San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.1 #100
Expected Predictive Rating +4.0 #113
Pace 65.0 #293
Improvement -1.6 #272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #113 C B+ B B- C+
Defense #92 B- B F B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #287 1.16 #178 -2.3 #264
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #268 0.84 #65 -0.9 #219
Three Pointers 49% #33 0.99 #212 +3.6 #69
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #167 +0.4 #166
Freethrows 19.7 #73 72% #210 14.1 #92
Second Chance 32.6% #125 1.21 #31 0.39 #56
Turnovers 15.0% #78
Total Offense +2.2 #113

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #178 1.11 #120 +0.7 #154
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #91 0.72 #134 -0.7 #240
Three Pointers 38% #268 0.94 #101 +3.0 #75
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #90 +3.0 #90
Freethrows 16.1 #122 71% #109 11.4 #262
Second Chance 26.8% #60 1.01 #142 0.27 #66
Turnovers 13.6% #331
Total Defense +2.8 #92

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #153 -0.7% #111
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.3% #171 -5.2% #90
Possession Length 18.4 #291 17.7 #251
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #338 0.12 #39
Improvement -2.4 #319 +0.8 #129

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.4% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.7
.500 or above 83.0% 87.4% 66.3%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 77.1% 48.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round1.2% 1.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 79.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 10
Quad 36 - 310 - 13
Quad 48 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 78 @Memphis L 70 - 76 30%  -9  0 - 1 +5 +1 B+ C+ C- +4 B+ D- C
 Wed, Nov 12 154 Portland St. W 80 - 70 78%  +12  1 - 1 +7 +10 A+ C A- -3 A F C
 Sat, Nov 15 116 Bradley W 75 - 64 67%  +2  2 - 1 +12 +5 A+ D- F +7 A+ A- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 288 Northwestern St. W 84 - 64 91%  +15  3 - 1 +10 +16 A+ C- A -3 A- D+ D+
 Sat, Nov 22 76 Minnesota W 77 - 65 40%  +6  4 - 1 +20 +17 A+ A+ B- +4 D- B+ B+
 Thu, Nov 27 77 Colorado L 69 - 79 40%  -1  4 - 2 -2 -1 B C+ F -2 B- B- F
 Fri, Nov 28 90 Nevada L 65 - 81 45%  -5  4 - 3 -10 +1 D+ A+ F -12 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 293 North Alabama L 63 - 65 92%  +4  4 - 4 -12 -9 F C C+ -3 B F B
 Sun, Dec 7 55 Mississippi St. W 65 - 62 33%  +5  5 - 4 +13 +6 D A+ A+ +7 A+ A F
 Sat, Dec 13 29 @Saint Louis L 75 - 85 13%  -1  5 - 5 +7 +10 B+ B- A -3 B- A D-
 Wed, Dec 17 251 Loyola Chicago W 85 - 71 83%  +12  6 - 5 +9 +22 A+ C A+ -11 B+ D- F
 Sun, Dec 21 362 Morgan St. W 94 - 64 98%  +13  7 - 5 +11 +15 D A+ B- -3 D- C- F
 Sun, Dec 28 120 @Seattle W 67 - 59 48%  +4  8 - 5 1 - 0 +14 +0 F A+ A+ +13 A+ B F
 Tue, Dec 30 182 @Oregon St. L 62 - 70 64%  -3  8 - 6 1 - 1 -7 -3 F C C+ -4 F A+ D-
 Fri, Jan 2 222 San Diego W 74 - 64 85%  +4  9 - 6 2 - 1 +4 -3 F C+ A+ +7 C+ A+ F
 Sun, Jan 4 238 Portland W 73 - 68 87%  -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 -2 -0 F A- B+ -2 D A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 122 @Loyola Marymount L 82 - 84 2OT 49%  -1  10 - 7 3 - 2 +3 +4 F A+ B- -0 B- A F
 Sat, Jan 10 274 @Pepperdine W 73 - 64 79% 
 Tue, Jan 13 41 St. Mary's L 67 - 71 34% 
 Sun, Jan 18 145 Washington St. W 75 - 68 75% 
 Sat, Jan 24 10 @Gonzaga L 67 - 85 5% 
 Wed, Jan 28 61 @Santa Clara L 71 - 78 26% 
 Sat, Jan 31 144 Pacific W 74 - 67 74% 
 Tue, Feb 3 122 Loyola Marymount W 72 - 66 70% 
 Sat, Feb 7 41 @St. Mary's L 64 - 74 17% 
 Thu, Feb 12 182 Oregon St. W 74 - 64 81% 
 Sun, Feb 15 222 @San Diego W 77 - 72 69% 
 Wed, Feb 18 10 Gonzaga L 70 - 82 13% 
 Sat, Feb 21 61 Santa Clara L 74 - 75 47% 
 Sat, Feb 28 144 @Pacific W 71 - 70 55% 
Totals 16 - 14 9 - 9 +5 +2 C B+ B +3 B- B F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.8 5.1 1.6 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 12.4 9.6 2.3 0.1 28.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.2 9.8 7.8 1.3 0.0 21.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 6.5 6.5 1.0 0.0 14.7 6th
7th 0.1 3.0 5.2 1.0 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.3 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.3 1.9 1.2 0.1 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.8 8.5 15.4 21.0 22.2 15.9 8.1 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 23.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 5.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.7% 9.0% 6.3% 2.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0%
13-5 3.0% 6.0% 4.8% 1.2% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.8 1.2%
12-6 8.1% 3.0% 2.8% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 7.9 0.1%
11-7 15.9% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 11.4 0.2 0.1 15.6 0.0%
10-8 22.2% 1.1% 1.1% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 22.0
9-9 21.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 20.9
8-10 15.4% 0.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 15.4
7-11 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
6-12 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 11.3 98.7 0.1%