Marshall
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#207
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#243
Pace74.6#60
Improvement-0.6#241

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#230
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-4.1#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#231
Freethrows+3.2#33
Improvement-1.0#296

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#176
First Shot+1.4#127
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#296
Layups/Dunks+0.7#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#11
Freethrows-5.7#358
Improvement+0.4#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.5% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 49.4% 55.1% 29.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 61.2% 46.4%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.1% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 3.6% 6.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round4.8% 5.4% 2.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 411 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 160   Toledo L 80-90 52%     0 - 1 -12.8 -3.4 -8.7
  Nov 11, 2024 305   Southern Indiana W 77-63 80%     1 - 1 +3.1 -1.9 +4.9
  Nov 16, 2024 326   Bellarmine W 83-62 83%     2 - 1 +8.7 +3.2 +5.5
  Nov 23, 2024 16   @ Purdue L 45-80 4%     2 - 2 -17.0 -18.5 -0.1
  Nov 27, 2024 298   South Carolina St. W 78-70 78%    
  Nov 30, 2024 118   @ Western Kentucky L 75-83 22%    
  Dec 04, 2024 263   Morehead St. W 71-65 72%    
  Dec 07, 2024 158   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-79 31%    
  Dec 11, 2024 142   @ Wright St. L 76-82 28%    
  Dec 14, 2024 151   Ohio W 79-78 50%    
  Dec 21, 2024 254   @ Southern Miss L 80-81 49%    
  Dec 28, 2024 164   @ Elon L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 02, 2025 167   Texas St. W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 122   Troy L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 09, 2025 114   James Madison L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 227   Georgia Southern W 82-78 64%    
  Jan 16, 2025 114   @ James Madison L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 299   @ Coastal Carolina W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 23, 2025 215   @ Georgia St. L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 227   @ Georgia Southern L 79-81 43%    
  Jan 30, 2025 215   Georgia St. W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 299   Coastal Carolina W 73-65 77%    
  Feb 05, 2025 106   Arkansas St. L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 13, 2025 197   @ South Alabama L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 257   @ Louisiana W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 20, 2025 308   @ Old Dominion W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 22, 2025 194   @ Appalachian St. L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 25, 2025 308   Old Dominion W 81-72 77%    
  Feb 28, 2025 194   Appalachian St. W 71-69 58%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.5 1.1 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.1 1.7 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.6 2.7 0.3 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 1.3 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.7 8.1 10.2 12.0 12.8 12.1 10.6 8.8 6.2 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.9    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 73.4% 1.6    1.0 0.6 0.1
14-4 39.8% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.5% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 38.2% 38.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 28.3% 28.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
15-3 2.2% 23.0% 23.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.7
14-4 3.8% 15.8% 15.8% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2
13-5 6.2% 12.8% 12.8% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.4
12-6 8.8% 10.8% 10.8% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 7.9
11-7 10.6% 6.5% 6.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.9
10-8 12.1% 3.6% 3.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.7
9-9 12.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.6
8-10 12.0% 1.2% 1.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.8
7-11 10.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.1
6-12 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.1
5-13 5.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.6 95.1 0.0%