Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#204
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#260
Pace71.0#116
Improvement+5.4#4

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot+0.4#163
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#298
Layup/Dunks-1.0#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#255
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+2.0#54

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#183
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#212
Layups/Dunks+0.6#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#170
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement+3.3#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 6.1% 16.9% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 18.7% 40.8% 15.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 1.5% 5.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 11.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 33 - 15
Quad 49 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 331   Western Illinois W 77-64 85%     1 - 0 -0.1 +0.0 +0.3
  Nov 09, 2024 90   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 15%     1 - 1 -8.8 +5.7 -13.9
  Nov 16, 2024 77   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 13%     1 - 2 -7.5 -2.3 -5.3
  Nov 20, 2024 106   @ UNLV L 59-80 19%     1 - 3 -13.6 -5.0 -10.4
  Nov 22, 2024 55   @ Northwestern L 50-68 9%     1 - 4 -5.2 -11.4 +5.3
  Nov 26, 2024 278   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 76%     1 - 5 -18.4 -7.6 -11.6
  Nov 29, 2024 201   New Mexico St. W 82-70 50%     2 - 5 +10.2 +4.4 +5.0
  Nov 30, 2024 210   Weber St. L 53-68 52%     2 - 6 -17.5 -22.0 +4.3
  Dec 07, 2024 310   Grambling St. W 85-57 81%     3 - 6 +16.7 +6.9 +9.8
  Dec 14, 2024 265   Northern Arizona W 86-76 74%     4 - 6 +1.4 +6.5 -5.1
  Dec 19, 2024 258   Long Beach St. L 76-79 73%     4 - 7 -11.3 -1.3 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2024 223   UC Davis W 85-46 67%     5 - 7 +32.5 +13.6 +18.9
  Dec 28, 2024 72   @ Santa Clara L 69-82 11%    
  Dec 30, 2024 4   Gonzaga L 69-88 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 53   @ St. Mary's L 60-75 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 301   @ Pacific W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 157   Loyola Marymount W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 16, 2025 61   San Francisco L 67-74 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 53   St. Mary's L 63-72 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 69   @ Oregon St. L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 25, 2025 301   Pacific W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 30, 2025 316   @ San Diego W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 314   Portland W 79-69 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 74   @ Washington St. L 69-82 12%    
  Feb 13, 2025 316   San Diego W 78-68 82%    
  Feb 15, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 66-91 1%    
  Feb 20, 2025 69   Oregon St. L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 314   @ Portland W 76-72 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 74   Washington St. L 72-79 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.8 5.0 1.6 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 9.1 8.3 2.8 0.2 24.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 8.1 12.5 8.1 2.2 0.1 32.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.3 5.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.5 9.1 14.8 18.3 18.2 14.5 9.8 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0%
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 12.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.8% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 3.1% 3.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 0.2
12-6 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 2.4
10-8 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 5.3
9-9 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 9.8
8-10 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.5
7-11 18.2% 18.2
6-12 18.3% 18.3
5-13 14.8% 14.8
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 4.5% 4.5
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%