Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#138
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#94
Pace67.4#241
Improvement+1.7#39

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#163
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#74
Layup/Dunks-7.3#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#53
Freethrows-1.1#241
Improvement+2.0#9

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#137
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#183
Layups/Dunks-0.7#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#249
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows+0.1#184
Improvement-0.3#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.3% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 10.4
.500 or above 28.4% 32.0% 12.1%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 11.1% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.6% 29.5% 41.2%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Neutral) - 82.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 7
Quad 22 - 63 - 14
Quad 33 - 37 - 16
Quad 46 - 013 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 317   The Citadel W 69-60 89%     1 - 0 -2.7 -6.3 +3.8
  Nov 08, 2024 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-80 23%     1 - 1 -15.5 -12.3 -2.6
  Nov 15, 2024 114   Temple W 72-69 54%     2 - 1 +3.6 +4.3 -0.4
  Nov 19, 2024 335   Loyola Maryland W 82-61 92%     3 - 1 +7.5 +10.4 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2024 303   Old Dominion W 78-68 82%    
  Nov 29, 2024 339   Dartmouth W 77-61 94%    
  Dec 03, 2024 72   South Carolina L 69-72 38%    
  Dec 07, 2024 75   @ Wake Forest L 67-76 20%    
  Dec 15, 2024 343   Stonehill W 77-60 94%    
  Dec 21, 2024 66   SMU L 74-78 37%    
  Dec 28, 2024 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-69 94%    
  Jan 01, 2025 38   Miami (FL) L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 105   @ Georgia Tech L 73-79 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 93   Syracuse L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 13, 2025 53   @ Notre Dame L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 18, 2025 5   Duke L 64-79 10%    
  Jan 21, 2025 58   @ Virginia L 56-66 18%    
  Jan 25, 2025 8   @ North Carolina L 68-87 5%    
  Feb 01, 2025 81   Florida St. L 71-73 41%    
  Feb 05, 2025 46   Louisville L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 93   @ Syracuse L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 12, 2025 53   Notre Dame L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 52   @ North Carolina St. L 67-78 18%    
  Feb 18, 2025 118   Virginia Tech W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 105   Georgia Tech W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 26, 2025 76   @ Stanford L 66-75 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 102   @ California L 69-75 31%    
  Mar 05, 2025 49   Clemson L 68-73 34%    
  Mar 08, 2025 23   @ Pittsburgh L 64-79 10%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 1.4 0.2 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.7 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.7 0.1 4.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.7 3.0 0.7 0.0 5.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.8 1.9 0.1 6.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.9 1.5 0.1 10.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.7 2.7 0.3 12.5 16th
17th 0.1 1.2 4.1 6.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 16.0 17th
18th 1.2 3.8 6.0 6.2 3.2 0.7 0.0 21.2 18th
Total 1.2 3.9 7.3 10.8 13.2 14.1 13.1 11.1 8.8 6.4 4.4 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 45.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.7% 0.0    0.0
14-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 90.9% 90.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.9%
15-5 0.2% 76.0% 4.0% 72.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.0%
14-6 0.4% 47.9% 2.1% 45.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 46.9%
13-7 0.8% 34.5% 0.6% 33.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 34.1%
12-8 1.6% 13.8% 0.5% 13.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4 13.4%
11-9 2.6% 7.0% 0.6% 6.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4 6.4%
10-10 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 1.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4 1.1%
9-11 6.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4 0.2%
8-12 8.8% 8.8
7-13 11.1% 11.1
6-14 13.1% 13.1
5-15 14.1% 14.1
4-16 13.2% 13.2
3-17 10.8% 10.8
2-18 7.3% 7.3
1-19 3.9% 3.9
0-20 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 1.1% 0.1% 1.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 98.9 1.1%