Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#157
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#150
Pace70.9#100
Improvement-3.1#303

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#100
First Shot+1.9#115
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#125
Layup/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#322
Freethrows+4.2#10
Improvement+1.4#115

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#252
First Shot+2.6#89
After Offensive Rebounds-5.3#364
Layups/Dunks+0.8#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#217
Freethrows+1.1#103
Improvement-4.5#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.5 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 13
Quad 410 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 261   Sacred Heart W 81-70 79%     1 - 0 +2.8 -2.2 +4.4
  Nov 08, 2024 249   Monmouth W 103-74 69%     2 - 0 +24.2 +21.6 +1.2
  Nov 12, 2024 181   Drexel W 69-61 66%     3 - 0 +3.9 +1.7 +3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 168   @ Boston College L 69-72 42%     3 - 1 -0.8 +2.9 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 85   Florida St. L 69-78 28%     3 - 2 -2.6 -2.5 +0.4
  Nov 23, 2024 196   Massachusetts W 87-80 59%     4 - 2 +5.0 +10.6 -5.9
  Nov 30, 2024 216   @ La Salle L 75-83 52%     4 - 3 -8.3 -5.8 -1.6
  Dec 07, 2024 44   Villanova L 65-94 15%     4 - 4 -17.5 +2.5 -23.2
  Dec 15, 2024 217   @ Hofstra W 60-42 52%     5 - 4 +17.7 -3.6 +22.8
  Dec 18, 2024 140   Davidson W 62-61 57%     6 - 4 -0.6 -5.5 +5.0
  Dec 21, 2024 151   Rhode Island L 79-85 49%     6 - 5 -5.5 +0.8 -5.9
  Dec 29, 2024 346   Buffalo W 91-71 92%     7 - 5 +4.8 +1.2 +1.3
  Jan 03, 2025 127   Wichita St. W 91-85 54%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +5.3 +10.5 -5.8
  Jan 08, 2025 164   @ East Carolina L 79-80 41%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +1.6 +5.1 -3.5
  Jan 11, 2025 192   @ Rice W 73-70 47%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +3.9 -2.4 +6.2
  Jan 16, 2025 50   Memphis W 88-81 22%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +15.3 +16.9 -1.9
  Jan 19, 2025 141   Tulane W 80-77 58%     11 - 6 4 - 1 +1.3 +11.9 -10.3
  Jan 22, 2025 79   @ North Texas L 67-76 18%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +1.0 +5.2 -4.8
  Jan 25, 2025 182   @ Texas San Antonio L 79-88 46%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -7.6 +1.4 -8.5
  Jan 29, 2025 242   Charlotte W 90-89 2OT 76%     12 - 8 5 - 3 -6.1 -2.9 -3.4
  Feb 01, 2025 164   East Carolina W 98-94 OT 62%     13 - 8 6 - 3 +1.1 +12.3 -11.7
  Feb 06, 2025 189   @ South Florida L 91-100 2OT 46%     13 - 9 6 - 4 -7.8 +4.3 -10.5
  Feb 09, 2025 50   @ Memphis L 82-90 11%     13 - 10 6 - 5 +5.8 +15.6 -9.6
  Feb 12, 2025 250   Tulsa L 74-80 77%     13 - 11 6 - 6 -13.6 +1.9 -15.8
  Feb 16, 2025 107   Florida Atlantic L 81-83 47%     13 - 12 6 - 7 -0.9 +5.4 -6.3
  Feb 19, 2025 242   @ Charlotte L 72-78 OT 57%     13 - 13 6 - 8 -7.6 -2.8 -4.7
  Feb 23, 2025 109   @ UAB L 64-80 27%     13 - 14 6 - 9 -9.5 -6.0 -4.8
  Feb 26, 2025 189   South Florida W 73-71 67%     14 - 14 7 - 9 -2.3 +8.8 -10.9
  Mar 04, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 81-77 59%     15 - 14 8 - 9 +1.9 +14.4 -12.2
  Mar 09, 2025 79   North Texas W 66-61 34%     16 - 14 9 - 9 +9.5 +7.8 +2.5
  Mar 13, 2025 250   Tulsa W 77-72 69%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 1.4% 1.4% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 98.6
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 13.5 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 13.5 5.8 40.6 50.7 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.3%
Lose Out 31.1%