Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#103
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#124
Pace71.1#115
Improvement+0.7#134

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+2.3#115
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks+3.0#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#108
Freethrows+0.8#133
Improvement+1.0#100

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#85
First Shot+4.2#64
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#253
Layups/Dunks+1.0#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#92
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement-0.3#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 7.1% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.5 11.8
.500 or above 88.6% 90.9% 74.0%
.500 or above in Conference 85.8% 86.9% 78.6%
Conference Champion 12.5% 13.1% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 1.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round6.5% 6.9% 4.2%
Second Round1.6% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 86.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 37 - 512 - 11
Quad 48 - 220 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 301   Navy W 70-63 92%     1 - 0 -3.5 -10.9 +7.2
  Nov 08, 2024 222   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 85%     1 - 1 -12.2 -4.7 -7.6
  Nov 12, 2024 48   Villanova W 83-76 40%     2 - 1 +14.5 +5.0 +9.0
  Nov 15, 2024 284   @ Penn W 86-69 79%     3 - 1 +13.4 +16.3 -1.7
  Nov 21, 2024 25   Texas Tech W 78-77 20%     4 - 1 +14.8 +10.7 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 33   Texas L 58-67 24%     4 - 2 +3.3 -6.5 +9.6
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 83-54 98%     5 - 2 +7.9 +5.7 +3.1
  Dec 03, 2024 119   Princeton L 69-77 69%     5 - 3 -8.2 -6.7 -1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 155   La Salle W 82-68 67%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +14.3 +10.6 +3.8
  Dec 10, 2024 122   College of Charleston L 75-78 70%     6 - 4 -3.5 -3.2 -0.1
  Dec 18, 2024 237   American W 74-62 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 125   Virginia Tech W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 28, 2024 341   Delaware St. W 82-63 96%    
  Dec 31, 2024 200   Massachusetts W 80-70 82%    
  Jan 03, 2025 135   @ Saint Louis W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 08, 2025 198   @ Duquesne W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 11, 2025 104   Loyola Chicago W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 17, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 21, 2025 124   @ Davidson L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 24, 2025 38   @ Dayton L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 29, 2025 198   Duquesne W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 01, 2025 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 07, 2025 135   Saint Louis W 81-74 72%    
  Feb 12, 2025 155   La Salle W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 83   @ George Mason L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 144   @ George Washington W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 205   Richmond W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 26, 2025 89   St. Bonaventure W 70-68 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 172   @ Fordham W 75-72 59%    
  Mar 05, 2025 98   Rhode Island W 77-74 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 155   @ La Salle W 76-74 56%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.8 3.0 1.4 0.3 12.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.7 5.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.7 5.4 1.7 0.2 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.9 2.9 0.3 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.4 0.9 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.1 6.5 10.0 12.9 14.1 14.6 12.6 9.9 6.4 3.5 1.4 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-1 97.7% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-2 85.9% 3.0    2.2 0.7 0.1
15-3 59.9% 3.8    2.0 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 28.8% 2.9    0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.2% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.4% 12.4 6.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 53.2% 29.8% 23.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 33.3%
17-1 1.4% 27.2% 20.2% 7.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.0 8.7%
16-2 3.5% 20.7% 17.9% 2.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 2.8 3.4%
15-3 6.4% 15.1% 14.5% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 5.4 0.7%
14-4 9.9% 12.0% 12.0% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.0 8.7 0.1%
13-5 12.6% 8.9% 8.9% 11.8 0.3 0.8 0.1 11.5
12-6 14.6% 6.4% 6.4% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.6
11-7 14.1% 4.6% 4.6% 12.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 13.5
10-8 12.9% 2.3% 2.3% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.6
9-9 10.0% 1.3% 1.3% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.9
8-10 6.5% 1.0% 1.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
7-11 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
6-12 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 2.0
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.7% 6.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.3 0.3%