Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.0 #143
Expected Predictive Rating +1.8 #132
Pace 64.9 #283
Improvement -0.1 #191

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #118 C C- B+ A C
Defense #199 C C D+ C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #123 1.15 #180 +1.2 #134
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #160 0.79 #126 +0.6 #145
Three Pointers 38% #244 1.03 #163 -1.2 #227
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #155 +0.6 #154
Freethrows 0.37 #11 77% #44 0.29 #5
Second Chance 28.4% #248 1.01 #202 0.29 #238
Turnovers 13.6% #28
Total Offense +1.9 #118

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #110 1.17 #195 -1.8 #239
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #120 0.79 #246 -1.0 #265
Three Pointers 37% #296 0.99 #132 +2.8 #73
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #181 +0.0 #182
Freethrows 0.28 #123 72% #176 0.20 #128
Second Chance 29.5% #132 1.03 #188 0.30 #153
Turnovers 15.3% #263
Total Defense -0.9 #199

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.1% #185 0.0% #171
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.0% #159 0.0% #187
Possession Length 18.6 #307 17.5 #232
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #196 0.14 #79
Improvement -4.5 #350 +4.3 #15

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.2
.500 or above 93.3% 97.4% 86.7%
.500 or above in Conference 89.8% 95.6% 80.5%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.5% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.4% 4.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 61.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 33 - 5
Quad 34 - 77 - 12
Quad 411 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 353 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 94% +9  1 - 0 +1 +12 B+ C- A+ -9 F A A
 Tue, Nov 11 214 La Salle W 90 - 63 75% +16  2 - 0 +21 +20 A- B+ A+ +3 A B- D
 Sat, Nov 15 127 Boston College L 71 - 76 58% -5  2 - 1 -6 +3 D B- A+ -9 C+ D- F+
 Wed, Nov 19 126 Hofstra W 81 - 76 57% +1  3 - 1 +4 +7 A+ F D+ -3 D+ A+ D+
 Mon, Nov 24 138 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 49% -9  3 - 2 -14 +7 C- B A+ -21 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 213 Princeton W 79 - 75 66% -1  4 - 2 +1 +9 A+ F D+ -8 F B- D-
 Wed, Nov 26 119 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 43% -7  4 - 3 -12 +6 C D A+ -18 F B- F
 Mon, Dec 1 32 @Villanova L 56 - 74 7% -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 D+ D+ B+ -7 B- B- C
 Sat, Dec 6 132 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 47% -2  4 - 5 +1 +7 B- D D+ -7 B- D- C+
 Sun, Dec 14 357 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 95% +17  5 - 5 +11 +15 A+ F A -4 C- D- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 117 @Davidson W 68 - 63 31% +6  6 - 5 +11 +8 C- F A+ +4 A+ D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 213 Princeton W 65 - 61 75% +3  7 - 5 -2 +1 C+ D B- -2 B- B- D
 Tue, Dec 30 157 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 43% +5  8 - 5 1 - 0 +6 +4 A- D- C +2 A- C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 342 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 92% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +4 +1 F+ A C +4 B+ C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 247 East Carolina W 75 - 67 80% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 +0 +6 F+ A B+ -6 F B- C
 Wed, Jan 14 96 @Memphis L 53 - 55 24% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 +6 -7 F C- C- +14 A+ A D
 Sun, Jan 18 109 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 52% +2  10 - 7 3 - 2 -5 -8 D- C- D+ +3 A+ D D
 Wed, Jan 21 233 @Rice W 69 - 65 58% +0  11 - 7 4 - 2 +3 +4 D- B- A+ -0 C D+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 342 @Texas San Antonio W 70 - 64 82% +0  12 - 7 5 - 2 -3 +2 C- D- B- -4 D+ D- C
 Wed, Jan 28 157 Charlotte L 76 - 80 OT 66% +2  12 - 8 5 - 3 -7 +14 C A- A -22 D F F
 Sat, Jan 31 70 South Florida W 79 - 78 35% +3  13 - 8 6 - 3 +6 +6 C- A+ B -0 C C- A+
 Sat, Feb 7 247 @East Carolina W 73 - 70 61%
 Wed, Feb 11 171 @Tulane L 72 - 73 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 147 North Texas W 67 - 64 62%
 Wed, Feb 18 120 UAB W 76 - 75 54%
 Sat, Feb 21 99 @Wichita St. L 68 - 75 26%
 Wed, Feb 25 109 @Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 30%
 Sun, Mar 1 233 Rice W 77 - 69 78%
 Thu, Mar 5 171 Tulane W 75 - 70 68%
 Sun, Mar 8 69 @Tulsa L 73 - 83 17%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 +2 C C- B+ -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.8 2.4 1.2 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.7 5.9 3.7 0.4 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 6.6 7.3 0.7 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 11.1 1.5 15.1 4th
5th 0.4 8.5 4.8 0.1 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 3.1 10.0 0.7 13.7 6th
7th 0.5 7.2 3.3 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 5.4 0.4 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 0.9 5.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 0.8 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.3 2.2 7.8 16.9 24.7 23.9 15.7 6.8 1.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 76.0% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1
13-5 35.4% 2.4    0.4 1.1 0.8 0.1
12-6 5.2% 0.8    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 1.2 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 10.3% 10.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.6% 10.5% 10.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.4
12-6 15.7% 5.5% 5.5% 12.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 14.9
11-7 23.9% 4.4% 4.4% 13.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 22.8
10-8 24.7% 2.3% 2.3% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 24.2
9-9 16.9% 1.3% 1.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.7
8-10 7.8% 1.0% 1.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
7-11 2.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 2.2
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 12.9 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%