NJIT
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -12.9 #351
Expected Predictive Rating -7.3 #271
Pace 71.0 #127
Improvement -0.7 #221

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #360 F D F C F
Defense #288 C- D+ D- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #361 0.95 #353 -9.2 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #93 0.68 #271 +0.7 #144
Three Pointers 48% #57 0.88 #317 +0.2 #173
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #357 -8.4 #358
Freethrows 17.3 #194 70% #257 12.1 #202
Second Chance 26.3% #299 1.01 #229 0.27 #286
Turnovers 20.0% #343
Total Offense -9.4 #360

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #107 1.20 #230 -2.4 #263
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #244 0.67 #82 +1.5 #84
Three Pointers 41% #203 1.04 #216 -0.3 #192
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #216 -1.2 #221
Freethrows 19.1 #274 70% #77 13.4 #133
Second Chance 34.4% #304 1.04 #186 0.36 #266
Turnovers 13.8% #328
Total Defense -3.5 #288

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.7% #328 1.0% #268
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -14.1% #354 1.2% #205
Possession Length 17.6 #199 16.4 #50
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #250 0.18 #205
Improvement +1.9 #68 -2.6 #328

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.8% 5.9% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.6% 50.4% 23.3%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 4.7% 16.3%
First Four2.3% 2.8% 1.7%
First Round0.9% 1.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 411 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 203 @Fordham W 72 - 61 11%  +5  1 - 0 +12 +7 A+ F D- +5 A+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 8 282 Fairfield L 53 - 74 38%  -6  1 - 1 -31 -30 F F F +1 A- F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 336 @Loyola Maryland W 66 - 64 32%  -1  2 - 1 -6 -11 F B- F +5 A- F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 349 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 81 61%  +11  3 - 1 -4 +3 A+ C F -8 B C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 248 @Drexel L 43 - 75 15%  -13  3 - 2 -34 -29 F F F -5 C C- F
 Sat, Nov 22 193 @Navy L 70 - 86 10%  -10  3 - 3 -15 +0 F C B+ -16 F C F
 Mon, Nov 24 58 @Cincinnati L 80 - 104 2%  -16  3 - 4 -12 +5 D+ A+ F -13 F D F
 Wed, Nov 26 15 @Louisville L 47 - 104 1%  -31  3 - 5 -36 -17 F F B -20 D- F D
 Fri, Nov 28 197 @Eastern Michigan L 55 - 73 11%  -3  3 - 6 -17 -13 F A F -5 F C B+
 Fri, Dec 5 86 @High Point L 72 - 89 3%  -12  3 - 7 -7 -3 C F F -3 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 338 New Haven W 70 - 64 56%  +4  4 - 7 -9 -3 C F C -5 A F F
 Sat, Dec 13 285 Sacred Heart L 49 - 65 38%  -4  4 - 8 -26 -26 F F D -2 B F F
 Mon, Dec 22 57 @Butler L 52 - 101 2%  -29  4 - 9 -37 -17 D- F D- -17 F D- F
 Wed, Dec 31 216 @Penn L 61 - 80 12%  -6  4 - 10 -19 -13 F F F -6 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 3 359 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 47%  -1  5 - 10 1 - 0 -4 +3 F B+ F -6 F A C+
 Thu, Jan 8 344 New Hampshire W 80 - 76 57%  -1  6 - 10 2 - 0 -11 +0 F A+ A -11 F C B-
 Sat, Jan 10 339 Maine W 65 - 63 57% 
 Thu, Jan 15 286 @Umass Lowell L 70 - 79 20% 
 Mon, Jan 19 317 Bryant L 67 - 68 48% 
 Thu, Jan 22 267 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67 - 77 18% 
 Thu, Jan 29 322 @Albany L 70 - 76 29% 
 Sat, Jan 31 198 @Vermont L 63 - 77 10% 
 Thu, Feb 5 286 Umass Lowell L 73 - 76 39% 
 Sat, Feb 7 359 Binghamton W 72 - 67 68% 
 Thu, Feb 12 344 @New Hampshire L 67 - 71 35% 
 Sat, Feb 14 339 @Maine L 62 - 66 34% 
 Thu, Feb 19 322 Albany W 74 - 73 50% 
 Sat, Feb 21 198 Vermont L 66 - 74 25% 
 Sat, Feb 28 317 @Bryant L 65 - 71 28% 
 Tue, Mar 3 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 74 37% 
Totals 11 - 19 7 - 9 -13 -9 F D F -4 C- D+ D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 4.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.8 5.0 0.9 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 8.0 6.4 1.1 0.0 17.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 7.8 7.8 1.3 0.0 18.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 6.4 7.2 1.4 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.7 1.1 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.1 9th
Total 0.5 2.9 7.9 13.2 17.9 19.1 16.0 11.4 6.6 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 90.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-3 84.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
12-4 54.8% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.1
11-5 16.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 0.3% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.1 1.2
11-5 3.0% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.2 2.8
10-6 6.6% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.4 6.2
9-7 11.4% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.4 11.0
8-8 16.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 15.5
7-9 19.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 18.7
6-10 17.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 17.6
5-11 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.9
3-13 2.9% 2.9
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%