Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#349
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#336
Pace71.6#98
Improvement-1.8#286

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#352
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound-5.1#362
Layup/Dunks-8.9#363
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#50
Freethrows+2.5#48
Improvement-1.2#274

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#310
First Shot-2.8#269
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#301
Layups/Dunks-1.8#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#161
Freethrows-2.5#333
Improvement-0.7#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 5.9% 13.4% 3.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.4% 24.7% 52.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 25.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 45 - 106 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 242   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 16%     0 - 1 -16.5 -11.3 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 262   Monmouth W 79-66 36%     1 - 1 +4.6 +0.2 +4.2
  Nov 16, 2024 78   @ Bradley L 60-76 3%     1 - 2 -5.6 -6.6 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2024 182   Elon L 48-75 22%     1 - 3 -31.0 -25.5 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2024 104   @ DePaul L 52-98 4%     1 - 4 -38.4 -20.2 -16.0
  Nov 27, 2024 224   @ Valparaiso L 82-87 14%     1 - 5 -5.5 +2.6 -7.8
  Nov 29, 2024 326   @ Eastern Illinois L 59-72 29%     1 - 6 -19.4 -15.8 -3.5
  Dec 07, 2024 98   @ Northern Iowa L 57-101 4%     1 - 7 -36.0 -10.5 -27.7
  Dec 18, 2024 141   @ Illinois St. L 60-81 8%     1 - 8 -17.1 -13.0 -4.0
  Jan 04, 2025 305   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 07, 2025 117   Kent St. L 60-72 13%    
  Jan 11, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 69-84 8%    
  Jan 14, 2025 200   Miami (OH) L 69-76 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 237   Central Michigan L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 21, 2025 293   @ Western Michigan L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   Ball St. L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 28, 2025 148   Akron L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 208   @ Toledo L 72-85 12%    
  Feb 04, 2025 289   @ Bowling Green L 72-80 23%    
  Feb 11, 2025 330   Buffalo W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 252   @ Ball St. L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 18, 2025 148   @ Akron L 68-83 9%    
  Feb 22, 2025 305   Eastern Michigan L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 25, 2025 200   @ Miami (OH) L 66-79 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 293   Western Michigan L 72-74 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 289   Bowling Green L 75-77 43%    
  Mar 07, 2025 237   @ Central Michigan L 65-76 17%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 1.7 0.1 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 15.7 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 5.6 8.7 5.7 1.3 0.0 23.1 11th
12th 1.7 5.8 9.6 9.5 4.8 1.1 0.1 32.5 12th
Total 1.7 6.0 11.3 15.5 16.9 15.7 12.5 8.9 5.7 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 41.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 1.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 1.6
9-9 3.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
8-10 5.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.7
7-11 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-13 15.7% 15.7
4-14 16.9% 16.9
3-15 15.5% 15.5
2-16 11.3% 11.3
1-17 6.0% 6.0
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%