Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#106
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#175
Pace71.7#110
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#89
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.9% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 2.0% 0.6%
Average Seed 11.0 10.8 11.5
.500 or above 75.8% 82.9% 62.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 70.4% 56.4%
Conference Champion 8.6% 10.3% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.8% 5.7%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
First Round8.0% 9.4% 5.2%
Second Round2.4% 3.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 65.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 38 - 511 - 11
Quad 47 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 259   Navy W 70-63 88%     1 - 0 -1.1 -8.8 +7.5
  Nov 08, 2024 235   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 85%     1 - 1 -12.4 -6.2 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2024 77   Villanova W 83-76 51%     2 - 1 +11.4 +5.6 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2024 208   @ Penn W 75-71 66%    
  Nov 21, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 67-77 17%    
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 80-54 99%    
  Dec 03, 2024 107   Princeton W 76-73 62%    
  Dec 10, 2024 100   College of Charleston W 83-80 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 255   American W 73-61 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 82   Virginia Tech L 71-73 41%    
  Dec 28, 2024 344   Delaware St. W 80-61 96%    
  Dec 31, 2024 109   Massachusetts W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 03, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 08, 2025 157   @ Duquesne W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 17, 2025 54   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 21, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 24, 2025 58   @ Dayton L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 29, 2025 157   Duquesne W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 01, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-74 42%    
  Feb 07, 2025 102   Saint Louis W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 127   La Salle W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 95   @ George Mason L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 19, 2025 153   @ George Washington W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 184   Richmond W 74-65 78%    
  Feb 26, 2025 113   St. Bonaventure W 73-69 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 159   @ Fordham W 72-71 54%    
  Mar 05, 2025 116   Rhode Island W 79-75 64%    
  Mar 08, 2025 127   @ La Salle L 71-72 47%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.1 8.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.1 3.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 4.2 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.6 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.5 1.3 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.9 3.5 0.5 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.1 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.2 0.1 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.9 0.5 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.3 0.9 0.0 4.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.6 4.3 6.4 8.7 10.5 11.8 12.3 11.6 10.5 8.2 5.7 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.8% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 93.5% 1.4    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 74.5% 2.5    1.6 0.8 0.1
14-4 44.1% 2.5    1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.8% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 4.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 86.4% 54.5% 31.8% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0%
17-1 0.6% 80.5% 43.8% 36.7% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 65.3%
16-2 1.5% 52.5% 27.2% 25.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 34.7%
15-3 3.3% 36.3% 25.0% 11.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 15.1%
14-4 5.7% 24.5% 19.7% 4.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 4.3 6.0%
13-5 8.2% 16.6% 15.3% 1.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.9 1.5%
12-6 10.5% 12.0% 11.7% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.2 0.3%
11-7 11.6% 6.5% 6.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.9
10-8 12.3% 4.2% 4.2% 12.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.8
9-9 11.8% 2.4% 2.4% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5
8-10 10.5% 1.0% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.4
7-11 8.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.6
6-12 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.3% 4.3
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 6.9% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.4 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 91.7 1.5%