Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.0 191
Results Rating -2.0 199
Pace 63.2 325
Improvement -1.1 224

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 174 C C- C C- D
Defense C- 220 C- C+ C- C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 212 C+ 59% 143 -0.1 182
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 69 A- 46% 22 +5.6 9
Three Pointers 33% 327 D- 29% 338 -6.2 345
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 320 C +0.4 161
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 196
Second Chance C 29.7% 204 D+ 0.97 262 C- 0.29 226
Turnovers C 16.8% 173
Freethrows D+ 0.28 254 B- 75% 111 C- 0.21 211
Total Offense C -0.4 174

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 73 D 13.2% 310
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 329 C+ 4.7% 157
Three Pointers A- 94% 13 B+ 0.1% 14
Total D+ 51% 275 D+ 6.4% 268

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 236 C- 59% 202 -0.6 153
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 109 C- 39% 234 +1.0 267
Three Pointers 41% 185 C- 35% 249 +0.8 222
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 106 C- +1.4 236
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 220
Second Chance C- 31.9% 246 B- 0.95 65 C+ 0.30 163
Turnovers C- 16.4% 205
Freethrows C+ 0.28 122 C+ 71% 123 C+ 0.20 109
Total Defense C- -1.6 220

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 70 D+ 8.6% 271
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 203 D+ 3.3% 277
Three Pointers C+ 81% 104 C+ 1.2% 108
Total B- 52% 105 D+ 4.4% 277

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 318 17.6 245
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 357 0.12 44
Improvement +3.3 #45 -4.4 #347

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 221 193 164
Results Rating Rank 230 198 129
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 14 - 6
Conference Finish 5 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17% 18% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round16% 18% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 52 - 6
Quad 419 - 621 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 354 Bryant W 82 - 66 92% +10  99% 1 - 0 C -1 C+ +2 F+ A+ B+ C- -3 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 267 @Brown W 62 - 46 54% +12  92% 2 - 0 B+ +13 D- -8 F C- D- A+ +21 A+ A+ B+
 Wed, Nov 12 142 @St. Bonaventure L 66 - 75 28% -3  29% 2 - 1 D+ -5 D+ -4 F A+ F C- -2 B- F B-
 Mon, Nov 17 244 Colgate L 69 - 72 70% -0  40% 2 - 2 D -10 D -5 D B C- D -6 D C C-
 Fri, Nov 21 316 Albany W 73 - 63 84% +8  98% 3 - 2 C- -2 C+ +2 C C F+ C- -3 F A+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 327 @Holy Cross W 73 - 69 71% +1  56% 4 - 2 C- -4 C- -1 B+ F C C- -2 F A B
 Fri, Nov 28 262 Longwood W 70 - 63 64% +3  65% 5 - 2 C +1 D -5 B- F+ C- B+ +6 B D- A+
 Sat, Nov 29 253 @American W 59 - 55 50% +1  66% 6 - 2 C+ +2 F -16 F F F A+ +18 A+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 343 Maine W 64 - 60 84% +8  98% 7 - 2 D -8 D+ -2 C F B- D -5 F+ D- D
 Fri, Dec 5 336 Niagara W 83 - 54 88% +22  96% 8 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +14 B +7 B+ C B- A +10 A+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 7 344 Canisius W 74 - 52 89% +14  87% 9 - 2 2 - 0 B- +7 C +0 C- F A+ A- +8 A C+ B
 Wed, Dec 17 229 @Vermont L 69 - 83 45% -12  3% 9 - 3 F+ -15 D- -7 F D- C D- -8 D- D- F
 Mon, Dec 22 38 @Indiana L 60 - 81 5% -18  0% 9 - 4 C- -4 D- -8 F C- B+ B- +3 B- A+ A
 Fri, Jan 2 249 @Iona L 72 - 75 50% -4  10% 9 - 5 2 - 1 D+ -5 D -5 D- F+ A- C +0 F A+ A
 Sun, Jan 4 356 @Rider W 74 - 65 83% +7  80% 10 - 5 3 - 1 C- -3 B- +5 D- A+ F D- -7 F+ B+ F
 Fri, Jan 9 160 Merrimack L 59 - 63 54% -9  3% 10 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 C C+ C+ F+ -9 D- C- D-
 Sun, Jan 11 284 @Mount St. Mary's W 67 - 50 58% +5  95% 11 - 6 4 - 2 B+ +13 C +1 C D C+ A+ +14 A+ C- B-
 Wed, Jan 14 286 Sacred Heart L 80 - 86 79% -4  2% 11 - 7 4 - 3 F+ -16 C -0 F+ C A+ F -17 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 319 @Manhattan W 74 - 59 69% +12  98% 12 - 7 5 - 3 B- +8 C +1 A+ F F A +9 B+ B+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 264 Fairfield W 85 - 77 75% +8  88% 13 - 7 6 - 3 C -1 A- +11 A+ D- F F -11 D F D+
 Thu, Jan 22 181 Marist W 69 - 50 59% +4  74% 14 - 7 7 - 3 A- +15 B +7 D+ A+ A+ A +11 B A+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 336 @Niagara W 82 - 79 74% +3  72% 15 - 7 8 - 3 D+ -6 A +12 A+ C- C- F -17 F F D-
 Sun, Feb 1 344 @Canisius W 78 - 63 76% +8  74% 16 - 7 9 - 3 B- +6 A +14 A A- C D -6 F+ D+ A-
 Thu, Feb 5 249 Iona W 79 - 72 72% -3  25% 17 - 7 10 - 3 C -1 B +6 B B+ D D -6 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 235 @St. Peter's L 65 - 70 46% -3  11% 17 - 8 10 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 D- F A C+ +1 F D- B
 Fri, Feb 13 192 Quinnipiac L 62 - 74 62% -6  3% 17 - 9 10 - 5 F+ -17 F -10 F C- B D- -8 D+ C F
 Sun, Feb 15 181 @Marist W 67 - 63 36% +8  88% 18 - 9 11 - 5 B- +6 C+ +2 A F D+ B +4 A B+ F
 Fri, Feb 20 160 @Merrimack L 72 - 79 OT 32% +1  53% 18 - 10 11 - 6 C- -4 B +7 B+ C- C F -12 D F+ D-
 Sun, Feb 22 235 St. Peter's W 70 - 65 68%
 Fri, Feb 27 264 @Fairfield W 73 - 72 53%
 Sun, Mar 1 356 Rider W 77 - 61 93%
Totals 20 - 11 13 - 7 -2 C +0 B- C D C- -2 D- B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ A- D- C 38% 48% 33% D C C D+ C- C D+ B- C- C- C- C- C- C- 37% 22% 41% C+ C- C- B- C+ C- C+ C+ C+
1.08 59% 46% 29% 0 -1 1.01 30% 1.0 .29 17% .28 75% .21 1.11 59% 39% 35% +1 0 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 16% .28 71% .20
Nov
3		 Bryant C+ B- F F F 58% 20% 22% C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B- C+ B C- B A+ F F 45% 14% 41% D+ F F B+ F A+ C A+ B-
1.23 62% 10% 27% -6 +1 0.94 47% 1.3 .61 11% .34 75% .25 0.99 50% 17% 50% +3 +1 1.11 44% 0.9 .38 30% .26 67% .17
Nov
7		 Brown D- B D- F F+ 40% 36% 23% F+ F A- F C- D- A F+ B A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C+ A+ C A+ A+ B+ B+ F B-
0.93 63% 35% 9% -8 -2 0.83 38% 0.7 .28 21% .42 68% .29 0.69 47% 22% 17% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.4 .12 24% .20 80% .16
Nov
12		 St. Bonaventure D+ F A+ F F 34% 39% 27% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ C- A+ C- A F D B- 51% 32% 17% C B- F F F B- C- A+ C+
1.03 27% 53% 25% -9 -3 0.80 45% 1.2 .55 22% .48 75% .36 1.17 46% 60% 38% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .57 19% .29 67% .19
Nov
17		 Colgate D D+ A+ F D+ 36% 32% 32% F+ D B+ C B C- C+ A+ B+ D D+ F B+ D+ 55% 23% 21% F D B+ F C C- D D D-
1.07 56% 50% 25% -1 -2 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 16% .33 83% .28 1.12 62% 55% 30% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.2 .26 16% .31 76% .24
Nov
21		 Albany C+ C+ B C- C+ 54% 26% 20% C C B- D C F+ A A+ A+ C- D D- F F 46% 32% 22% B+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ D-
1.21 60% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 18% .40 90% .36 1.04 63% 46% 56% +12 -1 1.24 20% 0.6 .12 18% .36 56% .20
Nov
24		 Holy Cross C- A A+ F B+ 55% 25% 20% C B+ F F+ F C F B+ F C- F F B- F 38% 24% 38% D F A A+ A B A B+ A
1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12 1.06 74% 58% 32% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13
Nov
28		 Longwood D A+ A+ D+ B+ 33% 20% 48% D B- F B- F+ C- B+ F C- B+ D A- A B 30% 30% 40% A- B D+ D- D- A+ C- F D
1.04 80% 56% 32% +9 0 1.20 17% 1.0 .17 19% .40 59% .24 0.93 64% 29% 26% -6 -2 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 28% .33 81% .27
Nov
29		 American F F A+ F F+ 37% 39% 24% F F B- F F F A+ F A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 39% 32% 29% A+ A+ C+ C+ C+ A+ F C F
0.85 43% 53% 22% -4 -3 0.89 35% 0.5 .18 29% .70 60% .42 0.79 56% 23% 17% -13 -1 0.73 24% 0.9 .21 27% .41 76% .31
Nov
30		 Maine D+ A B+ F B- 37% 39% 24% F C D F F B- A+ D+ A+ D C B F F 33% 29% 38% A- F+ D- D D- D C+ A+ A
1.06 73% 44% 20% +3 -3 1.02 33% 0.7 .22 17% .48 67% .32 1.00 57% 33% 44% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.1 .27 18% .30 47% .14
Dec
5		 Niagara B B- A A+ A- 37% 23% 40% C- B+ C- C+ C B- D- F+ F+ A A F A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% F+ A+ B+ C- B- F B A+ A
1.27 63% 50% 43% +10 0 1.21 32% 1.1 .36 14% .25 71% .18 0.83 44% 50% 19% -14 +2 0.78 17% 0.9 .15 11% .19 55% .10
Dec
7		 Canisius C A+ F C- C 27% 15% 58% C- C- D F F A+ C F D A- A+ C A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% F+ A D B+ C+ B F D F
1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19 0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28
Dec
17		 Vermont D- F B- D+ F+ 31% 39% 31% F F C F D- C F A+ F+ D- F F B+ D- 40% 15% 45% D+ D- B F D- F D F+ F+
0.99 44% 39% 33% -4 -3 0.88 27% 0.7 .20 13% .21 85% .18 1.19 76% 50% 29% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 11% .32 80% .26
Dec
22		 Indiana D- F C- F F 37% 29% 35% C F D+ C C- B+ A+ F+ A+ B- C A+ D- B- 36% 13% 51% B B- D+ A+ A+ A F F F
0.87 39% 36% 18% -16 -1 0.67 24% 1.1 .26 13% .47 68% .32 1.18 63% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.13 32% 0.6 .18 19% .54 87% .47
Jan
2		 Iona D F B- D+ F+ 47% 20% 32% C+ D- F C+ F+ A- F A+ C- C F D- F F 32% 17% 51% C+ F B A+ A+ A B- A B
1.00 46% 42% 32% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.0 .23 13% .18 100% .18 1.05 76% 44% 41% +12 0 1.26 21% 0.2 .04 22% .23 62% .14
Jan
4		 Rider B- F A+ A+ F 66% 12% 22% B+ D- A+ C A+ F A+ B A+ D- D- F A+ F+ 36% 28% 36% D+ F+ C A+ B+ F C+ F D+
1.24 44% 60% 44% -3 +3 1.02 55% 1.0 .55 18% .45 73% .33 1.09 61% 64% 17% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.6 .20 12% .25 85% .21
Jan
9		 Merrimack C B+ B- F C+ 30% 33% 37% F C A+ F C+ C+ F A- F F+ A A+ F D 48% 9% 43% D- D- F A C- D- A- C+ A-
1.09 62% 43% 25% -2 -2 0.93 55% 0.8 .42 18% .20 78% .16 1.16 43% 25% 47% 0 +2 1.07 32% 0.8 .26 13% .28 77% .21
Jan
11		 Mount St. Mary's C A- B+ F C+ 33% 24% 42% D+ C C+ F D C+ B D C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 31% 14% 55% B A+ F A- C- B- F D+ F
1.09 67% 45% 26% 0 -1 1.00 31% 0.7 .23 13% .37 70% .26 0.81 46% 17% 22% -17 0 0.69 37% 0.9 .32 24% .43 70% .30
Jan
14		 Sacred Heart C B+ C F F+ 33% 22% 45% D- F+ C- B- C A+ F A+ D- F A+ F+ C B+ 27% 24% 49% B+ B+ F+ F F F A- F C+
1.19 70% 38% 26% -1 0 0.98 30% 1.2 .35 4% .16 90% .14 1.27 31% 43% 34% -6 -1 0.88 32% 1.6 .51 7% .21 100% .21
Jan
17		 Manhattan C C- B A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D+ A+ D F F F F F F A A F A+ B+ 31% 19% 50% C B+ B- A B+ D- A- A+ A+
1.18 59% 45% 57% +17 0 1.35 32% 0.8 .25 19% .06 33% .02 0.94 44% 60% 23% -8 0 0.85 24% 0.9 .22 13% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Fairfield A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 35% 30% F A+ D- D+ D- F A A+ A+ F F B- A F+ 28% 28% 44% A- D B+ F F D+ C+ F D+
1.32 94% 56% 50% +26 -2 1.50 25% 1.0 .25 20% .37 84% .31 1.19 86% 36% 27% +3 -2 1.04 28% 1.8 .48 14% .23 85% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Marist B F+ C- A+ C+ 26% 53% 21% F D+ C- A+ A+ A+ F A+ B- A A+ C B- B 31% 29% 39% B- B A+ A+ A+ F A+ C- A+
1.14 50% 36% 40% -1 -5 0.89 28% 2.0 .55 13% .27 100% .27 0.83 44% 40% 30% -6 -2 0.86 9% 0.7 .06 13% .10 80% .08
Jan
30		 Niagara A A+ A+ C- A+ 26% 38% 36% F A+ F A+ C- C- A+ A+ A+ F C F F F 33% 16% 51% B F D F F D- C- A+ B
1.30 91% 63% 33% +18 -3 1.31 20% 1.8 .35 16% .43 87% .38 1.25 56% 50% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 16% .25 54% .13
Feb
1		 Canisius A A+ A B A+ 38% 24% 38% D+ A B+ B- A- C A+ D A D A+ A F F 9% 33% 58% A+ F+ F A+ D+ A- B+ C B+
1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30 1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15
Feb
5		 Iona B A A+ F B+ 43% 25% 31% D+ B B B+ B+ D D- A+ C D F A+ F F 27% 19% 54% B F D- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 73% 62% 19% +5 0 1.12 39% 1.1 .43 18% .20 91% .18 1.09 71% 20% 50% +13 -1 1.27 29% 0.4 .12 18% .07 50% .04
Feb
7		 St. Peter's D- C+ A F D- 44% 22% 34% C- D- F D+ F A D C+ D+ C+ F D A F 28% 35% 38% A+ F D D D- B F A+ F
0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28 1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41
Feb
13		 Quinnipiac F F C- F F 47% 24% 29% C F D B C- B C A+ B+ D- A+ D F D+ 30% 20% 50% C D+ C- C+ C F F+ A+ C
0.93 38% 33% 27% -14 0 0.75 28% 1.1 .31 15% .28 88% .25 1.11 40% 40% 40% -1 -1 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 10% .35 57% .20
Feb
15		 Marist C+ A- A+ F A+ 42% 36% 22% D A F F F D+ D+ D- D B B- A A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% C+ A D A+ B+ F F A- F
1.03 68% 63% 20% +8 -2 1.16 19% 0.8 .15 20% .33 65% .21 0.97 53% 29% 21% -12 -1 0.76 30% 0.8 .23 11% .38 73% .27
Feb
20		 Merrimack B C- A+ C- A- 38% 23% 40% C- B+ D+ C C- C A+ A A+ F A+ B F D- 40% 13% 48% C D F C F+ D- F F F
1.14 53% 67% 31% +3 0 1.08 38% 1.0 .38 19% .47 79% .37 1.25 37% 33% 48% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 13% .47 100% .47



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 14.6 34.9 49.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 23.1 24.4 3rd
4th 0.1 8.3 8.5 16.8 4th
5th 0.8 8.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.3 0.3 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 1.2 17.7 46.2 34.9 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 34.9% 21.2% 21.2% 14.4 0.0 0.4 3.7 3.2 0.1 27.5
13-7 46.2% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1 0.0 0.9 4.5 1.6 39.2
12-8 17.7% 11.7% 11.7% 15.4 0.1 0.9 1.0 15.6
11-9 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.1
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 14.8 83.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.4% 100.0% 14.4 0.0 5.0 50.0 43.5 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.0%
Lose Out 0.3%