Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.0 #143
Expected Predictive Rating +2.0 #139
Pace 66.0 #271
Improvement +0.4 #154

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #94 B- D A A+ C+
Defense #248 D+ B- D- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #85 1.16 #169 +2.2 #108
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #178 0.78 #143 +0.1 #171
Three Pointers 38% #258 1.14 #33 +0.7 #154
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #96 +3.0 #97
Freethrows 22.1 #13 74% #129 16.5 #16
Second Chance 26.7% #289 0.96 #270 0.26 #299
Turnovers 13.1% #17
Total Offense +3.3 #94

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #152 1.18 #208 -1.2 #225
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #119 0.86 #314 -1.8 #306
Three Pointers 38% #263 1.05 #234 +0.8 #152
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #252 -2.3 #255
Freethrows 16.8 #160 70% #88 11.7 #217
Second Chance 29.7% #137 0.95 #68 0.28 #89
Turnovers 14.2% #317
Total Defense -2.3 #248

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #148 -0.2% #150
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.3% #102 4.7% #268
Possession Length 18.3 #281 17.2 #182
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #189 0.15 #93
Improvement -2.6 #325 +3.0 #31

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.8% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.0
.500 or above 86.4% 95.2% 84.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.2% 93.3% 79.7%
Conference Champion 9.8% 23.2% 6.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.7% 5.8% 3.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 18.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 36 - 67 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 352 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 93%  +9  1 - 0 +2 +12 A D+ A+ -9 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 217 La Salle W 90 - 63 75%  +16  2 - 0 +21 +19 A+ B A+ +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Nov 15 151 Boston College L 71 - 76 65%  -5  2 - 1 -8 +1 D- C+ A+ -9 D+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 109 Hofstra W 81 - 76 48%  +1  3 - 1 +6 +9 A+ F C -2 C- A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 24 108 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 37%  -9  3 - 2 -11 +6 D B A+ -17 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 242 Princeton W 79 - 75 70%  -1  4 - 2 -1 +9 A+ F C- -10 F C+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 141 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 50%  -7  4 - 3 -14 +5 C F A+ -19 F B+ F
 Mon, Dec 1 31 @Villanova L 56 - 74 7%  -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 C- D B -7 B- B C
 Sat, Dec 6 185 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 60%  -2  4 - 5 -3 +4 C+ F D -7 C D- B
 Sun, Dec 14 361 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 96%  +17  5 - 5 +9 +14 A+ F A+ -5 D+ D- D+
 Thu, Dec 18 125 @Davidson W 68 - 63 35%  +6  6 - 5 +10 +8 C- F A+ +3 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 242 Princeton W 65 - 61 79%  +3  7 - 5 -4 +1 C D B -4 C+ C+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 166 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 45%  +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +5 +5 A- F C +1 B- A- C
 Sat, Jan 3 315 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 89%  +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +7 +4 C- A- C+ +4 B+ C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 266 East Carolina W 75 - 67 83%  +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -1 +6 F A- A- -6 F C+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 78 @Memphis L 69 - 79 18% 
 Sun, Jan 18 106 Florida Atlantic L 76 - 77 49% 
 Wed, Jan 21 245 @Rice W 74 - 71 60% 
 Sat, Jan 24 315 @Texas San Antonio W 78 - 71 75% 
 Wed, Jan 28 166 Charlotte W 75 - 70 67% 
 Sat, Jan 31 89 South Florida L 79 - 82 41% 
 Sat, Feb 7 266 @East Carolina W 76 - 72 65% 
 Wed, Feb 11 176 @Tulane L 74 - 75 47% 
 Sun, Feb 15 133 North Texas W 67 - 65 59% 
 Wed, Feb 18 113 UAB W 78 - 77 51% 
 Sat, Feb 21 104 @Wichita St. L 70 - 77 27% 
 Wed, Feb 25 106 @Florida Atlantic L 74 - 80 27% 
 Sun, Mar 1 245 Rice W 77 - 68 79% 
 Thu, Mar 5 176 Tulane W 77 - 72 68% 
 Sun, Mar 8 81 @Tulsa L 73 - 82 20% 
Totals 18 - 12 11 - 7 +1 +3 B- D A -2 D+ B- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.6 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.9 5.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.6 6.5 1.9 0.1 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.7 7.7 2.4 0.1 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 6.6 3.7 0.2 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.3 4.1 5.6 0.6 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.8 1.7 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 2.8 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 0.3 2.1 2.8 0.4 5.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.2 9.5 14.3 17.0 17.3 14.8 10.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 87.3% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 63.2% 3.6    1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 26.0% 2.6    0.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.1% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 4.7 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 18.5% 18.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 16.0% 16.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.3% 10.3% 10.3% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-4 5.6% 8.9% 8.9% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.1
13-5 10.0% 6.8% 6.8% 12.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.3
12-6 14.8% 6.2% 6.2% 13.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 13.9
11-7 17.3% 3.9% 3.9% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 16.6
10-8 17.0% 1.8% 1.8% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.7
9-9 14.3% 1.1% 1.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.1
8-10 9.5% 0.8% 0.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 9.4
7-11 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 5.2
6-12 2.3% 2.3
5-13 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 12.9 96.3 0.0%