Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#338
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#345
Pace72.5#80
Improvement+4.3#34

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#345
First Shot-2.0#237
After Offensive Rebound-5.4#363
Layup/Dunks-7.9#362
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#61
Freethrows+2.5#48
Improvement+2.8#43

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#299
First Shot-2.8#267
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#297
Layups/Dunks-1.8#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#175
Freethrows-2.2#322
Improvement+1.5#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 62.7% 39.4% 71.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 28.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 50 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 13
Quad 45 - 105 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 254   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 20%     0 - 1 -17.9 -12.4 -4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 253   Monmouth W 79-66 36%     1 - 1 +5.2 +0.8 +4.1
  Nov 16, 2024 94   @ Bradley L 60-76 4%     1 - 2 -7.7 -5.6 -2.9
  Nov 20, 2024 175   Elon L 48-75 21%     1 - 3 -30.2 -25.1 -6.2
  Nov 23, 2024 112   @ DePaul L 52-98 6%     1 - 4 -40.3 -21.5 -16.5
  Nov 27, 2024 226   @ Valparaiso L 82-87 16%     1 - 5 -6.0 +2.2 -7.9
  Nov 29, 2024 332   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-72 37%     1 - 6 -21.2 -15.8 -5.4
  Dec 07, 2024 108   @ Northern Iowa L 57-101 6%     1 - 7 -37.5 -10.8 -29.0
  Dec 18, 2024 135   @ Illinois St. L 60-81 8%     1 - 8 -17.0 -14.2 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan L 71-75 27%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -9.3 -7.3 -1.9
  Jan 07, 2025 148   Kent St. L 50-68 17%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -19.5 -18.3 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2025 168   @ Ohio L 70-108 10%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -35.6 -10.0 -21.1
  Jan 14, 2025 173   Miami (OH) L 69-84 20%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -17.9 -7.2 -10.4
  Jan 18, 2025 225   Central Michigan L 66-71 29%     1 - 13 0 - 5 -11.0 -1.1 -10.4
  Jan 21, 2025 306   @ Western Michigan L 70-72 29%     1 - 14 0 - 6 -7.9 -3.2 -4.7
  Jan 25, 2025 255   Ball St. W 76-66 36%     2 - 14 1 - 6 +2.0 +0.1 +2.3
  Jan 28, 2025 100   Akron L 70-80 10%     2 - 15 1 - 7 -7.8 -7.4 +0.4
  Feb 01, 2025 201   @ Toledo L 85-89 13%     2 - 16 1 - 8 -3.5 +2.3 -5.5
  Feb 04, 2025 312   @ Bowling Green L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 301   Louisiana L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 11, 2025 342   Buffalo W 77-74 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 255   @ Ball St. L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 18, 2025 100   @ Akron L 68-87 3%    
  Feb 22, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 25, 2025 173   @ Miami (OH) L 68-82 9%    
  Mar 01, 2025 306   Western Michigan L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 04, 2025 312   Bowling Green L 74-75 49%    
  Mar 07, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 65-76 15%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.2 0.8 0.2 1.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 1.2 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 4.0 0.3 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 3.3 9.4 2.2 0.0 15.0 10th
11th 0.6 6.9 16.1 6.5 0.3 30.3 11th
12th 3.4 13.8 17.7 7.4 0.5 42.7 12th
Total 3.4 14.3 24.6 26.8 19.1 8.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-11 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
6-12 8.8% 8.8
5-13 19.1% 19.1
4-14 26.8% 26.8
3-15 24.6% 24.6
2-16 14.3% 14.3
1-17 3.4% 3.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%