Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#200
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Pace70.3#146
Improvement-0.8#234

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#217
First Shot-0.7#190
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#242
Layup/Dunks-2.6#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#68
Freethrows-4.1#357
Improvement-0.3#191

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#177
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#86
Layups/Dunks+1.0#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#303
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement-0.5#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 10.9% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 85.4% 88.3% 68.5%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 85.3% 62.9%
Conference Champion 12.9% 14.3% 4.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.5% 3.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round10.2% 10.9% 6.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 85.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 7
Quad 414 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 175   @ Appalachian St. W 77-63 35%     1 - 0 +16.2 +6.0 +9.9
  Nov 09, 2024 168   Wright St. L 68-81 56%     1 - 1 -16.4 -11.2 -5.0
  Nov 12, 2024 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-70 92%     2 - 1 +0.9 +16.1 -13.2
  Nov 18, 2024 19   @ Michigan L 67-94 4%     2 - 2 -9.1 +0.1 -8.1
  Nov 25, 2024 304   Siena W 70-58 72%     3 - 2 +4.1 -1.9 +6.6
  Nov 26, 2024 235   Mercer W 75-72 59%     4 - 2 -1.1 -4.6 +3.3
  Dec 02, 2024 269   Air Force W 73-60 75%     5 - 2 +4.2 +5.3 +0.5
  Dec 06, 2024 51   @ Indiana L 57-76 8%     5 - 3 -5.5 -7.1 +0.8
  Dec 18, 2024 220   @ Vermont L 67-75 44%     5 - 4 -8.3 -2.2 -6.1
  Dec 22, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 94-76 79%     6 - 4 +7.8 +8.4 -2.1
  Jan 04, 2025 330   Buffalo W 79-68 86%    
  Jan 07, 2025 252   @ Ball St. W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 293   Western Michigan W 77-69 78%    
  Jan 14, 2025 349   @ Northern Illinois W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 116   @ Kent St. L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 21, 2025 289   Bowling Green W 80-72 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 148   @ Akron L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 28, 2025 305   Eastern Michigan W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 01, 2025 147   Ohio W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 04, 2025 237   @ Central Michigan L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 11, 2025 208   Toledo W 81-77 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 293   @ Western Michigan W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 18, 2025 305   @ Eastern Michigan W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 116   Kent St. L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 25, 2025 349   Northern Illinois W 79-66 88%    
  Mar 01, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 74-79 32%    
  Mar 04, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 76-71 68%    
  Mar 07, 2025 252   Ball St. W 74-68 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.9 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 12.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 16.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.9 6.7 3.0 0.3 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 5.2 7.9 11.3 13.9 15.1 14.7 11.8 8.0 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 94.8% 1.8    1.6 0.2
15-3 79.6% 3.7    2.6 1.0 0.1
14-4 49.3% 3.9    1.7 1.8 0.5 0.0
13-5 18.8% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.9% 12.9 7.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 37.2% 37.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 36.5% 36.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.9% 30.3% 30.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4
15-3 4.7% 24.1% 24.1% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.6
14-4 8.0% 20.0% 20.0% 13.8 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.4
13-5 11.8% 15.5% 15.5% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 10.0
12-6 14.7% 11.9% 11.9% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 13.0
11-7 15.1% 9.0% 9.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 13.7
10-8 13.9% 6.7% 6.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 13.0
9-9 11.3% 4.9% 4.9% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 10.7
8-10 7.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.6 0.1 0.2 7.7
7-11 5.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.1
6-12 2.7% 2.7
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 3.3 0.9 89.7 0.0%