San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#72
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#59
Pace67.7#199
Improvement-3.0#315

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#80
First Shot+4.2#68
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#237
Layup/Dunks-2.4#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#40
Freethrows+0.6#136
Improvement-0.8#230

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#69
First Shot+3.6#72
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#131
Layups/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#36
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-2.2#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 9.5% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 3.9% 0.8%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 1.4% 3.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.6% 3.1% 0.7%
First Round4.9% 7.8% 3.1%
Second Round1.2% 2.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Home) - 37.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 23 - 35 - 10
Quad 36 - 010 - 10
Quad 411 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 276   Cal Poly W 86-78 93%     1 - 0 -0.9 -4.3 +2.3
  Nov 09, 2024 51   Boise St. W 84-73 50%     2 - 0 +18.7 +15.8 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 305   Long Beach St. W 84-54 95%     3 - 0 +19.3 +9.5 +11.6
  Nov 16, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 82-37 98%     4 - 0 +28.3 +1.4 +25.1
  Nov 21, 2024 41   Memphis L 64-68 35%     4 - 1 +7.7 -2.5 +10.2
  Nov 25, 2024 32   Clemson L 55-70 27%     4 - 2 -1.1 -4.0 +0.8
  Nov 26, 2024 191   Fordham W 85-64 80%     5 - 2 +19.6 +19.8 +1.9
  Dec 01, 2024 353   Mercyhurst W 87-59 97%     6 - 2 +12.4 +13.4 +0.9
  Dec 05, 2024 105   Saint Louis W 78-61 71%     7 - 2 +18.9 +6.6 +12.3
  Dec 15, 2024 128   Loyola Chicago W 76-66 71%     8 - 2 +11.9 +0.9 +10.4
  Dec 18, 2024 94   @ Bradley L 64-66 48%     8 - 3 +6.3 -6.5 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2024 207   Montana W 71-67 87%     9 - 3 -0.8 +0.3 -0.7
  Dec 28, 2024 136   Loyola Marymount W 70-55 79%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +14.0 +2.3 +12.5
  Dec 30, 2024 64   Santa Clara W 97-94 OT 56%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +9.0 +14.5 -5.9
  Jan 02, 2025 302   @ Pacific W 89-81 89%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +2.5 +21.7 -18.4
  Jan 04, 2025 103   @ Washington St. L 82-91 52%     12 - 4 3 - 1 -2.0 +8.1 -9.6
  Jan 09, 2025 299   Portland W 81-72 94%     13 - 4 4 - 1 -1.2 +6.6 -7.1
  Jan 11, 2025 64   @ Santa Clara L 54-77 37%     13 - 5 4 - 2 -12.0 -14.3 +2.1
  Jan 16, 2025 217   @ Pepperdine W 80-63 78%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +16.3 +9.1 +7.6
  Jan 18, 2025 76   Oregon St. W 81-70 60%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +16.0 +14.3 +2.5
  Jan 23, 2025 31   @ St. Mary's L 51-71 20%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -3.4 -5.9 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 311   San Diego W 81-69 95%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +0.9 +4.5 -3.5
  Feb 01, 2025 103   Washington St. W 75-51 71%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +26.0 +5.3 +21.6
  Feb 06, 2025 31   St. Mary's L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 136   @ Loyola Marymount W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 71-84 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 311   @ San Diego W 81-67 89%    
  Feb 20, 2025 302   Pacific W 80-62 96%    
  Feb 27, 2025 76   @ Oregon St. L 70-72 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 74-82 26%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 0.3 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 7.6 3.3 0.2 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 6.1 22.2 8.2 36.6 3rd
4th 0.0 2.0 14.6 7.9 0.1 24.6 4th
5th 0.4 7.3 10.0 0.8 18.4 5th
6th 1.5 4.1 0.4 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 2.2 13.7 31.1 32.3 15.9 4.3 0.5 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 62.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1
14-4 21.6% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.4
13-5 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.5% 57.8% 17.8% 40.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 48.6%
14-4 4.3% 26.6% 13.2% 13.4% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 3.1 15.4%
13-5 15.9% 12.6% 7.8% 4.8% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.2 13.9 5.2%
12-6 32.3% 4.8% 4.0% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 30.8 0.8%
11-7 31.1% 2.2% 1.9% 0.3% 11.3 0.5 0.2 30.4 0.3%
10-8 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 11.5 0.1 0.1 13.6
9-9 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 2.2
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 3.8 0.9 0.0 94.2 1.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 46.2% 10.3 3.8 26.9 15.4