San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.5 127
Results Rating +2.4 125
Pace 65.3 269
Improvement -5.2 347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 106 C+ B- B- C+ C+
Defense C 176 C+ C+ D- B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 287 C+ 59% 135 -1.5 237
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 305 C- 36% 253 -2.1 281
Three Pointers 49% 34 C+ 35% 121 +5.0 34
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 144 C+ +1.1 128
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 128
Second Chance C+ 32.3% 123 B- 1.09 86 B- 0.35 91
Turnovers B- 15.7% 107
Freethrows B- 0.33 94 C- 71% 222 C+ 0.24 122
Total Offense C+ +2.6 106

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 239 C+ 10.6% 150
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 186 B 2.9% 47
Three Pointers C 85% 171 B 0.3% 44
Total C+ 58% 123 B 4.3% 43

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 153 C+ 56% 123 -0.2 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 72 C+ 37% 146 +1.1 279
Three Pointers 36% 302 C+ 33% 131 -2.8 63
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 105 C+ -1.5 121
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 118
Second Chance B 27.0% 66 D+ 1.10 281 C+ 0.30 139
Turnovers D- 13.3% 345
Freethrows B- 0.27 76 D+ 74% 278 B- 0.20 99
Total Defense C -0.1 176

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 169 C- 10.3% 197
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 152 C- 4.0% 229
Three Pointers B+ 78% 35 D+ 0.5% 250
Total B- 51% 93 C- 5.2% 202

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.1 256 17.5 231
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 310 0.15 105
Improvement -1.0 #234 -4.3 #345

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 140 127 111
Results Rating Rank 149 128 107
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 8 7 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.5 13.2
.500 or above 32% 61% 15%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Pacific (Away) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 23 - 53 - 11
Quad 36 - 39 - 14
Quad 47 - 315 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 101 @Memphis L 70 - 76 30% -9  0% 0 - 1 C+ +2 C- -2 B C C B +4 B- F C
 Wed, Nov 12 150 Portland St. W 80 - 70 69% +12  99% 1 - 1 B- +7 A- +9 A B B C- -2 A- D- C
 Sat, Nov 15 112 Bradley W 75 - 64 58% +2  70% 2 - 1 B+ +11 C+ +2 A+ D- F A +10 A+ B+ C-
 Tue, Nov 18 275 Northwestern St. W 84 - 64 86% +15  95% 3 - 1 B +11 A+ +15 A+ D+ A C- -2 B- C- C-
 Sat, Nov 22 59 Minnesota W 77 - 65 27% +6  98% 4 - 1 A +21 A+ +15 A A C+ A- +7 D+ B+ B
 Thu, Nov 27 66 Colorado L 69 - 79 28% -1  39% 4 - 2 C -1 D+ -2 B- B- D C+ +1 C+ B- F+
 Fri, Nov 28 78 Nevada L 65 - 81 31% -5  32% 4 - 3 D -8 C- -2 D+ A+ F F+ -8 D- A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 342 North Alabama L 63 - 65 94% +4  59% 4 - 4 F+ -17 F -15 F C C+ C- -2 A- F C+
 Sun, Dec 7 74 Mississippi St. W 65 - 62 31% +5  95% 5 - 4 B +11 C+ +2 D- A+ A A +9 A B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 23 @Saint Louis L 75 - 85 7% -1  45% 5 - 5 B +9 B+ +9 B B- B+ C+ +1 B A- F+
 Wed, Dec 17 282 Loyola Chicago W 85 - 71 81% +12  97% 6 - 5 B- +7 A+ +20 A+ C A+ F -10 B+ F+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 350 Morgan St. W 94 - 64 95% +13  74% 7 - 5 B+ +13 A +13 D+ A+ C+ C+ +1 D+ C- C-
 Sun, Dec 28 122 @Seattle W 67 - 59 38% +4  85% 8 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +14 C +1 F A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ B F
 Tue, Dec 30 158 @Oregon St. L 62 - 70 48% -3  34% 8 - 6 1 - 1 D+ -5 D -5 F C- C C -1 F A+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 226 San Diego W 74 - 64 81% +4  74% 9 - 6 2 - 1 C+ +3 D- -7 F B+ A- A +10 B A+ F+
 Sun, Jan 4 220 Portland W 73 - 68 80% -4  31% 10 - 6 3 - 1 C -1 C- -2 D- C+ B C+ +1 C- A+ A
 Thu, Jan 8 148 @Loyola Marymount L 82 - 84 2OT 46% -1  38% 10 - 7 3 - 2 C +2 C -0 F+ B C- B- +2 B- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 281 @Pepperdine W 80 - 60 73% +12  98% 11 - 7 4 - 2 A- +16 B+ +7 A- C+ D A +10 A+ B F
 Tue, Jan 13 40 St. Mary's L 68 - 82 23% -9  8% 11 - 8 4 - 3 C- -4 C+ +2 B+ B B D- -7 C- C- C-
 Sun, Jan 18 126 Washington St. W 85 - 80 61% +0  54% 12 - 8 5 - 3 C+ +5 A +14 A A+ F+ F+ -9 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 12 @Gonzaga L 66 - 68 4% -8  0% 12 - 9 5 - 4 A +20 B- +4 A B- D+ A+ +16 A+ A D-
 Wed, Jan 28 42 @Santa Clara L 73 - 88 11% -4  30% 12 - 10 5 - 5 C +1 B- +5 A F C+ D+ -4 D+ B F
 Sat, Jan 31 117 Pacific W 87 - 82 60% +4  86% 13 - 10 6 - 5 B- +5 A+ +15 A A- A F -10 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 148 Loyola Marymount L 75 - 84 68% -9  0% 13 - 11 6 - 6 D- -11 C +1 F+ D+ A F -13 F+ B- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 40 @St. Mary's L 54 - 79 10% -15  2% 13 - 12 6 - 7 D -9 D- -8 F F A+ D+ -3 D+ A- F
 Thu, Feb 12 158 Oregon St. L 63 - 90 70% -17  0% 13 - 13 6 - 8 F -30 D+ -4 F B B- F -30 F F D
 Sun, Feb 15 226 @San Diego W 92 - 79 62% +4  61% 14 - 13 7 - 8 B+ +12 A+ +16 A+ F B+ D+ -4 C F F
 Wed, Feb 18 12 Gonzaga L 59 - 80 11% -10  4% 14 - 14 7 - 9 D+ -5 D -6 D- C+ B- C +0 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 21 42 Santa Clara L 73 - 94 24% -11  3% 14 - 15 7 - 10 D -11 D+ -4 A- F D D -6 B F D
 Sat, Feb 28 117 @Pacific L 69 - 72 37%
Totals 14 - 16 7 - 11 +2 C+ +3 A+ C+ C+ C +0 C+ C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ C- C+ C+ 35% 27% 49% C+ C+ C+ B- B- B- B- C- C+ C C+ C+ C+ C+ 39% 24% 36% C+ C+ B D+ C+ D- B- D+ B-
1.12 59% 36% 35% +1 0 1.05 32% 1.1 .35 16% .33 71% .24 1.09 56% 37% 33% -1 0 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 13% .27 74% .25
Nov
8		 Memphis C- A+ F B B+ 23% 17% 60% C B D A C C A F B- B B A D C+ 33% 26% 41% B B- D F+ F C F A+ D+
0.94 73% 13% 36% +1 -1 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 20% .42 64% .27 1.03 53% 25% 37% -3 -1 0.93 40% 1.3 .52 19% .43 54% .23
Nov
12		 Portland St. A- C+ F A+ A- 40% 9% 51% B+ A A D- B B A- D+ B C- A A B- A 44% 15% 41% D+ A- D- D- D- C A- C B+
1.17 58% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.11 41% 0.9 .35 16% .43 72% .31 1.02 46% 25% 32% -9 +1 0.87 35% 1.1 .37 19% .23 69% .16
Nov
15		 Bradley C+ C- A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% A A+ A+ F D- F A+ D+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 31% 12% 58% D- A+ A- B- B+ C- D F F
1.10 56% 57% 53% +14 +1 1.31 45% 0.5 .21 26% .46 70% .32 0.94 38% 50% 23% -14 +1 0.75 21% 1.0 .21 13% .36 86% .31
Nov
18		 Northwestern St. A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 3% 60% A- A+ C+ D- D+ A A+ C- A+ C- A+ C F B- 35% 30% 35% C+ B- D- B+ C- C- F B+ F
1.35 67% 100% 46% +15 +2 1.38 35% 1.0 .35 13% .57 71% .41 1.03 33% 38% 40% -5 -1 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 16% .50 69% .35
Nov
22		 Minnesota A+ D- C A+ A 38% 17% 45% B+ A A A- A C+ A+ C+ A+ A- B- A+ F C 62% 10% 28% F D+ B- A- B+ B F A+ F+
1.22 50% 38% 48% +6 0 1.15 36% 1.0 .36 17% .36 74% .27 1.03 58% 25% 45% +4 +3 1.15 28% 0.9 .25 19% .59 50% .29
Nov
27		 Colorado D+ F A+ B- B- 34% 19% 47% B- B- B- C+ B- D F+ F F C+ C A F C+ 45% 22% 33% C C+ B- B- B- F+ A+ A+ A+
1.01 39% 70% 36% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 19% .23 54% .13 1.15 62% 31% 42% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.9 .28 10% .13 63% .08
Nov
28		 Nevada C- D+ B- F D 35% 18% 48% C+ D+ A+ B- A+ F A+ A A+ F+ D+ B+ F D- 48% 31% 21% C- D- C+ A+ A- F A C- A-
1.01 50% 43% 26% -7 0 0.88 40% 1.3 .50 23% .51 80% .41 1.26 60% 31% 55% +5 -1 1.12 33% 0.8 .27 6% .30 78% .23
Dec
3		 North Alabama F F+ C+ F F 29% 14% 57% D F D- A+ C C+ C F D C- A+ D A A- 47% 29% 24% B+ A- F C F C+ C- F F+
0.97 50% 43% 25% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.4 .38 14% .29 63% .18 1.00 38% 40% 25% -12 -1 0.76 48% 1.1 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Dec
7		 Mississippi St. C+ A+ F F F+ 25% 24% 51% C+ D- B- A+ A+ A F F F A D A- B+ A 22% 35% 44% A+ A B B+ B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.05 85% 25% 15% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.7 .50 10% .18 60% .11 1.00 67% 32% 29% -4 -3 0.89 29% 0.9 .27 8% .14 25% .04
Dec
13		 Saint Louis B+ C+ A+ F+ B+ 17% 19% 64% D+ B C- A+ B- B+ B- D+ C+ C+ F+ B+ A- B 52% 12% 37% C+ B D A+ A- F+ F C+ F
1.06 56% 70% 26% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 13% .34 71% .24 1.21 70% 33% 32% +5 +2 1.15 36% 0.7 .25 13% .41 72% .29
Dec
17		 Loyola Chicago A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% C+ A+ D A C A+ A+ F A+ F F A+ A+ B+ 47% 19% 35% C+ B+ C- F F+ F F D- F
1.40 47% 71% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 7% .46 69% .32 1.17 70% 13% 20% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 8% .59 73% .43
Dec
21		 Morgan St. A A+ F F C- 42% 23% 35% F+ D+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ C+ F B- C- F+ 15% 39% 46% A+ D+ A+ F C- C- C B+ B-
1.39 83% 30% 20% +1 0 1.05 47% 1.5 .70 15% .78 69% .54 0.95 71% 33% 33% 0 -4 0.93 18% 1.5 .26 18% .34 68% .23
Dec
28		 Seattle C F C+ F F 39% 11% 50% B+ F F+ A+ A+ A+ A A A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 21% 37% C+ A+ D- A+ B F C+ F D+
0.95 28% 40% 26% -18 +1 0.70 22% 2.0 .44 14% .40 79% .31 0.84 50% 8% 19% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.5 .16 7% .27 83% .23
Dec
30		 Oregon St. D D+ A+ F F 42% 20% 38% C- F F A+ C- C A C A- C A+ F F F 33% 18% 49% C F A+ F A+ D+ A+ F B
0.98 53% 56% 12% -11 0 0.80 22% 1.4 .30 14% .41 73% .30 1.11 40% 75% 45% +9 0 1.20 5% 3.0 .14 16% .26 93% .25
Jan
2		 San Diego D- A A+ F F 35% 13% 52% C F C+ A- B+ A- F+ B D A F F A+ B 32% 29% 39% B+ B A+ A+ A+ F+ B F C+
1.04 72% 57% 15% -7 +1 0.88 35% 1.3 .44 15% .28 76% .22 0.90 72% 50% 18% -1 -1 0.96 9% 0.7 .06 14% .20 83% .16
Jan
4		 Portland C- D- F C+ F+ 33% 14% 53% C+ D- A+ F C+ B A+ F A+ C+ F F A+ D+ 32% 21% 47% B+ C- A A+ A+ A F+ D- F
1.08 50% 0% 35% -7 0 0.88 50% 0.8 .38 15% .59 62% .36 1.01 73% 60% 23% +2 -1 1.04 21% 0.7 .14 25% .38 79% .30
Jan
8		 Loyola Marymount C F+ F D- F 37% 23% 40% C+ F+ C+ A- B C- A A- A+ B- B C- C+ B+ 47% 22% 31% F+ B- A+ F B+ F A+ F A-
1.02 45% 21% 29% -11 0 0.78 33% 1.2 .40 16% .37 80% .30 1.05 53% 40% 33% -2 0 0.99 15% 1.3 .21 10% .12 100% .12
Jan
10		 Pepperdine B+ B A A A 36% 8% 57% C+ A- A+ F C+ D F F F A C A+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% A A+ C A B F F B- F
1.21 63% 50% 40% +8 +2 1.21 44% 0.8 .36 18% .18 50% .09 0.91 56% 25% 13% -16 -2 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 9% .48 72% .35
Jan
13		 St. Mary's C+ B- D+ B+ A- 31% 28% 41% D B+ D- A+ B B C- F F D- B D+ F D 40% 32% 28% A C- A+ F C- C- F F+ F
1.02 59% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.6 .29 14% .23 38% .09 1.23 53% 40% 54% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.5 .43 15% .44 88% .39
Jan
18		 Washington St. A C- C+ A+ A+ 33% 25% 42% C- A A A+ A+ F+ B+ A+ A F+ F C+ F F 47% 15% 38% D F A A+ A+ D A+ A A+
1.32 56% 42% 50% +10 -1 1.21 37% 1.4 .52 19% .34 83% .29 1.24 76% 38% 50% +17 +1 1.40 23% 0.7 .15 16% .06 67% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Gonzaga B- F F A+ A 23% 23% 53% C A C+ B+ B- D+ D F D- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 26% 30% D+ A+ A+ D- A D- F+ A+ B-
0.97 18% 27% 52% +3 -1 1.04 25% 1.0 .25 22% .25 62% .15 1.00 48% 64% 13% -7 0 0.87 24% 1.3 .31 10% .36 50% .18
Jan
28		 Santa Clara B- A+ D B- A+ 41% 22% 37% D+ A B F F C+ A F B D+ D A F D 35% 23% 42% B+ D+ A+ F B F B- D C+
1.06 79% 30% 35% +8 0 1.17 35% 0.5 .18 20% .42 65% .27 1.27 67% 36% 44% +9 -1 1.18 27% 1.3 .36 10% .21 77% .16
Jan
31		 Pacific A+ B- D A+ A 46% 18% 36% A A A- B- A- A A+ B A+ F B- A- C A- 54% 18% 28% F+ B B F F F C+ F D
1.28 61% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.1 .36 10% .43 73% .31 1.21 52% 33% 36% -3 +1 0.98 31% 2.1 .66 15% .26 93% .24
Feb
4		 Loyola Marymount C C- F D+ F 34% 23% 43% C F+ D+ C D+ A A+ A+ A+ F D A- F F+ 38% 25% 37% C- F+ D+ A+ B- F+ F F F
1.09 53% 0% 32% -12 -1 0.77 28% 1.0 .28 12% .69 88% .61 1.22 65% 31% 47% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.8 .24 15% .36 76% .27
Feb
7		 St. Mary's D- F F F F 29% 17% 54% C+ F F F F A+ B A+ A+ D+ B D+ F D+ 52% 19% 30% D- D+ B A A- F A+ A- A+
0.84 40% 22% 25% -15 0 0.71 15% 0.7 .10 9% .27 94% .26 1.23 54% 40% 50% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.9 .31 8% .14 75% .10
Feb
12		 Oregon St. D+ D+ F F F 39% 16% 45% C F B+ C- B B- C+ F+ C- F F A+ F F 37% 21% 42% C+ F F F F D F F F
1.04 53% 25% 23% -12 +1 0.80 38% 1.0 .38 13% .34 67% .23 1.48 69% 22% 56% +14 0 1.30 42% 1.9 .79 15% .52 89% .46
Feb
15		 San Diego A+ A+ F A+ A+ 44% 9% 47% B+ A+ D- F F B+ A+ B+ A+ D+ C F C+ D+ 24% 35% 41% A+ C A F F F D- F F
1.33 80% 25% 43% +15 +2 1.36 27% 0.8 .23 16% .60 77% .46 1.14 58% 50% 33% +4 -3 1.04 23% 1.9 .42 13% .30 83% .25
Feb
18		 Gonzaga D C+ C F F+ 29% 23% 48% B- D- A- D C+ B- A+ D- A- C F F B F+ 29% 43% 29% A+ D+ A+ A A+ D- A+ F A+
0.88 57% 36% 17% -13 -1 0.75 31% 0.8 .23 19% .41 64% .26 1.19 81% 54% 31% +12 -4 1.20 21% 1.0 .21 10% .13 88% .12
Feb
21		 Santa Clara D+ B+ F A+ A 30% 16% 54% D+ A- F A+ F D F A- D- D B F B- B 39% 21% 39% B- B C F F D B- F D+
0.98 67% 25% 41% +6 0 1.14 10% 1.7 .17 23% .24 79% .19 1.26 55% 58% 32% +2 0 1.05 38% 2.0 .75 13% .22 93% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 6.1 6.1 4th
5th 21.4 21.4 5th
6th 6.6 9.5 16.1 6th
7th 38.0 38.0 7th
8th 18.5 18.5 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 63.0 37.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 37.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.9
7-11 63.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.1 0.0 63.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.8 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.5 4.2 45.8 45.8 4.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.2%
Lose Out 21.3%