4 -1.2
  Dec 06, 2024 43   @ Indiana L 57-76 9%     5 - 3 -4.4 -5.4 +0.2
  Dec 18, 2024 229   @ Vermont L 67-75 53%     5 - 4 -8.9 -2.7 -6.3
  Dec 22, 2024 261   Sacred Heart W 94-76 78%     6 - 4 +9.8 +8.4 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2025 346   Buffalo W 93-79 91%     7 - 4 1 - 0 -1.2 +12.7 -14.0
  Jan 07, 2025 268   @ Ball St. W 80-72 63%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +4.7 +5.0 -0.3
  Jan 11, 2025 297   Western Michigan W 91-71 84%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +9.5 +9.1 -0.4
  Jan 14, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 84-69 82%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +5.3 +6.9 -1.9
  Jan 18, 2025 133   @ Kent St. W 70-61 33%     11 - 4 5 - 0 +13.4 +6.0 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2025 283   Bowling Green W 84-76 82%     12 - 4 6 - 0 -1.9 +4.7 -6.9
  Jan 25, 2025 111   @ Akron L 75-102 27%     12 - 5 6 - 1 -20.6 -1.7 -17.0
  Jan 28, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan W 89-80 81%     13 - 5 7 - 1 -0.1 +8.0 -8.3
  Feb 01, 2025 183   Ohio W 73-69 66%     14 - 5 8 - 1 -0.1 -3.8 +3.6
  Feb 04, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan W 76-70 51%     15 - 5 9 - 1 +5.6 +6.9 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2025 101   Troy W 69-62 44%     16 - 5 +8.6 -2.4 +10.9
  Feb 11, 2025 248   Toledo W 92-80 76%     17 - 5 10 - 1 +4.5 +7.0 -2.9
  Feb 15, 2025 297   @ Western Michigan L 70-78 68%     17 - 6 10 - 2 -13.0 -9.3 -3.3
  Feb 18, 2025 274   @ Eastern Michigan L 66-76 64%     17 - 7 10 - 3 -13.6 -6.2 -8.1
  Feb 21, 2025 133   Kent St. W 96-92 OT 54%     18 - 7 11 - 3 +2.9 +13.1 -10.6
  Feb 25, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 87-58 91%     19 - 7 12 - 3 +13.8 +6.3 +6.7
  Mar 01, 2025 183   @ Ohio L 66-75 45%     19 - 8 12 - 4 -7.6 -7.1 -0.6
  Mar 04, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 84-69 82%     20 - 8 13 - 4 +5.3 +7.6 -2.3
  Mar 07, 2025 268   Ball St. W 79-66 80%     21 - 8 14 - 4 +4.2 -2.8 +6.4
  Mar 13, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan W 80-74 73%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 16.4% 16.4% 14.0 0.0 1.9 11.7 2.7 83.6
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 1.9 11.7 2.7 83.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 16.4% 100.0% 14.0 0.2 11.8 71.6 16.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 19.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 37.4%
Lose Out 26.3%