George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#117
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#128
Pace69.2#150
Improvement+0.6#156

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#171
First Shot+0.3#160
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#198
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#114
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-0.7#216

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#98
First Shot+4.5#55
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#316
Layups/Dunks-0.5#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#24
Freethrows+1.4#89
Improvement+1.3#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 64.5% 16.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 5
Quad 34 - 57 - 10
Quad 412 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 350   Mercyhurst W 76-59 95%     1 - 0 +1.6 +1.3 +1.5
  Nov 08, 2024 250   Hampton W 82-54 83%     2 - 0 +20.6 +2.8 +16.7
  Nov 12, 2024 316   N.C. A&T W 85-80 91%     3 - 0 -6.7 +1.7 -8.8
  Nov 18, 2024 346   NJIT W 84-64 94%     4 - 0 +4.8 +9.9 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 56   Kansas St. L 71-83 23%     4 - 1 -1.4 +1.3 -2.3
  Nov 23, 2024 289   Louisiana W 83-74 82%     5 - 1 +2.0 +3.4 -2.0
  Nov 25, 2024 127   Illinois St. W 72-64 54%     6 - 1 +9.8 +0.3 +9.9
  Nov 29, 2024 309   VMI W 77-64 90%     7 - 1 +2.0 +8.1 -4.8
  Dec 04, 2024 247   @ American L 71-81 OT 69%     7 - 2 -12.3 -11.3 +0.1
  Dec 07, 2024 286   @ Old Dominion W 78-70 75%     8 - 2 +3.6 +6.3 -2.3
  Dec 13, 2024 287   Army W 75-60 87%     9 - 2 +5.5 +3.3 +3.4
  Dec 18, 2024 298   Lafayette W 82-62 88%     10 - 2 +9.8 +11.5 -0.6
  Dec 31, 2024 218   @ Richmond L 61-66 63%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -5.6 -8.0 +2.1
  Jan 04, 2025 83   Dayton W 82-62 44%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +24.2 +11.3 +13.6
  Jan 08, 2025 121   @ Rhode Island W 75-67 42%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +12.8 -0.4 +12.7
  Jan 15, 2025 132   Duquesne L 65-73 64%     12 - 4 2 - 2 -8.9 -5.1 -4.0
  Jan 18, 2025 75   @ George Mason L 77-80 2OT 24%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +7.1 +1.5 +6.1
  Jan 22, 2025 168   @ Massachusetts L 61-74 52%     12 - 6 2 - 4 -10.8 -7.7 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2025 109   Saint Louis W 67-61 58%     13 - 6 3 - 4 +6.8 +0.1 +7.2
  Jan 29, 2025 218   Richmond W 75-66 79%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +3.3 +6.4 -2.3
  Feb 01, 2025 236   @ La Salle L 67-73 66%     14 - 7 4 - 5 -7.5 +3.9 -12.2
  Feb 05, 2025 75   George Mason L 50-53 41%     14 - 8 4 - 6 +2.1 -14.0 +16.0
  Feb 09, 2025 106   @ St. Bonaventure W 62-52 36%     15 - 8 5 - 6 +16.6 -0.8 +18.3
  Feb 12, 2025 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-80 23%     15 - 9 5 - 7 +2.6 +12.1 -10.3
  Feb 15, 2025 129   @ Davidson W 74-67 44%     16 - 9 6 - 7 +11.3 +6.4 +5.4
  Feb 19, 2025 78   Saint Joseph's L 68-79 42%     16 - 10 6 - 8 -6.2 +4.0 -11.0
  Feb 22, 2025 168   Massachusetts W 76-70 72%    
  Feb 26, 2025 110   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-72 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 236   La Salle W 77-68 82%    
  Mar 05, 2025 204   @ Fordham W 76-73 58%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.5 2.6 4th
5th 1.1 6.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.4 14.3 4.6 19.3 6th
7th 7.2 18.1 0.4 25.7 7th
8th 0.4 14.8 3.5 18.6 8th
9th 3.2 9.7 0.2 13.1 9th
10th 0.1 5.6 1.7 7.4 10th
11th 0.5 3.5 0.1 4.1 11th
12th 0.9 0.7 1.6 12th
13th 0.3 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
Total 1.8 13.4 33.8 37.2 13.8 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 13.8% 2.5% 2.5% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 13.5
9-9 37.2% 2.0% 2.0% 12.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 36.5
8-10 33.8% 0.9% 0.9% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 33.5
7-11 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 1.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 12.0 11.8 76.5 11.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%
Lose Out 0.8%