Rice
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#192
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#194
Pace65.3#262
Improvement-2.2#284

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#187
First Shot-0.9#208
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#155
Layup/Dunks-4.6#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement+1.7#88

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#201
First Shot-2.9#268
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#46
Layups/Dunks+2.2#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#320
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#227
Freethrows-2.3#328
Improvement-4.0#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 34.6% 55.3% 25.5%
.500 or above in Conference 2.1% 5.4% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.9% 13.2% 33.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 83 - 14
Quad 412 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 243   Florida International W 77-70 71%     1 - 0 -0.4 -2.3 +1.4
  Nov 09, 2024 82   Florida St. L 65-73 20%     1 - 1 -0.7 -4.8 +4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 328   Louisiana Monroe W 66-50 86%     2 - 1 +3.0 -7.7 +11.7
  Nov 16, 2024 293   Northwestern St. W 77-75 OT 78%     3 - 1 -7.6 +0.0 -7.7
  Nov 19, 2024 301   @ Louisiana W 83-61 64%     4 - 1 +16.7 +16.0 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2024 290   @ Houston Christian W 61-58 62%     5 - 1 -1.6 -6.3 +5.1
  Nov 29, 2024 174   Hofstra L 63-68 OT 46%     5 - 2 -5.6 -9.0 +3.7
  Nov 30, 2024 93   Arkansas St. W 75-67 24%     6 - 2 +13.9 +6.6 +7.5
  Dec 01, 2024 256   Iona W 70-66 65%     7 - 2 -1.5 -1.6 +0.1
  Dec 08, 2024 184   @ Texas St. L 66-75 40%     7 - 3 -7.8 +1.7 -10.9
  Dec 16, 2024 320   Alcorn St. W 77-75 84%     8 - 3 -9.9 -2.3 -7.7
  Dec 22, 2024 348   Prairie View W 64-46 89%     9 - 3 +3.1 -7.1 +12.8
  Jan 01, 2025 238   @ Tulsa W 70-64 52%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +4.0 +2.8 +1.7
  Jan 04, 2025 221   Charlotte W 68-55 66%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +7.2 +6.8 +3.3
  Jan 08, 2025 70   @ North Texas L 59-81 14%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -11.7 +7.8 -24.6
  Jan 11, 2025 125   Temple L 70-73 46%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -3.4 -6.9 +3.6
  Jan 14, 2025 202   Texas San Antonio L 84-90 62%     11 - 6 2 - 3 -10.5 +5.5 -15.9
  Jan 19, 2025 106   @ Florida Atlantic L 73-75 22%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +4.7 +7.8 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2025 141   Tulane L 71-82 49%     11 - 8 2 - 5 -12.3 -1.5 -10.9
  Jan 28, 2025 177   @ South Florida L 64-69 38%     11 - 9 2 - 6 -3.3 -6.6 +3.2
  Feb 02, 2025 41   Memphis L 83-86 16%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +6.2 +12.9 -6.6
  Feb 05, 2025 150   @ East Carolina L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 221   @ Charlotte L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 11, 2025 70   North Texas L 58-65 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 141   @ Tulane L 67-72 29%    
  Feb 19, 2025 96   UAB L 75-79 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 238   Tulsa W 72-67 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 41   @ Memphis L 66-82 7%    
  Mar 02, 2025 202   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-77 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 134   Wichita St. L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.3 6th
7th 0.7 2.5 0.6 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.9 2.8 0.2 9.0 8th
9th 0.8 6.5 6.7 0.6 14.6 9th
10th 0.3 5.9 10.6 2.2 0.0 19.1 10th
11th 0.1 4.2 12.1 4.1 0.2 20.6 11th
12th 0.1 2.7 9.9 5.9 0.4 19.0 12th
13th 1.8 5.3 4.5 0.6 0.0 12.2 13th
Total 1.9 8.1 18.9 25.2 22.7 14.7 6.4 1.8 0.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 1.8% 3.8% 3.8% 13.3 0.1 0.0 1.8
8-10 6.4% 1.6% 1.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3
7-11 14.7% 0.9% 0.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.5
6-12 22.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 22.5
5-13 25.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 25.2
4-14 18.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 18.9
3-15 8.1% 8.1
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%