Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#124
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#133
Pace70.0#150
Improvement-0.4#206

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#156
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#125
Layup/Dunks-0.7#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#334
Freethrows+3.2#32
Improvement-2.6#338

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#118
First Shot+6.0#24
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#363
Layups/Dunks+2.2#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#140
Freethrows+1.3#88
Improvement+2.2#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 4.5% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.5 13.0
.500 or above 71.4% 73.2% 48.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.0% 65.9% 53.7%
Conference Champion 4.3% 4.4% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 3.1% 5.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.4% 4.5% 2.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 92.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 52 - 7
Quad 37 - 69 - 13
Quad 49 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 81-70 88%     1 - 0 +0.8 -2.2 +2.3
  Nov 08, 2024 261   Monmouth W 103-74 77%     2 - 0 +23.6 +21.9 +0.3
  Nov 12, 2024 154   Drexel W 69-61 69%     3 - 0 +5.1 +1.7 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2024 167   @ Boston College L 69-72 49%     3 - 1 -0.4 +2.4 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2024 70   Florida St. L 69-78 30%     3 - 2 -1.2 -3.1 +2.5
  Nov 23, 2024 203   Massachusetts W 87-80 66%     4 - 2 +5.1 +9.9 -5.1
  Nov 30, 2024 165   @ La Salle L 75-83 49%     4 - 3 -5.4 -4.6 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2024 52   Villanova L 65-94 22%     4 - 4 -18.6 -0.4 -21.3
  Dec 15, 2024 149   @ Hofstra W 60-42 46%     5 - 4 +21.3 -3.5 +26.2
  Dec 18, 2024 122   Davidson W 62-61 61%     6 - 4 +0.5 -5.2 +5.9
  Dec 21, 2024 93   Rhode Island L 79-85 38%     6 - 5 -0.5 +3.9 -4.0
  Dec 29, 2024 330   Buffalo W 81-66 93%    
  Jan 03, 2025 101   Wichita St. W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 08, 2025 182   @ East Carolina W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 186   @ Rice W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 16, 2025 44   Memphis L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 19, 2025 202   Tulane W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 22, 2025 85   @ North Texas L 60-67 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 226   @ Texas San Antonio W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 193   Charlotte W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 182   East Carolina W 72-66 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 169   @ South Florida L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 09, 2025 44   @ Memphis L 71-83 14%    
  Feb 12, 2025 239   Tulsa W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 16, 2025 88   Florida Atlantic L 79-80 46%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   @ Charlotte W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 23, 2025 127   @ UAB L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 169   South Florida W 76-70 70%    
  Mar 04, 2025 239   @ Tulsa W 75-71 63%    
  Mar 09, 2025 85   North Texas L 63-64 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.2 6.3 2.9 0.3 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 6.0 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.8 1.2 0.1 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.8 0.2 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.5 9.6 12.4 14.4 14.7 13.2 9.8 6.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.9% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 39.7% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 11.1% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 27.5% 27.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 21.0% 21.0% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.7% 18.8% 18.8% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.8% 13.5% 13.5% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.3
13-5 6.7% 11.6% 11.6% 12.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.9
12-6 9.8% 7.9% 7.9% 12.4 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.1
11-7 13.2% 5.8% 5.8% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4
10-8 14.7% 3.3% 3.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 14.2
9-9 14.4% 1.9% 1.9% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.1
8-10 12.4% 1.4% 1.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.2
7-11 9.6% 1.0% 1.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.5
6-12 6.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 3.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 95.6 0.0%